11

Findings From A National Survey Of 800 Likely Voters

The Israel Project

22

Key Findings Though Voters Like The President And Secretary

Kerry, They Offer Negative Evaluations Of The Administration's Handling Of Iran

Voters Overwhelmingly Favor Sanctions To Stop Iran's Nuclear Program

Preventing Iran From Getting Nuclear Weapons Is A Higher Priority Than Avoiding Military Action

Voters Are Mostly Unfamiliar With The Interim Agreement And Express Mixed Views

Voters Overwhelmingly Support New Sanctions Legislation, Even After Hearing Arguments From Both Sides

33

Methodology

National Poll:

800 Likely Voters

Interviews conducted January 21-23, 2014

Margin Of Error +/- 3.5 (Higher For Subgroups)

44

Though Voters Like The President And Secretary Kerry, They Offer Negative Evaluations Of The Administration's

Handling Of Iran

55

Favorable Unfavorable0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

51% 47%

30% Very

34% Very

A Narrow Plurality Views Obama Favorably

Barack Obama Favorability

Mean Ratio Hard ID

2.49 1.09 98%

Fav Unfav

Democrat ID 88% 10%Independent ID 42% 56%Republican ID 20% 78%

Women 57% 41%

Men 45% 53%

18-39 59% 39%

40-59 46% 53%

60+ 53% 46%

No College 46% 52%

College Grad+ 56% 43%

White 43% 55%

Black 93% 4%

Upper-SES 48% 50%

College Middle 57% 41%

Non-College Middle 43% 54%

Lower-SES 54% 46%

Northeast 57% 41%

Midwest 46% 52%

South 48% 50%

West 58% 42%

Relig Weekly+ 41% 57%

Relig Few Times/Mo 59% 41%

Relig Seldom/Never 59% 40%

+4

66

Favorable Unfavorable0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

48%

37%

21% Very

21% Very

A Plurality Views John Kerry Favorably

John Kerry Favorability

Mean Ratio Hard ID

2.56 1.30 84%

Fav Unfav

Democrat ID 70% 14%Independent ID 39% 43%Republican ID 32% 56%

Women 53% 29%

Men 42% 46%

18-39 54% 23%

40-59 41% 45%

60+ 52% 38%

No College 37% 39%

College Grad+ 57% 36%

White 44% 42%

Black 65% 8%

Upper-SES 49% 42%

College Middle 58% 34%

Non-College Middle 38% 40%

Lower-SES 45% 34%

Northeast 56% 34%

Midwest 49% 36%

South 44% 41%

West 46% 34%

Relig Weekly+ 41% 43%

Relig Few Times/Mo 60% 28%

Relig Seldom/Never 50% 35%

+11

77

Favor Oppose0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

30%

66%

Voters Give The Administration Negative Ratings For Dealing With Iran

What kind of job has President Obama and his administration done when it comes to dealing with Iran? Have President Obama and his administration done an excellent, good, only fair or poor

job when it comes to dealing with Iran?

6% Excellent

37% Poor

Positive Negative

Democrat ID 56% 39%Independent ID 21% 75%Republican ID 10% 86%

Women 32% 63%

Men 28% 69%

18-39 30% 63%

40-59 28% 70%

60+ 33% 63%

No College 25% 71%

College Grad+ 34% 62%

White 26% 71%

Black 54% 40%

Upper-SES 29% 67%

College Middle 36% 60%

Non-College Middle 26% 70%

Lower-SES 28% 68%

Northeast 31% 66%

Midwest 28% 69%

South 29% 68%

West 33% 60%

Relig Weekly+ 22% 73%

Relig Few Times/Mo 37% 58%

Relig Seldom/Never 35% 63%

-36

88

Americans Do Not Trust Iran, Seeing It As A Prime

Adversary

99

Favorable Unfavorable0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

12%

73%

4% Very

47% Very

Overwhelming Numbers View Iran Unfavorably

Iran Favorability

Mean Ratio Hard ID

1.63 0.16 85%

Fav Unfav

Democrat ID 17% 67%Independent ID 10% 72%Republican ID 7% 80%

Women 11% 70%

Men 12% 76%

18-39 17% 59%

40-59 8% 80%

60+ 12% 75%

No College 9% 72%

College Grad+ 14% 74%

White 9% 77%

Black 20% 59%

Upper-SES 10% 77%

College Middle 14% 76%

Non-College Middle 7% 70%

Lower-SES 15% 70%

Northeast 10% 75%

Midwest 12% 73%

South 11% 73%

West 13% 70%

Relig Weekly+ 9% 76%

Relig Few Times/Mo 14% 68%

Relig Seldom/Never 14% 73%

-61

1010

Favorable Unfavorable0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

5%

17%

Few Know Who Rouhani Is, Though Those Who Do, View Him Unfavorably

Hassan Rouhani Favorability

Mean Ratio Hard ID

1.81 0.29 22%

Fav Unfav

Democrat ID 6% 12%Independent ID 6% 17%Republican ID 3% 21%

Women 4% 12%

Men 6% 22%

18-39 5% 13%

40-59 5% 16%

60+ 5% 22%

No College 3% 14%

College Grad+ 7% 19%

White 5% 18%

Black 5% 11%

Upper-SES 4% 25%

College Middle 7% 20%

Non-College Middle 2% 16%

Lower-SES 7% 8%

Northeast 6% 14%

Midwest 3% 17%

South 6% 18%

West 6% 17%

Relig Weekly+ 6% 16%

Relig Few Times/Mo 7% 17%

Relig Seldom/Never 5% 16%

-12

1111

By Contrast, Voters Have Strongly Favorable Opinions Of Israel, And To A Lesser Extent Of Netanyahu

Israel Favorability

Favorable Unfavorable0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100% 68%

16%

34% Very

Mean Ratio Hard ID

3.14 4.25 85%

Favorable Unfavorable0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

34%

16%

15% Very

Benjamin Netanyahu Favorability

Mean Ratio Hard ID

2.84 2.13 50%

+52 +18

1212

-100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

94%

79%

69%

67%

44%

42%

15%

7%

5%

18%

29%

29%

54%

56%

83%

90%

*Ranked By Net Trust

Don’t Trust

Voters Do Not Trust North Korea Or Iran To Abide By Agreements

Trust Net Trust

% Trust To Live Up To & Abide By

Diplomatic Agreements

+89

+61

+40

+38

-10

-14

-68

-83

Great Britain

Israel

Mexico

South Korea

Russia

China

Iran

North Korea

68% strong trust

37%

15%

25%

28%

28%

60%

77% strong distrust

1313

Trust Distrust0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

15%

83%

2% Great Deal

60% Not At All

No Voter Segment Trusts Iran

% Trust Iran To Live Up To & AbideBy Diplomatic Agreements

Trust Distrust

Democrat ID 19% 78%Independent ID 17% 81%Republican ID 7% 91%

Women 16% 82%

Men 14% 83%

18-39 26% 73%

40-59 12% 85%

60+ 9% 88%

No College 12% 85%

College Grad+ 17% 81%

White 13% 85%

Black 23% 73%

Upper-SES 12% 87%

College Middle 10% 88%

Non-College Middle 13% 84%

Lower-SES 16% 83%

Northeast 15% 84%

Midwest 9% 89%

South 15% 82%

West 20% 77%

Relig Weekly+ 12% 87%

Relig Few Times/Mo 20% 77%

Relig Seldom/Never 15% 83%

-68

1414

North Korea Iran China Iraq Pakistan Syria Russia

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

28%23%

18%

6% 6% 6% 5%

While North Korea Is Viewed As The Biggest Threat To The U.S., Iran Comes In A Close SecondRepublicans Tend To View Iran As A Bigger Threat Than Democrats

Which of the following countries do you think poses the biggest threat to the security of the United States?

N. Korea Iran

Democrat ID 33% 17%Independent ID 25% 25%Republican ID 26% 28%

1515

Voters Overwhelmingly Favor Sanctions To Stop Iran's Nuclear

Program

1616

Favor Oppose0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

83%

11%

Across Party Lines, Voters Overwhelmingly Favor Economic Sanctions On Iran To Pressure It To End Its Nuclear Weapons Program

As you may know, the United States and most other countries in the world have imposed economic sanctions on Iran to pressure it to end

its efforts to develop nuclear weapons Do you favor or oppose the economic sanctions that the U.S. has placed on Iran?

68% Strongly

6% Strongly

Favor Oppose

Democrat ID 83% 11%Independent ID 79% 14%Republican ID 89% 7%

Women 82% 12%

Men 85% 10%

18-39 75% 16%

40-59 84% 10%

60+ 89% 8%

No College 81% 12%

College Grad+ 86% 9%

White 85% 9%

Black 80% 15%

Upper-SES 87% 9%

College Middle 86% 9%

Non-College Middle 80% 13%

Lower-SES 82% 12%

Northeast 88% 8%

Midwest 84% 9%

South 83% 13%

West 80% 13%

Relig Weekly+ 86% 11%

Relig Few Times/Mo 91% 6%

Relig Seldom/Never 80% 13%

+72

1717

strengthen same reduce0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

39% 38%

14%

More Than Three Quarters Believe Sanctions Should Be Strengthened Or Remain At Their Current Level

In your opinion, should the United States now strengthen economic sanctions on Iran, reduce economic sanctions

on Iran, or should sanctions remain at the same level they are now?

strengthen same reduce

Democrat ID 28% 42% 18%Independent ID 41% 40% 14%Republican ID 49% 32% 9%

Women 37% 40% 12%

Men 41% 36% 16%

18-39 32% 43% 13%

40-59 43% 37% 12%

60+ 39% 36% 17%

No College 41% 36% 12%

College Grad+ 37% 40% 16%

White 41% 36% 13%

Black 32% 47% 8%

Upper-SES 44% 37% 16%

College Middle 38% 40% 13%

Non-College Middle 41% 37% 13%

Lower-SES 35% 38% 15%

Northeast 36% 46% 15%

Midwest 41% 35% 14%

South 40% 40% 12%

West 38% 34% 16%

Relig Weekly+ 46% 35% 11%

Relig Few Times/Mo 44% 35% 15%

Relig Seldom/Never 28% 43% 19%

77%

1818

Allow Dismantle0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

32%

62%

Most Believe Iran Should Dismantle Its Nuclear Infrastructure Before Sanctions Are Lifted

Allow Iran to keep its nuclear infrastructure and stockpiles of enriched uranium in place and lift economic sanctions against Iran so long as Iran agrees to not build nuclear weapons, limits future uranium enrichment and submits to international inspections of its nuclear facilities.

In trying to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, should the United States …

Insist that Iran dismantles its nuclear infrastructure and give up the ability to build a nuclear weapon before any economic sanctions are lifted.

Allow Dismantle

Democrat ID 37% 55%Independent ID 33% 63%Republican ID 26% 69%

Women 29% 65%

Men 36% 59%

18-39 43% 53%

40-59 28% 65%

60+ 29% 65%

No College 33% 60%

College Grad+ 31% 64%

White 32% 63%

Black 33% 59%

Upper-SES 36% 61%

College Middle 30% 64%

Non-College Middle 33% 61%

Lower-SES 33% 61%

Northeast 36% 62%

Midwest 29% 63%

South 34% 60%

West 30% 64%

Relig Weekly+ 28% 67%

Relig Few Times/Mo 31% 63%

Relig Seldom/Never 37% 58%

24% Strongly

49% Strongly

+30

1919

Preventing Iran From Getting Nukes Is A Higher Priority Than Avoiding Military

Action

2020

Allowing Iran To Develop Nuclear Weapons Is Judged More Dangerous Than Targeted Military Strikes

Iran Nukes Military Strikes

Democrat ID 48% 40%Independent ID 52% 39%Republican ID 63% 31%Women 54% 37%Men 54% 37%18-39 50% 45%40-59 59% 32%60+ 52% 37%No College 54% 35%College Grad+ 54% 39%White 55% 35%Black 56% 36%Upper-SES 56% 38%College Middle 55% 36%Non-College Middle 52% 38%Lower-SES 54% 37%Northeast 55% 36%Midwest 55% 36%South 58% 34%West 47% 43%Relig Weekly+ 55% 39%Relig Few Times/Mo 57% 37%Relig Seldom/Never 51% 38%

Iran Nukes Military strikes0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%54%

37%

Allowing Iran to develop nuclear weapons.

In the long run, which is more dangerous for the United States:

Targeted military strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities to try and stop them from developing nuclear weapons

47% Strongly

26% Strongly

2121

By Over 3 To 1, Voters Believe Preventing Iran From Developing Nuclear Weapons Is More Important Than Avoiding Military Strikes

Prevent Nukes Avoid Strikes

Democrat ID 61% 27%Independent ID 66% 23%Republican ID 80% 13%Women 71% 19%Men 66% 23%18-39 65% 27%40-59 70% 21%60+ 69% 18%No College 69% 19%College Grad+ 68% 23%White 68% 21%Black 76% 15%Upper-SES 70% 20%College Middle 64% 26%Non-College Middle 71% 18%Lower-SES 71% 19%Northeast 71% 21%Midwest 66% 22%South 72% 19%West 64% 23%Relig Weekly+ 74% 17%Relig Few Times/Mo 79% 14%Relig Seldom/Never 62% 28%

Prevent Nukes Avoid Strikes0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

68%

21%

59% Strongly

13% Strongly

To avoid military strikes on Iran, even if it means allowing Iran to acquire nuclear weapons.

To prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it requires military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.

Which of the following should be the most impt. goal of the U.S. in dealing with Iran’s nuclear program?

22220% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

78%

75%

73%

71%

70%

66%

64%

58%

Voters Are Most Concerned About Iran Arming Terrorists With Nukes, Attacking U.S. Troops And Launching A Missile Against The U.S.

% concerns a great deal

Now I am going to read you a list of things that could happen if Iran is able to develop a nuclear weapon. After I read each, please tell me if that concerns you a great deal, some, not too much or not at all?

Iran could give nuclear weapons to terrorist groups trying to attack the United States and our allies

Iran could use nuclear weapons to attack American troops in the Middle-East

Iran is developing nuclear-armed ballistic missiles that could enable them to launch a nuclear attack on the U.S. by 2015

Allowing Iran to develop nuclear weapons could embolden other countries to develop nuclear weapons, triggering an arms race in one of

the most dangerous parts of the world

A nuclear-armed Iran could launch nuclear weapons against Israel, our closest ally in the region

Iran could become a regional superpower that is even harder to deter than it is now

Iran would have the capability to menace oil suppliers, causing the price of oil & gasoline to increase, threatening the global economy

America’s influence around the world would be undermined

2323

Voters Are Mostly Unfamiliar With The Interim Agreement And Express Mixed

Views

2424

How much, if anything, have you heard about an interim agreement between the United States and Iran that places some temporary restraints on the pace of Iran’s nuclear

program in exchange for some relief from economic sanctions on Iran?

Great Deal Some Not Too Much

Nothing At All

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

15%

32%29%

23%

47%Heard

52% Not Heard

Only About Half Have Heard Anything About The Interim Agreement, And Few Know Much

Heard Not Heard

Democrat ID 42% 56%Independent ID 50% 49%Republican ID 48% 51%

Women 38% 61%

Men 56% 43%

18-39 39% 59%

40-59 44% 55%

60+ 56% 42%

No College 40% 59%

College Grad+ 53% 46%

White 49% 51%

Black 30% 68%

Upper-SES 61% 38%

College Middle 51% 47%

Non-College Middle 43% 56%

Lower-SES 36% 62%

Northeast 49% 50%

Midwest 46% 51%

South 51% 49%

West 38% 60%

Relig Weekly+ 46% 52%

Relig Few Times/Mo 51% 48%

Relig Seldom/Never 46% 53%

2525

Favor Oppose0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100% 55%

37%

A Majority Favors The Interim Agreement With IranVoters Cleave Sharply Across Party, Age And Religiousity

As you may know, the United States & 5 other world powers recently reached an interim agreement with Iran that would reduce

some economic sanctions on Iran in exchange for a commitment by Iran to temporarily limit some parts of its nuclear program, while a final agreement is being negotiated. Do you favor or

oppose this agreement?

34% Strongly

27% Strongly

Favor Oppose

Democrat ID 70% 23%Independent ID 47% 42%Republican ID 46% 47%

Women 58% 33%

Men 52% 41%

18-39 70% 21%

40-59 49% 42%

60+ 51% 42%

No College 54% 37%

College Grad+ 56% 37%

White 52% 40%

Black 63% 29%

Upper-SES 56% 40%

College Middle 55% 38%

Non-College Middle 57% 34%

Lower-SES 53% 36%

Northeast 56% 41%

Midwest 48% 39%

South 52% 39%

West 65% 27%

Relig Weekly+ 49% 44%

Relig Few Times/Mo 61% 32%

Relig Seldom/Never 63% 30%

2626

Series10%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

55% 56% 54%59%

52%

37%42% 43%

32% 32%

FavorOppose

TOTAL

Opposition To The Interim Agreement Is Somewhat Higher Among Those Who Have Heard More About It

Favor/Oppose Interim Agreement By Awareness Of Agreement

Heard Great Deal

Heard Some

Heard Nothing

At All

Heard Not Too Much

2727

U.S. Made Right Decision Require Iran To Abandon Nuclear Weapons

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

39%

57%

Though Voters Support The Agreement, They Would Have Preferred Requiring Iran To Abandon Its Nuclear Program Before Reducing Any Sanctions

The United States made the right decision by reducing sanctions and financial pressure in exchange for an agreement by Iran to put some temporary limits on its nuclear program, while a final agreement is being negotiated.

Which of the following statements about the interim agreement with Iran comes closer to your point of view:

The United States should have required Iran to completely abandon its nuclear program before agreeing to reduce sanctions.

29% Strongly

45% Strongly

2828

Favor Oppose0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

68%

26%

More Than Two-Thirds Favor Releasing The Entire Text To The Public

As of right now, the Obama Administration has shared the agreement with Iran only with some Members of Congress. Do you favor or oppose releasing the text of the entire deal to the public?

57% strong

16% strong

Favor Oppose

Democrat ID 61% 30%Independent ID 69% 25%Republican ID 74% 22%

Women 65% 29%

Men 71% 23%

18-39 73% 24%

40-59 69% 24%

60+ 63% 29%

No College 72% 22%

College Grad+ 65% 29%

White 71% 24%

Black 48% 45%

Upper-SES 69% 27%

College Middle 65% 27%

Non-College Middle 74% 20%

Lower-SES 68% 26%

Northeast 70% 25%

Midwest 63% 28%

South 64% 29%

West 75% 19%

Relig Weekly+ 65% 29%

Relig Few Times/Mo 72% 23%

Relig Seldom/Never 71% 23%

2929

Likely Unlikely0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

31%

66%

Voters Don’t Believe Iran Will Live Up To The Interim Agreement

How likely do you think it is that Iran will live up to and abide by this interim agreement? Is it very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely that Iran will live up to

and abide by this agreement?

6% very

45% very

Likely Unlikely

Democrat ID 44% 52%Independent ID 28% 68%Republican ID 18% 80%

Women 30% 67%

Men 32% 65%

18-39 40% 56%

40-59 24% 73%

60+ 31% 65%

No College 28% 68%

College Grad+ 32% 65%

White 28% 68%

Black 35% 61%

Upper-SES 34% 64%

College Middle 32% 64%

Non-College Middle 29% 68%

Lower-SES 28% 69%

Northeast 32% 66%

Midwest 29% 65%

South 27% 70%

West 36% 61%

Relig Weekly+ 26% 71%

Relig Few Times/Mo 33% 63%

Relig Seldom/Never 35% 63%

3030

-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

95%

94%

91%

88%

86%

85%

83%

3%

3%

6%

8%

9%

11%

12%

*Ranked By % Favor

Oppose

Voters Strongly Favor Requiring Iran To Take A Number Of Actions During Negotiations

Favor Net Favor

% Favor/ Oppose

+92

+91

+85

+80

+77

+74

+71

87% strong favor

88%

83%

76%

74%

77%

73%

Iran should be required to allow international inspections of all Iranian nuclear facilities

Iran should be required to cease all acts of terrorism against the U.S.

Iran should be required to freeze all efforts to develop long-range ballistic missiles while

negotiations are taking place

Iran should be required to place all nuclear materials currently possessed by Iran under

the control of international monitors

Iran should be required to recognize the right of Israel to exist

Iran should be required to cease all efforts to enrich uranium while negotiations are taking

place

Iran should be required to destroy all centrifuges that can be used to enrich uranium to the point it can be used in nuclear weapons

Now I am going to read you a list of actions that some people have suggested Iran should be required to take while it is negotiating with the U.S. on its nuclear program. After I read each, please tell me whether you would favor or oppose requiring Iran to take that

action before the U.S. signs a final agreement with Iran on lifting sanctions

3131

Voters Believe Iran Is Using Negotiations To Stall While Continuing Development Of Nukes

Stalling Good faith0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

73%

20%

Stalling Good faith0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

70%

21%

Iran is using these negotiations to stall as it continues to develop its ability to make nuclear weapons.

Which of the following statements about Iran comes closer to your point of view:

Iran is negotiating in good faith and will eventually give up their ability to make nuclear weapons.

62% Strongly

8% Strongly

59% Strongly

11% Strongly

*Questions split-sampled

Iran is negotiating in good faith and may eventually give up their ability to make nuclear weapons.

3232

Every Segment Believes Iran Is Using The Negotiations To Stall

stalling good faith0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

72%

20%

Iran is using these negotiations to stall as it continues to develop its ability to make nuclear weapons.

Which of the following statements about Iran comes closer to your point of view:

Iran is negotiating in good faith and (may/will) eventually give up their ability to make nuclear weapons.

61% Strongly

9% Strongly

Stalling Good faith

Democrat ID 62% 27%Independent ID 82% 12%Republican ID 72% 21%

Women 74% 18%

Men 69% 23%

18-39 61% 30%

40-59 74% 18%

60+ 77% 16%

No College 72% 19%

College Grad+ 72% 22%

White 75% 19%

Black 66% 20%

Upper-SES 73% 20%

College Middle 71% 22%

Non-College Middle 75% 16%

Lower-SES 69% 22%

Northeast 77% 17%

Midwest 71% 19%

South 75% 18%

West 63% 28%

Relig Weekly+ 79% 15%

Relig Few Times/Mo 81% 13%

Relig Seldom/Never 61% 29%

Split Samples Combined

3333

Most Believe That Congress Should Approve Any Final Deal With Iran, Though Democrats Are More Evenly Divided On The Matter

Cong approval Prez power0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

69%

25%

For over 15 years, Congress has been the prime mover of sanctions on Iran and should approve a final deal before sanctions are lifted, because it will help ensure we get the best possible deal and do not leave Iran with the ability to make nuclear weapons in the future.

Which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view?

President Obama should have the power to make an agreement with Iran, without going back to Congress to repeal sanctions, because meddling by Congress could endanger negotiations between the United States and Iran, nullifying the current deal and enabling Iran to re-start its weapons program.

58% Strongly

17% Strongly

Cong Prez

Democrat ID 54% 40%Independent ID 73% 22%Republican ID 82% 12%

Women 68% 25%

Men 71% 24%

18-39 70% 26%

40-59 69% 26%

60+ 70% 22%

No College 72% 21%

College Grad+ 67% 27%

White 73% 21%

Black 52% 41%

Upper-SES 75% 20%

College Middle 65% 30%

Non-College Middle 75% 20%

Lower-SES 66% 27%

Northeast 68% 26%

Midwest 66% 26%

South 73% 22%

West 67% 28%

Relig Weekly+ 75% 20%

Relig Few Times/Mo 73% 23%

Relig Seldom/Never 62% 32%

3434

Voters Overwhelmingly Support New Sanctions Legislation, Even

After Hearing Arguments On Both Sides

3535

Great Deal Some Not Too Much

Nothing At All

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

9%

22%

31%37%

30%Heard

68% Not Heard

Less Than A Third Have Heard About New Congressional Legislation That Would Trigger Sanctions On IranOlder Voters Are Most Aware

Heard Not Heard

Democrat ID 34% 64%Independent ID 29% 69%Republican ID 29% 71%

Women 27% 70%

Men 35% 64%

18-39 24% 74%

40-59 26% 71%

60+ 41% 57%

No College 28% 70%

College Grad+ 32% 66%

White 31% 67%

Black 27% 71%

Upper-SES 39% 58%

College Middle 34% 64%

Non-College Middle 29% 69%

Lower-SES 23% 76%

Northeast 31% 69%

Midwest 31% 66%

South 31% 67%

West 28% 70%

Relig Weekly+ 30% 69%

Relig Few Times/Mo 28% 69%

Relig Seldom/Never 32% 66%

How much, if anything, have you heard about legislation in Congress that could trigger new sanctions on Iran?

3636

Favor Oppose0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

78%

15%

Initially, An Overwhelming Majority Favors Legislation Triggering New Sanctions If Iran Cheats On The Agreement, Fails To Negotiate A Deal Or Engages In Terrorism

Just so we are on the same page, there is legislation in the Senate sponsored by 59 Senators from both parties that would trigger new sanctions on Iran if they cheat on the terms of the current interim

agreement, fail to negotiate a final deal to eliminate their ability to make nuclear weapons, or if they are found to be involved in a

terrorist act against the United States during nuclear talks. Do you favor or oppose this legislation?

64% Strongly

10% Strongly

Favor Oppose

Democrat ID 74% 17%Independent ID 76% 15%Republican ID 83% 12%

Women 79% 13%

Men 77% 17%

18-39 80% 16%

40-59 77% 14%

60+ 77% 16%

No College 76% 16%

College Grad+ 79% 14%

White 79% 13%

Black 72% 17%

Upper-SES 81% 14%

College Middle 79% 15%

Non-College Middle 76% 15%

Lower-SES 77% 15%

Northeast 80% 16%

Midwest 77% 14%

South 76% 14%

West 79% 16%

Relig Weekly+ 76% 16%

Relig Few Times/Mo 83% 11%

Relig Seldom/Never 80% 15%

+63

3737

Series10%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

78% 80% 78% 77% 80%

15% 19%17% 13% 14%

FavorOppose

TOTAL

Support For The Legislation Is Strong Regardless Of Voters’ Familiarity With The Proposal

Favor/Oppose Legislation Triggering Sanctions By Awareness

Heard Great Deal

Heard Some

Heard Nothing

At All

Heard Not Too Much

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Opponents of the legislation say the interim agreement negotiated between the United States and Iran, and the current diplomatic process to reach a final agreement, is the best way to ensure that Iran will not develop nuclear weapons in the future, and those pushing for more sanctions on Iran are putting the country on a path to war. Part of the agreement states that no new sanctions are to be imposed while the permanent agreement is being negotiated. Therefore, new sanctions now will cause this deal to fall apart and Iran will continue developing nuclear weapons. Moreover, the United States risks losing support from our allies who made these sanctions successful. We can always restore and strengthen sanctions against Iran if things change, but we should give this agreement a chance to work first.

Supporters of the bipartisan bill say it strengthens diplomacy and increases our chances of peacefully stopping Iran. In fact, it is Congressional sanctions that finally pushed Iran into negotiations, and it is pressure that will keep them there and convince them to compromise. Given Iran’s history of lying about its nuclear program and violating agreements, Iran cannot be trusted. Their threats to walk away from talks are not new and not credible – they need a deal more than we do. Unfortunately, the “interim” agreement has too many loopholes, relieves financial pressure prematurely, and undercuts the leverage we need to end the threat of a nuclear-armed Iran. Passing legislation laying out sanctions should Iran cheat, or refuse a final agreement, balances the interim deal, supports our diplomacy and will help get a good final deal.

Voters Were Given Arguments By Both Supporters And Opponents Of Congressional Legislation

3939

Favor Oppose0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

63%

28%

After Arguments On Both Sides Of The Issue, Voters Still Favor Legislation Triggering New Sanctions By Over Two-To-One While Democrats Are A Bit Less Supportive, A Clear Majority Still Favors The LegislationAFTER VOTERS HEARD ARGUMENTS:

Now that you’ve heard arguments on both sides of the issue, do you favor or oppose this legislation triggering new

sanctions against Iran?

49% Strongly

17% Strongly

Favor Oppose

Democrat ID 55% 36%Independent ID 65% 27%Republican ID 71% 20%

Women 58% 30%

Men 69% 25%

18-39 60% 32%

40-59 67% 24%

60+ 62% 28%

No College 64% 24%

College Grad+ 63% 30%

White 64% 27%

Black 67% 22%

Upper-SES 64% 32%

College Middle 62% 28%

Non-College Middle 64% 24%

Lower-SES 64% 28%

Northeast 60% 32%

Midwest 64% 27%

South 67% 24%

West 61% 29%

Relig Weekly+ 67% 26%

Relig Few Times/Mo 71% 22%

Relig Seldom/Never 57% 34%

+35

4040

Strategic Conclusions Voters do not trust Iran and do not believe that they

will abide by their treaty commitments

Most voters favor sanctions on Iran, and few believe they should be weakened

While a majority favors the interim agreement, most would have preferred requiring Iran to dismantle its nuclear program before getting sanctions relief

Most favor legislation triggering sanctions on Iran if they cheat or fail to come to a final resolution – a majority that holds up after voters hear arguments on both sides