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BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company.Copyright © 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved. Author, , Filename.ppt | 1

COSCAP-SA Steering Committee MeetingApril 2011

Aviation Safety Challenges and Opportunities for COSCAP South Asia

Gerardo M. HuetoDeputy ChiefAviation System SafetyBoeing Commercial Airplanes

Copyright © 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved. Author, , Filename.ppt | 2

Topics of Discussion

Working Together

Worldwide Perspective

Data: Worldwide and Regional

What We Can Do: Resources and Actions

Copyright © 2007 Boeing. All rights reserved.

AssureHealthy Safety

Foundation

PromoteWorldwide Safety

Culture

Promote ProactiveRisk Management

Approach

Boeing Safety Leadership: Working together for a Safe and Efficient Global Air Transportation System today and in the future.

Safety Integration Across the Value StreamDesign Build Operation Maintenance Infrastructure Regulation> > > > >

CooperationAligned Focus

Data Driven

Sharing Knowledge


Safety Responsibilities Are SharedWe Need to Work Together to Improve Safety

Safe airplane design Safety-enhancing technology

development Flight and maintenance

operations, recommendations,documents, training, andsupport

Maintenance planning Safety-related analysis Safety initiatives

Operations policy andprocedures

Airplane/pilot publications Approved maintenance

program Maintenance, policy, and

procedures Maintenance publications Safety program Training

ManufacturersGovernments

Operators

Aviation law Operations specification Rules and regulations Inspectors policy,

procedures, and training Airline policy and

procedures requirements Safety, health, environmental

law, and regulations Navigation facilities/operations Airport facilities Departure en route, arrival,

approach policy, andprocedures

Air traffic control services Safety-related analysis

Air Safety

Safe Airplane + Safe Operation + Safe Infrastructure = Safe Air Travel


Aviation Safety: Some Perspective

Worldwide:

An airplane is landing approximately every 1.5 seconds somewhere in the world– Approximately 60,000 flights per day

More than 3 million people fly each day


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1959 1976 1993 2010 2027

Annual Hull loss accident rate, Accidents per million departures

Departures per year, Millions

Airplanes in service

2007 2027

19,000

35,800

We Need to Continuously Improve Aviation Safety…

Hull loss accidents per year

7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

0

5

10

15

20

25

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Worldwide FleetBoeing Fleet

Departures, Flight Hours, and Jet Airplanes in Service*Worldwide Operations 1990 Through 2009

152009 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JULY 2010

• 563.5 million departures since 1959 (433.3 million on Boeing airplanes)

• 993.5 million flight hours since 1959 (768.7 million on Boeing airplanes)

• There were 37 (16 Boeing) significant types built by 16 original manufacturers that contributed to the hours, departures, and fleet numbers. There are currently four manufacturers of large commercial Western-built jet airplanes.

* Certified jet airplanes greater than 60,000 pounds maximum gross weight, including those in temporary non-flying status and those in use by non-airline operators. Excluded are commercial airplanes operated in military service and CIS/USSR-manufactured airplanes.

Num

ber o

f airp

lane

s* (t

hous

ands

)A

nnua

l dep

artu

res

and

fligh

t hou

rs (m

illio

ns)

20,025

21.6

Year

Flight hoursDepartures

12,338

Year

Source: Jet Information Services, Inc.

45.6

8

0

10

20

30

40

50

59 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 090

300

600

900

1200

1500

All accident rateFatal accident rateHull loss accident rateOnboard fatalities

Accident Rates and Onboard Fatalities by YearWorldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 1959 Through 2009

Annualonboard fatalities

Annualaccident

rate (accidents per million

departures)

Year



More than 21,000 airplanes

150,000+ flight crew 200+ languages

200+ countries800+ airlines

1,350+ major airports

240,000+ maintenance personnel

Because the Aviation System Is Complex,All Parts of Industry Must Work Together

Copyright © 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved. 10

Western-built >60,000 lb transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile, 1998 through 2009

Accidents permillion departures* Data through 2006

United Statesand Canada

0.5

Latin Americaand Caribbean

2.3

Europe0.6

China0.1

Middle East2.6

Africa8.2

Asia(Excluding China)

1.6

World1.0

Oceania0.0

C.I.S.3.2*

7/2010

Accident Rates by Region of the World

11

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

LOC-I CFIT RE (Landing)+ ARC

+ USOS

UNK SCF-NP MAC RI-VAP RE (Takeoff) OTHR F-NI WSTRW FUEL RAMP SCF-PP

Fatalities by CAST/ICAO Common Taxonomy Team (CICTT) Aviation Occurrence CategoriesFatal Accidents – Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 2000 Through 2009

Number of fatal accidents (89 total)

Fatalities

External fatalities [Total 244]Onboard fatalities [Total 5001]

Note: Principal categories as assigned by CAST.

1759 (89)

504 (0)

156 (69)314 (0)

96 (1)

154 (38)122 (3)

193 (9)

1 (8) 2 (2)

961 (0)

606 (21)

ARC Abnormal Runway ContactCFIT Controlled Flight Into or Toward TerrainF-NI Fire/Smoke (Non-Impact)FUEL Fuel RelatedLOC-I Loss of Control – In flight MAC Midair/Near Midair CollisionOTHR OtherRAMP Ground HandlingRE Runway Excursion (Takeoff or Landing)RI-VAP Runway Incursion – Vehicle, Aircraft or PersonSCF-NP System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Non-Powerplant)SCF-PP System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Powerplant)UNK Unknown or UndeterminedUSOS Undershoot/OvershootWSTRW Windshear or Thunderstorm

No accidents were noted in the following principal categories:ADRM AerodromeAMAN Abrupt ManeuverATM Air Traffic Management/Communications, Navigation, SurveillanceBIRD Bird CABIN Cabin Safety EventsEVAC EvacuationF-POST Fire/Smoke (Post-Impact)GCOL Ground CollisionICE IcingLALT Low Altitude OperationsLOC-G Loss of Control – GroundRI-A Runway Incursion – AnimalSEC Security RelatedTURB Turbulence Encounter

For a complete description go to: http://www.intlaviationstandards.org/

110 (4)

23 (0)

External fatalitiesOnboard fatalities

16 16 4 3 5 4 120 912 332


12

0

100

200

300

400

CFIT RE-Landing +ARC + USOS

LOC-I OTHR RAMP RI-VAP FUEL SCF-NP

Accidents by CAST/ICAO Common Taxonomy Team (CICTT) Aviation Occurrence CategoriesHull Loss and Fatal Accidents by Airline Domicile–SA COSCAP Commercial Jet Fleet 1989 Through 2008

Number of hull loss and or Fatal accidents (20 total)

5 2 25

296 (0)

59 (10)

Fatalities

External fatalities [Total 12]Onboard fatalities [Total 448]

92 (0)

1 (0)

ARC Abnormal Runway ContactCFIT Controlled Flight Into or Toward TerrainFUEL Fuel Related LOC-I Loss of Control – In flight OTHR OtherRAMP Ground HandlingRE Runway ExcursionRI-VAP Runway Incursion – Vehicle, Aircraft or PersonSCF-NP System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Non-Powerplant)USOS Undershoot/Overshoot

No accidents were noted in the following principal categories:ADRM Aerodrome AMAN Abrupt Maneuver ATM Air Traffic Management/Communications, Navigation, Surveillance CABIN Cabin Safety Events EVAC Evacuation F-NI Fire/Smoke (Non-Impact) F-POST Fire/Smoke (Post-Impact) GCOL Ground Collision ICE Icing LALT Low Altitude Operations LOC-G Loss of Control – Ground MAC Midair/Near Midair CollisionRI-A Runway Incursion – AnimalSCF-PP System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Powerplant) SEC Security Related TURB Turbulence Encounter UNK Unknown or Undetermined WSTRW Windshear or Thunderstorm

For a complete description go to: http://www.intlaviationstandards.org/

External fatalitiesOnboard fatalities

Note: Principal categories as assigned by CAST.Dec, 2009

1 1

0 (1) 0 (1)

1 3

0 (0) 0 (0)


Addressing the Regional Safety Risk

Accident rates and numbers of fatalities differ dramatically in different regions of the world

We know how to prevent many of the types of accidents occurring today

Efforts to improve safety have been most successful when industry and government have worked together

Better use and coordination of industry and government resources can dramatically reduce these kinds of accidents

Best results are attained when efforts are well coordinated


Global Aviation Safety Roadmap

Industry and ICAO committed to unify plans through the Roadmap

Developed by the Industry Safety Strategy Group for ICAO


2005: ISSG formed, ICAO forms working group to update Plan and integrate the Roadmap into the Plan

2006: Roadmap published

2007: New Global Aviation Safety Plan (based on GASR) approved by the ICAO Assembly

2010: 37th ICAO Assembly in Montreal approves changes to the GASP:

… but said it should be done “in parallel and harmony with the Global Aviation Safety Roadmap (GASR)” …

… with a suggested completion date of December 2011…

… States should work with all stakeholders to implement the GASP objectives and GASR methodology

2011: ISSG and ICAO working on GASP/GASR updates

Global Aviation Safety Plan


Coordination with CAST ISSG and CAST working together in GASR/GASP implementation

– Recognized joint role for global aviation safety

CAST currently participating in all GASR workshops and ISSG meetings

GASR and CAST are highly complementary– GASR is largely a high-level strategic tool, aimed at building processes and

programs, even where none exist– CAST provides more tactical (or intervention-specific) tools, more suitable for

mature systems and operations

Within all regions of the world and even within individual countries, among air carriers, there is often a breadth of maturity and capability.

Combining GASR and CAST principles and processes at our collaborative workshops provides a synergy and range of options and opportunities for safety enhancement


Conclusions

Commercial air travel is extraordinarily safe, but improvements must continue to be made

Not all areas or environments of the world are the same — we need to use facts, data, and continuing insight to focus appropriate improvement efforts

Improving safety is a shared responsibility of the manufacturers, the airline operators, and Government/State authorities. It will take willingness and commitment to make it happen

Growth of commercial aviation in ASIA presents significant challenges and opportunities

COSCAP regional safety teams and similar safety organizations can help to reduce accident risk


Actions

Implement the approved SA COSCAP CAST Safety Enhancements to reduce fatality risk

Measure implementation levels and effectiveness of processes and procedures already put in place

Implement the Global Aviation Safety Roadmap (GASR)

Identify existing gaps and take action to improve

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