tnc 2008 brugges, belgium the tower and the cloud: tomorrow’s network for tomorrow’s university...
TRANSCRIPT
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
The Tower and the Cloud:
Tomorrow’s Network for Tomorrow’s University
Richard N. Katz Vice President EDUCAUSE
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Our Concern, Since 1969
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Our Magnificent Success:Importance of the Network
4.32
3.643.34 3.35
4.52
3.96 3.963.78
4.39
3.93
3.57 3.50
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Research in Scienceand Engineering
Research in OtherDisciplines
Creative Activity Teaching andLearning
Mea
n C
hang
e in
Impo
rtanc
e
United States (N=112) Europe (N=27) Australia/New Zealand (N=28)
Scale: 1=no importance, 2=minor importance, 3=moderate importance, 4=high importance, 5=very high importance
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Our Concern, Starting Now?
Human Psychology
The Economy
Society
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Accelerating Change “We live in a moment of
history where change is so speeded up that we begin to see the present only when it is already disappearing.”
R.D. Laing
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Question
Are we building tomorrow’s technology for yesterday’s world? (or yesterday’s university?)
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
The World, c. 2008
• Flat• Accelerating Change
– Radically Changing Demographics
– Geopolitics– Rise of Personal Power– Knowledge-driven Era– Information Wars
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Higher Education, c. 2008
• Shift from public good to private investment
• Rising costs• Increasing pressures on
revenues• Increasing pressures to
account for student success and institutional performance
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Higher Education, c. 2008
• Democratization of access to university and its resources
• Increasing competition for– talent (staff and students)– funds– influence
• Balkanization– private v. public– elite v. mass education– research v. all others
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Higher Education, c. 2008
• Increasing importance of higher education– Wealth of nations– Mobility of citizens
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
The Cloud, c. 2008• Continued improvement
in price-performance• 1,000,000,000 on the
network• Widespread access to
broadband networks• Much content is digital
and is reasonably accessible** But a war is brewing over
IP rights* Not if you are a humanities
scholar!
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
The Cloud, c. 2008
• The network really is the computer
• Emergence of the Net Gen collegiate– Some continue to be shut
out
• Web 2.0 is a social phenomenon
• Digital environments begin to simulate real ones
• A real revolution in scientific research
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Questions
How is the (Internet) cloud growing to envelop the University?
How is the University using the cloud to extend its presence?
How does ‘cloudiness’ alter the form of our social institutions?
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Shifting Balance of Power
– politics of (information)
scarcity v. politics of abundance
– from individual to collective?
– from teacher to learner?– from expert to amateur?– from institution to ???
Trends
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Rising Consumerism• Flattening enrollments
mean rising choice for some
• ‘Net Gen’ Students/
‘Helicopter’ parents • Club ‘Mid’• Jobs, jobs, jobs• The real and the
virtual
Trends
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
The Rise of ‘Truthiness’
• Moral anchor is missing• Partially solvable in
middleware• Partially solvable in tools• Partially solvable in the
evolution and transmission of scholarly values and skills in the digital context
Trends
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Emergence of the Collective
• Wikipedia• Seti@home• TASS
– Mapping the night sky
• Citizen journalism• Social tagging• ‘American Idolization’ of
Everything• Wikiversity
Trends
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
And Technology Keeps Rollin’
“Exponential growth looks like nothing is happening, until it explodes.”
Trends
Ray Kurzweil
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
• we do not serve all who can learn• we have not made higher education more efficient• we have not yet transformed learning
Dilemmas
The context of IT ≠ the context of higher education
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dGCJ46vyR9o
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium Dilemmas
Really Neat IT ≠ Student Engagement and Success
• High rates of attrition• Evidence of declining
engagement• High needs for
remediation (USA)• Equivocal evidence about
the economic benefits of postsecondary education
• The vanishing male student
• The vanishing student
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Everything Digital, Everyone Online, ≠ Privatizing Knowledge
• Consolidating media
conglomerates• DMCA in USA• Googlization of the
academic library
Dilemmas
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Really Neat IT ≠ Great Teaching
Dilemmas
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
And Yet Great IT = Great Research!
• In silico simulation has become the 3rd leg of scientific research
• Research productivity has demonstrably improved
• Research has been truly globalized
Possibilities
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Question
What vision, metaphor, or vision will define our boundaries and inspire our reach?
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Cloudy FutureSchool of Athens?
Guiding Metaphor
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Cloudy FutureThe Log College?
Guiding Metaphor
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Cloudy FutureThe Student Free University?
Guiding Metaphor
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Cloudy FutureMurdoch University?
Guiding Metaphor
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Cloudy FutureThe Library without Walls?
Guiding Metaphor
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Cloudy FutureThe Co-Laboratory?
University of Melbourne-UC San Diego OptiportalGuiding Metaphor
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Cloudy FutureVirtual U?
Guiding Metaphor
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
Questions to Frame our Next Steps
What is the ‘idea’ of the university?
What is the institution really trying to do?
What does the institution really need to do well to manifest its intent?
What are the information infrastructure, environment, and services that will enable (or drive) this?
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
More Specifically• Do we have a strategy and an infrastructure to manage
(discover, engage, attract, develop …) talent?• How do we re-think scholarly collections to promote
scholarly literacy, engagement, communication, and citizenship?
• What kind of influence does the university wish to exert on world affairs? How will IT influence ‘presence’?
• How do we construct collaborative environments that extend the university’s footprint?
• Can we create and maintain the web of robust networks (to people, to data, to instruments, etc)? Can we share services in ways that can truly lower the cost of education?
• Do our policies and incentives reinforce what our infrastructure, services and resources enable?
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
In Sum
IT has gotten better. So good in fact, it
allows us to change things. Profoundly.
IT allows others to change things as well,
making our task more urgent and more
complex. In the next decade, the modern
university is likely to be less a place, than an
idea instantiated in architecture – real and
virtual.
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
In Sum
Our challenge is less technical and more oneof institutional purpose, adaptability, and will. The needs of our stakeholders are changing. Soon virtual environments to support learningand discovery will rival and surpass ‘built’ ones, in certain cases. The successful university of the future will know its values, have clarity of purpose,and an IT capacity to reflect and extend thosevalues and purposes globally.
TNC 2008 Brugges, Belgium
A Concluding Question (that is prologue)
“Information technology is embedded in, and used by, institutions that have a history… IT will cut its own channels, leading to the creation of institutions that differ from those of today; institutions where the weight of historydoes not condition and constrain IT’s use.”
Martin Trow, inDaedelus, Fall, 1997
“...technology is not something that happens to us.It is something we create. We must not confuse a tool with a goal. We must, therefore, be sure that technology serves the fundamental purposes of higher education."
Stanley N. Katz, in "In IT, Don't Mistake a Tool for a Goal"