tobacco policy analysis revisetabaco policyd

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    ProblemDefinition

    Policiesand

    Methods of Analysis

    Stake-holders/Politics

    History of the Issue

    Policy Formulation What can we do?

    Policy Implementation How do we make it work

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    I m pl e m

    e n t a t i on

    ImpedimentsTactical Plan

    IdentifyIssues

    Stakeholder Frames

    ProblemDefinitionPolicyInstruments

    Cast of Characters

    Identify theOptions

    AnalyticMethods

    Analyst'sFrame

    HistoricalWhy, How

    CurrentConditions

    DecisionMakers

    InfluenceBrokers

    Definition of Needed Change

    Definition of Options &Means

    Definition of Constituency

    Definition of Strategy

    Evaluation of

    The Policy-Making Process

    An al y s i s

    Identification of Impediments

    NegotiationsRegulation Legislation

    Enforcement

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    Problem Definition

    Issue Identification and Knowledge Base Lung and heart disease

    Evidence400,000 + deaths per year attributable to Tobacco

    Addiction Young smokers Intentional nicotine blending

    Industry knowledge When (early)

    What (everything)Current Conditions

    Political and Popular movement against tobacco Increasing fear of Cancer

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    Definition of Needed Change

    Kessler Proposal Prohibit sales to < 18 yr olds Prohibit sales in vending machines Prohibit free samples

    Prohibit brand name advertising at sporting events Prohibit advertising on clothing, tote bags, etc Prohibit any advertising within 1000 feet of a school Require any advertising to be black and white text Make distributors responsible for under age sales

    Create a $150 million fund for anti-smoking

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    Policy Instruments

    Analysts frame Federal and State Public Health official

    Analytic methods available Epidemiology

    Health Causation: HypothesisIf you are a smoker you have a higher than normal probability youwill die of respiratory cancer or heart disease

    Economic Costs: HypothesisSmoking is a societal ill. Persons who smoke place an unacceptablyhigh burden on society in terms of loss of productivity and increased

    medical care requirements

    Rationale for Action FDA job description

    Interpretation or fact?

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    Definition of the Means

    Legal -- State and Federal CourtsAdministrative -- Issue regulatory orders

    Assume the authority exists

    Legislative -- Propose a change in the lawNegotiation -- Bring all the parties to the tablePolitical -- Create an alliance with the PresidentPress -- Feed the media with consumable science

    Inertia -- do nothing and let the process go forwardon its own momentum

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    Cast of Characters

    On side of greater regulation Stakeholders

    Health Community Families of dead and dying smokers

    Academic / Scientific Community (truth ) Some members of Congress

    Tax revenues

    Decision makers Some members of Congress

    Influence Brokers The President Ex senator Goldwater

    Why? Bastion of the ultra conservative right

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    Cast of Characters

    On side of the Tobacco Industry Stakeholders

    Tobacco Companies Smokers (tax)

    Advertising Companies Convenience Store Owners Billboard Owners Some members of Congress

    Tobacco States

    Contributions Decision makers

    Some members of Congress Influence Brokers

    Some members of Congress

    Specific members of the Scientific Community

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    Definition / Evaluation of Impediments

    Tobacco $ and legal expertiseInsufficient fundsAbility to remain at FDA

    Kessler specifically

    Congressional resistanceLegal / administrative basis for position

    FDA does / does not have the authority

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    Development of Strategy

    Attack the industry from as many sides as possible Continuous harassment

    Move as though the agency has the authority andthe resources to enforce it

    Force them onto your playing field

    Develop a coherent policy position on actionsrequired of the industry

    Get them down and then kick them while they are down

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    Tactical Plan

    Define required response by industry and assurethat their actions are monitorable and enforceablewithin the resource base (or expected resourcebase) of the Agency

    Support (intellectually not financially) plaintiff suits against the industryProvide information to the mediaSway the influence brokers, particularly the

    President

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    Negotiation / Regulation /Legislation

    Negotiate Move toward most acceptable position with industry

    Legislation Write / assist in writing any required change in laws

    Regulation Write the rules to be implemented and be certain that they are

    enforceable

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    Enforcement

    If all in the industry were to get together and notperform as agreed

    Anti-Trust Triple damages! RICOH (anti racketeering)

    Further control as a drug Single Player

    Fines (large) Imprisonment of executives (unpleasant)

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