tobacco policy analysis revisetabaco policyd
TRANSCRIPT
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ProblemDefinition
Policiesand
Methods of Analysis
Stake-holders/Politics
History of the Issue
Policy Formulation What can we do?
Policy Implementation How do we make it work
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I m pl e m
e n t a t i on
ImpedimentsTactical Plan
IdentifyIssues
Stakeholder Frames
ProblemDefinitionPolicyInstruments
Cast of Characters
Identify theOptions
AnalyticMethods
Analyst'sFrame
HistoricalWhy, How
CurrentConditions
DecisionMakers
InfluenceBrokers
Definition of Needed Change
Definition of Options &Means
Definition of Constituency
Definition of Strategy
Evaluation of
The Policy-Making Process
An al y s i s
Identification of Impediments
NegotiationsRegulation Legislation
Enforcement
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Problem Definition
Issue Identification and Knowledge Base Lung and heart disease
Evidence400,000 + deaths per year attributable to Tobacco
Addiction Young smokers Intentional nicotine blending
Industry knowledge When (early)
What (everything)Current Conditions
Political and Popular movement against tobacco Increasing fear of Cancer
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Definition of Needed Change
Kessler Proposal Prohibit sales to < 18 yr olds Prohibit sales in vending machines Prohibit free samples
Prohibit brand name advertising at sporting events Prohibit advertising on clothing, tote bags, etc Prohibit any advertising within 1000 feet of a school Require any advertising to be black and white text Make distributors responsible for under age sales
Create a $150 million fund for anti-smoking
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Policy Instruments
Analysts frame Federal and State Public Health official
Analytic methods available Epidemiology
Health Causation: HypothesisIf you are a smoker you have a higher than normal probability youwill die of respiratory cancer or heart disease
Economic Costs: HypothesisSmoking is a societal ill. Persons who smoke place an unacceptablyhigh burden on society in terms of loss of productivity and increased
medical care requirements
Rationale for Action FDA job description
Interpretation or fact?
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Definition of the Means
Legal -- State and Federal CourtsAdministrative -- Issue regulatory orders
Assume the authority exists
Legislative -- Propose a change in the lawNegotiation -- Bring all the parties to the tablePolitical -- Create an alliance with the PresidentPress -- Feed the media with consumable science
Inertia -- do nothing and let the process go forwardon its own momentum
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Cast of Characters
On side of greater regulation Stakeholders
Health Community Families of dead and dying smokers
Academic / Scientific Community (truth ) Some members of Congress
Tax revenues
Decision makers Some members of Congress
Influence Brokers The President Ex senator Goldwater
Why? Bastion of the ultra conservative right
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Cast of Characters
On side of the Tobacco Industry Stakeholders
Tobacco Companies Smokers (tax)
Advertising Companies Convenience Store Owners Billboard Owners Some members of Congress
Tobacco States
Contributions Decision makers
Some members of Congress Influence Brokers
Some members of Congress
Specific members of the Scientific Community
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Definition / Evaluation of Impediments
Tobacco $ and legal expertiseInsufficient fundsAbility to remain at FDA
Kessler specifically
Congressional resistanceLegal / administrative basis for position
FDA does / does not have the authority
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Development of Strategy
Attack the industry from as many sides as possible Continuous harassment
Move as though the agency has the authority andthe resources to enforce it
Force them onto your playing field
Develop a coherent policy position on actionsrequired of the industry
Get them down and then kick them while they are down
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Tactical Plan
Define required response by industry and assurethat their actions are monitorable and enforceablewithin the resource base (or expected resourcebase) of the Agency
Support (intellectually not financially) plaintiff suits against the industryProvide information to the mediaSway the influence brokers, particularly the
President
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Negotiation / Regulation /Legislation
Negotiate Move toward most acceptable position with industry
Legislation Write / assist in writing any required change in laws
Regulation Write the rules to be implemented and be certain that they are
enforceable
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Enforcement
If all in the industry were to get together and notperform as agreed
Anti-Trust Triple damages! RICOH (anti racketeering)
Further control as a drug Single Player
Fines (large) Imprisonment of executives (unpleasant)
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