tony baker results global grassroots webinar september 9 th , 2012
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From Broken Promise to Public Success: A Webinar on the World Bank’s 2010 Pledge to Basic Education. Tony Baker RESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar September 9 th , 2012. Tonight’s story: Global basic education before the World Bank’s 2010 pledge The World Bank’s pledge - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
From Broken Promise to Public Success:
A Webinar on the World Bank’s 2010 Pledge to Basic Education
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
Tonight’s story:Global basic education before the World Bank’s 2010 pledgeThe World Bank’s pledgeGlobal basic education after the beginning of pledge implementationAnd now what.
Main characters:World BankInternational Development Association (IDA)Global Partnership for Education (GPE, formerly the Education for All – Fast Track Initiative)
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
What was happening in 2010?
a 220% increase
a 9% decrease
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
What was happening in 2010?
a 353% increase
a 1% increase
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
What was happening in 2010?
down2%
down18%
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
Enter the 2010 Pledge
“[T]oday I am proud to announce that the Bank’s International Development Association (IDA), our Fund for the Poorest, will increase grants and zero interest loans for basic education by an additional $750 million over the next five years to 2015. This represents about a 40% increase in our basic education lending over the past five years for the poorest countries. These additional resources will be targeted toward countries that are off-track to reach the education MDGs by 2015, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. In order to yield the highest impact, the Bank will seek to leverage these additional IDA funds to support low-income countries that receive financing from the Education for All Fast Track Initiative.”
— Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala,former Senior Managing Director of the World Bank,
New York, September 20, 2010
POP QUIZ!
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
“[T]oday I am proud to announce that the Bank’s International Development Association (IDA), our Fund for the Poorest, will increase grants and zero interest loans for basic education by an additional $750 million over the next five years to 2015. This represents about a 40% increase in our basic education lending over the past five years for the poorest countries.”
— Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, New York, September 20, 2010
Question 1How much money does the pledge commit IDA to delivery to basic education from 2011 to 2015?
Hint: Basic education lending over the previous five years (2006-2010) for the poorest countries (IDA countries) was $4,891 million.
Answer:Pledge = “a 40% increase in our basic education lending over the past five years for the poorest countries”Pledge = $4,891mil + (40% x $4,891mil)Pledge = $4,891mil + (0.4 x $4,891mil)Pledge = $4,891mil + $1,956.4milPledge = $6,847.4 million
Pledge ≈ $6.8 billion
POP QUIZ!“[T]oday I am proud to announce that the Bank’s International Development Association (IDA), our Fund for the Poorest, will increase grants and zero interest loans for basic education by an additional $750 million over the next five years to 2015. This represents about a 40% increase in our basic education lending over the past five years for the poorest countries.”
— Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, New York, September 20, 2010
Question 2
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
What is the annual baseline for the pledge to increase grants and zero interest loans for basic education by an additional $750 million from 2011-2015?
Hint: Remember the answer to Question 1?Answer:
Pledge = “an additional $750 million over the next five years to 2015”Pledge ≈ $6.8 billion
“an additional $750 million over the next five years to 2015” ≈ $6.8 billion(annual baseline x 5 years) + $750 million ≈ $6.8 billion(annual baseline x 5 years) + $750 million ≈ $6,800 million(annual baseline x 5 years) + $750 million ≈ $6,800 million(annual baseline x 5 years) ≈ $6,050 millionannual baseline ≈ $1,210 million
Annual baseline ≈ $1.2 billion
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
A Cause for Celebration!
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
One year later…
—UN Millennium Development Goals Summit, Tokyo, June 2011
A few weeks later…
And then…
—GPE Pledging Report, November 2011
Oh and then…
—World Bank website: “The World Bank and Education - The Facts”, November 2011
Shortfall means $1 billion will need to be made up over
next 4 years
Pledge target
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
One year later…
Original baseline:$1.2 billion
Revised baseline:$742 million
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
What’s the difference?
Original pledge's minimum commitment
Revised pledge's minimum commitment
A $2.3 billion cut(Original pledge ($6.8 billion) vs.
Revised pledge ($4.5 billion)A $2.3 billion cut
(Original pledge ($6.8 billion) vs.
Revised pledge ($4.5 billion)
$107 million per year decrease
(Starting at FY10 levels, the Bank can reduce IDA basic education funding
by $107 every year and still meet pledge)$107 million per year decrease
(Starting at FY10 levels, the Bank can reduce IDA basic education funding
by $107 every year and still meet pledge)
A 9% decrease(Previous 5 years (2006-2010) vs. 5 years of pledge (2011-2015)—which
was supposed to be a 40% increase according to the original pledge)A 9% decrease(Previous 5 years (2006-2010) vs. 5 years of pledge (2011-2015)—which
was supposed to be a 40% increase according to the original pledge)
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
What’s happening in 2012?
Sub-Saharan Africa: Worse2001-2010: 9% decrease2003-2012: 57% decrease
GPE countries: Worse2001-2010: 1% decrease2003-2012: 32% decrease
Sub-Saharan GPE countries: Worse2001-2010: 18% decrease2003-2012: 48% decrease
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
How to Turn a $6.8 Billion Pledge into a $4.5 Billion Pledge into a $3.1 Billion Pledge
$403 million+ $1,502 million+ $1,172 million
$3,077 million = “0% left to reach pledge”
Anything over $742 million per year is going into the “additional $750 million” pot. By this pledge-tracking method, if in FY11 IDA lending for basic education had totaled $1.5 billion (i.e., $758 million over the $742 million baseline), the pledge would have been met in the first year with just $1.5 billion.
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
What now?
Take it to the top—Dr. Jim Yong Kim
Media action—Op-eds, letters to the editor, editorialsFor media tools, visit: www.results.org/results_blog/
Media TrainingThursday, September 20th, 9pmhttp://www.results.org/events/events-calendar/
Tony BakerRESULTS Global Grassroots Webinar
September 9th, 2012
THANK YOU
Together we can make things right!