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Tools For A Successful Business In ASEAN – What The Future Will Bring
Vienna, Austria
December 5, 2017
A Business Case Study in an Emerging Economy
A Crucial Part of ASEAN
The Next Big Investment MarketASEAN
Outline
The Philippines
Rustan’s
Opportunities, Risks & Parting WordsConclusion
A Business Case Study in an Emerging Economy
A Crucial Part of ASEAN
The Next Big Investment MarketASEAN
Outline
The Philippines
Rustan’s
Opportunities, Risks & Parting WordsConclusion
ASEAN: Political, economic bloc organized to promote economic growth and stability among its members
ASEAN: Fast Facts
In 2006: ASEAN-10 In 2016: ASEAN-10
Population: 567 million Population: 634 million
Land: 4,326 thousand km2 Land: 4,326 thousand km2
Life expectancy: 70 years Life expectancy: 71 years
GDP/Capita (current prices): US$1,895 GDP/Capita (current prices): US$4,021
Trade: US$ 1,404,806 million Trade: US$ 2,218,534 million
*Average growth rate GDP per capita is 7%
Growth will not just be driven by China
and India, but also by ASEAN
ASEAN is a CHOICE DESTINATION for
international investors and
businesses
India7.8%
China 6.0%
ASEAN5.1%
South Korea3.0%
Australia2.9%
Japan0.5%
EU1.7%
US1.9%
Taiwan2.2%
Population Pyramid
Declining and older population Young and growing population
EUROPE
0,0%
0,2%
0,5%
1,0%
1,4%
1,8%
2,5%
3,0%
3,4%
3,6%
3,4%
3,5%
3,5%
3,6%
3,4%
2,8%
2,5%
2,6%
2,8%
2,7%
0,0%
0,1%
0,5%
1,0%
1,3%
2,1%
2,3%
3,0%
3,5%
3,7%
3,7%
3,5%
3,5%
3,5%
3,5%
3,2%
2,7%
2,4%
2,5%
2,6%
2,6%
6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0%
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
Male Female
2017POP: 739,207,742
0,0%
0,0%
0,1%
0,3%
0,5%
0,7%
1,1%
1,8%
2,3%
2,8%
3,2%
3,5%
3,7%
3,9%
4,0%
4,3%
4,3%
4,3%
4,4%
4,6%
0,0%
0,0%
0,1%
0,2%
0,4%
0,6%
0,9%
1,3%
1,9%
2,4%
2,9%
3,2%
3,5%
3,8%
4,0%
4,0%
4,2%
4,1%
4,1%
4,2%
4,4%
6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0%
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
2017
ASEANPOP: 739,207,742
Male Female
Ease of Doing Business
Source: World Bank Doing Business
TOP 10 COUNTRIES 2017 2010
New Zealand 1 2
Singapore 2 1
Denmark 3 6
Korea, Rep. 4 9
United States - New York City 5 4
Hong Kong SAR, China 6 3
United States 7
Norway 8 8
United Kingdom 9 5
Macedonia, FYR 10 57
ASEAN COUNTRIES 2017 2010
Malaysia 25 20
Thailand 55 27
Vietnam 81 96
Brunei Darussalam 85 88
Indonesia - Jakarta 87 113
Indonesia 90
Indonesia - Surabaya 95
Philippines 122 125
Cambodia 150 137
Lao PDR 158 146
Myanmar 191
Rapid Urbanization
Number ASEAN Cities
5 megacities (pop >10M)
4 large cities (pop 5M-10M)
20 medium cities (pop 1M-5M)
21 small cities (pop 500K to 1M)
Why ASEAN is the Next Big Market
Young, vibrant population and a growing middle class Demographic and
Social Changes
High urbanization rates offering concentrated critical mass of consumers to businesses
Rapid Urbanization
Becoming more business - friendly and dynamic places to do business
Opening Up to Investors
A Business Case Study in an Emerging Economy
A Crucial Part of ASEAN
The Next Big Investment MarketASEAN
Outline
The Philippines
Rustan’s
Opportunities, Risks & Parting WordsConclusion
The Philippines: Fast Facts
Second largest archipelago in the world with 7,107 islands
Emerging economy with GDP at US$ 305 Billion
Third largest English speaking country in the world
Rich history combining Asian, European, & American influences
Social networking capital of the world
Large, growing population of over 103 M
Active trading relations with China, Japan, India, Arabia, and Indonesia
Prehistoric men from Mainland Asia and Austronesia move to inhabit the islands
Pre-Historic Period25,000 BC to 200 BC
Independent republic defining its own identity by drawing from its rich history
Nearly 50 years under the American regime saw American influence permeate the society
(education, constitutional democracy, English as a second language, etc.)
Thriving indigenous civilization with system of government, religion, and art, showing strong Malay and Hindu influences
Pre-Colonial Period200 BC to 1000 AD
Barter Period1000 to 1500
Spanish Colonial Rule1521 to 1898
Over 300 years under the Spanish era saw the introduction of Christianity, public education, Galleon trades, and a longing for independence
American Colonial Rule1899 to 1946
Post Colonial /Modern 1946 to Present
Melting Pot of Cultures
Rich history resulted in a
unique marriage of
different cultures
Enduring Traditional Values
Resilient - Smiles amidst great difficulties
Makes the best out of bad situations and circumstances
Religious and family oriented
Hospitable and a fun-loving people
Flexible, adaptable, and creative
Filipino Modern Day Values
New middle class
sensibilities
Educated and Tech Savvy
• Dual income household (OFW family, BPO)
• Marries late
• 3 kids or less
• Heavy social media use
• Interconnected
• Likes to socialize online and offline
• Know his/her rightsand entitlements
• Demands attention and service
• Vents on social media
Aspires for the good life
• Status seeker
• Increasingsophistication (wants quality, not just low price)
• Readily helps others
• Cares for the environment
• Mindful of health
Socially and Self Aware
Vocal, Demanding
• Global traveler (largely for work as an OFW)
• Able to relate and work well with othercultures
Globally Connected
Strong Affinity to Europe
PHP-EU trade reached US$13.2 Billion in 2016
90% is with 9 EU member states
34% GERMANY
18% NETHERLANDS
11% FRANCE
8% UNITED KINGDOM
7% ITALY
4% BELGIUM
4% SPAIN
14% OTHERSAustria, Poland, Hungary, Denmark, Finland, Czech Rep., Sweden
28.8% of new brand entrants are Western retailers, particularly
from UK, France, and Italy
Infrastructure
Retail Brands
Agricultural
Manufacturing
Products
Strong Affinity to Austria
Labor About 30,000
Filipinos in Austria, 90% nurses
Trade PH-AT trade reached
€210 Milin 2016
InvestmentsIn 2015, about
€250 Mil investments from
Austria
Some of the Companies / Brands Present in the Philippines
Waagner Biro, since 1999, has built a total of 437 bridges in the Philippines
The Philippines: Ripe for Investment
GDP Growth of
at least 6% : among Asia’s best
performing economy
in the last 5 years.
Globally
competitive with
cost of doing business
relatively low.
Investment
Destination of
global brands in
retail & service in
the last 5 years.
Consumption
Driven, with a
growing middle and
affluent class.
Growth has exceeded 6% for a ninth consecutive quarter
Bullish EconomyOne of Asia’s fastest growing economy, with GDP growth of at least 6% in the last five years
Highly resilient and insulated from global economic downturns
75% of Economy from Household Consumption
$27 B in Remittances from Overseas Filipinos
$25 B in Revenues from BPO Call Center Capital of the World
Philippines Malaysia Indonesia Thailand Singapore
Y 2013 7.1 4.7 5.6 2.7 5.0
Y 2014 6.1 6.0 5.0 0.9 3.6
Y 2015 6.1 5.0 4.9 2.9 1.9
Y 2016 6.9 4.2 5.0 3.2 2.0
Taiwan
2.2
4.0
0.7
1.5
Vietnam
5.4
6.0
6.7
6.2
Bullish Economy
Sovereign investment grade ratings, strong economic fundamentals, and a reform-driven government point to long-term economic stability
Vibrant Retail Sector
Retail industry growing by 6%,
fuelled by strong consumer
demand and rising incomes
Vibrant Retail Sector
Global expansion destination of
hundreds of foreign brands since 2008
HISTORICAL GROWTH OF NEW FOREIGN BRANDS BY RETAIL TYPE
Additional 113 new foreign brands in
the past two years
Large Consumer Base12th most populous country in the world, with a very large base of young, working, and aspirational customers
Millenials alone number more than 35 million
31%
35%
17%
11%
6%
Genera onZ(14andbelow)
Millennials(15-35yo)
Genera onX(36-50yo)
BabyBoomers(51-64yo)
Seniors(66+)
Philippine Millennials Profile
• Aspirational in spending
• Politically and socially-engaged
• 70% active on social media
• Spends time online• have the latest apps• watch the latest TV series
• Career-shifters
Conducive Business Environment
Retail rents among the cheapest in Asia Pacific
Large pool of relatively cheap, educated workforce, with a strongcustomer centric culture, andexcellent work ethics
Universal cultural adaptation, with a strong affinity for Western cultures
Asia Pacific Shopping Center Rents
Ave. Rent
Q4 2016
(USD per yr)
Hong Kong Central 15,294
Sydney CBD 5,756
Shanghai West Nanjing 4,303
Singapore Orchard 3,990
Mumbai Prime South 1,316
Jakarta CBD 680
Bangkok Central 640
Manila Makati CBD 568
Source: Jones Lang LaSalle
Conducive Business Environment
Regional hub for logistics. Critical entry point for South East and East Asia
Government committed to investing andupgrading public infrastructure
Stable banking system and market-oriented policies
Deregulated industries such as banking, energy, insurance, shipping, telecommunications, and retail trade
Preferential tax rates and holidays for companies located in Special Economic Zones
Excellent living standards for expatriates
Underserved Sectors
REALITIES
AGRICULTURE1 MANUFACTURING2
INFRASTRUCTURE4 INFORMATION & COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY3
• Philippines is an agricultural country as half of the citizens still lives in rural area
• Contributed 9.6% to 2016 GDP• Lowest agricultural exports among ASEAN-6• Lacks service support to
farmers and fishermen
• Contributed 19.6% to 2016 GDP• Manufacturing although growing remains small
compared to ASEAN neighbors• Limitation on foreign ownership
• Philippine economy is beingdampened by slow infra-structure development
• Lags behind ASEAN communities• Scored 3.4 out of 7 in overall infrastructure. 7th
place in ASEAN
• Second slowest internet speed in Asia Pacific
• Limited cell site towers• Lacks ICT program in rural areas
Underserved Sectors
GROWTH
OPPORTUNITIES
AGRICULTURE1 MANUFACTURING2
INFRASTRUCTURE4 INFORMATION & COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY3
• Financing and Incentives for farmers• Technology• Improved logistics & integration in the supply
chain• Irrigation• Postharvest facilities
• Public-Private Partnership • Revised government rules
and regulations
•Possible foreign telecommunications players
• Fixed connectivity network• New cell sites• Improved program in rural areas
• Revitalized automotive sector• Shift to higher value added sectors like machinery
and equipment • New sectors like plastics
recycling
A Business Case Study in an Emerging Economy
A Crucial Part of ASEAN
The Next Big Investment MarketASEAN
Outline
The Philippines
Rustan’s
Opportunities, Risks & Parting WordsConclusion
Case study of a successful luxury retail conglomerate in a developing country
“Serving only the finest”
Our Roots and How We Evolved
Founded in 1952 by Benny and Glecy Tantoco
Started as a very small trading operation
First trip abroad unexpectedly became a buying trip
Literally selling merchandise to friends from suitcases
Evolved into a department store selling softlines
First their living room, then eventually the whole house became a store
Amb. Bienvenido R. Tantoco, Sr. & Ms. Gliceria R. Tantoco, Founders of Rustan’s
San Marcelino,
Ermita Manila Store
(1952)
L-R: Rustan’s Makati (1962) & Rustan’s Shangri-la (1991)
Amb. Bienvenido Tantoco & Gliceria Tantoco with Lanvin and Dior
Principals
Founding vision was to offer basics with aspirational quality
Rustan’s eventually become a luxury store and destination for international brands
Dominant Position in the High-end Sector
Core competence in merchandising and brand management
Best in class customer service
More focused on retail than most of our competitors
Home of the world’s premier cosmetics, fashion, jewelry and accessories, and home brands
Partner of choice of top international luxury brands with its unmatched know-how of the luxury business
From a department store operation, the company has diversified into other retail formats that cater to the evolving lifestyle demands of the Filipino customer
The only luxury department store chain in the Philippines
Wholesale nationwide multi-channel distribution
Leading specialty retailer of international lifestyle brands
Pioneer in the grocery shopping industry
Philippine franchisee of Starbucksrustancoffee
Duty-free shopping
Success Factors or Tools
• Commitment to Quality
• Higher purpose beyond making money
• Focus on loyaltyCustomers
Employees
• Lead and excite our marketplace
• Innovation also entails process improvement
Vision: Deliver Quality for All
• Customer: Understand and fulfill their life and lifestyle aspirations
• Employees: where ordinary can collectively accomplish the extra ordinary
Care deeply about quality
Enable to improve the quality of their lives
Vision: Deliver Quality for All
• Shareholders:
Protect their investment, legacy and DNA
Deliver consistent ROI
• Serve our community
Artists
Women
Quality
• Quality borne out of discipline, good systems and controls
• Use our platform to continuously adapt the best of the world to our country
Brands, experiences, solutions
Best practices and technology
Higher Purpose Beyond Money
• Business must be an engine of profit and force of good
• Ours is to create and preserve jobs
• Job is a source of livelihood, dignity, economic and creative growth, education, and stability
• Create a an organization of diversity and opportunity
Royal Duty Free Shops
• Government changed a regulation during the Asian crisis
• Within 2 months: lost 80% of our market, and our debts doubled
• Almost all our competitors closed
• Remained open to pay off our bank debt
Royal Duty Free Shops• Instead of lay offs, we did an across the board pay
cut• Entailed great sacrifices• Results
Debts were paid on timeRoyal is profitable market leaderRoyal team built another company from scratch 6X bigger
Focus on loyalty: relationships
• Main source of our longevity
• Customer service that leads to a relationship
• Employees remain with us for decades
• We have hundreds of partnerships
International and local
Large and small enterprises
Innovation• Lead and excite our marketplace
Focus on the Filipino woman (i.e working)What her aspirations and underserved needsLuxuryBeautyLifestyle: cloth herself, decorate her home, family, build relationships, experiences
• Strong support system
Continuous Innovation
• Daring spirit to disrupt the market and challenge the status quo
• Deep and penetrating understanding of customers and constantly evolving to deliver what is
relevant to them
• Speed to market: be the first to offer something new and compelling to customers
First Christian Dior licensee outside of France
First store to combine department store and supermarket in one
building
First rewards card program in the country First to offer free giftwrapping First to offer personal shoppers First to offer gift registries First store to curate designer brands First store to start a Filipino designer
brand….. and many more!
Innovation
Culture
• Belief: Inspired well trained Filipino team can persevere in taking on huge goals
• Transform the ordinary
• Sense of urgency and long term planning
A Business Case Study in an Emerging Economy
A Crucial Part of ASEAN
The Next Big Investment MarketASEAN
Outline
The Philippines
Rustan’s
Opportunities, Risks & Parting WordsConclusion
Examples:• Food and Beverage in Vietnam• Telecommunications in the Philippines• Local Tech Startups in Indonesia
Opportunities
Many industries need foreign
expertise and capital (subject to
varying foreign equity laws per country)
Example:• Philippine retail is still dominated by
mom & pop stores
Some sectors are still very
fragmented, dominated by small
players and micro-industries
• Many governments offer Public-Private-
Partnerships as a vehicle for foreign firms to
invest in the country
Opportunities
Public infrastructure networks in
ASEAN countries tend to be poor,
but governments are committed to
improving these
Will help future proof emerging economiesForeign Investments in renewable
energy, sustainable production
Many governments and non-profits are stepping
up efforts in disaster risk management, as well as
in protecting the environment
• Developed countries can offer expertise and
support in urban planning and development
• Advent of new technologies, new business
models (e.g. telecommuting) can help offset
some of the problems
Risks
Many ASEAN cities are located in
coastal areas that are vulnerable to
rising sea levels, flooding and climate
change
With rapid economic progress
come increasing urban problems
like congestion, traffic and pollution
• In - depth understanding of the economic and social differences of ASEAN markets is required
• There is no one sized fits all approach. Each ASEAN country has its own unique circumstance
• Many foreign investors enter into a JV agreement with an established local player that has local market knowledge and local purchasing power to minimize risks
Risks
ASEAN markets have unique ways
of doing things or idiosyncrasies that
may require tailoring of operating
business models
Parting Words• ASEAN is a place to invest, market to serve, and an opportunity to
help accelerate social and economic development
• Markets like the Philippines and the ASEAN are rife with potential
– The Rustan’s case showed that a key to success is to understand the market, identify the unmet needs, position strongly on the unfulfilled gaps in the market, and invest in people
• Time is of the essence
– Now is the best time to invest
– Adopting a wait and see approach may cause interested parties to lose to local players or other foreign investors