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  • 7/24/2019 Toplines Dem Poll CBS 2-18-16

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    CBS NEWS POLL

    The Democratic Race: Clinton Holds on to her Lead

    February 12-16, 2016

    Q1.-Q15. RELEASED SEPARATELY

    Prim. Have you already voted in or do you plan to vote in a Republican primary or caucus this year, or in a Democratic

    primary or caucus, or are you not voting in a primary or caucus at all this year?

    ** REGISTERED VOTERS ** Jan16a

    % % % % %

    Republican primary 33 76 3 25 37

    Democratic primary 34 3 76 21 37

    Not likely to vote 21 16 15 32 17

    Never vote (Vol.) 1 1 * 1 *

    Don't know/No answer 11 5 6 21 9Wording change: Next year, are you more likely to vote

    Q16. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President in 2016?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

    %

    Hillary Clinton 47 48

    Bernie Sanders 39 41

    Someone Else (Vol.) * 2

    None of them (Vol.) 4 3

    Don't know/No answer 10 6

    Q17. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS WHO MADE A CANDIDATE CHOICE

    Mind made up 67 56

    Too early 33 44

    Don't know/No answer 1 *

    Q18. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic presidential candidates do you think

    has the best chance of winning the general election in November?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Nov15a

    Hillary Clinton 59 76

    Bernie Sanders 35 18Someone Else (Vol.) * 3

    None of them (Vol.) 1 *

    Don't know/No answer 6 3

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    Q19. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these candidates do you think is most likely to get

    things done in Washington?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

    %

    Hillary Clinton 59

    Bernie Sanders 33

    None of them 3

    Don't know/No answer 5

    Q20. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic presidential candidates do you trust

    most to appoint justices to the U.S. Supreme Court?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS *

    %

    Hillary Clinton 48

    Bernie Sanders 42

    Someone Else *None of them 3

    Don't know/No answer 7

    *Among a sample of 264 Democratic Primary Voters interviewed Feb. 14-16.

    Q21. If Hillary Clinton became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support her,

    support her but with reservations, support her only because she is the Democratic Party nominee, or not support her?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Jan16a

    % %

    Enthusiastically support 48 41

    Support with reservations 25 26Support only because nominee 14 16

    No support 10 14

    Don't know/No answer 3 3

    Q22. If Bernie Sanders became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him,

    support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Democratic Party nominee, or not support him?

    Enthusiastically support 44 40

    Support with reservations 26 31

    Support only because nominee 17 19

    No support 10 8

    Don't know/No answer 3 3

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    Q23. Would you prefer the next president be someone who will try to work within the political system in Washington or

    someone who will try to shake up the political system in Washington?

    ** REGISTERED VOTERS ** *** PRIMARY VOTERS ***

    Total Rep Dem Ind Rep Vtrs Dem Vtrs

    % % % % % %

    Working within the political system 34 26 49 28 24 45

    Shake up the political system 59 67 47 64 70 52

    Don't know/No answer 6 7 5 7 6 3

    Q24.-Q39. RELEASED SEPARATELY

    Q40. Which one of these candidate qualities is most important to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic

    nomination for president in 2016?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

    %

    Is honest and trustworthy 33Cares about people like me 29

    Has the right experience 28

    Can win in November 7

    Don't know/No answer 3

    Q41. Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not?

    Oct15a

    %

    Honest and trustworthy 60 68

    Not honest and trustworthy 35 30Don't know/No answer 5 2

    Q42. Do you think Hillary Clinton understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?

    Does 68

    Does not 28

    Don't know/No answer 4

    Q43. Do you think Hillary Clintons views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right?

    Sep15a1

    Too liberal 7 10

    Not liberal enough 24 23

    Just about right 66 64

    Don't know/No answer 4 3

    Q44. From what youve heard or read, generally, would you describe Hillary Clintons policy proposals as realistic or not

    realistic?

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    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

    %

    Realistic 81

    Not realistic 14

    Don't know/No answer 5

    Q45. Do you think Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy, or not?

    Oct15a

    %

    Honest and trustworthy 77 68

    Not honest and trustworthy 13 17

    Don't know/No answer 10 15

    Q46. Do you think Bernie Sanders understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?

    Does 71Does not 22

    Don't know/No answer 7

    Q47. Do you think Bernie Sanders views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right?

    Sep15a1

    Too liberal 18 12

    Not liberal enough 9 13

    Just about right 63 49

    Don't know/No answer 10 26

    Q48. From what youve heard or read, generally, would you describe Bernie Sanders policy proposals as realistic or not

    realistic?

    Realistic 51

    Not realistic 41

    Don't know/No answer 9

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    Q49. How confident are you in Hillary Clintons ability to be an effective commander-in-chief of the nation's military --

    are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Jan16a

    Very confident 47 42

    Somewhat confident 33 32

    Not too confident 9 13

    Not at all confident 9 11

    Don't know/No answer 2 3

    Q50. How confident are you in Hillary Clintons ability tomake the right decisions when it comes to regulating large

    banks and financial institutions -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Nov15a

    % %

    Very confident 32 30

    Somewhat confident 36 40

    Not too confident 16 16Not at all confident 14 11

    Don't know/No answer 2 2

    Q51. How confident are you in Hillary Clintons ability to make the right decisions when it comes to race relations and

    racial inequality in this countryare you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

    Very confident 50

    Somewhat confident 34

    Not too confident 9

    Not at all confident 5

    Don't know/No answer 2

    Q52. How confident are you in Bernie Sanderss ability to be an effective commander -in-chief of the nation's military --

    are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

    Jan16a

    Very confident 24 22

    Somewhat confident 44 48

    Not too confident 15 15

    Not at all confident 12 6

    Don't know/No answer 4 10

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    Q53. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders ability to make the right decisions whe n it comes to regulating large

    banks and financial institutions-are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Nov15a

    % %

    Very confident 41 29

    Somewhat confident 35 36

    Not too confident 12 17

    Not at all confident 8 11

    Don't know/No answer 5 6

    Q54. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders ability to make the right decisions when it comes to race relations and

    racial inequality in this countryare you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

    Very confident 45

    Somewhat confident 36

    Not too confident 10

    Not at all confident 6Don't know/No answer 3

    Q55. Would you favor or oppose a single payer health care system, in which all Americans would get their health

    insurance from one government plan that is financed by taxes?

    ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** *** PRIMARY VOTERS ***

    Total Rep Dem Ind Rep Vtrs Dem Vtrs Dec14b

    % % % % % % %

    Favor 44 19 62 46 18 65 43

    Oppose 47 71 29 45 75 27 50

    Don't know/No answer 9 10 9 9 6 8 7

    Q56. Do you think it was appropriate for Hillary Clinton to exclusively use a personal email address and server for work

    while she was Secretary of State?

    ** REGISTERED VOTERS **

    Total Rep Dem Ind Oct15a

    % % % % %

    Appropriate 19 4 35 16 21

    Not appropriate 73 93 52 76 71

    Don't know/No answer 9 4 13 9 7

    Q57. Has Hillary Clinton's exclusive use of a personal email address and server for work while she was Secretary of State

    made your opinion of her better, made your opinion worse, or has this not affected your opinion of Hillary Clinton?

    Sep15a1

    Better 2 1 4 1 2

    Worse 41 66 20 42 42

    No effect 55 32 75 54 55

    Don't know/No answer 2 2 1 3 2

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    Q58. Do you have a positive or negative view of socialism?

    ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** *** PRIMARY VOTERS ***

    Total Rep Dem Ind Rep Vtrs Dem Vtrs Nov15a

    % % % % % % %

    Positive 35 12 56 34 10 60 32

    Negative 48 80 24 46 85 21 52

    Don't know/No answer 17 9 20 20 5 19 16

    Unweighted Weighted

    Total Respondents 2,007

    Total Registered Voters 1,674 1,601

    Total Democratic Primary Voters 549 549