towards living in harmony with nature by 2050 a science...

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4 th SCIENCE – POLICY FORUM at CBD COP-14 19/11/18 Participants Agenda 1 Towards living in harmony with nature by 2050 A Science-Policy Dialogue Objectives This science-policy dialogue will bring together and engage scientists and policy makers to discuss how science can inform the post-2020 global biodiversity framework. The discussions will particularly focus on what scientists could offer to the preparation of the post-2020 agenda, on concepts for transition, the role of scenarios for pathways, as well as scale and scope of actions towards the 2050 vision. They will also aim at framing the post- 2020 targets, including on restoration and nature-based solutions as tools to reach biodiversity targets. The Forum will include panel and round-table discussions, providing a platform for the participants to share knowledge, experiences and solutions and to showcase success stories, good practices and approaches, and lessons learned. Key questions What is necessary to achieve the 2050 vision? What are the options and how can we ensure action? How to operationalize transitions and transformational change for biodiversity and human wellbeing? Discussions during this Science Forum will address these questions with a view to open new pathways to design nature-based solutions for nature, people and the economy across different sectors, and on engaging wider parts of the society. Outputs The Forum is expected to support discussions at the fourteenth meeting of the Conference of the Parties and its outputs will contribute to the further global process on developing the post-2020 global biodiversity framework. Photo credits: © Chinnapong, Fotolia, 2018

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Page 1: Towards living in harmony with nature by 2050 A Science ...ec.europa.eu/research/pdf/4_science_forum/... · Working on pathways allows going beyond the biodiversity conservation community,

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Towardslivinginharmonywithnatureby2050

AScience-PolicyDialogue

Objectives

Thisscience-policydialoguewillbringtogetherandengagescientistsandpolicymakerstodiscuss how science can inform the post-2020 global biodiversity framework. Thediscussionswill particularly focusonwhat scientists couldoffer to thepreparationof thepost-2020agenda,onconceptsfortransition,theroleofscenariosforpathways,aswellasscaleandscopeofactionstowardsthe2050vision.Theywillalsoaimatframingthepost-2020 targets, including on restoration and nature-based solutions as tools to reachbiodiversitytargets.TheForumwill includepanelandround-tablediscussions,providingaplatform for the participants to share knowledge, experiences and solutions and toshowcasesuccessstories,goodpracticesandapproaches,andlessonslearned.

Keyquestions

Whatisnecessarytoachievethe2050vision?Whataretheoptionsandhowcanweensureaction?Howtooperationalizetransitionsandtransformationalchangeforbiodiversityandhumanwellbeing?DiscussionsduringthisScienceForumwilladdressthesequestionswithaview to open newpathways to design nature-based solutions for nature, people and theeconomyacrossdifferentsectors,andonengagingwiderpartsofthesociety.

Outputs

TheForumisexpectedtosupportdiscussionsatthefourteenthmeetingoftheConferenceofthePartiesanditsoutputswillcontributetothefurtherglobalprocessondevelopingthepost-2020globalbiodiversityframework.

Photocredits:©Chinnapong,Fotolia,2018

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23/11/2018.Day1:Aframeworkfortransition.

Whichframingforthetargetsettingforthepost-2020framework?

9.00 Openingaddress

CristianaPaşcaPalmer,CBDExecutiveSecretary.HiroyukiTakeda,IUBSPresident.HumbertoDelgadoRosa,EuropeanCommission.AnneLarigauderie,IPBESExecutiveSecretary.

Moderation:MarcosRegisdaSilva,IAIExecutiveDirector

9.25 Introduction:Aimsandoutputsofthisdialogue

What are the expectations from theCBD secretariat for this dialogue?Whichprocesswill benefitfromthisdialogue?Whichoutcomeswouldbeuseful?Lessonsfromthe2010and2020policiesonbiodiversityandtheneedforanewvision,aswellaswhatscenariosto2050cantellus.Whataretheoptions?Whatisnecessary?Howtomakeithappen?Howtoensureaction?ThepresentationwilldrawthepathfromSharmel-SheikhtoBeijing.

Speaker:DavidCooperorAlexanderShestakov(tbc)

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9.35 Session1:Conceptsoftransition

Setting the ground for broader understanding of transitions and the need for social-ecologicaltransformationswithviewsfromkeyscientists.Bendingthecurve–howtocometothe2050visionandnewtargetsforthepost-2020agenda.Whatistherolethatresearchshouldtake?Howtocopewith uncertainty when designing and implementing urgent measures? How can NBS support the2050 vision, and allow us to achieve biodiversity and development goals in a more coherentmanner?Whatshouldourexpectationsandprioritiesbe?

Speaker:JosefSettele“Driversofchangeandtransformations–wherewestand”-challengesforaglobalview–15’min

Paneldiscussion(andactiveinvolvementofaudience)ontheroleoftransitionsforthepost-2020processfromthescientists’perspectives;reactionsfrompolicymakers;reflectionsfromexperiencewhatispossible(frompanelandaudience).Participantsinthepanelwillhave2-4minutestomakeastatementonthecontentofthesession,tostimulatethediscussion.

Panel:JosefSettele,MarkZimsky,MunditaLim,BernadetteFischler,HesiquioBenitez

The moderator asks panellists to give short statements on the theme of session. A moderateddiscussionbetweenpanelandaudiencefollows,basedontheguidingquestionsofthesession.

Background

• Transitionsaredefinedas long-termprocessesofdisruptiveandnon-linearsystemicchange incomplexsocietalsystems,suchaseconomicsectorsorregions.Astransitionsimplybreak-downanddestabilizationoftheregimewhile,atthesametime,futurepathwaysandoutcomesarestillunclear, theyoften involveahighdegreeofuncertainty. Therefore, it is important to focusondesiredtransitionstowardsthevisionfor2050inthissession.

• Our collective actions and policy decisions during the coming years will largely influence thefuture outcomes of emerging transitions. It is necessary to agree upon global targets thatactuallyleadtotransformativeactionsontheground,aswellastoaimforeffectivetranslationofscientificandexpertknowledgeonbiodiversityandecosystemchallenges.

• Within the broader global transition, there is a biodiversity transition taking place in thewaybiodiversity conservation and sustainable use is understood, organized and implemented.Weneed tobetterdefine the guidingmissionof this transition, aswell as to identifypathways toinstitutionalizepractices,culture,andstructuresthatsupportasustainableeconomy.

• With this sessionweaimtoset theground forabroaderunderstandingof transitionsandtheneedforsocial-ecologicaltransformationsforbiodiversityconservationandsustainableuse.Wewish to re-think the concepts, keeping inmind the post-2020 framework and the biodiversityvision towards 2050. What should be our goals, our expectations and what should be ourpriorities? Canwe think outside the box and re-evaluate the interpretations of terms such asgrowthandprosperity?

How could the Convention on Biological Diversity facilitate this transition by: (a) bringingscientific knowledge to Parties in order to identify transition potentials; (b) supporting thedevelopment of national and sectoral transition strategies; (c) synthesizing national ambitionsandimplementationagendas;and(d)bringinginnewmethods,processesandexpertise.

GuidingQuestions:

a)Whatdoestransformationalchangemeanintermsofbiodiversityaction,fromtheperspectiveofscienceandofpolicy?b)Howisthistranslatedtothetransformationsweneedtoachievethe2050biodiversityvision?c)Howcanweforesee/internalisethesetransformationsintoglobalandnationalpolicyactions?

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10.55 Coffeebreak[20minutes]

11.15 Session2:Fromthecurrenttothefuturestatusofbiodiversity

Whatisthecurrentstateofbiodiversity?Howcanwepromotetheroleof integratedassessmentsand scenarios/models forpolicymaking in thepost-2020process?What can researchadvanceondevisingandadaptingthepathways?Howtobringthis intothepost-2020biodiversitydiscussion?Thissessionwillgiveinputtosession4onframingthepost2020targets.

Speakers:

HenriqueMiguelPereira-Scenariosandmodelsfromanotherperspective–Introductionontheroleof scenariosandmodels forpathways towards the2050vision,and for thepost-2020biodiversityagenda–12’minutes

Marcel Kok - How can the scientific community help with evidence and tools for the post-2020framework?HowcanthescientificcommunityrelayontheworkdonebyCBDandIPBEStoidentifyneedsandpriorities?–12’minutes

Panel discussion (and active involvement of audience) on role of science for developing andapplyingscenariosandmodelsforpathwaysto2050[tofocusonspecificaspects].

Panel:HenriqueMiguelPereira;MarcelKok;EijiTanaka;BernardoStrassburg

The moderator asks panellists to give short statements on the theme of session. A moderateddiscussionbetweenpanelandaudiencefollows,basedontheguidingquestionsofthesession.

Background

• Wenowknowwithcertainty thatsystemicchange isnecessary tochangethecurrentstateofbiodiversity. Ecological and resilience research shows that current processes in climate andecosystemsthatmightleadtoanaccelerationofenvironmentaldisruptioninthenextdecadeswith irreversible change that could lead to catastrophic consequences for life on Earth.Unmitigated economic and societal pressure on the environment makes such tipping pointsmore likely tooccur.Theembeddednatureof currentlydominantandunsustainable cultures,structuresandpracticesmakesbiodiversityconservationchallenging.Remediatingorsofteningtheir negative impacts is not sufficient to reduce the long-term and fundamental risks theseimpacts pose to societies, let alone improving the state of the environment or creatingopportunitiesforsocietalwell-beinginthelong-term.

• Newassessmentmethodsandexpertiseareneededformodellingandscenariodevelopments,that take into account interactions and interdependencies between biodiversity, environmentand socio-economic pathways, including the assessment of opportunities and risks. Scientistsworking on scenarios and models and integrated assessments focus on the post-2020 globalbiodiversityframework,andonlong-termstrategicdirectionstothe2050visionforbiodiversity.

• The 2050 biodiversity vision should be supported with new analytical and modelling workinformingpoliciesanddecisions,andtestingthemagainsttherangeofidentifiedindicators.Thissessionwilllookintotheroleofmoreintegratedassessments,andmonitoringprocesses.

GuidingQuestions:

a)What information can science provide for the current state of biodiversity?What are the keymonitoringtoolstoassessprogressinimprovingitsstate?b)Whatare the limitationsofexistingmethodsandprocessesscienceneedtoovercome(e.g. theneed to better integrate interactions and dependencies between the different components ofbiodiversityandsocial,environmentalandeconomicdriversofchange,especiallyclimatechange)?c)Howcanscienceinformpolicythroughscenariosonwhatkindofactionsarefeasible?Whatdoespolicyneedfromscienceintermsofmodellingandassessment?Howtodealwithuncertainty?

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13.00 Lunch

14.00 Session3:Unfoldingthe2050biodiversityvision

Starting from the CBD 2050 vision for biodiversity, how can we translate it into tangible termsregardingscience,policyandsocietyinregionalandgloballevels?Andafter“paintingthepicture”ofthefuturevision,whataretheshortandlong-termactionsthatweneedtoundertaketoreachit?Inputs fromthespeakerswillprovidean introductionforaparticipatoryback-castingexercise, theresultsofwhichwillprovideinputforsession4.

Speaker:BernardoStrassburg-12'minutes

Breakoutgroupswillworkon twoexercises: a) aiming tomake the2050biodiversity visionmoretangible by describing how this vision will be translated in every day’s life; and b) keeping thistangibledescriptionofthevisioninmind,identifyactionswhichwillallowustoreachit.

Background:

• The2050visionaimsat“Livinginharmonywithnature”where“by2050,biodiversityisvalued,conserved, restored and wisely used, maintaining ecosystem services, sustaining a healthyplanet and delivering benefits essential for all people”. While not expressed in quantitativeterms, theelementsof the2050visionstatementprovide theessenceofa long-termgoal forbiodiversity. Indeed, the 2050 vision has been interpreted as a 2050 goal for biodiversity invarious scenario-building exercises and efforts are under way to provide amore quantitativebasisandplausiblepathwaysforachievingsuchavision,asdiscussedbelow.

• To identifythepotentialandrequiredefforts forachievingthe2050vision inconjunctionwithkeyhumandevelopmentgoals, scientificevidencecan support thedesignof long-termpolicy,whileallowingforinnovationandcreativityinthedevelopmentofnewtypesofnarrativesandstrategies. The use of back-casting thinking allows developing the vision in robust terms andidentifying potential pathways to reach it. Combining this withmodelling enable us to movefromthecurrentsituationtowardsasetofspecifiedactionsandtargetsforachievingthevision.

• Pathwaysconsistofdifferentengagementstrategiesandcoursesofactionsthatbuildoneachother,fromshort-termtolong-termactionsintobroadertransformation.Workingonpathwaysallows going beyond the biodiversity conservation community, working across sectors on thepracticeofqualitativeproblemanalysisandpolicy-ledimplementationofsolutions.Developingpathwaysisawayofengagingpolicy-anddecision-makersonwhichstrategiesandactionsmaybecompatiblewithanidentifiedvision.

• Pathwaysandback-castingenableustoinformdiscussionsonscopeandpossiblecontentofthepost-2020global biodiversity framework, includingon scale and scopeof actionsnecessary tomakeprogresstowards2050.

• In this session we want to explore together the role of back-casting and pathways in thedevelopment of new narratives and strategies which can unfold the 2050 vision. This shouldprepare for the development of different strategies and actions reflecting the engagement ofdifferentsectors,typesofstakeholdersandonmultiplescales.Startingfromthe2050visionforbiodiversity,howcanwetranslateitintotangibletermsregardingscience,policyandsocietyatregional and global levels?And after “painting the picture” of the future vision,what are theshort and long-term actions that we need to undertake to reach it? The results of thisparticipatoryback-castingexercisewillprovideinputforsession4.

Guidingquestions:

a) Starting with the 2050 vision in mind: How would this vision translate in tangible terms,regardingbiodiversity,ineverydaylife,atthelocal/regional,internationallevel?

b) Keepingthesetangibleinterpretationsofthe2050visioninmind,whichactionsweneedtoundertaketobringourselvesthere?

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16.00 Coffeebreak-20minutes

16.20 Session4:Targetsettingforthepost-2020framework

Translatingthenecessaryactionstoreachthe2050biodiversityvisionintotargetareasforthepost-2020 framework: How can science help to make progress in the quantification and attribution/allocation of the targets?How canmeasurable indicators and actions allow us assessing progresstowardsthesetargets(andthe2050vision)?Thissessionlookscloseratkeyareasfortargetsetting:

a.Land(protection,retention,restoration)b.Oceansc.Speciesd.Directdrivers(includewhichones)e.Indirectdrivers(includewhichones)

Speaker:JamesWatson:informsonmethodologiesfortargetsetting–15’minutes

Panel:JamesWatson,NevilleAsh,CarolynLundquist,GünterMitlacher,RobyBiwer.

Themoderatoraskspanelliststogiveshortstatementsonthethemeofsession.Therestofthetimewillbedevotedtoworkinthebreak-outgroups.

Breakoutgroupswillworkonhowtoenabletargetsettingforthepost-2020agenda.

Background:

• To support the 2050 biodiversity vision, we need well-defined, ambitious and measurabletargets.Sciencecanhelpmakingprogressinthequantificationandattribution/allocationofthetargetsthankstonewanalyticalandmodellingworkondifferentpolicyoptionsforgovernmentsanddifferentbusinessdecisions,andtestingthemagainstarangeofidentifiedindicatorstosetmilestonesfor2030and2040.

• Discussionsareongoingwhethertodevelopoverallscience-basedbiodiversitytargetsfor2050equivalent to the 2°C / 1.5°C temperature rise cap agreed under the Paris Agreement forclimate. These targets should express necessity rather than feasibility, and be science-based,succinct, positively framed, bold, and quotable. Success factors, weaknesses, interactions andlimitsofpossibletargets,linkingCBD,theParisagreementandSDGswillframethiswork.

• BeyondtheSMARTframing,thesessionshouldlookintootherframeworkconditions:▪ Existingtargetsnotyetimplemented/newcommitmenttargets▪ Specificitiesbetweenoutcome-orientedandprocess-orientedtargets▪ Establishingclearlinkswiththepoliciesnecessarytoreachthetargets,aswellaswiththe

2050visionandotherkeyglobalcommitmentsliketheSDGs.▪ Beyond any accountability of CBD parties, can the targets be disaggregated for sub-

national and local governments and for different types of non-state actors wishing tocommitvoluntary(specificeconomicsectors,financialorganisations,etc.)?

▪ Howtomaximisesynergiesandreducetrade-offbetweendifferenttargets?• Thisworkshouldbuildonexistingindicators,includingthoselistedindecisionXIII/28,additional

indicators identified by the Biodiversity Indicators Partnership and the indicators for targetsundertheSustainableDevelopmentGoals.

GuidingQuestions:

a) Development of SMART biodiversity targets and measurable indicators and actions which willallowusassessourprogresstowardsthesetargets(andthe2050vision)b)Whatarethebesttargetsfromtheperspectiveofpolicyandscience(pro&contra)?

18.15 Wrap-up:Conclusionsfromday1:EKLIPSE,IUBS,IAI,EC.

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24/11/2018. Day 2: Increasing solutions for restoration (scaling-up nature-basedsolutions).

Whichtransitionsfortransformationalchange?Implementation

9.00 Opening:Informationontheprogramme

Informationfromrelevantsessionsofparallelevents:

Messages from the summit of Local and Subnational Governments: Ingrid Coetzee, CitiesBiodiversityCentre,ICLEIAfricaSecretariatMessagesfromtheNatureandCultureSummit:tbcMessagesfromtheSustainableOceanDay:JoeAppiott,CBDSecretariatMessagesfromtheConsortiumofScientificPartnersonBiodiversity:AnaMariaHernandez,HumboldtInstituteColombia

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9.30 Session5:Scalingup:Nature-basedsolutionsforrestorationagendaandbeyond

Thissessioninformsonneedsforresearchandpolicysettingonrestorationtobetakenfurtherforgivingmultiplebenefitsbeyondclimatechangemitigation,adaptationandbiodiversityconservationand restoration. Can such nature-based solutions help achieving across the SustainableDevelopmentGoals?Whichchallenges,opportunitiesandunresolvedissuesexist?

Speakers:

JudyFisher-“IntroductionofNBSintotheCBDagenda.”–12’minutes

HarrietBulkeley-“Nature-BasedSolutions(NBS)forsuccessfultransitionsregardingsocial-ecologicalsystems,biodiversityandecosystemservices–prioritiesforresearchandpolicy”–12’minutes.

Panel discussion and plenary discussion: What can science say for scaling-up restoration andconnecting it to human needs (CBD restoration action plan and ecosystem-based approaches forclimatechangeanddisasterriskreduction)?HowcanNBShelpbringingthebiodiversityandclimatechangeagendatogether?

Panel:JudyFisher,HarrietBulkeley,FrédéricLemaitre,KarinZaunberger,LucBas

The moderator asks panellists to give short statements on the theme of session. A moderateddiscussionbetweenpanelandaudiencefollows,basedontheguidingquestionsofthesession.

Background

• We need new research and policy settings which tackle at the same time climate changemitigation,adaptationandbiodiversityconservationandrestoration.HowNBSwillsupportthepost-2020agendaispartofthediscussionwewanttohavewithscientistsandpolicy-makers.

• HowcanNBSalsosupporttherestorationagenda?WhichuseofNBSgoesbeyondrestoration?Whichchallenges,opportunitiesandunresolvedissuesexist?

• Thesessionwill also lookat the follow-upof themeetingbetween IPCCand IPBESonclimatechange and biodiversity in Paris (18/10/18). This meeting highlighted that NBS as “win-win”measuresforachievingco-benefitsbetweenclimatechangeandbiodiversity,andtheSDGs.

• Onekeyobjectiveof theSharmel-SheikhtoBeijingActionagendaforNatureandPeople is to“InspireandhelpimplementNBStomeetkeyglobalchallenges”.Howtoimplementthis?

• How could science contribute to knowledgeonNBS, focusing on implementing the post-2020agenda?Couldtherebeguidingprinciples?Whatarethepolicyneeds?

GuidingQuestions:

a)HowcanNBSassist restorationactions inachievingourgoals towards the2050vision?What istheroleofscienceonthatandwhatarethepolicyneeds?b)WhatistheroleofNBSincombiningtherequirementsofbiodiversityandclimatechangeagendatogether?HowNBScancontribute/becomepartofthefutureperspective?

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10.50: Coffeebreak

11.10 Session6:Increasingresilientsolutionsforrestoration

Understanding the need for restoration and using nature-based solutions, including in urbansettings,toreachbiodiversitytargets,ontheexampleofAfrica.Whicharetherecommendationsofscience forpolicymakers?What is the role that research should take?How tobring this into thepost-2020biodiversitydiscussion?Whataretheoptions?Whatcanbedone?

Speakers:

Marwa Halmy “Opportunities for avoiding land and ecosystem degradation and for restoration,includinginurbanareas,andtheroleofnature-basedsolutionsforenhancinglifequality”–12’min

Hamdallah Zedan on messages of and reflections on the African summit for science and policyregardingtotheroleofrestorationinthepost-2020agenda–12’min

Panel and plenary discussion on role of science for scaling-up restoration and connecting it tohuman needs (linking to the CBD restoration action plan and ecosystem-based approaches forclimatechangeanddisasterriskreduction).

Panel:JudyFisher,OmarDefeo,HamdallahZedan,EricWikramanayake,JescaOsunaEriyo

The moderator asks panellists to give short statements on the theme of session. A moderateddiscussionbetweenpanelandaudiencefollows,basedontheguidingquestionsofthesession.

Background

• TheAfricanUnionbiodiversity summitaheadofCOP focusedonavoiding landandecosystemdegradation.Thediscussionswhererelevant tothechallengeof fastgrowingurbanisationandonopportunities for restorationandon theneed for restoration foran increased resilience inAfrica.Suchactionsprovideopportunitiesfortacklingbothclimatechangeandbiodiversitylossbypromotingthedevelopmentanduseofnature-basedsolutions.Findingresilientsolutionsforrestoration,togetherwithup-scaling,willbethecoreofthediscussionacrossecosystems–sothatwecancontributetosustainableuseandsustainability.

• A conservation approach based on restoration of natural capital could lead to a future visionembracingbothprotectionanddevelopment,connectingthebiodiversitycommunitywithlike-minded actors, representing sustainable businesses, local initiatives, and other sectors andstakeholdersembarkingonsustainabilitypathwaysforallterrestrialandmarineecosystems.

• During this sessionwewould like to achieve furtherunderstandingof theneed for scalinguprestoration and the use of nature-based solutions, including in urban settings, to reachbiodiversity targets, settingour focus to thediscussionscoming fromAfrica.Whatcansciencesayonhowtoachieveit?Whatdopolicy-makersbelieveispossiblefor2030?Whatistherolethatresearchshouldtake?Howcanthisbebroughtintothepost-2020biodiversitydiscussion?Whataretheoptions?Whatcanbedone?

Questionstobediscussed:

a)Whatcansciencedotosupportthescaling-upofrestoration,theroleofNBSforrestoration,andwhataretheneedsofpolicyregardingthat?b) How can restoration goals be transformed into SMART targets connected to biodiversityconservation?c)How can the input from theAfrican Summit regarding the role of restorationbeused in otherregions?CangoodpracticesandlessonslearnedinotherregionsbeappliedinAfrica?

12.30 Lunch

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13.30 Session7:Uptakeofactionstowardsthe2050vision

Understanding the frame inwhich the targets are set in thepost-2020agenda toprepare for thedevelopmentofthepost-2020globalbiodiversitytargets.Buildingontheresultsoftheback-castingexercise of day 1 (sessions 3 and 4), participantswill work towards connecting post-2020 targetswiththeSustainableDevelopmentGoalsanddiscussingchallengesandopportunitiesinthatcontext.

Speakers:

JerryHarrison:Howcantargetsandactionsenabletransitionsandtransformationalchangetowardsthe2050visionforbiodiversity?–12minutes

AxelPaulsch:Scientificprioritiestosupportsustainabletransformation, linkedtothetargetsettingofthepost-2020framework–12minutes

Breakoutgroups:10-12peopleineachgroup,withgroupsforuptakeofsessions3,4,5,6.

Background:

This session should build upon the results from sessions 3 (Unfold the 2050 vision) and 4 (Targetsetting for the post-2020 frameworks). It should also take the role of NBS (session 5) and therestorationagenda(session6)forthepost-2020frameworkintoaccount.

Guidingquestions:

a)Howcan these targetsandactionsenable transitionsand transformational change towards the2050vision?Howcanthepost-2020agendaenabletheSustainableDevelopmentGoals?

b)Which incentivesto implementrestorationactions?CanupscalingNBSmakeadifference intheuptakeofaction,becausetheydeliverdifferentbenefitsatonce?

c)How canwe ensure up-take frompolicy?What are the limitationsweneed to overcome?Canmonitoringtoolshelpwiththeuptakeofactions?Canweidentifygoodpractices?

14.40 Coffeebreak

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15.00 Session8:EngagingSociety,ScienceandPolicyintransformativechange

Discussion on the needs from science in implementing social-ecological transitions.Where shouldfutureresearchfocuson?Howtoengagevariousstakeholders?Whatareprioritiesforresearchandpolicy to advance transitions regarding social-ecological systems, biodiversity and benefits fromnature?

Speaker:ThomasElmqvist-Howcantheplanetaryboundaryconcepthelpinidentifyingactionsfortransition?–12’minutes

Panelandplenarydiscussiononhowsocietycanbeengagedinimplementingtransitionsandontheroleofscienceinimplementingsocial-ecologicaltransitions,throughfutureresearchpriorities.

Panel:ThomasElmqvist,KatiaKarousakis,DickySimorangkir,ThomasBrooks,DanielVincenteOrtega

The moderator asks panellists to give short statements on the theme of session. A moderateddiscussionbetweenpanelandaudiencefollows,basedontheguidingquestionsofthesession.

Background

• Theactionsthatarerequiredtofosterthedesiredtransitionsgobeyondbiodiversityactionsandchange the way society functions. The global biodiversity agenda should connect with thetargets and processes of other international agreements, like the SDGs and the Paris ClimateAgreement.

• Expertsarguethatwehavenowenteredthefourthindustrialrevolution,aneracharacterizedbymultipledifferent technologies that arebeing createdat an incredible speedand scale. Thesenewtechnologiesarefusingthephysical,digitalandbiologicalworlds, impactingalldisciplines,economiesandindustries.This4thindustrialrevolutionpresentsawiderangeofopportunities,but also risks. Therefore, it is imperative to better understand it, utilize it, and channel it tobetterpreparesocietiesforthefutureandtobettersafeguardtheEarth.

• For defining "transition" actions,what can planetary boundaries, the 4th industrial revolutionandfurtherconceptstellusatgloballevel,whilemaintainingbioticintegrityatlocallevels?Howcansocietybeengagedinthisprocess?

• Thespeedofchangeintechnologyisatoddswiththeslowinstitutionalprocessofchange.Itisthus essential that the biodiversity community begins to think about how to exploit theopportunitiesofthisrevolutionwhenpreventingtheweaknessestotransformintothreats,e.g.howthebiodiversitycommunitycanengageconsumersandcitizenstoutilizethesetechnologiesinawaythatpromotessustainabilitytransitions?

• Thebiodiversityregimeshouldengagemoredirectlywithsocietalsystemsthatdeterminehownatural resources are used and how their use implicates biodiversity and ecosystems, forexampleinagriculture,fisheries,forestry,tourism,energy,miningandinfrastructure,healthandmanufacturing,allofwhicharesectors inwhichbiodiversityneedstobemainstreamedasperthe decisions of the Conference of the Parties to the Convention. Additionally, how caneconomic, financialandecologicalpoliciesandactionsbedesignedtoplacebiodiversityat thecenterofthedevelopmentparadigmasakeynaturalasset?

Questionstobediscussed

a) Discusshowsocietycanbeengagedinthistransitionprocessforthebiodiversityagenda?b) How can science inform progress? Couldwe look for impacts in biodiversity? Atwhich pace?

Whatarethetangible,futureresearchprioritiesweneedtofocusontoachievethenecessarytransitions?

c) Discussionon the roleof science in implementing and supporting social-ecological transitions,throughfutureresearchpriorities:whichrequestsdopolicymakershavetowardsresearchers?Andwhichrequestscanresearcherstackle,andhow?

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16.10:Coffeebreak

16.30: Synthesis:Wrap-upandnextsteps

EKLIPSEwithpanel from IUBS,EC, IAI,CBDsecretariat:Meetingconclusionsand recommendationssuggestedforthepost-2020process.

Thefacilitatorwillprovidea15-minutepresentation,summarizingtheconclusionsofthesessionsoftheForum,withparticularemphasisontheworkofthegroups,intwoblocks(forday1andforday2).Participantswillbeinvitedtogiveadditionalinputsfromthepanelandtheaudienceforthefinalrefinement/structuringoftheseconclusions.Thepanelmemberswillbeaskedtogivetheiropiniononthedevelopmentandoutputsoftheforum.Thefacilitatorwillinvitecommentsandinputsfromtheaudienceontheoverallsettingofthemeetingandthepotentialforthedevelopmentoffuturesimilardiscussions.

Twointerventionswillgiveanoutlookonpossiblefollow-upactionsandfutureuseontheoutputsofthisScienceForum.

Speakers:AnaMaria Hernandez, Humboldt Institute, Colombia for The Consortium of Scientific Partners onBiodiversity

Andreas Schei, Norwegian Environment Institute, organising the upcoming 9th TrondheimConference

Participantswillbeaskedfortheirfurthersuggestions.In closing this session, participants will also be asked whether they agree on the messages thisScienceForumgivestotheCOPandtothefurtherprocessondiscussionthepost-2020agenda.

18.00 Closingpanel

SamehH.Soror,ForeignSecretary&SupervisorofScientificandCulturalRelationsEgypt,AcademyofScientificResearchandTechnology(ASRT):Reflectionontheroleofsciencetowardspolicy

COPpresidency:MoustafaFouda,EgyptianPresidency

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Suggestedreferences(thislistisnotexhaustive)

Generalandsession1

RecommendationSBSTTA-XXI/1:Scenariosforthe2050VisionforBiodiversity.ThisSBSTTArecommendation invites scientistsworkingon scenarios and relatedassessments to focusonrelevantissuesforthedevelopmentofthepost-2020globalbiodiversityframework,andon long-term strategic directions to the 2050 vision for biodiversity.https://www.cbd.int/recommendations/sbstta/?m=sbstta-21

CBDInformationonthepreparationofthepost-2020globalbiodiversityframework.Thisincludes submissions from Parties, other Governments, relevant organizations andindigenous peoples and local communities on the preparations for the Post-2020Biodiversity Framework, as well as results of the Bogis-Bossey Dialogues for BiodiversityTransformation, and the CBD Seminar on Transformational Change for the BiodiversityAgenda.https://www.cbd.int/post2020/

IPBES Summaries for policymakers are available on https://www.ipbes.net/document-library-categories/assessment-reports-and-outputs

CBD/SBSTTA/22/INF/31Effectiveuseofknowledgeindevelopingthepost-2020globalbiodiversityframework(FramingtheFutureforBiodiversity:Effectiveuseofknowledgeindevelopingapost-2020globalbiodiversityagenda.ReportofthemeetingoftheCambridgeConservationInitiative).https://www.cbd.int/meetings/SBSTTA-22

Session2

Aiminghighertobendthecurveofbiodiversityloss(2018),Mace,G.M.,Barrett,M.Burgess,N.D.,Cornell,S.E.,Freeman,R.,Grooten,M.,Purvis,A.NatureSustainabilityDOI:10.1038/s41893-018-0130-0

TheBendingTheCurveinitiativesetouttoadvancequantitativemodellingtechniquestowardsambitiousscenariosforbiodiversity:Towardspathwaysbendingthecurveofterrestrialbiodiversitytrendswithinthe21stcentury.LeclereD,ObersteinerM,AlkemadeR,AlmondR,BarrettM,BuntingG,BurgessN,ButchartS,etal.(2018).http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/15241

WWFLivingPlanetReport2018https://www.worldwildlife.org/pages/living-planet-report-2018

Session3and4

HowSectorsCanContribute toSustainableUseandConservationofBiodiversity (2014).PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency Secretariat of the Convention onBiological Diversity, Montreal. CBD Technical Series No. 79 available athttps://www.cbd.int/doc/publications/cbd-ts-79-en.pdf (Coordinating AuthorsMarcel Kok,RobAlkemade)

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Investmentstoreversebiodiversitylossareeconomicallybeneficial(2017),Sumaila,R.etal. In: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 29: 82-88.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2018.01.007)

IPBES Guide on production and integration of assessments from and across all scaleshttps://www.ipbes.net/guide-production-assessments

CBD decision XIII/28, Indicators for the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2011-2020 and theAichi Biodiversity Targets: additional indicators identified by the Biodiversity IndicatorsPartnershipandtheindicatorsfortargetsundertheSustainableDevelopmentGoals.

Session5

Recommendation SBSTTA 22/7 on Biodiversity and climate change: ecosystem-basedapproaches to climate change adaptation and disaster risk reductionhttps://www.cbd.int/recommendations/sbstta/?m=sbstta-22

CBD/CCB/WS/2018/2/3 Report of the Workshop on Biodiversity and Climate Change:integrated science for coherent policy with UNFCCC/IPCC and CBD/IPBES: this meetinghighlightedthatNBScanbe“win-win”measuresforachievingco-benefitsbetweenclimatechangeandbiodiversity,andtheSustainableDevelopmentGoals.

UNBiodiversityConference2018,SharmEl-Sheikh,EgyptAnnouncement:SharmEl-SheikhtoBeijingActionAgendaforNatureandPeople:OnekeyobjectiveoftheSharmel-SheikhtoBeijingActionagendaforNatureandPeopleisto“Inspireandhelpimplementnature-basedsolutionstomeetkeyglobalchallenges”.

Session6:

CBDdecisionXIII/5Ecosystemrestoration:short-termactionplan

IPBES Summary for Policymakers of the Assessment Report on Land Degradation andRestoration

IPBESSummaryforpolicymakersoftheregionalandsubregionalassessmentofbiodiversityandecosystemservicesforAfrica

The AfricanMinisterial Summit on Biodiversity on 13/11/18 under the theme “Land andecosystemdegradationandrestoration:Prioritiesfor increasedinvestments inbiodiversityand resilience in Africa”, adopted, among others, the African Ministerial Declaration onBiodiversity and the Pan-African Action Agenda on Ecosystem Restoration for IncreasedResilience.https://www.cbd.int/conferences/2018/cop-14-afr-hls

Session7:

IPBESreportsassessingAichitargetsvsSDGs.https://www.ipbes.net/assessment-reports

Session8:

The4thIndustrialRevolution,bytheWorldEconomicForum:https://www.weforum.org/about/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-by-klaus-schwab