trade related investment measures

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Trade Related Investment Measures Bijit Bora Trade Analysis Branch UNCTAD

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Page 1: Trade Related Investment Measures

Trade Related Investment Measures

Bijit Bora

Trade Analysis Branch

UNCTAD

Page 2: Trade Related Investment Measures

Uruguay Round

• Provided a mandate for the first time to discuss:– “Following an examination of the operation of

GATT Articles related to the trade restrictive and distortive effects of investment measures, negotiations should elaborate, as appropriate, further provision that maybe necessary to avoid such adverse effects on trade”

• Previous attempts at incorporating investment provisions included the Havana Charter in 1947

Page 3: Trade Related Investment Measures

Issues During Negotiations

• Major problem was the lack of definition and clarity in the mandate due to the work in identifying which measures were trade related.

• Developed countries took a broad view of investment and investment measures

• Some developing countries took a much narrower view, especially in the context of policies such as technology transfer requirements

Page 4: Trade Related Investment Measures

Investment and Trade

• The issue is whether or not a policy with a particular target - in this case an investment measure - can affect trade.

• Are there different degrees of trade effects?

• Export performance requirements, local content schemes and foreign exchange balancing - ok

Page 5: Trade Related Investment Measures

Examples of TRIMS

• Market access– Ownership or

equity restrictions– Joint venture

requirements

• Performance Requirements– Local content

schemes– Export

performance requirements

– Foreign Exchange balancing

Page 6: Trade Related Investment Measures

The TRIMS Agreement

•Structure•Content

Page 7: Trade Related Investment Measures

Legal Framework

• The TRIMs agreement does not provide any new language

• It focusses on two Articles that were identified in a previous case under the GATT– Article III (National Treatment)– Article XI (Quantitative Restrictions)

Page 8: Trade Related Investment Measures

Aims of the Agreement

• Desiring– to promote the expansion and progressive

liberalisaiton of world trade and to facilitate investment, while ensuring competition

• Take into account– trade, development and financial needs of

developing countries, particularly least developed countries

• Recognising– certain investment measures can cause trade-

restrictive and distorting effects

Page 9: Trade Related Investment Measures

Structure

– Nine Articles and an Annex– Art I - clarifies that the agreement

applies only to trade in goods– Art 2 - applies Articles III or XI and

refers to the Annex list– Art 3-4 deal with general exceptions

and Art XVIIIb– Art 5 Notification and transition periods– Art 9 - Review

Page 10: Trade Related Investment Measures

GATT Articles

– Article III (GATT)• National treatment of imported product, unless

specified in other agreements• Subjects the purchase or use by an enterprise of

imported products to less favourable conditions than the purchase or use of domestic products

– Article XI (GATT)• Prohibition of quantitative restrictions on imports and

exports• Part of the general trend in textiles and agriculture to

phase out the use of quantitative restrictions

Page 11: Trade Related Investment Measures

Illustrative list - Para 1

• Para 1 (a) covers local content TRIMs which require the purchase or use by an enterprise of products of domestic origin or domestic source.

• Para 1(b) covers trade balancing TRIMs which limit the purchase or use of imported products by an enterprise to an amount related to the volume or value of local products that it exports.

Page 12: Trade Related Investment Measures

Ilustrative list- Para 2

• 2(a) deals with border measures that deal with trade balancing.

• 2(b) restrictions to trade that arise from foreign exchange access restrictions such as balancing requirements

• 2 (c) deals with measures that restrict exports.

Page 13: Trade Related Investment Measures

Notification

• Governments of WTO members, or countries entitled to be members within 2 years after 1 January, 1995 shouold make notifications within 90 days after the date of their acceptance of the WTO agreement.

Page 14: Trade Related Investment Measures

Transition periods

• Members are obliged to eliminate TRIMs which have been notified. Such elimination is to take place within two years after the date of entry into force of the agreement for developed countries– five years for developing– seven years for LDC

Page 15: Trade Related Investment Measures

Standstill

• TRIMS introduced less than 180 days before the agreement do not benefit from transition period.

• Members are also not allowed to change measures that have been notified if these changes are inconsistent with the agreement.

• The same TRIM can be applied to a new investment.

Page 16: Trade Related Investment Measures

Implementation

•Notification•Disputes•Transition

Page 17: Trade Related Investment Measures

Notification• Argentina* • Barbados• Bolivia• Chile*• Colombia• Costa Rica• Cuba• Cyprus• Dominican Republic• Ecuador• Egypt*• India• Indonesia• Malaysia*

• Mexico*• Nigeria• Pakistan*• Peru• Philippines*• Poland• Romania*• South Africa• Thailand*• Uganda• Uruguay• Venezuela

Page 18: Trade Related Investment Measures

Disputes

• Three disputes– Indonesia vs EU, Japan, US– Canada vs. Japan and EU– Panama vs EU (Bananas)

Page 19: Trade Related Investment Measures

Indonesia

• Automotive sector

• National car policy– required the manufacturer to have local

content– Lower sales tax– Subsidy issue was also involved.

Page 20: Trade Related Investment Measures

Canada

• Automotive sector - Canada-US Auto Pact

• Required a company to have local content levels beyond the North American Free Trade Agreement in order to have a lower tariff rate

• Result was the tariff was increased to MFN rate

Page 21: Trade Related Investment Measures

Implementation Difficulties

• Difficulties in identifying TRIMs that violate the agreement

• Difficulties in identifying alternative policies to achieve the same objective

• Difficulties in accounting for non-contingent outcomes such as the financial crisis in Asia and Latin America

• Difficulties in meeting the transition period deadlines

Page 22: Trade Related Investment Measures

Development Dimension of the TRIMS agreement

• Only developing countries notified TRIMS

• Most frequent sector was the automotive industry

• The most frequent policy was local content schemes

Page 23: Trade Related Investment Measures

Applying for Extensions of Transition Periods

• Chile• Romania• Egypt• Argentina• Colombia

• Thailand• Malaysia• Philippines• Pakistan

Page 24: Trade Related Investment Measures

Where to from here?

• Developing countries are serious about not moving ahead on TRIMS until the agreement has been implemented

• The focus is on how to proceed with the review.

Page 25: Trade Related Investment Measures

Investment and the WTO

• Options– Leave the agreement as it is– Extend the illustrative list– Complement the TRIMs agreement with

new rules on investment that have features of BITs and NAFTA chapter 11.

Page 26: Trade Related Investment Measures

Status Quo

• There are two dispute panels have clarified precisely the role of TRIMs and GATT.

• We have a clear specification of the consistency of policies in the annex list an the GATT

• Guidance on transition periods

Page 27: Trade Related Investment Measures

Renovation

• Annex list is not exclusive of policies that are inconsistent with III:1 and XI:4

• Seek to expand the list– Export performance requirements

• Require a clarification of “restrict” versus “distort” trade.

Page 28: Trade Related Investment Measures

New Architecture

• Proposal to expand the role of provisions related to market access and operations of foreign affiliates.

• Two models– BITS– NAFTA chapter 11

Page 29: Trade Related Investment Measures

Components

• Three components of an investment architecture– Market access

• Pre and post establishment

– Operations• National treatment with respect to policies

– Dispute resolution• NAFTA type investor-state model• Unworkable in the WTO context

Page 30: Trade Related Investment Measures

Study

• Goods Council has requested a joint UNCTAD/WTO Secretariat study on the “development effects of TRIMs”.

• Joint with Trade Analysis Branch (UNCTAD) and Trade and Finance (WTO).

Page 31: Trade Related Investment Measures

Development effects

• I Identify and define TRIMs• II Historical experience with TRIMS• III What is ‘development’?

– Include employment– Technology transfer– Establishment and development of industry– Growth

• Neutrality of the study.

Page 32: Trade Related Investment Measures

FDI and poverty alleviation

• FDI and growth - parallels with trade and growth literature– Data is worse.

• Composition of FDI flows– labour-intensive (poor intensive) sectors

• Not a huge amount of total flows, but important for developing countries

• “Crowding out” domestic investment and domestic firms– likely more important in the context of large scale

industries

– Auto industry - seat covers, wiring harnesses

Page 33: Trade Related Investment Measures

EU-LDC Networks

• Networks– Access to researchers and data

• case studies are hugely important• Economists are terrible at doing this kind of

work.

– Specialists have knowledge of past studies to contribute to step II

– Developing a research agenda on development dimension of TRIMs