train arrival times at highway railroad grade crossing

26
By: Diego B. Franca, M.Sc. Kittelson and Associates, Inc Elizabeth “Libby” Jones, PhD Assoc. Professor, Civil Engineering, University of Nebraska - Lincoln Assoc. Director , Mid-America Transportation Center Presented at 89th TRB Annual Meeting – Jan 2010 Estimating Train Arrival Times at Highway-Railroad Grade Crossing Using Multiple Sensors

Upload: kittelson-slides

Post on 03-Jul-2015

1.518 views

Category:

Business


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Estimating Train Arrival Times at Highway-Railroad Grade Crossing Using Multiple Sensors. By Diego B. Franca, M.Sc., Kittelson and Associates, Inc and Elizabeth “Libby” Jones, PhD Assoc. Professor, Civil Engineering, University of Nebraska - Lincoln Assoc. Director , Mid-America Transportation Center. Presented at 89th TRB Annual Meeting – Jan 2010.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

By:Diego B. Franca, M.Sc.

Kittelson and Associates, Inc

Elizabeth “Libby” Jones, PhDAssoc. Professor, Civil Engineering, University of Nebraska - Lincoln

Assoc. Director , Mid-America Transportation Center

Presented at 89th TRB Annual Meeting – Jan 2010

Estimating Train Arrival Times at Highway-Railroad Grade Crossing Using Multiple Sensors

Page 2: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Presentation Outline

IntroductionProblem StatementLiterature ReviewMethodologyData CollectionData Analysis and ResultsFinal Considerations

Page 3: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Introduction

Highway-Railroad Grade Crossings (HRGCs) Overview

“The general area where a highway and a railroad’s right of way cross at the same level, within which are included the railroad tracks, highway, and traffic control devices for highway traffic traversing that area” (MUTCD, 2007)

Page 4: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Introduction

HRGCs Concerns– Collisions at HRGCs represent the second largest cause of

fatalities in railroads (trespassing is the first).

– HRGCs near signalized intersections present a safety concern due to the potential queues of highway traffic that can back up across the tracks.

Page 5: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Introduction

Traffic Signal Preemption at HRGCs– The MUTCD requires a 20-second minimum time for the

railroad circuit to activate warning devices prior to arrival of a through train.

– When highway-rail grade crossings are within 200 feet of a signalized intersection, preemption should be considered at that location.

Page 6: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Problem Statement

Motivation– The minimum warning time of 20 seconds to the signalized

intersection is not always adequate to safely clear stopped vehicles from the HRGC area.

– The current traffic signal preemption strategies are viewed as a reactive action to trains approaching a nearby HRGC.

– Advance notice of train arrival times at HRGCs can improve signal preemption strategies and reduce accidents.

Page 7: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Problem Statement

General Hypothesis:– The hypothesis of this research is that second generation

technologies can provide accurate advanced notice of train arrival at an HRGC near a signalized intersection of at least a cycle length prior to the arrival of a train at an HRGC.

Page 8: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Problem Statement

Research Objective 1:– Define how the variability of speed measurements from two

2nd generation technology sensors affects the train arrival time estimation at an HRGC in a multi-track environment.

Research Objective 2:– Determine how to best use the multiple sensor speed data to

improve estimations of train arrival time at an HRGC.

Page 9: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Literature Review

Train Detection Technologies:– First Generation: AC-DC, Motion-Sensitive, Constant Warning

Time.

– Second Generation: Doppler Radar, Video Detection, Infrared.

– Third Generation: GPS, Transponders, Positive Train Control.

Page 10: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Literature Review

• NCHRP 271 - Traffic Signal Operations near Highway-Rail Grade Crossings (Korve, 1999)

• An Analysis of Low-Cost Active Warning Devices for Highway-Rail Grade Crossings (Roop et.al., 2005)

• Non-Vital Advance Rail Preemption of Signalized Intersections near Highway-Rail Grade Crossings: Technical Report (Ruback, Balke and Engelbrecht, 2007)

• Estimating Train Speeds Using Fused Data from Multiple Speed Detectors (Zhou, 2007)

Page 11: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Methodology

1st Objective– Collect train speed data using Doppler radar and video image

detection.

– Manual speeds are needed so the performance of both sensors can be compared.

– Two scenarios considered: multiple trains and single train on the tracks.

Page 12: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Speed

Timet1t0

Area = Train Length

Methodology

1st Objective– Train arrival time estimation

methodology from the collected train speed data.

– Required steps to estimate train arrival times: train length and train acceleration estimation.

– Actual train arrival time at the studied HRGC needed to compare the estimations from radar and video.

Page 13: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

TIME UPDATE (Prediction)

MEASUREMENT UPDATE (Correction)

velocity and acceleration kinematics equations

radar and video speed measurements

Fused speed estimations

Kalman Filter Algorithm

Methodology

2nd Objective– Fuse train speed data from Doppler

radar and video image detection.

– Estimate train arrival times using methodology for the 2nd objective.

– Ideally, the fused data should improve the estimates from radar and video detection.

Page 14: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Collection Site

Upstream Salt Creek

Adams St. HRGC

Upstream 44th St.

• UNL HRGC TEST BED

Page 15: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

• Installed equipment helps monitor highway traffic.

• Vehicles are constantly caught stopping at the tracks.

Day/Night Camera aimed at the HRGC

Traffic signal near the HRGC

N Adams St.

Camera Location

Camera field of view

NN

N 35th St.

Adams St.

Data Collection SiteAdams Street HRGC Location

Page 16: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Upstream Salt Creek Location

• Located 1.85 miles upstream of the HRGC location;

• City of Lincoln Public Works installation support;

• Connected to the UNL-ITS Lab via internet.

Data Collection Site

Page 17: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Collection

1st Objective– Video and radar speed data collected at Salt Creek location.

Single train and multiple-train scenarios considered.

– Manual speeds measured by computing railcar length and time interval on recorded videos.

Page 18: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Collection

1st Objective– Actual train arrival times needed

to compare estimations from radar and video.

– Camera time stamps from Salt Creek and HRGC locations used to compute actual train arrival times.

Page 19: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Collection

2nd Objective– Data collected for 1st objectives used.

– Speed data fused using the Kalman filter model and train arrival time estimations obtained from the new speed estimates.

Page 20: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Analysis & Results

1st Objective– Multiple-Train Scenario

RADAR PAIRED T-TEST

T-Statistic P-value95% Confidence Interval for Mean Difference (sec)

1.58 0.14 (-0.61, 3.68)

VIDEO (AUTOSCOPE) PAIRED T-TEST

T-Statistic P-value95% Confidence Interval for Mean Difference (sec)

0.58 0.571 (-2.47, 4.27)

Page 21: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Analysis & Results

1st Objective– Single Train Scenario

RADAR PAIRED T-TEST

T-Statistic P-value95% Confidence Interval for Mean Difference (sec)

3.15 0.007 (0.98, 5.06)

VIDEO (AUTOSCOPE) PAIRED T-TEST

T-Statistic P-value95% Confidence Interval for Mean Difference (sec)

0.09 0.929 (-4.30, 4.69)

Page 22: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Analysis & Results

2nd Objective– Multiple-Train Scenario

KALMAN FILTER PAIRED T-TEST

T-Statistic P-value95% Confidence Interval for Mean Difference (sec)

1.79 0.099 (-0.32, 3.25)

• Kalman filter presented the narrowest 95% C.I.

Page 23: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Analysis & Results

2nd Objective– Single Train Scenario

KALMAN FILTER PAIRED T-TEST

T-Statistic P-value95% Confidence Interval for Mean Difference (sec)

1.44 0.171 (-0.86, 4.44)

• Radar presented the narrowest 95% C.I., but Kalman filter 95% C.I. includes the zero mean difference.

Page 24: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Data Analysis & ResultsTrain Arrival Time Estimation Comparison

MULTIPLE-TRAIN SCENARIO Count PercentageDifference from Actual Arrival

Time

Radar Estimation

Autoscope Estimation

Kalman Filter Estimation

Radar Estimation

Autoscope Estimation

Kalman Filter Estimation

Within +/- 2 seconds

6 4 8 46% 31% 62%

Within +/- 5 seconds

9 7 12 69% 54% 92%

within +/- 10 seconds

13 13 13 100% 100% 100%

SINGLE TRAIN SCENARIO Count PercentageDifference from Actual Arrival

Time

Radar Estimation

Autoscope Estimation

Kalman Filter Estimation

Radar Estimation

Autoscope Estimation

Kalman Filter Estimation

Within +/- 2 seconds

6 6 7 38% 38% 44%

Within +/- 5 seconds

12 7 13 75% 44% 81%

within +/- 10 seconds

15 12 15 94% 75% 94%

Page 25: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Final Remarks

Lessons learned from Doppler radar and video performances will help to develop algorithms to predict train arrival times at HRGCs and improve traffic signal preemption (and safety as well).

Data fusion process showed to be reliable and it could improve train arrival time estimations in a real time system application.

In the event of failure of either sensor, the Kalman filter could still be used to provide consistent measurements.

Page 26: Train Arrival Times At Highway Railroad Grade Crossing

Credits

Federal Railroad Administration (FRA)

Nebraska Department of Roads (NDOR)

City of Lincoln