training, productivity and wages in italy

20
 Training, productivity and wages in Italy Gabriella Conti *  Department of Economics and Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, Wivenhoe Park, Colchester CO43SQ, United Kingdom Abstract This paper presents for the first time panel evidence on the productivity and wage effects of training in Italy. It is based on an original dataset which has been created aggregating individual-level data on training with firm-level data on productivity and wages into an industry panel covering all sectors of the Italian economy for the years 1996–1999. I use several modelling specifications and a variet y of panel data techniques to argue that traini ng signifi cantly boosts productivity . However, no such effect is uncovered for wages. This seems to suggest that firms do actually reap more of the returns. D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.  JEL classification: C23; J24; J31  Keywords: Training; Productivity; Wages 1. Introduction Between 1995 and 2002, the annual growt h rate of hourly labour productivity in manufacturing has been 4.5% in the US, 4.6% in France, 2.4% in Germany and only 0.9% in Italy (OECD, 2002). The Governor of the Bank of Italy, Antonio Fazio, in his  Final Considerations  Q  of this year’s Report to the annual General Meeting, has urged immediate  policy responses to stop the loss of competitiveness suffered by the Italian system. One of the key factors behind such a   productivity gap  Q  has long been recognized in the lack of ability of the Italian labour force to adapt to the everchanging needs of the global market. 0927-5371/$ - see front matter  D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.labeco.2005.05.007 * Tel.: +44 1206 874875.  E-mail address:  gconti@ess ex.ac.uk. Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557–576 www.elsevier.com/locate/econbase

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  • the key factors behind such a bproductivity gapQ has long been recognized in the lack ofability of the Italian labour force to adapt to the everchanging needs of the global market.

    Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576

    www.elsevier.com/locate/econbase1. Introduction

    Between 1995 and 2002, the annual growth rate of hourly labour productivity in

    manufacturing has been 4.5% in the US, 4.6% in France, 2.4% in Germany and only 0.9%

    in Italy (OECD, 2002). The Governor of the Bank of Italy, Antonio Fazio, in his bFinalConsiderationsQ of this years Report to the annual General Meeting, has urged immediatepolicy responses to stop the loss of competitiveness suffered by the Italian system. One ofTraining, productivity and wages in Italy

    Gabriella Conti*

    Department of Economics and Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex,

    Wivenhoe Park, Colchester CO43SQ, United Kingdom

    Abstract

    This paper presents for the first time panel evidence on the productivity and wage effects of

    training in Italy. It is based on an original dataset which has been created aggregating individual-level

    data on training with firm-level data on productivity and wages into an industry panel covering all

    sectors of the Italian economy for the years 19961999. I use several modelling specifications and a

    variety of panel data techniques to argue that training significantly boosts productivity. However, no

    such effect is uncovered for wages. This seems to suggest that firms do actually reap more of the

    returns.

    D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    JEL classification: C23; J24; J31

    Keywords: Training; Productivity; Wages0927-5371/$ -

    doi:10.1016/j.

    * Tel.: +44 1

    E-mail add206 874875.see front matter D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    labeco.2005.05.007

    ress: [email protected].

  • However, notwithstanding the complete redesign of the training system carried out in the

    recent years, Italys performance appears highly unsatisfactory also on this ground. The

    available evidence clearly shows that Italy has one of the lowest values of training

    incidence in the European Union, together with other Mediterranean countries, such as

    Portugal and Greece (Brunello, 2002).

    These facts appear rather puzzling if analysed in the light of rigorous and sound

    economic theory. The recent approach to training in imperfect labour markets (Stevens,

    1994a,b,c and 1996; Acemoglu and Pischke, 1998 and 1999a,b) points to some forms of

    labour market imperfections as driving a wedge between increases in wages and increases

    in productivity, allowing the firms to recoup some of the costs of training, and fostering

    their incentives to invest in it. This is consistent with some empirical findings which show

    a lower level of on-the-job training in the US compared to Germany and Japan (Lynch,

    1994). However, this is not true for Italy. Italy is on the top of ranking of regulated labour

    markets, with a strong role of unions in wage bargaining, and high hiring and firing costs.

    However, in sharp contrasts with the predictions of the theory, Italy is trapped in a low-

    training equilibrium.

    The research presented in this paper is an attempt to shed some light on this puzzle,

    testing for training effects on labour productivity and wages. Many studies have tried to

    establish this link in an international context. However, no such work has been done for

    Italy. Moreover, the available literature has achieved controversial results, which seem

    to depend strongly on the training measure used, the modelling specifications and the

    estimation techniques adopted, and the controls included in the empirical model.

    Overall, the majority of the studies have found a positive impact of training on

    productivity, although often not significant. In addition, some forms of training (general

    training and off-the-job training) seem to have a greater effect. This study takes stock of

    the available knowledge, and tries to overcome the limitations of the previous studies in

    several ways.

    First of all, due to the lack of longitudinal data, many studies have failed to control

    for unobserved heterogeneity (Black and Lynch, 1995 and 1996), and potential

    endogeneity of training (Bartel, 1994; Bishop, 1994; Barrett and OConnell, 2001);

    longitudinal data with repeated training information have become available only recently

    (Black and Lynch, 2001; Dearden et al., 2000; Ballot et al., 2001; Zwick, 2002). This

    paper deals with both the issues of unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity of

    training, by using a variety of panel data techniques on an original dataset which

    contains longitudinal information on training and measures of corporate productivity

    covering all sectors of the Italian economy for the years 19961999. Coherently with the

    previous literature, I show that failing to take into account these issues leads to severe

    biases in the estimates.

    Secondly, most of the available studies have used a flow measure of training, due to

    the lack of an appropriate measure of the stock of human capital. However, measuring

    training participation only over a relatively short period of time fails to take into account

    the role played by skills accumulated during the working life. The richness of the

    database allows me to overcome also this limitation. So, I construct a stock measure of

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576558training, using a question which has been consistently asked over time in the Italian

    Labour Force Survey.

  • used for the empirical estimation. A simple empirical framework to analyze the impact oftraining on productivity and wages is specified in Section 3. Section 4 is devoted to the

    presentation and the discussion of the results. A section of concluding remarks and

    directions for future research closes the paper.

    2. The data

    The empirical analysis is based on a original panel which has been created merging two

    different complementary datasets. In doing so, I have followed the methodology adopted

    by Dearden et al. (2000). I have used the 19961999 waves of the Italian Labour Force

    Survey (April quarter), assembled with accounting data on firms for the corresponding

    years, drawn from the AIDA Database. The reason for this choice relies on the fact that no

    one Italian dataset contains the information on training and measures of corporate

    performance required for this kind of analysis.

    The first database used is the Italian Labour Force Survey. This is a household-level

    survey carried out with a detailed questionnaire every quarter (in the months of January,

    April, July and October) since 1959. Around 75,000 households are interviewed every

    three months, for a total of approximately 200,000 individuals. From the LFS I gather

    information on training, personal characteristics of the individuals (sex, age, region of

    residence), measures of their skills (educational qualification and occupation), job

    characteristics (hours of work) and workplace characteristics (industry sector). The

    sample includes all men and women aged between 15 and 64 inclusive who were

    employed at the time of the survey (including the self-employed).Thirdly, many studies have used very parsimonious specifications both in terms of the

    modelling strategy adopted and in terms of the controls for firms and workers

    characteristics included in the empirical model. In this paper, I use several different

    specifications of the baseline model (an augmented Cobb-Douglas production function), in

    order to relax the assumption of constant returns to scale and to evaluate the effect of

    training on the growth of labour productivity and wages. In addition, the richness of the

    database allows me to control for a plethora of firms and workers characteristics,

    including another important intangible investment of the firm, namely R&D, and other

    measures of workers skills, such as education. I show that the results are sensitive to the

    modelling specification adopted, and that the inclusion of several controls significantly

    reduces the magnitude and the level of significance of the estimated returns.

    Finally, following Dearden et al. (2000), the production function estimates are explicitly

    compared with the wage equations. This is important to examine how the benefits from

    training are shared between the firms and the workers. The recent models of training in

    imperfect labour markets predict that the benefits from training do not fully accrue to the

    workers. I show that firms do indeed reap most of the returns: the main finding I obtain is

    that training significantly boosts productivity, while no significant effect is uncovered for

    wages. This result is robust to alternative specifications.

    The outline of the paper is as follows. In Section 2 I describe the data and the variables

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576 559Two main training questions are asked in the LFS. The first refers to courses undertaken

    by the individual in the month before the interview, and has changed slightly in 1998;

  • however, it was possible to build up a consistent series because the basic structure of the

    question was unchanged. The question in 19961997 was: bDuring the month before theinterview, have you attended any of the following courses?Q1; then, in 19981999 it wasrephrased as: bDuring the month before the reference week, have you attended any of thefollowing courses or have you taken part in any of the following on-the-job training

    activities?Q.2 The main drawback with this training measure is that it is a flow variable. Inorder to derive a measure of the workers stock of post-schooling human capital, I have

    used the answer to the second major question available in the LFS, which refers to training

    received by the individual during his whole life. In 19961997 the question was: bWhat isthe highest level of vocational training achieved during your life?Q; in 19981999 it wasrephrased as: bDuring your life have you concluded a vocational training course or haveyou taken part in an on-the job training activity?Q. I have used this question, combinedwith the previous information on current training, to calculate the stock of post-schooling

    human capital in each year.3

    Most of the literature uses the current level of training to measure the stock of human

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576560capital in the firm. However, this procedure is correct only if one assumes fully

    depreciation of the skills after one period. Moreover, it is not consistent with the

    underlying theory.4 Henceforth, in this paper I have followed a different procedure.

    Following Boon and van der Eijken (1998), I have constructed the stock of human capital

    as the sum of the proportion of workers trained at time t in industry i (the flow) and the

    stock of the previous year,5 taking into account depreciation, according to the Perpetual

    Inventory Method:

    TRAINit FLOWit 1 d STOCKi;t1 1

    where y measures the depreciation rate of the human capital. Since an exact value fory is essentially unknown, I have experimented with various rates of depreciation. Theresults were not sensitive to different values, within a plausible range 5%35%, so I

    1 The information collected in this question refers exclusively to courses which are connected with the current

    job, or relevant for a job that the interviewed might be able to do in the future.2 In the 19961997 questionnaire, a list of 10 courses was available; in 1998, this number was increased to 14

    courses, and in 1999 two more options were added. These additions have been necessary in order to take into

    account the greater range of options available, following the introduction of the reform in the training system after

    the Treu Law 175/98.3 Along with the type of courses attended, the LFS also contains additional information related to training

    undertaken in the month preceding the interview, such as the scope of the course, its overall duration, the number

    of weekly hours of training (only available for the years 19961997). However, the focus on the stock of

    accumulated post-schooling human capital, combined with the great amount of non-response, hampered the use

    of these additional questions.4 Some papers calculate the stock of training by cumulating past flows: however, this methodology suffers from

    the weakness of not having suitable initial values.5 The availability of LFS data for 1995 (April quarter) allowed me to obtain a measure of the stock of human

    capital with reliable starting values also for 1996. Moreover, I have used the answer to the question at t1 inorder to avoid double-counting: although the question refers to the training already concluded, and not stillongoing, there is a small chance that the worker would have completed the course in the beginning of the

    preceding month, hence referring to the same episode in both replies.

  • have chosen a value of y=0.15, taking the estimates derived in Groot (1998) as abenchmark.6 Moreover, I have controlled for turnover in all the estimated specifications, in

    order to take into account the loss in human capital arising from separations. It is crucial to

    account for reallocation of workers across industries, since the stock measure is derived

    from information on past courses, but the exact reference period is not known. Henceforth,

    it could be well the case that the training course was attended while the worker was

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576 561employed in a different sector. Since I dont follow the same workers over time, I cannot

    derive a proper measure of turnover at individual level; however, including controls for

    inflow and outflow rates across different sectors will control for much of this problem.

    Moreover, each year at least 40% of the workers interviewed reported that they had

    completed a formal course in a school with duration of at least one year and release of final

    certificate: henceforth, it is reasonable to believe that the training undertaken mostly

    provides portable skills, which are likely to have a long-lasting impact on productivity.

    Finally, given that we are most likely to see workers moving across sectors in case of wage

    and productivity gains, we should see the effect of the initial training even if this training is

    not directly relevant in the current job.

    The second source used in this paper is AIDA (Analisi Informatizzata delle Aziende).

    This is a private database,7 which provides accounting information from the balance sheets

    of all Italian companies with an annual turnover higher than one million Euros.8 The

    original sample contained 189,059 firms, covering a ten-year period from 1993 to 2002.

    However, an accurate work of data cleaning has reduced the sample size. In the first place,

    observations for years before 1996 have been excluded, due to severe reduction in the

    number of firms with reported information compared to the following years: preserving

    those observations would have severely affected the representativeness of the sample, due

    to the fact that only information for a smaller subset of firms is available for the early

    years. Secondly, the years subsequent to 1999 have been excluded, due to the impossibility

    of deriving a consistent series for the training variable in the Labour Force Survey. Then,

    40,141 firms (332,936 observations) have been excluded due to incomplete balance sheets,

    and further 16,543 firms (45,673 observations) for lack of consistency between specific

    budget items. Henceforth, the final sample is an unbalanced panel of 132,039 firms,

    covering all sectors of the Italian economy for the years 19961999. From the AIDA

    database I have derived information on value added, wages, capital stocks, R&D

    expenditure and employment. Real values have been obtained by deflating the nominal

    measures with two digit producer price indices for the different years provided by ISTAT

    (the Central Statistics Institute).

    The data drawn from the two datasets have then been aggregated into proportions

    (for the variables training, male, age, education and occupation, taken from the LFS)

    6 Groot (1998) develops a model to estimate the rate of depreciation of human capital. He estimates the model

    on data for Great Britain and the Netherlands, and finds that the rate of depreciation of education is 1117% per

    year. Since there is no reason to believe that economic and technological changes happen at a faster rate in Italy

    than in UK or the Netherlands, I have used an average value of 15% in my estimations.7 It is provided by Bureau van Dijk.8 It is important to note that the absence of any dimensional limit constitutes one of the main strenghts of thedatabase used, given the structural composition of the Italian industry, mainly formed of small and medium

    enterprises.

  • Table 1

    Training incidence by sector

    Rank ATECO2002 Description Flow(%) Stock(%)

    1 11 Education, Health and related Social Services 10.74 43.38

    2 8 Finance, Banking and Real Estate 8.12 37.29

    3 2 Energy, Mining and Quarrying 5.96 35.46

    4 9 Business Services and other Professional Activities 5.79 32.39

    5 12 Community, Social and Personal Services 4.44 27.26

    6 7 Transports and Communication 3.72 23.49

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576562and averages (for the variables value added, wages, capital stock, R&D expenditure,

    hours worked and employees) at industry9 level, and then merged. The rationale behind

    this choice relies on the different level of aggregation available in the two datasets: while

    the AIDA database contains data disaggregated at the firm level (5digit ATECO2002),

    the Labour Force Survey only provides divisional information at a higher level of

    aggregation (12 sectors). Aggregating the data also at regional level has, henceforth,

    two advantages: on the one side, it increases the level of disaggregation in a

    geographical dimension, on the other, it allows to take into account the high

    productivity differentials and the marked disparities in industry agglomeration and

    labour market outcomes existing in the Italian regions. As argued in Dearden et al.

    (2000) aggregation allows to capture the within-industry spillovers that would be left

    out in case of a firm- or individual-level analysis,10 although the advantages arising

    from this methodology have to be weighed against the possible problems due to

    aggregation bias (see Grunfeld and Griliches, 1960).

    Ideally, the aggregation process would have left me with data on 228 industries over 4

    7 3 Manufacturing 2.65 22.15

    8 5 Wholesale and Retail Trade 2.09 17.96

    9 6 Hotels and Restaurants 1.98 19.77

    10 4 Construction 1.79 17.97

    11 1 Agriculture 1.54 11.91years, for a total of 912 data points. After cleaning the AIDA database, I was left with 228

    industries, for a total of 866 observations. However, I was worried about the quality of the

    data in some cells with a very low number of firms. The majority of these industries were

    operating in the public sector, and a closer inspection of the data revealed that the series

    were quite unreliable,11 so I decided, somewhat reluctantly, to drop the cells containing

    less than 20 firms, otherwise the measurement error in the micro data would have been

    9 Here industry is defined as a cluster of firms located in the same region and operating in the same sector of

    activity. The sectors are coded according to the ATECO2002 classification, using a 2digit level of disaggregation

    into 12 sectos. The number of regions amounts to 19, due to the lack of information on one of the smaller regions

    in the North of Italy (Val dAosta) in the Labour Force Survey. Dropping it corresponded to a loss of only 318

    observations in the AIDA database; moreover, further 18 observations were excluded as consisting of firms

    located outside Italy.10 The new growth theory (see Aghion and Howitt, 1998) has stressed the role played by human capital

    externalities in fostering long-term economic performance.11 Measuring productivity and wages in the public sector is a well-known difficult problem.

  • Table 2

    Summary statistics (pooled sample)

    Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max.

    Proportions

    Stock of training 0.243 0.115 0.028 0.680

    Flow of training 0.039 0.036 0 0.214

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576 563Male employees 0.665 0.181 0.251 1

    1524 0.091 0.044 0.005 0.267

    2534 0.280 0.068 0.054 0.567

    3544 0.290 0.051 0.156 0.517

    4554 0.234 0.057 0.097 0.500

    5564 0.114 0.058 0 0.468

    Degree/postdegree 0.096 0.117 0 0.468

    Upper-secondary 0.284 0.135 0.041 0.711

    Vocational 0.072 0.046 0 0.285

    Compulsory education 0.548 0.220 0.089 0.941

    Levels

    Log real value added per employee 10.701 0.367 9.152 14.219exacerbated and worsened attenuation bias.12 The final sample consists of 176 industry

    groupings observed over a maximum period of 4 years, for a total of 633 data points used

    in the empirical estimates.

    The basic characteristics of the matched sample are described in the following two

    tables. Table 1 illustrates the incidence of training across sectors,13 ranking each of them

    both by its propensity to train,14 and by the stock of accumulated post-schooling human

    capital of their workforce.15 It can be readily seen that high-training industries are those

    providing services of different nature; this seems pretty obvious, given that this kind of

    businesses crucially rely on the role of human resources. The high ranking of Finance,

    Banking and Real Estate also comes at no surprise, given the intensive use of computers

    12 These accounted for 26.9% of the original sample, but only for 16.9% of the total employment.13 The absence of sector 10, Public Administration, Defence and Social Insurance, is a consequence of the

    sample selection procedure outlined above.14 Here I refer to propensity to train as the proportion of workers who have attended a course in the four weeks

    preceding the interview, according to the question asked in the LFS.15 The second variable is the derived measure of training, obtained following the procedure outlined above.

    Log real wage per employee 9.894 0.272 8.527 13.742

    Log capital-labour ratio 10.823 0.712 8.435 14.208

    Log R&D expenditure per employee 5.063 1.447 0 9.054

    Average hours worked 40.5 3.5 29.4 48.9

    Average firm size 138.9 626.1 7.6 8137.9

    Growth rates

    Labour productivity 0.028 0.177 1.474 1.218Wages 0.033 0.153 1.495 1.249Inflow rate 0.061 0.163 0 1.351

    Outflow rate 0.109 0.203 0 1.638

  • Table 3

    Summary statistics (pooled sample)

    Variable High training Low training

    Proportions

    Stock of training 0.331 0.155

    Flow of training 0.061 0.016

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576564Male employees 0.609 0.721

    Age 1524 0.083 0.098

    Age 2534 0.289 0.271

    Age 3544 0.306 0.274

    Age 4554 0.236 0.233

    Age 5564 0.085 0.124

    Degree/postdegree 0.155 0.036

    Upper-secondary 0.347 0.222

    Vocational 0.084 0.060

    Compulsory education 0.413 0.682

    Levels

    Log real value added per employee 10.771 10.632and IT equipments in these sectors. By the same token, also the high training incidence

    observed in the Energy, Mining and Quarrying sector is to be expected, since these

    industries use specialized equipment and require stringent safety measures. Finally, the

    low ranking of industries in Transport and Communication and in Manufacturing sectors

    are not surprising, if we take into account the peculiar industrial structure in Italy, mainly

    characterized by small and medium enterprises (SMEs), specialized in products with a low

    technological content (such as clothing, furnishing and electrical appliances), and

    employing low-skilled labour. The skill content of the workforce also holds as an

    explanation for the low ranking of firms in the Trade, Tourism, Construction and

    Agricultural Sector.16

    Log real wage per employee 9.949 9.838

    Log capital-labour ratio 10.809 10.836

    Log R&D expenditure per employee 4.976 5.150

    Average hours worked 38.71 42.37

    Average firm size 226.74 49.33

    Growth rates

    Labour productivity 0.043 0.012

    Wages 0.042 0.024

    Inflow rate 0.068 0.053

    Outflow rate 0.099 0.121

    16 Note that the ranking of the sectors does not change according to whether we consider the flow or the stock

    measure of training. However, in case of the Trade sector, only 19.81% of the workforce has already attended a

    training course during the lifetime, while the proportion is 21.68% for the Tourism sector. The differences

    between the two measures, however, can be easily reconciled if one thinks that usually those employed in hotels

    and restaurant are specifically trained for this job at the beginning of the holiday season, so it is understandable to

    find a lower proportion of these workers being trained in March, which is the month the question in the LFS refers

    to.

  • Summary statistics for the variables used in this paper are provided in Table 2. It is

    worth noting that, after having accounted for depreciation, there is quite enough

    variation in the stock of training of the workforce across the industries, ranging from a

    minimum of 2.8% to a maximum of 68%. On the contrary, 2917 industries report 0

    training propensity: the lack of sufficient variation in this measure hinders the possibility

    of using it to identify the effect of training. The table also shows that the sample consists

    mainly of middle-aged male employees working on average 40.5 hours a week in a

    medium-sized firm,18 among whom more than a half has attained only a compulsory level

    of education.

    Finally, in Table 3 I split the sample into dhigh-trainingT and dlow-trainingTindustries, according to the stock of human capital embodied in their workforce.19 High

    training industries are mainly composed by larger firms, who employ more middle-aged

    female workers with a higher level of education, who work fewer hours, are more

    productive and get paid higher wages as expected. Moreover, they also experience a higher

    it is assumed that the production function for the economy is represented by a standard

    Cobb-Douglas:

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576 565Q ALaKb 2where Q is value added,23 L is effective labour, K is capital, and A is a Hicks-neutral

    technology parameter. Following Dearden et al. (2000), under the assumption that

    17 This amounts to 16.5% of the sample.18 It is worth stressing that the dimensionality of the firm in the database is representative of the Italian economy,

    mainly formed by SMEs.19 Here the criterion is the median training stock, which amounts to 0.217. However, very similar numbers and

    the same relative proportions are obtained if the sample is split according to the median training intensity.20 It is also worth noting that productivity and wages are closely linked in high-training industries, whereas

    workers in low-training industries experience greater increases in wages.21 These corresponds to the mean inter-industry inflow and outflow rates, and have been calculated as the

    absolute change in industry-level employment between t and t1 divided by the average employment in the twoperiods. They provide a measure of workers reallocation across sectors. In order to derive them, data on

    employment in 1995 have been used; given the relevant amount of missing values for those years, inflow and

    outflow dummies have been included in all the estimations in order to preserve the sample size.22 Since some industries in the sample do not invest in R&D at all, in order not to furtherly reduce the sample

    size, I have used a small value (1 euro) for their R&D stock. Hence, a dummy variable is added in al the estimated

    models, which equals 1 for those industries not engaging in R&D activities, and 0 otherwise.23rate of labour productivity and wage growth,20 and have a higher inflow and a lower

    outflow rate.21 The fact that high-training industries are less capital intensive and engage

    less in R&D22 can be easily explained by noting that the majority of these industries

    operates in the service sector.

    3. The model

    Following a modelling strategy consolidated in the literature (see Dearden et al., 2000),Griliches and Ringstad (1971) list numerous justifications for the value-added specification of the production

    function.

  • G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576566training has a positive effect on workers productivity, effective labour can be written

    as:

    L NU cNT 3

    where NU are untrained workers and NT are trained workers (and we expect gN1).Substitution of Eq. (3) into (2) yields:

    Q A NU cNT aKb 4which, after some manipulations, can be rewritten as:

    Q A 1 c 1 TRAIN aNaKb 5

    where TRAIN =NT/N represents the proportion of trained workers in an industry. The

    production function can be rewritten in logarithmic form as:24

    lnQ lnA a c 1 TRAIN alnN blnK 6

    Finally, under the assumption of constant returns to scale, Eq. (6) can be respecified in

    per-capita terms as:

    lnQ

    N

    lnA 1 b c 1 TRAIN bln K

    N

    7

    where the dependent variable, labour productivity, is measured as the natural logarithm of

    real value added per employee from the balance sheets, TRAIN is the proportion of trained

    workers in an industry, and ln KN

    is measured as the natural logarithm of the real value of

    tangible fixed assets from the balance sheets (plant and machinery, land and buildings,

    tools and equipment).

    Following Dearden et al. (2000), I have firstly estimated the above production function,

    in order to assess the effect of training on the average level of productivity for the

    economy in the years 19961999; in a second step, I have estimated a wage equation

    keeping the same explanatory variables, in order to compare the gains from training

    accruing to firms and to workers. Both equations can be expressed in terms of the

    following general specification:

    yit a b1TRAIN b2Xit eit 8

    where yit is the outcome of interest (labour productivity or wages), Xit the vector of

    explanatory variables, and qit = fi+uit, i.e. the error term is composed of a time-invariantindustry-specific effect, and a time-varying white noise.

    Eq. (8), however, may suffer from the major weakness that some of the regressors could

    be correlated with the error term due to the presence of industry-specific time-invariant24 Here I use the approximation ln(1+x)=x, assuming (g1)TRAIN is small.

  • factors.25 To deal with this potential source of bias, a first-difference version of Eq. (8) has

    been estimated:

    yi;t yi;t1 b1 TRAINit TRAINi;t1 b2 Xit Xi;t1 eit ei;t1 9

    This equation relates productivity growth to the change in the proportion of trained

    workers. As argued in Barrett et al. (2001), the assumption underlying this model points to

    the change in the stock of human capital, rather than the flow, as the main factor fostering

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576 567long-term economic performance.

    In addition, in order to avoid omitted variable bias (and hence overestimate the true

    returns to training), in the empirical estimation I have included several controls, taking into

    account observed heterogeneity both in the workers dimension (by adding proxies for

    human capital such as age and education), and in the firms dimension (by including per-

    capita expenditure in R&D as a proxy for the rate of innovation); I have also controlled for

    gender, working hours, and inflow and outflow rates. Time dummies have been included

    to control for time-varying effects, such as the impact of technological progress or some

    other unobserved factor linked to the business cycle. Finally, several estimation techniques

    have been applied: firstly, the model has been estimated using standard linear techniques

    and the within-group estimator. However, for short panels the consistency of the latter

    estimator requires the regressors to be strictly exogenous, which is not a suitable

    assumption in the present case, because transitory shocks on productivity could be

    correlated with training26 (as well as the other inputs), resulting in an underestimation of

    the true returns. Hence, I have drawn on more recent advances in the Generalized Method

    of Moments techniques to deal with this limitations. The GMM handles not only

    unobserved heterogeneity, but also potential endogeneity of training. In the original First-

    Difference GMM estimator developed by Arellano and Bond (1991), and then extended by

    Arellano and Bover (1995), the variables are first-differenced, in order to eliminate time-

    invariant industry-specific effects, and the predetermined and endogenous variables in first

    differences are instrumented with suitable lags of their own levels, in order to correct for

    simultaneity. However, it is well known that the original Arellano-Bond estimator has poor

    finite sample properties when the lagged levels of a series are weak instruments for the

    first differences, especially for variables which are close to a random walk.27 Blundell and

    Bond (1998 and 2000) described how to increase efficiency by taking into account

    additional nonlinear moment conditions, which corresponds to adding T2 equations in

    levels to the system,28 in which pre-determined and endogenous variables in levels are

    instrumented with suitable lags of their own differences. The so-called extended System-

    GMM estimator, as any valid instrumental variable strategy, handles not only endogeneity,

    25 For example, technological change may occur at a faster rate in some industries, having an impact on both the

    regressors and the dependent variable: in this case, cross-section estimates are inconsistent.26 For example, firms may choose to train the workforce in periods in which the demand is low.27 Griliches and Mairesse (1997) have noted that this a severe problem especially in the context of the

    production functions. If the variables evolve in a random walk like fashion, the past levels have no power as

    instruments for the current growth rates, unless one assumes the existence of lags in adjustments to shocks, in

    which case, nonentheless, the power of the internal instruments is rather low.28 The additional equations come from the moment restriction: E (qitDqi,t1)=0, where i indexes the industry,and t =3, 4,. . .,T is the total number of periods in which the industry is present.

  • but it should also correct for bias arising from transitory measurement error both in the

    dependent variable and the regressors. I have implemented the two-step version of the

    heterogeneity both in an observed and in an unobserved dimension. However, endogeneity

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576568and serial correlation must be taken into account in the context of production functions:

    shocks in productivity might be well correlated with training, since firms can adjust their

    29 In Monte Carlo simulations it has often been found that the asymptotic standard errors of the efficient two-stepextended GMM-SYS estimator using the finite-sample correction for the two-step

    covariance matrix developed by Windmeijer (2000).29

    4. The results

    Table 4 presents the results for the productivity regressions. In Model 1, training is

    measured in levels, as the proportion of workers who have accumulated post-schooling

    skills during their working life, using the TRAIN variable derived following the

    methodology outlined above. Firstly I have estimated the OLS as a reference. Training

    has a positive and significant effect on labour productivity in the basic specification which

    includes only capital, R&D and hours worked as controls; however, this impact is clearly

    overstated, since the coefficient becomes negative and significant after controlling for

    inflow and outflow rates, workers observed characteristics (sex and age) and skills

    (education). This could be well a signal of endogeneity. In fact, fixed effect estimates

    recover a positive impact of training on labour productivity, which remains significant

    with a high point estimate also after conditioning upon the full set of controls. Turning to

    the other variables, the coefficient on the capital-labor ratio is highly significant, and its

    magnitude confirms the existence of constant returns to scale, since the share of the wage

    bill in value added is about 0.46. Productivity appears to fall in hours worked, but the

    effect is well determined only in the baseline model. Lastly, R&D expenditure has a strong

    and significant impact on productivity only in the simplest specification. However, the

    negative sign of the coefficient seems to be mainly driven by endogeneity: when

    reestimating all the equations using the lagged value, the coefficient reverts to a positive

    sign, and the effect of training is reinforced (the coefficient is 0.449 with a level of

    significance of 1%). The estimation results for the first-difference version of this model

    (the last four columns in Table 4) confirm the robustness of the main finding: the change in

    the stock of accumulated human capital has a positive effect on labour productivity

    growth, with a level of significance stable at 5% across all different specifications. This

    confirms the fact that training has also a long-lasting effect on industry productivity.

    Turning to the other variables, the capital-labour ratio maintains the high level of

    significance achieved in the equations in levels, while R&D and hours worked are poorly

    estimated. On the other side, both measures of turnover exhibit positive and highly

    significant coefficients: this seems to suggest that a higher speed of reallocation of workers

    across sectors leads to a better match, which fosters productivity.

    Until now the estimation techniques adopted have taken into account industriesGMM estimator are severely downward biased in small samples. Windmeijer (2000) has developed a variance

    correction to increase the accuracy of the inference in two-step GMM estimations, and overcome this limitation.

  • Table 4

    Production function estimates

    Model 1 OLS(1) OLS(2) FE(1) FE(2) Model 2 OLS(1) OLS(2) FE(1) FE(2)

    Train(%) 0.234 (0.130) 0.424 (0.178) 0.322 (0.167) 0.349 (0.172) DTrain(%) 0.314 (0.132) 0.343 (0.144) 0.383 (0.159) 0.376 (0.159)Ln(K/N) 0.333 (0.017) 0.330 (0.018) 0.431 (0.027) 0.431 (0.028) DLn(K/N) 0.314 (0.025) 0.317 (0.026) 0.399 (0.032) 0.392 (0.032)Ln(R&D/N) 0.029 (0.009) 0.015 (0.009) 0.016 (0.009) 0.017 (0.010) DLn(R&D/N) 0.006 (0.008) 0.005 (0.008) 0.003 (0.009) 0.002 (0.009)Ln(Hours/N) 0.919 (0.169) 0.365 (0.318) 0.236 (0.346) 0.315 (0.364) DLn(Hours/N) 0.124 (0.281) 0.102 (0.299) 0.451 (0.338) 0.354 (0.343)Inflow(%) 0.044 (0.073) 0.045 (0.059) 0.018 (0.047) 0.007 (0.048) DInflow(%) 0.079 (0.034) 0.087 (0.035) 0.133 (0.038) 0.127 (0.038)Outflow(%) 0.078 (0.062) 0.066 (0.049) 0.027 (0.039) 0.024 (0.039) DOutflow(%) 0.040 (0.031) 0.045 (0.031) 0.071 (0.032) 0.065 (0.035)Male 0.381 (0.158) 0.152 (0.251) DMale 0.441 (0.202) 0.558 (0.224)Age 2534 0.171 (0.408) 0.393 (0.389) DAge 2534 0.005 (0.318) 0.028 (0.363)Age 3544 0.404 (0.396) 0.404 (0.381) DAge 3544 0.343 (0.303) 0.337 (0.329)Age 4554 0.470 (0.048) 0.127 (0.396) DAge 4554 0.202 (0.318) 0.374 (0.351)Age 5564 0.193 (0.429) 0.395 (0.458) DAge 5564 0.176 (0.363) 0.270 (0.413)Degree/post 0.391 (0.327) 0.022 (0.433) DDegree/post 0.527 (0.344) 1.013 (0.393)Uppersec 0.238 (0.217) 0.294 (0.238) DUppersec 0.466 (0.195) 0.588 (0.217)Vocational 0.168 (0.435) 0.060 (0.408) DVocational 0.515 (0.329) 0.495 (0.372)R2 0.428 0.669 0.407 0.413 R2 0.283 0.292 0.411 0.451

    NT 633 633 633 633 NT 456 456 456 456

    Dependent variable: log(value added per worker) in Model 1, change in log(value added per worker) in Model 2.

    All models include year dummies, R&D dummies, inflow and outflow dummies. Models OLS(2) also include region and sector dummies.

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  • inputs to changes in demand, as outlined above. Henceforth, the GMM-estimator has been

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576570implemented to overcome the limitations of the techniques previously adopted. The results

    are presented in Table 5. Each regression includes all the variables used in the previous

    estimations, but only the results on the variables more closely related to the production

    process are reported.30 In the first column, the First-Difference GMM is firstly estimated

    as a benchmark. The coefficient on training is positive, with a magnitude that resembles

    the one obtained in the previous specification, but fails to achieve significance at a

    conventional level. Furthermore, the coefficient on capital is unreasonably low: this is in

    line with what shown by Blundell and Bond (1998): the lagged levels of a series provide

    weak instruments for the first differences, and produce implausibly low estimates

    because measurement error in the explanatory variables bias the coefficients towards

    zero. Consequently, I have implemented the full two-step GMM system estimator, using

    the finite-sample correction for the two-step covariance matrix proposed by Windmeijer

    (2000). Training recovers significance at a conventional level, and the coefficient on

    capital is doubled. In the next four columns, I have respectively added a lag for the

    dependent variable, the training variable, and for capital, hours worked, R&D and the

    turnover rates. The coefficient on training varies somehow across the different

    specifications, but it is always strongly significant and with a higher point estimate

    than the one estimated when treating it as exogenous. The other variables included also

    exhibit highly significant values, and they have the expected sign; in particular, it should

    be noted that, while the current levels of R&D fail to achieve significance, its lagged

    levels are positive and significant at 10%. All the specifications easily pass all the

    diagnostics tests.

    In order to check the robustness of the results obtained in the dynamic specification, I

    included employment (and eventually its lag) to test for non-constant returns: only in one

    case the coefficient achieved a level of significance of 10%, but in that case the diagnostics

    exhibited clear evidence of misspecification; furthermore, when included in the full

    dynamic model (last column), employment and its lag were jointly insignificant with a p-

    value of 0.24.

    Now Ill turn to discuss the wage equation results. In order to ease comparability, I have

    used exactly the same models as in the productivity regression. There is no significant

    effect of training on wages in the static model of Table 6; in particular, when controlling

    for skills using linear estimation techniques, the coefficient becomes negative and

    significant, suggesting some form of endogenous effect similar to the one known as

    dAshenfelters dipT. All the other variables are conventionally signed. Turning to theresults for the model in first differences, a positive and significant impact of the increase in

    the stock of trained workforce on wage growth is uncovered, which seems suggestive of

    the existence of a long-run effect of accumulated skills on the earnings of the individuals.

    Finally, Table 7 presents the estimation results for the GMM estimation of the effect of

    training on wages. When taking endogeneity into account, the estimated coefficients fail to

    achieve significance at a conventional level in all the specifications adopted. Turning to

    the effect of the other variables, industries with a high capital-labour ratio and engaging30 Full results are available from the author upon request.

  • Table 5

    Production function estimates

    Model 1 GMM-FD GMM-SYS(1) GMM-SYS(2) GMM-SYS(3) GMM-SYS(4) GMM-SYS(5)

    Ln(vadd/N)t1 0.516 (0.088) 0.505 (0.084) 0.527 (0.082) 0.502 (0.079)Train(%) 0.313 (0.210) 0.334 (0.203) 0.317 (0.168) 0.383 (0.147) 0.451 (0.177) 0.408 (0.183)

    Train(%)t1 0.412 (0.279) 0.431 (0.293) 0.349 (0.282)Ln(K/N) 0.153 (0.068) 0.317 (0.056) 0.246 (0.050) 0.254 (0.044) 0.348 (0.057) 0.336 (0.055)

    Ln(K/N)t1 0.134 (0.057) 0.131 (0.055)Ln(R&D/N) 0.006 (0.029) 0.006 (0.023) 0.013 (0.018) 0.013 (0.016) 0.026 (0.016) 0.021 (0.017)Ln(R&D/N)t1 0.037 (0.015) 0.035 (0.014)Ln(Hours/N) 0.359 (0.583) 0.942 (0.558) 0.432 (0.398) 0.526 (0.420) 0.199 (0.424) 0.293 (0.398)Ln(Hours/N)t1 0.710 (0.455) 0.732 (0.464)Inflow(%) 0.062 (0.055) 0.006 (0.087) 0.166 (0.134) 0.166 (0.145) 0.139 (0.137) 0.132 (0.135)Inflow(%)t1 0.018 (0.075) 0.039 (0.085)Outflow(%) 0.095 (0.061) 0.060 (0.065) 0.359 (0.133) 0.344 (0.121) 0.303 (0.117) 0.299 (0.113)Outflow(%)t1 0.059 (0.047) 0.054 (0.040)Hansen test 0.315 0.306 0.292 0.250 0.236 0.166

    AR(1) test 0.001 0.001 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.005

    AR(2) test 0.441 0.955

    NT 456 456 456 456 456 456

    Dependent variable: log(value added per worker).

    All models include year dummies, R&D dummies, inflow and outflow dummies.

    All the variables are treated as endogenous (except the dummies).

    Model GMM-SYS(5) includes lags for all the variables.

    p-values are reported for AR(1), AR(2) and Hansen tests. A full stop in the AR(2) test box indicates that no output has been reported: the residuals and the L(2) residuals

    have no obs in common, so the AR(2) is trivially zero.

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  • Table 6

    Wage equation estimates

    Model 1 OLS(1) OLS(2) FE(1) FE(2) Model 2 OLS(1) OLS(2) FE(1) FE(2)

    Train(%) 0.059 (0.112) 0.459 (0.167) 0.203 (0.172) 0.215 (0.176) DTrain(%) 0.253 (0.123) 0.305 (0.134) 0.319 (0.157) 0.287 (0.156)Ln(K/N) 0.171 (0.014) 0.177 (0.017) 0.342 (0.028) 0.339 (0.029) DLn(K/N) 0.184 (0.023) 0.187 (0.024) 0.234 (0.032) 0.225 (0.031)Ln(R&D/N) 0.017 (0.008) 0.001 (0.008) 0.003 (0.010) 0.003 (0.010) DLn(R&D/N) 0.005 (0.008) 0.004 (0.008) 0.003 (0.009) 0.004 (0.009)Ln(Hours/N) 0.959 (0.145) 0.537 (0.299) 0.245 (0.355) 0.273 (0.373) DLn(Hours/N) 0.164 (0.262) 0.136 (0.280) 0.435 (0.334) 0.343 (0.336)Inflow(%) 0.021 (0.062) 0.080 (0.056) 0.085 (0.048) 0.073 (0.135) DInflow(%) 0.030 (0.032) 0.025 (0.033) 0.004 (0.037) 0.001 (0.037)Outflow(%) 0.070 (0.053) 0.033 (0.047) 0.017 (0.040) 0.010 (0.041) DOutflow(%) 0.044 (0.029) 0.049 (0.029) 0.066 (0.034) 0.071 (0.034)Male 0.499 (0.148) 0.030 (0.258) DMale 0.341 (0.189) 0.480 (0.219)Age 2534 0.061 (0.383) 0.429 (0.399) DAge 2534 0.018 (0.297) 0.169 (0.356)Age 3544 0.676 (0.372) 0.549 (0.391) DAge 3544 0.386 (0.283) 0.363 (0.323)Age 4554 0.570 (0.383) 0.615 (0.406) DAge 4554 0.497 (0.297) 0.567 (0.344)Age 5564 0.261 (0.403) 0.351 (0.469) DAge 5564 0.126 (0.339) 0.006 (0.405)Degree/post 0.329 (0.307) 0.001 (0.444) DDegree/post 0.522 (0.322) 0.845 (0.386)Uppersec 0.194 (0.204) 0.207 (0.245) DUppersec 0.514 (0.182) 0.697 (0.213)Vocational 0.352 (0.408) 0.179 (0.418) DVocational 0.709 (0.308) 0.787 (0.365)R2 0.236 0.468 0.331 0.337 R2 0.168 0.175 0.246 0.306

    NT 633 633 633 633 NT 456 456 456 456

    Dependent variable: log(wage per worker) in Model 1, change in log(wage per worker) in Model 2.

    All models include year dummies, R&D dummies, inflow and outflow dummies. Models OLS(2) also include region and sector dummies.

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  • Table 7

    Wage equation estimates

    Model 1 GMM-FD GMM-SYS(1) GMM-SYS(2) GMM-SYS(3) GMM-SYS(4) GMM-SYS(5)

    Ln(W/N)t1 0.331 (0.118) 0.341 (0.108) 0.299 (0.117) 0.314 (0.111)Train(%) 0.199 (0.197) 0.021 (0.167) 0.091 (0.128) 0.158 (0.124) 0.181 (0.154) 0.123 (0.160)

    Train(%)t1 0.434 (0.206) 0.375 (0.228) 0.412 (0.260)Ln(K/N) 0.092 (0.061) 0.154 (0.043) 0.153 (0.045) 0.166 (0.041) 0.194 (0.052) 0.185 (0.060)

    Ln(K/N)t1 0.053 (0.029) 0.046 (0.030)Ln(R&D/N) 0.031 (0.027) 0.002 (0.019) 0.005 (0.017) 0.009 (0.015) 0.019 (0.021) 0.017 (0.022)Ln(R&D/N)t1 0.031 (0.011) 0.023 (0.010)Ln(Hours/N) 0.144 (0.562) 1.022 (0.409) 0.738 (0.297) 0.825 (0.286) 0.588 (0.315) 0.607 (0.454)Ln(Hours/N)t1 0.664 (0.369) 0.685 (0.408)Inflow(%) 0.092 (0.053) 0.053 (0.101) 0.022 (0.134) 0.007 (0.116) 0.032 (0.134) 0.016 (0.123)Inflow(%)t1 0.003 (0.053) 0.008 (0.056)Outflow(%) 0.062 (0.063) 0.027 (0.067) 0.248 (0.114) 0.244 (0.113) 0.248 (0.100) 0.264 (0.112)Outflow(%)t1 0.012 (0.029) 0.016 (0.031)Hansen test 0.373 0.259 0.463 0.638 0.484 0.382

    AR(1) test 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.004 0.006 0.007

    AR(2) test 0.814 0.609 . . . .

    NT 456 456 456 456 456 456

    Dependent variable: log(wage per worker).

    All models include year dummies, R&D dummies, inflow and outflow dummies.

    All the variables are treated as endogenous (except the dummies).

    Model GMM-SYS(5) includes lags for all the variables.

    p-values are reported for AR(1), AR(2) and Hansen tests. A full stop in the AR(2) test box indicates that no output has been reported: the residuals and the L(2) residuals

    have no obs in common, so the AR(2) is trivially zero.

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  • more in R&D pay higher wages, while longer working hours are associated with a lower

    pay. Finally, a higher degree of workers reallocation across industries is associated with

    higher wages, which seems to be suggestive of the fact that turnover leads to a better

    matching.

    To summarize the results, training seems to have a positive and strongly significant

    effect on productivity. This effect disappears only when controlling for observed

    heterogeneity with the standard linear techniques, but the sign and the size of the

    greater than the effect on wages (for example, in the full-dynamic specification, the

    G. Conti / Labour Economics 12 (2005) 557576574coefficient is 0.408 in the productivity regression and 0.123 in the wage equation): this is

    consistent with a human capital model in which some of the costs of training are borne

    by the employees. Using the results obtained in the full-dynamic model, this implies that

    raising the stock of trained workers in an industry by one percentage point leads to a

    0.4% increase in productivity and to a 0.1% increase in wages. This effect is much

    smaller if compared to the results obtained in other papers in this literature.32

    Nonetheless, it is quite substantial on its own. There could be several reasons behind

    this: on the one hand, estimation at aggregate level captures the within-industry spillovers

    arising from training externalities, which are missed in case of a firm-level analysis.33 On

    the other, it fails to account for non-random selection of workers in the training pool. On

    a more general ground, it could reflect the existence of other unobserved industry-specific

    factors that have not been controlled for (such as the existence of other human resource

    management practices, as argued in Ichniowski et al., 1997). Above all, also allowing for

    these caveats, the key qualitative result still holds: firms do seem to actually reap more of

    the returns.

    5. Concluding remarks

    This paper has examined for the first time the productivity and wage effects of training

    in Italy. It is based on an original dataset, which has been created aggregating individual-

    level data on training from the Labour Force Survey with firm-level data on productivity

    31 This finding also emerges in a recent paper by Arulampalam et al. (2004). They show that training has no

    significant effect on wages at all the quantiles of the conditional wage distribution.32 For example, Dearden et al. (2000) found that increasing the proportion of workers being trained in an

    industry by 5% leads to a 4% increase in productivity and to a 1.5% increase in wages: this amounts to,

    respectively, a 2% increase in productivity and to a 0.6% increase in wages in the Italian case.33 Under this respect, the availability of a linked employer-employee database with training information, stillcoefficient clearly reflects endogenous effects. Most importantly, it persists when

    unobserved heterogeneity is taken into account, and it is robust to the first-difference

    specification and to the GMM estimation. On the other side, the effect of training on

    wages is much less robust.31 It achieves significance at a conventional level only in the

    first-difference specification, but it does not pass the GMM estimation. Moreover,

    whatever specification is considered, the estimated impact on productivity is alwayslacking for Italy, will provide useful results in terms of comparability between private and social returns to post-

    schooling human capital.

  • I am deeply indebted to my supervisor, Amanda Gosling, for her generous and

    Acemoglu, D., Pischke, J.-S., 1998. Why do firms train? Theory and evidence. Quarterly Journal of Economics113 (1), 79119 (also available as NBER Working Paper, n.5605).

    Acemoglu, D., Pischke, J.-S., 1999a. Beyond Becker: Training in imperfect labour markets. Economic Journal

    109 (453), F112F142.

    Acemoglu, D., Pischke, J.-S., 1999b. The structure of wages and investment in general training. Journal of

    Political Economy 107 (3), 539572 (also available as NBER Working Paper, n.6357).

    Aghion, P., Howitt, P., 1998. Endogenous Growth Theory. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass.

    Arellano, M., Bond, S., 1991. Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application

    to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies 58 (2), 277297.

    Arellano, M., Bover, O., 1995. Another look at the instrumental-variable estimation of error-components model.

    Journal of Econometrics 68 (1), 2952.

    Arulampalam, W., Booth, A.L. Bryan, M.L., 2004. Training in Europe. ISER working paper 0401.

    Ballot, G., Fakhfakh, F., Taymaz, E., 2001. Firms human capital, R&D and performance: a study on French and

    Swedish Firms. Labour Economics 8, 443462.

    Barrett, A., OConnell, P., 2001. Does training generally work? The returns to in-company training. Industrial and

    Labour Relations Review 54 (3), 647662 (also available as IZA Discussion Paper, n.51).invaluable support and guidance throughout the realisation of this research. I am also

    grateful to two anonymous referees and to seminar participants at the 16th annual

    conference of the European Association of Labour Economists 2004, for helpful

    comments and suggestions which greatly improved the paper. Many people have helped

    me in accessing the data. I owe special thanks to Sergio Destefanis, Tullio Jappelli and

    Mario Padula for supplying the AIDA data, and to Marco Musella and Francesco Pastore

    for supplying the Labour Force Survey data. Financial support from the Economic and

    Social Research Council, award no. PTA030200300812, is gratefully acknowledged.

    The usual disclaimer applies.

    Referencesand wages from AIDA into an industry-level panel, covering the years from 1996 to 1999.

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    modelling specification, and estimated all the models in the dual form of a production

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    The main finding is that training has a positive and significant effect on productivity.

    This finding is robust to several estimation strategies, including System-GMM. However,

    the effect uncovered for wages is much less robust, and smaller in size. This proves clear

    evidence of the fact that firms do actually reap more of the returns.

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    Training, productivity and wages in ItalyIntroductionThe dataThe modelThe resultsConcluding remarksAcknowledgementsReferences