transportation energy making sustainability work transportation energy what happens if climate...

Transportation Energy

MAKING SUSTAINABILITY WORK

Transportation Energy What happens if climate change regulations

shape the market?

Presented byJoshua Proudfoot, Principal, Good Company

Good Company65 Centennial Loop, Suite BEugene, Oregon 97401

www.goodcompany.comphone 541.341.4663fax 541.341.6412


Is transportation the big GHG problem?

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Is transportation the big GHG problem?

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How close are we to meeting Oregon 2050 goal?

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US Gas and Diesel use with volume requirements of the RFS

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How far can alternative fuels get us?

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Carbon intensities of fuel

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Fuel LC Carbon intensitygCO2e/MJ

Notes

Gasoline 95.9 Going up over time

Diesel 94.8 Going up over time

Corn Ethanol 48-91 Land use and energy source

Cellulosic Ethanol <25 Coming soon…

Sugar Cane Ethanol 12-27.4 Waste product

CNG 68+ Fugitive emissions will make this number go up nearly 10% or more

LNG 73-93 Compression energy

LFG, AD, Waste Grease biodiesel

<20 Waste products

Electricity 104-200+ Could be closer to 0 with renewables

Hydrogen 76-142 Renewables to natural gas feedstocks

CARB, CI Lookup tables


US conventional fuel use versus waste derived fuels (<20%)

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What’s in the way of waste to fuels?

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What about EVs?

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What about EVs?

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• 3x more efficient than ICE for motive power• Read 1/3rd the carbon intensity from any

power source making electricity

• Electricity can scale up cleanly• Batteries/range/price/vehicle types• Night time generation storage


Fuel Cost versus Electricity Cost

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Source: Edison Electric Institute (EEI, 2011)


Percent of households by vehicle ownership and population density (from 2009 NHTS)

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What would a continuous network look like?

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EPRI, 2014


MPG Equivalent - GHG per mile from different electric power sources

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Anair, Don and Amine Mahmassani. “State of Charge.” Union of Concerned Scientists, June, 2012.


2012 Nissan leaf GHG Equivalent MPG

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Union of Concerned Scientists, 2013


Regional Electricity Grid Generation Sources

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Source: Oregon Department of Energy


2010 - 13 states where the electric LEAF is more climate friendly than the gas-powered Prius

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Climate Central


Renewable Portfolio Standards make a difference

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Climate Central


Weekday Residential Charging Demand in PG&E Territory AKA Storage Works

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http://www.theevproject.com/cms-assets/documents/125348-714937.pev-driver.pdf




Cradle to Grave LCA GHG Vehicle and Fuel Pathway

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DOE Hydrogen and Fuel Cells Program Record Record #: 14006 Date: March 21, 2014 Title: Cradle to Grave Lifecycle Analysis of Vehicle and Fuel Pathways Joseck and Ward


Trucks

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DOE Hydrogen and Fuel Cells Program Record Record #: 14006 Date: March 21, 2014 Title: Cradle to Grave Lifecycle Analysis of Vehicle and Fuel Pathways Joseck and Ward


Punch line (When GHGs become a national priority)

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• Long Term– EVs and Hybrids for personal vehicles– Hydrogen Hybrids for big rigs

• Near Term– Cheap, abundant, domestic natural gas


Low tech paths to lower GHG’s

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• Highway measures?


Low-tech paths to lower GHGs

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• ITS• Mass transit• Freight lanes• Triple trailers


What energy sources do you use in your daily life?

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US energy mix by percentage from 1800-2000.

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Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration


Thank youJoshua Proudfoot, Principal Investigator, MA Good Company [email protected] x 213www.goodcompany.com

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http://www.goodcompany.com/

transportation energy making sustainability work transportation energy what happens if climate...

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