transportation programs technical innovations in the regional planning processes: swot analysis from...

TRANSPORTATION PROGRAMS

Technical Innovations in the Technical Innovations in the Regional Planning Processes: Regional Planning Processes:

SWOT Analysis from a SWOT Analysis from a Practitioner's PerspectivePractitioner's Perspective

Vladimir LivshitsVladimir Livshits

Maricopa Association of GovernmentsMaricopa Association of Governments

May, 2009May, 2009

Copyright © 2009

12th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference – May 17-21, 2009, Houston, Texas

What is SWOT?What is SWOT?

SStrengthstrengths

WWeaknesseseaknesses

OOpportunitiespportunities

TThreatshreats

Internal Internal Strength that Strength that facilitates facilitates planning planning goalsgoals

Internal Internal Weakness Weakness that impedes that impedes planning planning goalsgoals

External External Opportunity Opportunity that that facilitates facilitates planning planning goalsgoals

External External Threat that Threat that impedes impedes planning planning goalsgoals

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What is the purpose of What is the purpose of this presentation?this presentation? Take a systemic look at the Take a systemic look at the

innovations in terms of their innovations in terms of their interplay and overall effect on the interplay and overall effect on the common practice in planning common practice in planning processes. processes.

Generate a discussion leading to Generate a discussion leading to better allocation of resources and better allocation of resources and cooperation in implementing most cooperation in implementing most appealing innovationsappealing innovations

Offer some ideas for innovations Offer some ideas for innovations evaluation and planningevaluation and planning

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What is a technical What is a technical innovation in transportation innovation in transportation planning?planning?

Multiyear Master

Transportation

Networks

Geo D

atabases

Activity-based

Travel Forecasting

Models

Modeling of

Dynamic Traffic

Phenomena

Reliability Analysis

Uncertainty Analysis

GPS data collection

Cellular data

collection

Geo Analysis

Mobile GIS

3d rendering

Photo visualization

Smart board

interactive overlay

We will talk about We will talk about new technical tools new technical tools in transportation in transportation planning (new planning (new model, new model, new program, new program, new interface, new interface, new hardware, etc.)hardware, etc.)

We will not talk We will not talk about new planning about new planning ideas (new facility ideas (new facility type, new land use type, new land use policy, etc.)policy, etc.)

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New Planning Tools

Planning Needs (necessary but not sufficient)

Technological Advancements (sufficient, but not necessary)

Main Causality of Technical Main Causality of Technical Innovations in Regional Innovations in Regional

PlanningPlanning

New Planning Processes

Political stratum

Evaluation stratum

Modeling stratum

Data stratum

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Are emerging Are emerging planning needs planning needs threats or threats or opportunities in opportunities in achieving achieving planning planning goals/regional goals/regional visions?visions?

Climate Change and Climate Change and Environmental Protection Environmental Protection NeedsNeeds

Sustainability NeedsSustainability Needs Needs to account for Needs to account for

Economic Volatility and Economic Volatility and for Plan Sensitivityfor Plan Sensitivity

Needs to Account for Needs to Account for UncertaintyUncertainty

Needs to Evaluate New Needs to Evaluate New Travel Modes and Travel Modes and Transportation Transportation TechnologiesTechnologies

Needs to Evaluate New Needs to Evaluate New Policies and RegulationsPolicies and Regulations

Needs to Reflect New Needs to Reflect New Travel BehaviorTravel Behavior

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Can Can Technological Technological Advances help to Advances help to address new address new challenges challenges /threats in /threats in achieving achieving planning goals?planning goals?

Dramatic Increase in Dramatic Increase in Computing Power: Computing Power: multiple processors, multiple processors, distributed computing, distributed computing, cloud computingcloud computing

Dramatic Decrease in Dramatic Decrease in Computational and Computational and Storage CostsStorage Costs

New Web TechnologiesNew Web Technologies New GIS technologiesNew GIS technologies New GPS technologiesNew GPS technologies New Technological New Technological

ExpectationsExpectations Lack of New Lack of New

Technological ExpertiseTechnological Expertise Competitiveness on the Competitiveness on the

HR marketHR market

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What are What are weaknesses and weaknesses and strengths of strengths of proposed proposed innovations in terms innovations in terms of advancing of advancing regional planning regional planning agenda?agenda?

Future Staff Future Staff Requirements and Requirements and Availability of Availability of Technical ExpertiseTechnical Expertise

Life Cycle of existing Life Cycle of existing technologies, technologies, maintenance and maintenance and support cost and support cost and availabilityavailability

Stakeholders and Stakeholders and general public general public expectationsexpectations

Applicability to Applicability to foreseeable tasksforeseeable tasks

Efficiency in execution Efficiency in execution of typical technical of typical technical taskstasks

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MPO Planning Process

Socio-Economic Forecasting

Environmental Planning

FHWA Guidelines and Requirements


Environmental Justice

Department of Environmental Quality

Federal Guidelines and Requirements


Congestion Management Process

Public-Private partnerships



Economic Vitality

Sustainable Development



Statewide Planning

Interstate Corridor Planning



Department of Economic Security

Environmental Protection Agency




Community Participation

Freight Planning




SafetyFinancial Planning


Multi-jurisdictional Coordination

MultimodalPlanning

Land Use Planning

FTA Guidelines and Requirements

FTA Guidelines and Requirements

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Regional Planning Business Regional Planning Business ProcessProcess

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Technical Innovations Strata in the Technical Innovations Strata in the Regional Planning ProcessRegional Planning Process

Core technical process strata:

•Observed data for analysis and modeling

•Models for predictions, explanations and descriptions

•Project evaluations and programming/planning

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Data Stratum:Data Stratum:Innovative Planning ToolsInnovative Planning Tools

Web-based GUI data accessWeb-based GUI data access Visualization: GIS, GoogleVisualization: GIS, Google Data Integration (different types of data, Data Integration (different types of data,

historic data, jurisdictional data)historic data, jurisdictional data) Enterprise Application Integration (e.g. Enterprise Application Integration (e.g.

integration with modeling applications - integration with modeling applications - automated model validation tools, with data automated model validation tools, with data collection applications - QA/QC, automated collection applications - QA/QC, automated data upload)data upload)

Built-in data analysis toolsBuilt-in data analysis tools

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• data collection

• data acquisition

• data analysis

• data storage

• data security

• data retrieval

• data access and dissemination

• data archiving

• data disposal

Arrows indicate results of example project level decisions on data management innovations

Data Collection and Management Innovation Decision Matrix

ThreatsThreats OpportunitiesOpportunities

StrengthsStrengths UrgentUrgent

Not ImportantNot Importante.g. innovative e.g. innovative capitalization on capitalization on another ongoing another ongoing project where the project where the need can be need can be addressed with addressed with traditional tools as traditional tools as well well

Not UrgentNot Urgent

Not ImportantNot Important

e.g. opportunity to e.g. opportunity to improve data improve data disposal disposal

WeaknessesWeaknesses UrgentUrgent

ImportantImportante.g. innovative e.g. innovative approach to approach to address unmet address unmet data needs from a data needs from a major project or major project or stakeholder stakeholder

Not Urgent Not Urgent

ImportantImportant

Best Time to Best Time to introduce introduce innovationsinnovations

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Modeling Stratum: Strengths and Modeling Stratum: Strengths and WeaknessesWeaknesses

Modeling assumptions Modeling assumptions are inadequate for are inadequate for future planning needs future planning needs but are in-line with but are in-line with existing planning existing planning processesprocesses

Models are not Models are not integrated with each integrated with each other and other parts other and other parts of the planning of the planning processprocess

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Innovations in Transportation Modeling = Relaxed Innovations in Transportation Modeling = Relaxed Modeling Assumptions + Capitalization on Modeling Assumptions + Capitalization on Computing Technology Computing Technology

Uncertainty & Sensitivity

TG

TD

MS

TA

Activity / Tour Based ParadigmFour Step Trip Based Paradigm

Long Term Choices:

• Residence Location

• Work Location

• School Location

• Car Ownership

Short Term Choices:

• Activity Choice

• Time of Day Choice

• Mode Choice

• Route Choice

Purpose/User Class

Prism

Assumptions

Assumptions

Assumptions

Assumptions

Assumptions

Assumptions

Activity/Person/

HouseholdPrism

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• Paradigm Shift and disaggregation – Data Mining and Knowledge Management - Database Approach, ABM

• Enterprise Application Integration and Automation - PMDS, Geo Database, Master Network

• Data Accessibility and Visualization - Web-based GIS technologies, 3D

Arrows indicate results of example project level decisions on data management innovations

Transportation Modeling Innovation Decision Matrix

ThreatsThreats OpportunitiesOpportunities

StrengthsStrengths UrgentUrgent

Not ImportantNot Importante.g. innovative e.g. innovative capitalization on capitalization on another ongoing another ongoing project where the project where the need can be need can be addressed with addressed with traditional tools as traditional tools as well well

Not UrgentNot Urgent

Not ImportantNot Important

e.g. an e.g. an improvement in the improvement in the traditional four step traditional four step based procedure based procedure that is not crucial that is not crucial for model for model applications or applications or future development future development

WeaknessesWeaknesses UrgentUrgent

ImportantImportante.g. innovative e.g. innovative approach to approach to address unmet address unmet data needs from a data needs from a major project or major project or stakeholder stakeholder

Not Urgent Not Urgent

ImportantImportant

Best Time to Best Time to introduce introduce innovationsinnovations

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Evaluation Stratum: Strengths Evaluation Stratum: Strengths and Weaknessesand Weaknesses

Disconnect between Disconnect between evaluation, data evaluation, data analysis and modeling, analysis and modeling, necessity for complex necessity for complex manual effortmanual effort

Insufficient Insufficient accessibility of project accessibility of project data, ability to easily data, ability to easily visualize and query visualize and query project informationproject information

Robust manual Robust manual procedures and procedures and established guidelinesestablished guidelines

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Evaluation Stratum and Evaluation Stratum and Process Integration Process Integration InnovationsInnovations New dimensions introduced by New dimensions introduced by

both political and technical both political and technical nature of the processnature of the process

Process Integration Issues with Process Integration Issues with other strataother strata

Visualization and Accessibility-Visualization and Accessibility-web basedweb based

Outsourcing and Cooperation – Outsourcing and Cooperation – vendorsvendors

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Conclusions and RecommendationsConclusions and Recommendations

Agency level systemic analysis is crucial for Agency level systemic analysis is crucial for technical innovations’ introductiontechnical innovations’ introduction

Innovations should be planned and Innovations should be planned and considered in the overall planning business considered in the overall planning business process and not in isolationprocess and not in isolation

Introduction of technical innovations affect Introduction of technical innovations affect different strata of the planning process. It different strata of the planning process. It should and can capitalize on the synergy of should and can capitalize on the synergy of cooperative efforts between departments cooperative efforts between departments and agencies and efficient outsourcing to and agencies and efficient outsourcing to third party vendorsthird party vendors

transportation programs technical innovations in the regional planning processes: swot analysis from...

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