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Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the next two decades Tom Boardley Marine Director, Lloyd’s Register, London

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Page 1: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the next two decades

Tom Boardley Marine Director, Lloyd’s Register, London

Page 2: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

New technology for next generation ships

Tom Boardley

Marine Director, Lloyd’s Register Marine

Page 3: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Our complex world: higher fuel oil prices

Seeking continuous profitable operations?

Page 4: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Operational and exploitation profile into design

0

10

20

30

40

50

13 15 17 18 19 20 22,5

Speed Profile (Knots)

Frequency %

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

13 13,5 14 14,5 15 15,5

Draught Profile (m)

Frequency %

Page 5: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Operational and exploitation profile into design

Pow

er

Speed

Hull3Hull1Hull2

GOAL: Higher speed operation: Hull 3 (8%)

GOAL: Low Speed Optimisation: Hull 2 (5%)

Old Design Point (25 knots)

0

10

20

30

40

50

13 15 17 18 19 20 22,5

Speed Profile (Knots)

Frequency %

What are your “sweet spots”?

Page 6: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Operational expertise does make impact on design

Trade experience – main dimensions, draught condition frequency, speed frequency,…

Operational experience – routing, sea states, trim,…

Flexible operation over time – sea margin, routing,…for ROCE

Crew experience and performance

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

13 15 17 18 19 20 22,5

Speed Profile (Knots)

Frequency %

At what Sea Margin?

22.5 18

Page 7: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Design optimization that works so far Hull form optimization for operational profile

Pow

er

Speed

Hull3Hull1Hull2

Hull Form Optimization

Design Year

FOC Improvement

Result with CFD

FOC improvement

expected / confirmed in

Operation

ULCS 13k teu 2011 5 – 8% Not built

ULCS 14k teu 2012 Under study To be tested at

sea trials in 2014

ULCS 9k teu 2012 Under study To be tested at

sea trials in 2014

0

20

40

60

13 15 17 18 19 20 22,5

Speed Profile (Knots)

Frequency %

Page 8: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Design optimization that works so far Bulbous bow optimization for operational profile

“With fuel savings of up to 2% possible, removing the bulb is the way forward for Maersk Line”

Steffen Hartvig Nielsen, Head of Vessel Optimization at Maersk Maritime Technology

Marine Propulsion, February/March 2013

Page 9: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Design optimization that works so far Bulbous bow optimization for operational profile

Recent Lloyd’s Register study shows 3 tons of fuel savings per day may be possible for a feeder container ship

Page 10: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Design optimization that works so far Energy saving devices integrated with hull and propulsors

(*) CFD analysis not performed by LR

Efficiency improving

duct Integrated Solution

Design Year

FOC Improvement Result with CFD

FOC improvement expected /

confirmed in Operation

Schneekluth Duct New Propeller Aft End Form

2010 4% 4% expected

VLCC: Mewis Duct Retrofit (2 sister designs)

2004 ? Improvement confirmed (*)

2004 ? No improvement (*)

LNG Ship: Vortex Generator

2008 1.1% Vibration solved

FOC not confirmed

Page 11: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Design optimization that works so far Trim optimization for new operational profile

Trim Optimization Studies are also performed at New Designs while at the Development Phase

TRIM Optimization

Design Year

FOC maximum scope for

improvement based on CFD

FOC improvement expected /

confirmed in Operation

VLCC 2006 6% >1% confirmed

ULCS 2007 12.8% 1% - 2% confirmed

PCTC 2005 8% 1 - 2% confirmed

Bulk Carrier 2004 6.6% 1 – 2% expected

Tanker 2005 5.3% 1 – 2% expected

Page 12: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Design optimization that works so far Rudder / propeller / aft end interaction

AFT END interaction

Design Year

FOC Improvement

Result with CFD

FOC improvement

expected / confirmed in

Operation

LNG Ship: New Propeller New Rudder New Bulb Aft End Shape

2010 -2011

2.2% Will be tested at sea trials in

2014

Page 13: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Design optimization that works so far Aerodynamic hull optimization

Aero Dynamic Optimization

Design Year

FOC Improvement

Result with CFD

FOC improvement

expected / confirmed in

Operation

Bulk Carrier Fairings, Fittings relocation

2010

Up to 2.5%

Against a constant

headwind of 22 knots

No operational

data available

Page 14: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Today’s and Tomorrow’s Innovation In Shipping: Market Trends 2013

Page 15: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

2013 trend – new energy mix and alternative fuels

Batteries

GAS (LNG, LPG, CNG) Fuel Cells (i.e. Hydrogen)

Bio-Diesels

Synthetic Fuels: GTL, CTL, BTL,…

Oil-in-Water

Methanol

Nuclear

Page 16: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Embrace new technology options

New Turbo Charger Technology

New Propulsion

Options

Wind Assisted

Air Bubbling

Page 17: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Embrace new technology options

• New Coatings

• Stern fins

• New Turbo Charger Technologies

• Waste heat recovery for MMEE and AAEE

• Seawater cooling pumps running routine

• Etc,…

Page 18: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

'Not surprising' for eco vessels to command premium 2nd September 2013 05:30 GMT

Eco MR tankers commanding premium of $8,000 per day on trans-atlantic route Eco-type vessels that consume less bunkers allow owners to save on cosst without a sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report.

The shipbroker says that a medium range (MR), 'eco' tanker is able to save 14.5 metric tonnes (mt) of fuel per day when travelling at 13.5 knots on a laden leg, compared to a standard MR vessel.

This, and the lower consumption of fuel at other speeds, has resulted in an average earnings premium of $8,000 per day favouring the 'eco' MR tanker in the trans-Atlantic market.

Page 19: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range
Page 20: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Back to the future of design:

ECOnomical $HIPs

• Customised &

Flexible Design

• Optimised for

Trading over time Old Standard

ECO SHIPS 2013

ECO + $HIP

“turning the design clock back a few decades”

Page 21: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range

Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the next two decades

Tom Boardley Marine Director, Lloyd’s Register, London

Page 22: Trends in developing technology and associated risk - the ...€¦ · sacrifice in operational integrity, says a Poten & Partners (P&P) report. The shipbroker says that a medium range