Trends in Fisheries Trade and Trends in Fisheries Trade and the Role of Developing the Role of Developing

CountriesCountries

Hong KongHong Kong15 December 200515 December 2005

William EmersonWilliam Emerson FAOFAO

Fisheries productionFisheries production

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003

Total aquacultureCapture (inland waters)Capture (marine waters)

Million tonnes

World capture and aquaculture production

World excluding China

China

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002

Million tonnes

Aquaculture Aquaculture (1951-2003)(1951-2003)

0

15

30

45

1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003

Million tonnes

World excluding China

China

Ma rine a nd inland ca pture fishe rie s: top te n produce r countrie s in 2002

16.6

8.8

4.9

4.5

4.4

4.3

3.8

3.2

2.9

2.7

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

China

Peru

United States of America

Indones ia

Japan

Chile

India

Russ ian Federation

Thailand

Norway

Million tonnes

Share of fishery production destined for exports

1982 2002

1

1982 2002

1

1992 2002

1

2002

1

1992 Imports

1

Exports

0

30

60

90

120

150

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 2000 02

ProductionExports

Million tonnes (live weight)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 2000 02

Domestic markets

0 5 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 5

1

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1 .2

1

#REF! #REF! #REF!0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

1

U S $ b illio n

0

20

1

#REF! #REF!

0

1

2

1

U S $ b illio n

0

10

1

#REF! #REF!

0

5

1

0

5

10

15

20

1

#REF! #REF!

0

1

1

2

1

US$ billion#REF!#REF!#REF!

Fish exportsFish exports

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1976197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003

billi

on o

f US$

Developed Developing

Fish Exports Fish Exports (1976-2003)(1976-2003)

0

10

20

30

40

1976 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 2000 2003

US$ billion

Developed countries or areas Developing countries or areas

Fish Imports Fish Imports (1976-2003)(1976-2003)US$ billionUS$ billion

0

20

40

60

1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003

Developed countries or areas Developing countries or areas

TOP EXPORTERS – 2003TOP EXPORTERS – 2003$ billion$ billion

China China $4.2$4.2 ThailandThailand $3.9$3.9 NorwayNorway $3.6$3.6 USAUSA $3.4$3.4 CanadaCanada $3.3$3.3 DenmarkDenmark $3.2$3.2 SpainSpain $2.2$2.2 VietnamVietnam $2.2$2.2

TOP IMPORTERSTOP IMPORTERS$ BILLION$ BILLION

JapanJapan $12.4$12.4 USAUSA $11.7$11.7 SpainSpain $4.9 $4.9 FranceFrance $3.8 $3.8 ItalyItaly $3.6 $3.6 GermanyGermany $2.6 $2.6 UKUK $2.5 $2.5 ChinaChina $2.4 $2.4

2003 fish trade2003 fish trade

EU (25)25%

J apan1%

USA5%

Others20%

Developing countries

49%

EU (25)40%

J apan18%

USA17%

Others7%

Developing countries

18%

Exports Imports

World Fish TradeWorld Fish Tradeby main groupsby main groups

1976 1984 1995 1976 1984 1995 20032003

Total fish trade (US$ billion)Total fish trade (US$ billion) 8 16 52 63 8 16 52 63

Share of developed countries (%) 63 56 50 52 Share of developed countries (%) 63 56 50 52

Share of developing countries (%) 37 44 50 48Share of developing countries (%) 37 44 50 48

Share of LIFDCs (%) 12 13 19 20Share of LIFDCs (%) 12 13 19 20

Share or trade between developed 43 40 37 37Share or trade between developed 43 40 37 37countries in total trade (%) countries in total trade (%)

Share or trade between developing 9 15 8 13Share or trade between developing 9 15 8 13countries in total trade (%)countries in total trade (%)

Fish trade balanceFish trade balance

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

1976

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2003

Billion US $Latin America and theCaribbeanChina

Africa

Oceania

Canada and UnitedStatesEurope

Asia excluding China

Surp

lus

Def

icit

Import and exports values of fish products for different regions, indicating the net deficit or surplus

Africa

0

1

2

3

4

5

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Asia excluding China

0

10

20

30

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Deficit

China

0

1

2

3

4

5

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Europe

0

10

20

30

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Deficit

Canada and United States

0

3

6

9

12

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Deficit

Latin America and the Caribbean

0

3

6

9

12

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Surplus

US$ billion

Africa

0

1

2

3

4

5

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Surplus

China

0

1

2

3

4

5

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Surplus

Canada and United States

0

3

6

9

12

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Latin America and the Caribbean

0

3

6

9

12

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Oceania

0

1

2

3

4

5

1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Export value (f.o.b.)Import value (c.i.f.)

Surplus

Continued…….

Impact of Fish Trade on Food Security: Impact of Fish Trade on Food Security: 11 countries 2002-200411 countries 2002-2004

Main Findings were Main Findings were • international trade in fishery products has had a international trade in fishery products has had a

positive effect on food security through increased positive effect on food security through increased export earnings, better incomes, more export earnings, better incomes, more employment opportunitiesemployment opportunities

• international trade has not had a detrimental international trade has not had a detrimental effect on food security in the form of fish as food. effect on food security in the form of fish as food.

• sustainable resource management practices are sustainable resource management practices are a necessary condition for sustainable a necessary condition for sustainable international trade. international trade.

Developing cDeveloping countries net exports from ountries net exports from

commoditiescommodities

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0 1000 million US$

198319932003

Trade Flows 2003 Trade Flows 2003 (in billion US$)(in billion US$)

Developed Developing

Developed Developing

Exports

Imports

23.8 8.3

4.1

32

Calculations based onCOMEXT 2004

State of stocks: 2004State of stocks: 2004

1%

7%

17%

52%

21%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Recovering

Underexploited

Fully exploited

Overexploited

Depleted

RISK

Moderately exploited

Stocks trends: 1974-2003Stocks trends: 1974-2003

Overexploited

Fully exploited

“Under” exploited

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

CHALLENGESCHALLENGES Erosion of preferencesErosion of preferences Meeting safety and quality Meeting safety and quality

requirementsrequirements Fisheries subsidies negotiationsFisheries subsidies negotiations South South tradeSouth South trade Resource sustainabilityResource sustainability

Thank youThank you