trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

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Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

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? CPI Administrative Data Use of administrative data for a Consumer Price Index (CPI) Difficult or impossible to observe

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Page 1: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Trends in the use of centralised pricing data

sources for price indexes

Page 2: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

# prices costs

EfficiencyCPICPI

Administrative Data

Use of administrative data for a Consumer Price Index (CPI)

e.g. supermarket scanner data

Page 3: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

?CPICPI

Administrative Data

Use of administrative data for a Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Difficult or impossible to observe

Page 4: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Consumption

Uni

t Pric

e

Average consumption

Water prices

Page 5: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Water prices

Administrative Data

Page 6: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Administrative data

•Deposit and Loan facilities•Child Care•Hospital and Medical Services•Property Rates•Future Directions

Page 7: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Deposit and loan facilities

Direct feesInterest rate margins

01

23

45

67

89

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Interest rate onloansInterest rate ondeposits

Page 8: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Deposit and loan facilities

Interest rate margins

01

23

45

67

89

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Interest rate onloansInterest rate ondeposits

•Average interest rates are not directly observable

Page 9: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Deposit and loan facilities

Direct fees

•Types of accounts, account balances and patterns of transactions•Bundling•Not directly observable

Hypothetical user profiles ?

Page 10: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Sample of accounts approach

  Credit Debit Balance

Starting Balance     $5,000.00

Deposit $200.00   $5,200.00

ATM withdrawal   $50.00 $5,150.00

ATM withdrawal fee $1.00 $5,149.00

Cheque deposit $25.00   $5,174.00

Final balance     $5,174.00

Deposit and loan facilities

Direct fees

Average balance

•A year’s worth of transactions•Range of bank’s popular products

Page 11: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

  Balance   Interest

Deposit accounts 100000000 250000Everyday account 10000000 170

Savings account 50000000 17000

Retirement accounts 20000000 80000

   

Loan accounts 200000000 1700000Home loans 120000000 900000

Credit cards 23000000 190000

Personal loans 45000000   450000

Sample of accounts approach

Deposit and loan facilities

For % interest marginsbalance and interest • by product• for deposits and loans

Page 12: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Interest rate payable on loans

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Reference rate

Interest rate payable on deposits

Deposit and loan facilities

Sample of accounts approach

Product interest rate

Page 13: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Sample of accounts approach - indexation

  Credit Debit Balance

Starting Balance     $5,000.00

Deposit $200.00   $5,200.00

ATM withdrawal   $50.00 $5,150.00

ATM withdrawal fee $1.00 $5,149.00

Cheque deposit $25.00   $5,174.00

Final balance     $5,174.00

Deposit and loan facilities

Page 14: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Sample of accounts approach - indexation

  Credit Debit Balance

Starting Balance     $5,025.00

Deposit $201.00   $5,226.00

ATM withdrawal   $50.26 $5,175.75

ATM withdrawal fee $1.50 $5,174.25

Cheque deposit $25.13   $5,199.38

Final balance     $5,199.38

Deposit and loan facilities

Update direct fees

Page 15: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

  Credit Debit Balance

Starting Balance     $5,000.00

Deposit $200.00   $5,200.00

ATM withdrawal   $50.00 $5,150.00

ATM withdrawal fee $1.00 $5,149.00

Cheque deposit $25.00   $5,174.00

Final balance     $5,174.00

  Credit Debit Balance

Starting Balance     $5,025.00

Deposit $201.00   $5,226.00

ATM withdrawal   $50.26 $5,175.75

ATM withdrawal fee $1.50 $5,174.25

Cheque deposit $25.13   $5,199.38

Final balance     $5,199.38

Period 1

Period 2

Deposit and loan facilities

Determine prices in period 1 and 2 and thereby determine price movements

Page 16: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Deposit and loan facilities

Monitor data quality

Maintain excellent relationship with provider

Refresh sample of accounts regularly

Computing system

Page 17: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Child care benefit

$0.00

$0.50$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

Income

Ben

efit

per h

our

One childTwo childrenThree children

Full-time/part-time ?

Child care

Child care centre/private home ?

Fraction of remainingcosts

Page 18: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

© 2005 FOX BROADCASTING CR:FOX *

# children

Usage

$

Location

Child care

*http://tvcomedies.about.com/od/thesimpsons/ig/The-Simpsons-Photo-Gallery/The-Simpsons-Family.htm 9/10/2008

Page 19: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Survey ?

Expensive

Small sample

Administrative data ?

Free

Large sample

Child care

Maintain relationships

System to process data© 2005 FOX BROADCASTING CR:FOX *

*http://tvcomedies.about.com/od/thesimpsons/ig/The-Simpsons-Photo-Gallery/The-Simpsons-Family.htm 9/10/2008

Page 20: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Medical Services

Summary Data

Obtain prices from medical practitioners

Apply summary data to calculate subsidiesNot fit for our purposes

Page 21: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Medical procedure

Number of consultations

Fees paidBenefits paid

Medical Services

Administrative Data

Page 22: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

20% 30% 50%Period 1

22% 33% 45%Period 2

18% 27% 40%Period 3 15%

33% 42% 0%Period 4 25%

Medical Services

Page 23: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

prices

x 1000

Small cities !

Medical Services

Page 24: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Administrative Data

Address Land value Rates

Property Rates

Based on land values

Page 25: Trends in the use of centralised pricing data sources for price indexes

Sample of accounts

Future Directions