trican ir presentation - december 2016 (amended final) · 2016. 12. 16. · shale montney shale...
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INVESTOR PRESENTATIONDecember 2016
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
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This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among others, the Company’s prospects, expected revenues, expenses, profits, expected developments and strategies for its operations, and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of operations or performance. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “anticipate,” “achieve”, “achievable,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend”, “plan”, “planned”, and other similar terms and phrases. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. These risks and uncertainties include: fluctuating prices for crude oil and natural gas; changes in drilling activity; general global economic, political and business conditions; weather conditions; regulatory changes; and availability of products, qualified personnel, manufacturing capacity and raw materials. If any of these uncertainties materialize, or if assumptions are incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those expected.
OVERVIEW OF TRICAN
Full service, Canadian pressure pumping company
Market leader in Canada
440,000 HP available fracturing capacity
Large Cement, Coiled Tubing, Acidizing, Nitrogen and Industrial Services business
Focus on safety, technology, and operational performance
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Revenue by Service Line
Fracturing
Cementing
Nitrogen
Coiled Tubing
Acid & Specialty Chemicals
Industrial & Pipeline Services
YEAR TO DATE SEPTEMBER 30, 2016
58%
26%
3%3%
5% 5%
CANADA
CANADA
Trican is the largest pressure pumper in Canada
Trican offers full services in Canadian market which balances revenue and profitability
• Large cementing market share• Strong market share in other
services
Canadian market has fewer competitors (6 vs. over 30 in the U.S. market)
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Trican has a strong customer base in Canada• Numerous long-term clients
Canadian to U.S. dollar exchange rate helps customer economics
CANADA – COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
Strong safety record• TRIR YTD rate of 0.7• LTIR YTD rate of 0.0
Technical advantage in Canadian market• Numerous engineers embedded in client
offices• MVP FracTM system• Geological and reservoir services
integrated into frac designs• Lightweight cement blends• Technology retains and grows market
share and improves returns
• Lowers product cost
Strong operations
Significantly lowered cost structure in downturn
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GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE
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Horn River Shale
Montney Shale
Bakken Shale
Cardium Tight Oil
Viking Tight Oil
Lower Shaunavon Tight Oil
GRANDE PRAIRIE
WHITECOURTHINTON
FORT ST. JOHN
NISKU LLOYDMINSTER
RED DEER
BROOKS ESTEVAN
British Columbia Alberta Saskatchewan
Deep Basin
Duvernay Shale
DRAYTON VALLEY
CALGARY
Manitoba
Spearfish
CANADA EQUIPMENT
Current Canadian fleet• 440,000 fracturing HP
• 55 Cementing units
• 38 N2 Pumpers
• 19 Acid Units
• 16 Coil Units
50% of equipment currently parked
Equipment not scavenged• Estimate $3.5 million Capex to
activate parked fracturing equipment
• $50,000 Capex / truck to activate parked cement equipment
Looking to activate parked in equipment in 2017
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* Anticipated HP at year-end based on approved budgets, which are subject to change
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50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Canadian HP Growth
CANADA EQUIPMENT – FRACTURING PUMPS
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85% of Trican’s active fleet already running continuous duty Quintuplex high HP pumps
70% of fluid ends converted to stainless steel• Gives 4 times longer life
40% reduction in pumper equipment operators on location due to electronic control systems
No additional capital required to upgrade fracturing pumps
CANADA OUTLOOK - 2017
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Customers’ conventional capex up 50-60% year-over year
Estimate 5,500 to 6,500 wells to be drilled in 2017• Up 38-63% year-over-year
Canadian frac capacity fully utilized at 6,500 to 7,500 wells
Deep Basin, Montney, Duvernay activity is 60-70% of anticipated Canadian activity• 70-75% of Trican revenue comes from these
plays
Cardium, Viking and other oil plays will grow as oil prices improve
CANADA - OUTLOOK
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Increased frac intensity and job size
Sand volume up 44% year-over-year
Average sand per well increasing• Currently 2,260 tonnes / well in Montney• Still 50% below US average
Average stages per well increasing• Currently 26 stages per well• Increasing 10% per year
CANADA OUTLOOK - 2017
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Fully booked for active equipment in major service lines until April 2017
Focused on increasing pricing• Raising pricing for 2017 work
• Targeting 10% price increase
Second half of 2017 activity looks strong based on current commodity prices
Looking to activate some parked equipment as margins improve
CANADA – 2016 COST SAVINGS
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Fixed costs reduced by $140 million per year since the start of the downturn
Minimal fixed cost increases going forward as business improves
Lowered fixed cost structure• Fixed costs now 25% of costs as
compared to 50% pre-downturn
Variable costs reduced by 27% since the beginning of 2016
• No increases forecast in early 2017
GETTING THROUGH THE DOWNTURN
GROWTH
Strong earnings from Canadian assets with a reduced cost structure as utilization and pricing improve• Mid-cycle EBITDA from Canada (2014):
$226 million (19% EBITDA margin)
• Peak EBITDA from Canada: $465 million
Equipment attrition and service intensity will improve recovery
Substantial leverage on lower costs
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GROWTH
We will focus on:• Being on leading edge of cost and
operational efficiencies
• Achieving cost advantages through size and scale in Canada
• Separating ourselves through safety, technology, service quality and innovation
Will explore adding or growing additional service lines in Canada
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ADDITIONAL GROWTH
Retained ownership in Keane allows us to participate in U.S. recovery
10% ownership in Keane Group with potential increased ownership from certain economic conditions upon liquidity event• Keane interest valued at $94 million on
September 30, 2016• Keane filed for IPO in mid-December
2-year non-compete in U.S. and first right to purchase the Keane business should we decide to re-enter the U.S.
Trican will license our technology in U.S. and International markets• Licensed one sand supplier in North America
558,221 shares in NOV (valued at $29.9 million CAD on December 15, 2016)
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INNOVATION
INNOVATION
Trican focuses on separating itself with technology
Technology must reduce $/BOE for our customers or lower our costs
MVP FracTM
• Patented chemical solution that reduces proppant settling in slick water fracs
• Strong market acceptance in Canada
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• Recent case studies show 20% increased production in the Cardium and 30% increased production in the Montney
• Signed one license in U.S. with sand supplier and pursuing additional licenses
INNOVATION
TriVertTM Diverting Agent
• Can be used in new completions or refracturing treatments
• Redirects fluid into new sections of the wellbore
• Contains particles that dissolve with time and temperature
• Results in increased production without further well intervention
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TRICAN RESERVOIR SOLUTIONS
Geological Solutions• Offer unconventional rock analysis,
core testing and rock mechanics
Reservoir Solutions• Reservoir model that integrates
geological and frac data to optimize long-term reservoir recoverability
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SUSTAINABLE INNOVATION
EcoClean Fluids• Continuing to expand our line of
environmentally friendly fracturing fluids
Water Management and Reduction• Developed a 100% recycled water
crosslinked fluid solution with no mechanical treatment
• Recycled water used on most fracturing projects in the U.S.
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FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
$0
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
$30,000,000
$35,000,000
$40,000,000
Nov2017
Apr2018
2019 2020 Apr2021
2022 2023 Sept2024
Outstanding Senior Notes - Post Equity and TCS Sale
AS OF SEPTEMBER 30, 2016
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USD Notes (hedged) CAD NotesUSD Notes (unhedged)
$125 million drawn on $250 million revolving credit facility
$250 million revolving credit facility is committed until 2018
• Max utilization capped at $175 million until the first quarter in which $25 million in EBITDA is reached
$77 million of Senior Notes
Net debt of approximately $175 million (net of cash and currency swaps)
(Shown in $CAD)
COVENANT RELIEF
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Amended covenants put Trican in a strong position to ride out the downturn
All financial covenants eliminated until 2017
Leverage covenant of 5x and interest coverage of 2x will start in 2017 and will be calculated in Q1 as four times Q1 EBITDA plus $20 million
COVENANT RELIEF
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$20 million equity cure will be added to 2017 EBITDA
LTM calculations will not commence until Q4 2017
Normalized covenant of 3x Debt/EBITDA by Q1 2018
CASH FLOW
Managing cash flow and liquidity a key focus
Dividend suspended until financial performance improves
Total capital spend of less than $1 million in 2016
• No expansion initiatives will be considered until financial performance improves
Approximately $60 million of cash and available debt as of November 8, 2016
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INVESTMENT ADVANTAGES
Balance sheet largely fixed
Trading substantially below historic book values
Significant earnings potential on existing assets
High leverage on low cost structure coming out of downturn
Strong Canadian business that generates industry leading margins
Upside to U.S. market recovery through Keane ownership and NOV shares
Strong management team that has managed through numerous cycles
Equipment base not scavenged and ready to go when activity increases
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SUMMARY
Number of Outstanding Shares (as of November 30, 2016):
• 193 million
Average Daily Volume (one month period):
• 1,314,800 (as of November 30, 2016)
Directors/Officers Ownership:• 1.5% (approx. - diluted basis)
Market Cap:• $714 million as of November 30, 2016
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INVESTOR PRESENTATIONDecember 2016