ts04j mangina karanikolas et al 7743 ppt - fig · 2015. 6. 1. · title microsoft powerpoint -...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: ts04j mangina karanikolas et al 7743 ppt - FIG · 2015. 6. 1. · Title Microsoft PowerPoint - ts04j_mangina_karanikolas_et_al_7743_ppt Author: csp_fig_net Created Date: 6/1/2015](https://reader036.vdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022071412/6109fb37f7a63f0ad36ebd74/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 1
Introduction
Greece•popular tourist destination•ranked 32nd worldwide (2013)
Tourism•key pillar of the Greek economy
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 2
Methodology
Data Collection
Data Editing
Geographical Analysis
Economic Analysis
Statistical Analysis
Data Collection
• Use of website engines
Finding of 5* hotels
• Prefecture or Island
• Number of rooms • Operation period• Website• Hotel group• Certifications• Seaside hotel• Parking• Distance from airport• Distance from centre• Accommodation cost
Collection of the hotels’ characteristic features
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 3
Data Editing
• Editing of the hotels’ features
• Editing of the data used in the geographical
and economic approach
• Mapping
Geographical Analysis
•282 luxury hotels •45251 rooms•193 eurosper night
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 4
Geographical Analysis
Geographical Analysis
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 5
Prefectures
Islands
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 6
Prefectures
Islands
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 7
Economic Analysis
Three alternative economic scenarios
• Optimistic scenario – 100% occupancy
• Basic scenario – 80% occupancy
• Pessimistic scenario – 60% occupancy
Calculation of hotel’s revenues
• Average accommodation cost
• Number of rooms
• Operation period
Market value
• Annual income
• V=I/Y
Prefectures
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 8
Islands
Economic Analysis
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 9
Statistical AnalysisVariables Code Name
IndependentMarket Value of the hotel - Basic scenario
Estim_value(Constant)
Dependents
ISO Certification ISO12 factors
Green Key Certification Green_key
Greek Breakfast Certification Greek_breakfast
Seaside hotel Seashore6 Included
Distance from the city center Dist_center
Distance from the nearest airport Dist_airport
Parking Parking
Number of rooms No_rooms
6 Excluded
Average accommodation costAverage_room_price
Operation period in months Operation_period
Operation period in days Operation_days
Hotel's occupancy Hotel_occupancy
Statistical Analysis (2)
Unstandardized
Coefficientst Sig.
Collinearity
Statistics
Model B Std. Error Tolerance VIF
(Constant) -3458717.08 287735.48 -12.02 0.00
Hotel_occupancy 119.10 6.39 18.64 0.00 0.14 7.08
Operation_days 11451.15 734.88 15.58 0.00 0.81 1.24
No_rooms 5888.38 997.98 5.90 0.00 0.14 7.00
Average_room_price 2951.83 685.68 4.30 0.00 0.55 1.82
Green_key 528691.55 183345.70 2.88 0.00 0.88 1.13
Greek_breakfast -586585.52 280810.70 -2.09 0.04 0.98 1.02
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 10
Statistical Analysis (3)
Model t Sig.
ISO -0.46 0.645
Seashore -0.95 0.342
Dist_center -0.56 0.576
Dist_airport -1.84 0.067
Parking 1.48 0.140
Operation_period -1.73 0.085
Statistical Analysis (4)
R R2Adjusted
R2
Std. Error of the
Estimate
Durbin-
Watson
Model
Significance
0.968 0.936 0.935 903721.968 1.764 0.000
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 11
Conclusions
• The majority of the luxury hotels is located in the islands of Greece• The majority of them does not belong to a hotel group and does not have any certification
Conclusions (2)
• Market value of the luxury 5* hotels of Greece : around 18 billion euros
• The feasibility of investing in the expansion and the creation of new accommodations needs further investigation
• Investments in modernization and improvement of hotels' facilities (e.g. environmental policy) are needed
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 12
Results
Country's tourism profile is provided
Creation of geodatabase with all 5* luxury hotels, their features and their market values
Server
Results (2)
• http://155.207.21.1/fmaps/volt/
Link
• Valuation Of Luxury Tourism (VOLT)
Name
• Choose the features• Choose a basemap• Legend• Draw• Print
Tools
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 13
Results (3)
Results (4)
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 14
Results (5)
Results (6)
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01-06-2015
FIG Working Week 2015 15
Results (7)