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ECIPE PRESENTATION » 19. November 2014
TTIP Storytellers and Storytelling
PRESENTATION OF PRELIMINARY FINDINGS ON
Online Media Coverage of TTIP Matthias Bauer Senior Economist, European Centre for International Political Economy (ECIPE)
TTIP Online Media Coverage ex Facebook ex Twitter
2
Note: News covered comprise blogs, forums, online news portals.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
03/06/13 08/07/13 12/08/13 16/09/13 21/10/13 25/11/13 30/12/13 03/02/14 10/03/14 14/04/14 19/05/14 23/06/14 28/07/14 01/09/14
Share of Voice over the Period 1 July 2013 to 29 September 2014
Share of Voice ex Facebook ex Twitter Share of Voice Positive Economic Arguments ex Facebook ex Twitter
1st round of negotiations
2nd round of negotiations
3rd round of negotiations
4th round of negotiations
5th round of negotiations
6th round of negotiations
7th round of negotiations
Share of Online Media Coverage: Opponents vs. Proponents
3
Note: The Period under review is January 2014 to October 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
23/06/14 21/07/14 18/08/14 15/09/14 13/10/14
Share of Voice Opponents vs. Proponents
Anti-TTIP Groups
Business Associations
EU Commission
Dominant Types of Online Media Coverage
4
18%
18%
18%
20%
37%
77%
52%
35%
0.09%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Business Associations
EU Commission
Anti-TTIP Groups
Facebook Twitter Blogs Forums News
Note: The Period under review is June 2014 to October 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
Overall Online Media Coverage of Sensitive Issues
5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
06/01/14 03/02/14 03/03/14 31/03/14 28/04/14 26/05/14 23/06/14 21/07/14 18/08/14 15/09/14
Media Coverage of Sensible Issues
Investment: 38 per cent
Chlorine Chicken: 5 per cent
Hormone Beef: 4 per cent
Fracking: 8 per cent IPR: 3 per cent
Transparency: 10 per cent
Genetically Modified Organisms: 13 per cent
Culture: 10 per cent
Data Protection: 9 per cent
Note: The Period under review is January 2014 to October 2014.
Top 5 Country Issues, population adjusted
6
123
57 56 51
35
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Top 5 Issues France
Investment Culture GMO Transparency Data Protection
437
154 141 141 129
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Top 5 Issues Germany
Investment Data Protection Transparency Culture Fracking
155
52 51 41
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Top 5 Issues Italy
Investment GMO Culture Data Protection IPR
Note: All graphs represent population-adjusted shares of voice. The indicator along the y-axis is calculated as country- and sector-specific shares of voice divided by national population size and multiplied by 1,000,000. The period covered is January 2014 to October 2014.
71
13 11 8 7
0
20
40
60
80
Top 5 Issues United Kingdom
Investment Fracking Transparency Data Protection Hormon Beef
Development of Sentiment of Top 4 Sensitive Issues
7
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
06/01/14 10/02/14 17/03/14 21/04/14 26/05/14 30/06/14 04/08/14 08/09/14
ISDS
positive negative
6th round of negotiations
7th round of negotiations
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
06/01/14 10/02/14 17/03/14 21/04/14 26/05/14 30/06/14 04/08/14 08/09/14
Culture
positive negative
6th round of negotiations
7th round of negotiations
0
500
1000
1500
2000
06/01/14 10/02/14 17/03/14 21/04/14 26/05/14 30/06/14 04/08/14 08/09/14
Genetically Modified Organisms
positive negative
6th round of negotiations
7th round of negotiations
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
06/01/14 10/02/14 17/03/14 21/04/14 26/05/14 30/06/14 04/08/14 08/09/14
Transparency
positive negative
6th round of negotiations
7th round of negotiations
Note: The Period under review is June 2014 to October 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
Sentiment of Anti-TTIP Groups Online Media Reporting
8
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
06/01/14 03/02/14 03/03/14 31/03/14 28/04/14 02/06/14 30/06/14 28/07/14 25/08/14 22/09/14
Sentiment of Anti-TTIP Groups Media Reporting
Share of negative sentiment
Share of neutral sentiment
Share of positive sentiment
Note: The Period under review is June 2014 to October 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
Sentiment of EU Commission Online Media Reporting
9
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
06/01/14 03/02/14 03/03/14 31/03/14 28/04/14 26/05/14 23/06/14 21/07/14 18/08/14 15/09/14 13/10/14
Sentiment of EU Commission Media Reporting
Share of positive statements Share of neutral statements Share of negative statements
Share of negative sentiment
Share of neutral sentiment
Share of positive sentiment
Note: The Period under review is June 2014 to October 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
EU Parliamentary Groups Engaged in TTIP Debate
10
European People's Party (EPP) 26%
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
(S&D) 16%
European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR)
2%
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe
(ALDE) 8%
European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE-
NGL) 14%
The Greens–European Free Alliance (Greens–EFA)
29%
Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy (EFDD)
3% Non-Inscrits (NI)
2% EU Parliamentary Groups
Note: The Period under review is June 2014 to November 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
EU Parliamentary Groups Engaged in TTIP Debate
11
2.0
1.4
0.6
2.1
4.8
10.1
1.0
0.5
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
European People's Party (EPP)
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D)
European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR)
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE)
European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE-NGL)
The Greens–European Free Alliance (Greens–EFA)
Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy (EFDD)
Non-Inscrits (NI)
Number of Statements per MEP
Note: The Period under review is June 2014 to November 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
TTIP Sentiment by Parliamentary Group
12
89
135
45
73
8 2
26 27 26
104
57
182
9 14
1
13
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
positive negative positive negative positive negative positive negative positive negative positive negative positive negative positive negative
European People's Party
(EPP)
Progressive Alliance of
Socialists and Democrats (S&D)
European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR)
Alliance of Liberals and
Democrats for Europe (ALDE)
European United Left–Nordic Green
Left (GUE-NGL)
The Greens–European Free
Alliance (Greens–EFA)
Europe of Freedom and
Direct Democracy (EFDD)
Non-Inscrits (NI)
EU Parliamentary Group Sentiment about TTIP
Note: The Period under review is June 2014 to November 2014. Results include Facebook and Twitter.
Conclusions and Outlook
13