ucar reti 2012 weather, climate, climate change …...the difference between weather and climate is...

29
Weather, Climate, Climate Change and Actions UCAR RETI 2012 Compiled By Rob Behrens

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Page 1: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Weather Climate Climate Change and

Actions

UCAR RETI 2012

Compiled By Rob Behrens

The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short period of time and climate is how the atmosphere behaves over relatively long periods of time

CHAPTER 1

1

Weather and Climate Basics

SECTION 1

Rain and dull clouds windy blue skies cold snow and sticky heat are very different conditions yet they are all weather

Weather is the mix of events that happen each day in our at-mosphere Weather is different in different parts of the world and changes over minutes hours days and weeks Most weather happens in the troposphere the part of Earthrsquos atmos-phere that is closest to the ground

The weather events happening in an area are controlled by changes in air pressure Air pressure is caused by the weight of the huge numbers of air molecules that make up the atmos-phere Typically when air pressure is high there skies are clear and blue The high pressure causes air to flow down and fan out when it gets near the ground preventing clouds from form-ing When air pressure is low air flows together and then up-ward where it converges rising cooling and forming clouds

Credit UCAR

What is weather

2

Remember to bring an umbrella with you on low pressure days be-cause those clouds might cause rain or other types of precipitation

Meteorologists develop local or regional weather forecasts includ-ing predictions for several days into the future The best forecasts take into account the weather events that are happening over a broad region Knowing where storms are now can help forecasters predict where storms will be tomorrow and the next day Technol-ogy such as weather satellites and Doppler radar helps the process of looking over a large area as does the network of weather obser-vations

The chaotic nature of the atmosphere means that it will probably always be impossible to predict the weather more than two weeks ahead however new technologies combined with more traditional methods are allowing forecasters to develop better and more com-plete forecasts

The average weather pattern in a place over several decades is called climate Different regions have different regional climates For example the climate of Antarctica is quite different than the cli-mate of a tropical island Global climate refers to the average of all regional climates

As global climate changes weather patterns are expected to change as well While it is impossible to say whether a particular dayrsquos weather was affected by climate change it is possible to pre-dict how patterns might change For example scientists predict more severe weather events as climate warms Also they predict more hot summer days and fewer extreme cold winter days That doesnrsquot mean that there will be no more winter weather in fact large snowstorms might even be more likely in some areas as less

cold air is able to carry more water with which to make snow-flakes

Weather is also affected by climate events like El Nino and La Nina (together known as ENSO) Climate events like these affect the weather in many areas of the world causing extreme events like storms and droughts

Rather learn about it Online

The Jason Project Monster Storms examines current research to im-prove forecasting allowing communities to better prepare for storms and avoid their destructive potential Fly into the eye of a hurricane or chase tornadoes through Tornado Alley Learn how powerful storms form and how cutting-edge technology is used to better understand and forecast weather

Winter Weather Learning Center

Activities on making a snowflake reflect on light and color catch-ing snowflakes or read about blizzards snowstorms snowflakes or icy winter weather Links also to how NCAR is studying winter weather

Discoveryrsquos Weather and Climate Curriculum Center

Activities puzzles and project ideas to boost the study of Weather amp Climate Discovery Educations video and CD-ROM resources offer an up close exploration of Weather amp Climate

Web Weather for Kids

Learn what makes weather wet and wild do cool activities and be-come hot at forecasting the weather on Web Weather for Kids

3

SECTION 2

The climate where you live is called regional climate It is the aver-age weather in a place over more than thirty years To describe the regional climate of a place people often tell what the tempera-tures are like over the seasons how windy it is and how much rain or snow falls The climate of a region depends on many fac-tors including the amount of sunlight it receives its height above sea level the shape of the land and how close it is to oceans

Since the equator receives more sunlight than the poles climate varies depending on its distance from he equator

However we can also think about the climate of an entire planet Global climate is a description of the climate of a planet as a whole with all the regional differences averaged Overall global climate depends on the amount of energy received by the Sun and the amount of energy that is trapped in the system These

Tornado that observed and Photographed near Attica Kansas on May 29 2004 by Eric Nguyen

What is Climate

4

amounts are different for different planets Scientists who study Earths climate and climate change study the factors that affect the climate of our whole planet

While the weather can change in just a few hours climate changes over longer timeframes Climate events like El Nino happen over several years small-scale fluctuations happen over decades and larger climate changes happen over hundreds and thousands of years Today climates are changing Our Earth is warming more quickly than it has in the past according to the research of scien-tists Hot summer days may be quite typical of climates in many regions of the world but global warming is causing Earths aver-age global temperature to increase The amount of solar radiation the chemistry of the atmosphere clouds and the biosphere all af-fect Earths climate

What impacts climate

Some factors that have the power to change global climate are natu-ral like volcanic eruptions and changes in the amount of solar en-ergy Other factors that are changing climate today are caused by humans like the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere

The Sun Since almost all the energy on Earth comes from the Sun changes in the cycle of solar activity called the 11-year sunspot cy-cle can cause small changes in Earthrsquos climate These changes in the Sun are too small to be the cause of recent climate change There are also large slow changes to the amount of solar energy that gets to Earth Over tens to hundreds of thousands of years changes in the way Earth orbits the Sun have caused large changes in climate such as the Ice Ages

Volcanic Eruptions Erupting volcanoes spew red-hot lava and ash into the air The lava falls to the ground immediately and the ash settles to the ground in a few days Neither of those have much im-pact on climate but there are also tiny particles of sulfur dioxide that spew from volcanic eruptions They get into the atmosphere and reflect solar radiation back out to space shading the Earth - causes cooling The cooling is temporary lasting usually a year or two Eventually the particles fall out of the atmosphere to the ground

Greenhouse Gases Even though greenhouse gases make up less than 1 of the atmosphere they have a major effect Greenhouse gases trap heat in the atmosphere through a process called the greenhouse effect Having some greenhouse gases in the atmos-phere is natural Their heat-trapping abilities keep Earth from be-ing uncomfortably cold However the amount of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere has increased over the past 150 years as people burned fossil fuels and changed landscapes decreasing the amount of forests which naturally take the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide our of the air as the plants photosynthesize

Snow and Ice Because snow and ice are light in color they have the ability to reflect most of the sunlight that hits them out to space When snow and ice melt as Earthrsquos climate warms less en-ergy is reflected out to space so more lingers around Earth which causes even more warming

Other Impacts There are also other aspects of our planet that have an impact on climate too Scientists are studying the impact of clouds and tiny particles in the atmosphere called aerosols on cli-mate in hopes of adding more detail to models used to predict fu-

5

ture climate Scientists are also keeping track of how water moves through the worldrsquos ocean As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic melts the flow of ocean water could change Since the water trans-ports heat from place to place this could have a large effect on cli-mate in different regions of the world

copy 2011 NESTA and UCAR

Learn about Climate online

Climate Literacy and Energy Awareness

Set of climate literacy and energy awareness principles provides a framework for teaching the science behind these issues

6Keynote thanks to S Kindt

Interactive 11 Climatology Slideshow

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 2: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short period of time and climate is how the atmosphere behaves over relatively long periods of time

CHAPTER 1

1

Weather and Climate Basics

SECTION 1

Rain and dull clouds windy blue skies cold snow and sticky heat are very different conditions yet they are all weather

Weather is the mix of events that happen each day in our at-mosphere Weather is different in different parts of the world and changes over minutes hours days and weeks Most weather happens in the troposphere the part of Earthrsquos atmos-phere that is closest to the ground

The weather events happening in an area are controlled by changes in air pressure Air pressure is caused by the weight of the huge numbers of air molecules that make up the atmos-phere Typically when air pressure is high there skies are clear and blue The high pressure causes air to flow down and fan out when it gets near the ground preventing clouds from form-ing When air pressure is low air flows together and then up-ward where it converges rising cooling and forming clouds

Credit UCAR

What is weather

2

Remember to bring an umbrella with you on low pressure days be-cause those clouds might cause rain or other types of precipitation

Meteorologists develop local or regional weather forecasts includ-ing predictions for several days into the future The best forecasts take into account the weather events that are happening over a broad region Knowing where storms are now can help forecasters predict where storms will be tomorrow and the next day Technol-ogy such as weather satellites and Doppler radar helps the process of looking over a large area as does the network of weather obser-vations

The chaotic nature of the atmosphere means that it will probably always be impossible to predict the weather more than two weeks ahead however new technologies combined with more traditional methods are allowing forecasters to develop better and more com-plete forecasts

The average weather pattern in a place over several decades is called climate Different regions have different regional climates For example the climate of Antarctica is quite different than the cli-mate of a tropical island Global climate refers to the average of all regional climates

As global climate changes weather patterns are expected to change as well While it is impossible to say whether a particular dayrsquos weather was affected by climate change it is possible to pre-dict how patterns might change For example scientists predict more severe weather events as climate warms Also they predict more hot summer days and fewer extreme cold winter days That doesnrsquot mean that there will be no more winter weather in fact large snowstorms might even be more likely in some areas as less

cold air is able to carry more water with which to make snow-flakes

Weather is also affected by climate events like El Nino and La Nina (together known as ENSO) Climate events like these affect the weather in many areas of the world causing extreme events like storms and droughts

Rather learn about it Online

The Jason Project Monster Storms examines current research to im-prove forecasting allowing communities to better prepare for storms and avoid their destructive potential Fly into the eye of a hurricane or chase tornadoes through Tornado Alley Learn how powerful storms form and how cutting-edge technology is used to better understand and forecast weather

Winter Weather Learning Center

Activities on making a snowflake reflect on light and color catch-ing snowflakes or read about blizzards snowstorms snowflakes or icy winter weather Links also to how NCAR is studying winter weather

Discoveryrsquos Weather and Climate Curriculum Center

Activities puzzles and project ideas to boost the study of Weather amp Climate Discovery Educations video and CD-ROM resources offer an up close exploration of Weather amp Climate

Web Weather for Kids

Learn what makes weather wet and wild do cool activities and be-come hot at forecasting the weather on Web Weather for Kids

3

SECTION 2

The climate where you live is called regional climate It is the aver-age weather in a place over more than thirty years To describe the regional climate of a place people often tell what the tempera-tures are like over the seasons how windy it is and how much rain or snow falls The climate of a region depends on many fac-tors including the amount of sunlight it receives its height above sea level the shape of the land and how close it is to oceans

Since the equator receives more sunlight than the poles climate varies depending on its distance from he equator

However we can also think about the climate of an entire planet Global climate is a description of the climate of a planet as a whole with all the regional differences averaged Overall global climate depends on the amount of energy received by the Sun and the amount of energy that is trapped in the system These

Tornado that observed and Photographed near Attica Kansas on May 29 2004 by Eric Nguyen

What is Climate

4

amounts are different for different planets Scientists who study Earths climate and climate change study the factors that affect the climate of our whole planet

While the weather can change in just a few hours climate changes over longer timeframes Climate events like El Nino happen over several years small-scale fluctuations happen over decades and larger climate changes happen over hundreds and thousands of years Today climates are changing Our Earth is warming more quickly than it has in the past according to the research of scien-tists Hot summer days may be quite typical of climates in many regions of the world but global warming is causing Earths aver-age global temperature to increase The amount of solar radiation the chemistry of the atmosphere clouds and the biosphere all af-fect Earths climate

What impacts climate

Some factors that have the power to change global climate are natu-ral like volcanic eruptions and changes in the amount of solar en-ergy Other factors that are changing climate today are caused by humans like the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere

The Sun Since almost all the energy on Earth comes from the Sun changes in the cycle of solar activity called the 11-year sunspot cy-cle can cause small changes in Earthrsquos climate These changes in the Sun are too small to be the cause of recent climate change There are also large slow changes to the amount of solar energy that gets to Earth Over tens to hundreds of thousands of years changes in the way Earth orbits the Sun have caused large changes in climate such as the Ice Ages

Volcanic Eruptions Erupting volcanoes spew red-hot lava and ash into the air The lava falls to the ground immediately and the ash settles to the ground in a few days Neither of those have much im-pact on climate but there are also tiny particles of sulfur dioxide that spew from volcanic eruptions They get into the atmosphere and reflect solar radiation back out to space shading the Earth - causes cooling The cooling is temporary lasting usually a year or two Eventually the particles fall out of the atmosphere to the ground

Greenhouse Gases Even though greenhouse gases make up less than 1 of the atmosphere they have a major effect Greenhouse gases trap heat in the atmosphere through a process called the greenhouse effect Having some greenhouse gases in the atmos-phere is natural Their heat-trapping abilities keep Earth from be-ing uncomfortably cold However the amount of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere has increased over the past 150 years as people burned fossil fuels and changed landscapes decreasing the amount of forests which naturally take the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide our of the air as the plants photosynthesize

Snow and Ice Because snow and ice are light in color they have the ability to reflect most of the sunlight that hits them out to space When snow and ice melt as Earthrsquos climate warms less en-ergy is reflected out to space so more lingers around Earth which causes even more warming

Other Impacts There are also other aspects of our planet that have an impact on climate too Scientists are studying the impact of clouds and tiny particles in the atmosphere called aerosols on cli-mate in hopes of adding more detail to models used to predict fu-

5

ture climate Scientists are also keeping track of how water moves through the worldrsquos ocean As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic melts the flow of ocean water could change Since the water trans-ports heat from place to place this could have a large effect on cli-mate in different regions of the world

copy 2011 NESTA and UCAR

Learn about Climate online

Climate Literacy and Energy Awareness

Set of climate literacy and energy awareness principles provides a framework for teaching the science behind these issues

6Keynote thanks to S Kindt

Interactive 11 Climatology Slideshow

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 3: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 1

Rain and dull clouds windy blue skies cold snow and sticky heat are very different conditions yet they are all weather

Weather is the mix of events that happen each day in our at-mosphere Weather is different in different parts of the world and changes over minutes hours days and weeks Most weather happens in the troposphere the part of Earthrsquos atmos-phere that is closest to the ground

The weather events happening in an area are controlled by changes in air pressure Air pressure is caused by the weight of the huge numbers of air molecules that make up the atmos-phere Typically when air pressure is high there skies are clear and blue The high pressure causes air to flow down and fan out when it gets near the ground preventing clouds from form-ing When air pressure is low air flows together and then up-ward where it converges rising cooling and forming clouds

Credit UCAR

What is weather

2

Remember to bring an umbrella with you on low pressure days be-cause those clouds might cause rain or other types of precipitation

Meteorologists develop local or regional weather forecasts includ-ing predictions for several days into the future The best forecasts take into account the weather events that are happening over a broad region Knowing where storms are now can help forecasters predict where storms will be tomorrow and the next day Technol-ogy such as weather satellites and Doppler radar helps the process of looking over a large area as does the network of weather obser-vations

The chaotic nature of the atmosphere means that it will probably always be impossible to predict the weather more than two weeks ahead however new technologies combined with more traditional methods are allowing forecasters to develop better and more com-plete forecasts

The average weather pattern in a place over several decades is called climate Different regions have different regional climates For example the climate of Antarctica is quite different than the cli-mate of a tropical island Global climate refers to the average of all regional climates

As global climate changes weather patterns are expected to change as well While it is impossible to say whether a particular dayrsquos weather was affected by climate change it is possible to pre-dict how patterns might change For example scientists predict more severe weather events as climate warms Also they predict more hot summer days and fewer extreme cold winter days That doesnrsquot mean that there will be no more winter weather in fact large snowstorms might even be more likely in some areas as less

cold air is able to carry more water with which to make snow-flakes

Weather is also affected by climate events like El Nino and La Nina (together known as ENSO) Climate events like these affect the weather in many areas of the world causing extreme events like storms and droughts

Rather learn about it Online

The Jason Project Monster Storms examines current research to im-prove forecasting allowing communities to better prepare for storms and avoid their destructive potential Fly into the eye of a hurricane or chase tornadoes through Tornado Alley Learn how powerful storms form and how cutting-edge technology is used to better understand and forecast weather

Winter Weather Learning Center

Activities on making a snowflake reflect on light and color catch-ing snowflakes or read about blizzards snowstorms snowflakes or icy winter weather Links also to how NCAR is studying winter weather

Discoveryrsquos Weather and Climate Curriculum Center

Activities puzzles and project ideas to boost the study of Weather amp Climate Discovery Educations video and CD-ROM resources offer an up close exploration of Weather amp Climate

Web Weather for Kids

Learn what makes weather wet and wild do cool activities and be-come hot at forecasting the weather on Web Weather for Kids

3

SECTION 2

The climate where you live is called regional climate It is the aver-age weather in a place over more than thirty years To describe the regional climate of a place people often tell what the tempera-tures are like over the seasons how windy it is and how much rain or snow falls The climate of a region depends on many fac-tors including the amount of sunlight it receives its height above sea level the shape of the land and how close it is to oceans

Since the equator receives more sunlight than the poles climate varies depending on its distance from he equator

However we can also think about the climate of an entire planet Global climate is a description of the climate of a planet as a whole with all the regional differences averaged Overall global climate depends on the amount of energy received by the Sun and the amount of energy that is trapped in the system These

Tornado that observed and Photographed near Attica Kansas on May 29 2004 by Eric Nguyen

What is Climate

4

amounts are different for different planets Scientists who study Earths climate and climate change study the factors that affect the climate of our whole planet

While the weather can change in just a few hours climate changes over longer timeframes Climate events like El Nino happen over several years small-scale fluctuations happen over decades and larger climate changes happen over hundreds and thousands of years Today climates are changing Our Earth is warming more quickly than it has in the past according to the research of scien-tists Hot summer days may be quite typical of climates in many regions of the world but global warming is causing Earths aver-age global temperature to increase The amount of solar radiation the chemistry of the atmosphere clouds and the biosphere all af-fect Earths climate

What impacts climate

Some factors that have the power to change global climate are natu-ral like volcanic eruptions and changes in the amount of solar en-ergy Other factors that are changing climate today are caused by humans like the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere

The Sun Since almost all the energy on Earth comes from the Sun changes in the cycle of solar activity called the 11-year sunspot cy-cle can cause small changes in Earthrsquos climate These changes in the Sun are too small to be the cause of recent climate change There are also large slow changes to the amount of solar energy that gets to Earth Over tens to hundreds of thousands of years changes in the way Earth orbits the Sun have caused large changes in climate such as the Ice Ages

Volcanic Eruptions Erupting volcanoes spew red-hot lava and ash into the air The lava falls to the ground immediately and the ash settles to the ground in a few days Neither of those have much im-pact on climate but there are also tiny particles of sulfur dioxide that spew from volcanic eruptions They get into the atmosphere and reflect solar radiation back out to space shading the Earth - causes cooling The cooling is temporary lasting usually a year or two Eventually the particles fall out of the atmosphere to the ground

Greenhouse Gases Even though greenhouse gases make up less than 1 of the atmosphere they have a major effect Greenhouse gases trap heat in the atmosphere through a process called the greenhouse effect Having some greenhouse gases in the atmos-phere is natural Their heat-trapping abilities keep Earth from be-ing uncomfortably cold However the amount of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere has increased over the past 150 years as people burned fossil fuels and changed landscapes decreasing the amount of forests which naturally take the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide our of the air as the plants photosynthesize

Snow and Ice Because snow and ice are light in color they have the ability to reflect most of the sunlight that hits them out to space When snow and ice melt as Earthrsquos climate warms less en-ergy is reflected out to space so more lingers around Earth which causes even more warming

Other Impacts There are also other aspects of our planet that have an impact on climate too Scientists are studying the impact of clouds and tiny particles in the atmosphere called aerosols on cli-mate in hopes of adding more detail to models used to predict fu-

5

ture climate Scientists are also keeping track of how water moves through the worldrsquos ocean As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic melts the flow of ocean water could change Since the water trans-ports heat from place to place this could have a large effect on cli-mate in different regions of the world

copy 2011 NESTA and UCAR

Learn about Climate online

Climate Literacy and Energy Awareness

Set of climate literacy and energy awareness principles provides a framework for teaching the science behind these issues

6Keynote thanks to S Kindt

Interactive 11 Climatology Slideshow

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 4: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Remember to bring an umbrella with you on low pressure days be-cause those clouds might cause rain or other types of precipitation

Meteorologists develop local or regional weather forecasts includ-ing predictions for several days into the future The best forecasts take into account the weather events that are happening over a broad region Knowing where storms are now can help forecasters predict where storms will be tomorrow and the next day Technol-ogy such as weather satellites and Doppler radar helps the process of looking over a large area as does the network of weather obser-vations

The chaotic nature of the atmosphere means that it will probably always be impossible to predict the weather more than two weeks ahead however new technologies combined with more traditional methods are allowing forecasters to develop better and more com-plete forecasts

The average weather pattern in a place over several decades is called climate Different regions have different regional climates For example the climate of Antarctica is quite different than the cli-mate of a tropical island Global climate refers to the average of all regional climates

As global climate changes weather patterns are expected to change as well While it is impossible to say whether a particular dayrsquos weather was affected by climate change it is possible to pre-dict how patterns might change For example scientists predict more severe weather events as climate warms Also they predict more hot summer days and fewer extreme cold winter days That doesnrsquot mean that there will be no more winter weather in fact large snowstorms might even be more likely in some areas as less

cold air is able to carry more water with which to make snow-flakes

Weather is also affected by climate events like El Nino and La Nina (together known as ENSO) Climate events like these affect the weather in many areas of the world causing extreme events like storms and droughts

Rather learn about it Online

The Jason Project Monster Storms examines current research to im-prove forecasting allowing communities to better prepare for storms and avoid their destructive potential Fly into the eye of a hurricane or chase tornadoes through Tornado Alley Learn how powerful storms form and how cutting-edge technology is used to better understand and forecast weather

Winter Weather Learning Center

Activities on making a snowflake reflect on light and color catch-ing snowflakes or read about blizzards snowstorms snowflakes or icy winter weather Links also to how NCAR is studying winter weather

Discoveryrsquos Weather and Climate Curriculum Center

Activities puzzles and project ideas to boost the study of Weather amp Climate Discovery Educations video and CD-ROM resources offer an up close exploration of Weather amp Climate

Web Weather for Kids

Learn what makes weather wet and wild do cool activities and be-come hot at forecasting the weather on Web Weather for Kids

3

SECTION 2

The climate where you live is called regional climate It is the aver-age weather in a place over more than thirty years To describe the regional climate of a place people often tell what the tempera-tures are like over the seasons how windy it is and how much rain or snow falls The climate of a region depends on many fac-tors including the amount of sunlight it receives its height above sea level the shape of the land and how close it is to oceans

Since the equator receives more sunlight than the poles climate varies depending on its distance from he equator

However we can also think about the climate of an entire planet Global climate is a description of the climate of a planet as a whole with all the regional differences averaged Overall global climate depends on the amount of energy received by the Sun and the amount of energy that is trapped in the system These

Tornado that observed and Photographed near Attica Kansas on May 29 2004 by Eric Nguyen

What is Climate

4

amounts are different for different planets Scientists who study Earths climate and climate change study the factors that affect the climate of our whole planet

While the weather can change in just a few hours climate changes over longer timeframes Climate events like El Nino happen over several years small-scale fluctuations happen over decades and larger climate changes happen over hundreds and thousands of years Today climates are changing Our Earth is warming more quickly than it has in the past according to the research of scien-tists Hot summer days may be quite typical of climates in many regions of the world but global warming is causing Earths aver-age global temperature to increase The amount of solar radiation the chemistry of the atmosphere clouds and the biosphere all af-fect Earths climate

What impacts climate

Some factors that have the power to change global climate are natu-ral like volcanic eruptions and changes in the amount of solar en-ergy Other factors that are changing climate today are caused by humans like the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere

The Sun Since almost all the energy on Earth comes from the Sun changes in the cycle of solar activity called the 11-year sunspot cy-cle can cause small changes in Earthrsquos climate These changes in the Sun are too small to be the cause of recent climate change There are also large slow changes to the amount of solar energy that gets to Earth Over tens to hundreds of thousands of years changes in the way Earth orbits the Sun have caused large changes in climate such as the Ice Ages

Volcanic Eruptions Erupting volcanoes spew red-hot lava and ash into the air The lava falls to the ground immediately and the ash settles to the ground in a few days Neither of those have much im-pact on climate but there are also tiny particles of sulfur dioxide that spew from volcanic eruptions They get into the atmosphere and reflect solar radiation back out to space shading the Earth - causes cooling The cooling is temporary lasting usually a year or two Eventually the particles fall out of the atmosphere to the ground

Greenhouse Gases Even though greenhouse gases make up less than 1 of the atmosphere they have a major effect Greenhouse gases trap heat in the atmosphere through a process called the greenhouse effect Having some greenhouse gases in the atmos-phere is natural Their heat-trapping abilities keep Earth from be-ing uncomfortably cold However the amount of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere has increased over the past 150 years as people burned fossil fuels and changed landscapes decreasing the amount of forests which naturally take the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide our of the air as the plants photosynthesize

Snow and Ice Because snow and ice are light in color they have the ability to reflect most of the sunlight that hits them out to space When snow and ice melt as Earthrsquos climate warms less en-ergy is reflected out to space so more lingers around Earth which causes even more warming

Other Impacts There are also other aspects of our planet that have an impact on climate too Scientists are studying the impact of clouds and tiny particles in the atmosphere called aerosols on cli-mate in hopes of adding more detail to models used to predict fu-

5

ture climate Scientists are also keeping track of how water moves through the worldrsquos ocean As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic melts the flow of ocean water could change Since the water trans-ports heat from place to place this could have a large effect on cli-mate in different regions of the world

copy 2011 NESTA and UCAR

Learn about Climate online

Climate Literacy and Energy Awareness

Set of climate literacy and energy awareness principles provides a framework for teaching the science behind these issues

6Keynote thanks to S Kindt

Interactive 11 Climatology Slideshow

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 5: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 2

The climate where you live is called regional climate It is the aver-age weather in a place over more than thirty years To describe the regional climate of a place people often tell what the tempera-tures are like over the seasons how windy it is and how much rain or snow falls The climate of a region depends on many fac-tors including the amount of sunlight it receives its height above sea level the shape of the land and how close it is to oceans

Since the equator receives more sunlight than the poles climate varies depending on its distance from he equator

However we can also think about the climate of an entire planet Global climate is a description of the climate of a planet as a whole with all the regional differences averaged Overall global climate depends on the amount of energy received by the Sun and the amount of energy that is trapped in the system These

Tornado that observed and Photographed near Attica Kansas on May 29 2004 by Eric Nguyen

What is Climate

4

amounts are different for different planets Scientists who study Earths climate and climate change study the factors that affect the climate of our whole planet

While the weather can change in just a few hours climate changes over longer timeframes Climate events like El Nino happen over several years small-scale fluctuations happen over decades and larger climate changes happen over hundreds and thousands of years Today climates are changing Our Earth is warming more quickly than it has in the past according to the research of scien-tists Hot summer days may be quite typical of climates in many regions of the world but global warming is causing Earths aver-age global temperature to increase The amount of solar radiation the chemistry of the atmosphere clouds and the biosphere all af-fect Earths climate

What impacts climate

Some factors that have the power to change global climate are natu-ral like volcanic eruptions and changes in the amount of solar en-ergy Other factors that are changing climate today are caused by humans like the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere

The Sun Since almost all the energy on Earth comes from the Sun changes in the cycle of solar activity called the 11-year sunspot cy-cle can cause small changes in Earthrsquos climate These changes in the Sun are too small to be the cause of recent climate change There are also large slow changes to the amount of solar energy that gets to Earth Over tens to hundreds of thousands of years changes in the way Earth orbits the Sun have caused large changes in climate such as the Ice Ages

Volcanic Eruptions Erupting volcanoes spew red-hot lava and ash into the air The lava falls to the ground immediately and the ash settles to the ground in a few days Neither of those have much im-pact on climate but there are also tiny particles of sulfur dioxide that spew from volcanic eruptions They get into the atmosphere and reflect solar radiation back out to space shading the Earth - causes cooling The cooling is temporary lasting usually a year or two Eventually the particles fall out of the atmosphere to the ground

Greenhouse Gases Even though greenhouse gases make up less than 1 of the atmosphere they have a major effect Greenhouse gases trap heat in the atmosphere through a process called the greenhouse effect Having some greenhouse gases in the atmos-phere is natural Their heat-trapping abilities keep Earth from be-ing uncomfortably cold However the amount of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere has increased over the past 150 years as people burned fossil fuels and changed landscapes decreasing the amount of forests which naturally take the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide our of the air as the plants photosynthesize

Snow and Ice Because snow and ice are light in color they have the ability to reflect most of the sunlight that hits them out to space When snow and ice melt as Earthrsquos climate warms less en-ergy is reflected out to space so more lingers around Earth which causes even more warming

Other Impacts There are also other aspects of our planet that have an impact on climate too Scientists are studying the impact of clouds and tiny particles in the atmosphere called aerosols on cli-mate in hopes of adding more detail to models used to predict fu-

5

ture climate Scientists are also keeping track of how water moves through the worldrsquos ocean As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic melts the flow of ocean water could change Since the water trans-ports heat from place to place this could have a large effect on cli-mate in different regions of the world

copy 2011 NESTA and UCAR

Learn about Climate online

Climate Literacy and Energy Awareness

Set of climate literacy and energy awareness principles provides a framework for teaching the science behind these issues

6Keynote thanks to S Kindt

Interactive 11 Climatology Slideshow

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 6: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

amounts are different for different planets Scientists who study Earths climate and climate change study the factors that affect the climate of our whole planet

While the weather can change in just a few hours climate changes over longer timeframes Climate events like El Nino happen over several years small-scale fluctuations happen over decades and larger climate changes happen over hundreds and thousands of years Today climates are changing Our Earth is warming more quickly than it has in the past according to the research of scien-tists Hot summer days may be quite typical of climates in many regions of the world but global warming is causing Earths aver-age global temperature to increase The amount of solar radiation the chemistry of the atmosphere clouds and the biosphere all af-fect Earths climate

What impacts climate

Some factors that have the power to change global climate are natu-ral like volcanic eruptions and changes in the amount of solar en-ergy Other factors that are changing climate today are caused by humans like the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere

The Sun Since almost all the energy on Earth comes from the Sun changes in the cycle of solar activity called the 11-year sunspot cy-cle can cause small changes in Earthrsquos climate These changes in the Sun are too small to be the cause of recent climate change There are also large slow changes to the amount of solar energy that gets to Earth Over tens to hundreds of thousands of years changes in the way Earth orbits the Sun have caused large changes in climate such as the Ice Ages

Volcanic Eruptions Erupting volcanoes spew red-hot lava and ash into the air The lava falls to the ground immediately and the ash settles to the ground in a few days Neither of those have much im-pact on climate but there are also tiny particles of sulfur dioxide that spew from volcanic eruptions They get into the atmosphere and reflect solar radiation back out to space shading the Earth - causes cooling The cooling is temporary lasting usually a year or two Eventually the particles fall out of the atmosphere to the ground

Greenhouse Gases Even though greenhouse gases make up less than 1 of the atmosphere they have a major effect Greenhouse gases trap heat in the atmosphere through a process called the greenhouse effect Having some greenhouse gases in the atmos-phere is natural Their heat-trapping abilities keep Earth from be-ing uncomfortably cold However the amount of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere has increased over the past 150 years as people burned fossil fuels and changed landscapes decreasing the amount of forests which naturally take the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide our of the air as the plants photosynthesize

Snow and Ice Because snow and ice are light in color they have the ability to reflect most of the sunlight that hits them out to space When snow and ice melt as Earthrsquos climate warms less en-ergy is reflected out to space so more lingers around Earth which causes even more warming

Other Impacts There are also other aspects of our planet that have an impact on climate too Scientists are studying the impact of clouds and tiny particles in the atmosphere called aerosols on cli-mate in hopes of adding more detail to models used to predict fu-

5

ture climate Scientists are also keeping track of how water moves through the worldrsquos ocean As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic melts the flow of ocean water could change Since the water trans-ports heat from place to place this could have a large effect on cli-mate in different regions of the world

copy 2011 NESTA and UCAR

Learn about Climate online

Climate Literacy and Energy Awareness

Set of climate literacy and energy awareness principles provides a framework for teaching the science behind these issues

6Keynote thanks to S Kindt

Interactive 11 Climatology Slideshow

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 7: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

ture climate Scientists are also keeping track of how water moves through the worldrsquos ocean As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic melts the flow of ocean water could change Since the water trans-ports heat from place to place this could have a large effect on cli-mate in different regions of the world

copy 2011 NESTA and UCAR

Learn about Climate online

Climate Literacy and Energy Awareness

Set of climate literacy and energy awareness principles provides a framework for teaching the science behind these issues

6Keynote thanks to S Kindt

Interactive 11 Climatology Slideshow

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 8: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Projected changes in global average temperatures under three emissions scenarios (rows) for three different time periods (columns) Changes in temperatures are relative to 1961-1990 averages The scenarios come from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios B1 is a low emissions scenario A1B is a medium-high emissions scenario and A2 is a high emissions scenario Source NRC 2010

CHAPTER 2

7

Climate is Changing

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 9: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 1

Carbon cycles naturally through the environment Plants and other photosynthetic organisms extract carbon dioxide from the air and in the presence of light make food in the form of the car-bohydrate glucose which provides energy and is used to build

and repair structures Both animals and plants return CO2 to the air when they release the energy stored in food molecules through the process of respiration Other carbon-based molecules cycle more slowly through the environment remaining stored un-derground or at the bottom of the ocean for long periods of time

When we extract coal and oil from Earths crust and then burn these fossil fuels to provide energy for transportation heating cooking electricity and manufacturing we add carbon to the at-mosphere more rapidly than it is naturally removed through pho-tosynthesis and sedimentation The result is that atmospheric car-bon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been for at least 400000 years

This human-caused increase is a concern to climate experts be-cause carbon dioxide water vapor methane nitrous oxide and a few other compounds are responsible for keeping Earth warm in the first place Scientists concern is that an increase in greenhouse gases is likely to enhance the greenhouse effect

Greenhouse gas molecules each composed of three or more com-ponent atoms readily absorb infrared radiation coming from the surface of Earth When they do they vibrate and ultimately re-emit the radiation they have absorbed Often they simply pass their energy to nearby greenhouse gas molecules This absorption-emission-absorption cycle in the lower atmosphere

What is Global Warming

8

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 10: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

keeps heat near the surface of Earth effectively insulating it from the cold of space

In the proper balance greenhouse gases make life on Earth possi-ble However any increase in their concentration poses the risk of altering the natural balance and changing global temperatures dra-matically Indeed temperature data from a variety of sources show that average global temperatures have risen slightly less than one degree Celsius in the past century What may sound like a small change actually suggests an alarming trend to many climate experts Af-ter all ice ages and the warm interglacial periods between them are marked by changes of just four or five degrees Celsius A warming trend on top of the current interglacial pe-riod could have devastating consequences for human societies

To learn more about the role CO2 plays in Earths temperature check out Global Warming The Phys-ics of the Greenhouse Ef-fect

To learn more about evidence suggesting a link between human ac-tivities and global warming check out CO2 Concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaiʻi

To learn more about evidence of regular extreme climate change throughout Earths distant past check out Climate Change and Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 A Record of Climate Change

Discussion Questions

bullWhy does the image of the scientist in the video segment fade after carbon dioxide has been turned on How does this explain the greenhouse ef-fect

bullDraw a diagram that explains how radiant energy from the Sun heats Earths atmosphere Show how heat is absorbed and reradiated by both Earth and the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bullWhat personal actions do you think might contribute to the amount of car-bon dioxide entering the atmosphere either by increasing it or decreasing it

bullHow long does it take for carbon di-oxide to spread throughout Earths at-mosphere How long does it take to be absorbed into the oceans

9

Global Warming Video

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 11: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 2

Environmental conditions are constantly in flux Many of these changes may escape our notice Temperatures rise and fall throughout the day humidity and air pressure fluctuate and clouds form and dissipate However these same variables can combine to create phenomena that are readily observable such as wind rain snow and thunderstorms These relatively short-term environmental changes which might occur over periods of hours days weeks or seasons are collectively referred to as weather

Climate describes environmental conditions over much longer periods of time than weather forecasts and reports These long-term environ-mental analyses characterize a specific geo-graphic locations temperature and precipitation averages and ranges Anomalous high and low readings are absorbed by these averages result-ing in a reliable estimate of expected normal con-ditions

Indeed the global climate is by definition more stable than local weather But climate is also con-stantly changing In fact research conducted over the last 20 years or so describes dramatic shifts in climate in Earths distant past These shifts occurred over a period of a decade or less rather than over thousands of years as scientists once thought was necessary

Scientists began studying evidence of climate change espe-cially the role of ice ages in Earths geologic history more than a century ago During the most recent ice age the Pleistocene average global temperatures were about 5degC or more below pre-sent temperatures This and other ice ages detected in the geo-logical record were set in motion by gradual changes in the Earths tilt rotation and orbit over thousands of years Despite the gradual nature of these changes Earths climate appears to respond rapidly once certain boundary conditions are set in place

10

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 12: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Layers of ice analyzed from Greenland ice cores provide a chronol-ogy detailing the rapid onset of ice age conditions They show aver-age continental surface temperatures rising and falling dramati-cally in just a few years rather than over the course of hundreds or thousands For example between 43000 BC and 8000 BC average global temperatures fluctuated periodically by as much as 20degC (36degF) or more In contrast climate changes since 8000 BC have been characterized by temperature shifts of just 4degC (7degF) or less

Many climatologists think these events resulted from changes in heat energy transfer by ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes caused by a decrease in salinity For example com-puter models suggest that around 13000 years ago the Gulf Stream waters which warm northwestern Europe might have been altered or halted dramatically by influxes of fresh water from melting glaciers However scientists do not understand the specif-ics of how a decrease in the rate of energy transfer by the ocean currents from the tropics to the higher latitudes translates to changes in regional and global climate

WATCH THIS VIDEO

Discussion Questions

bull Explain the relationship between climate and weather using examples from the video

bull Explain why floods hurricanes and tornadoes are aspects of weather not climate

bull The video points out how dramatic climate changes have been in the past Do we know the possible triggers of these rapid

shifts Is it possible that we may experience one of these dra-matic shifts in our lifetime

bull The graph of average temperatures shows that todays tem-peratures are higher than they were 10000 to 40000 years ago It also shows that todays temperatures have been dropping in the past centuries However what doesnt show on this graph is that temperatures have been increasing over the past several dec-

11

AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system Statistics and extreme behavior are involved whether were talking about baseball or Earths atmosphere

(copyUCAR Video by Noah Besser produced by UCAR Communications for AtmosNews NCAR amp UCAR Science)

Movie 21 Steroids Baseball and Climate Change

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 13: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

ades What do most scientists believe is contributing to this in-crease in temperature

bull Can you think of other possible ways scientists can determine what climate was like in the past besides studying ice cores

Citation Climate Change Teachers Domain 21 Oct 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciesswatcycclimatechangegt

What if you still have questions or skepticism

Skeptical Science

Scientific skepticism is healthy Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding Yet this isnt what hap-pens with climate change denial This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism Do their arguments have any scientific basis What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say

12

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 14: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

IPCC- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SYR Figure 2-1 WG-1 Figure SPM-2

CHAPTER 3

13

How do we know

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 15: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 1

Climate models are systems of differential equations derived from the basic laws of physics fluid motion and chemistry formulated to be solved on supercom-puters For the solution the planet is covered by a 3-dimensional grid to which the basic equations are applied and evaluated At each grid point eg for the atmosphere the motion of the air (winds) heat transfer (thermodynamics) radiation (solar and ter-restrial) moisture content (relative humidity) and surface hydrology (precipitation evaporation snow melt and runoff) are calculated as well as the interac-tions of these processes among neighboring points The computations are stepped forward in time from seasons to centuries depending on the study

State-of-the-art climate models now include interac-tive representations of the ocean the atmosphere the land hydrologic and cryospheric processes ter-restrial and oceanic carbon cycles and atmospheric chemistry

Climate Modeling

14

In the animation you will see how the Earth is broken down by grids to allow supercom-puters to relate to the multitude of differing data sets it must include to be as accurate as possible

Movie 31 Climate Modeling Animation by Animea

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 16: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

The accuracy of climate models is limited by grid resolution and our ability to describe the complicated atmospheric oceanic and chemical processes mathematically Much of the research in OAR is directed at improving the representation of these processes De-spite some imperfections models simulate remarkably well cur-rent climate and its variability More capable supercomputers en-able significant model improvements by allowing for more accu-rate representation of currently unresolved physics

Text Credit NOAA

Try it for yourself

Modeling Earthrsquos Climate by the Concord Consortium

Examine climate data and models to explore what we might be able to predict about the Earths future and how sure we will be about it

For Teachers Self Motivated Students

The Very Very Simple Climate Model

Through a simple online model students learn about the relation-ship between average global temperature and carbon dioxide emis-sions while predicting temperature change over the 21st Century

15

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 17: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 2

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates Since it is not possible to go back in time to see what climates were like scientists use imprints created during past climate known as proxies to interpret paleoclimate Microbial life such as diatoms forams and coral serve as useful climate proxies Other proxies include ice cores tree rings and sediment cores (which in-clude diatoms foraminifera microbi-ota pollen and charcoal within the sediment and the sediment itself)

Past climate can be reconstructed us-ing a combination of different types of proxy records These records can then be integrated with observations of Earths modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate

Citation Monica Bruckner Montana State UniversityEarth System Ice and Global Warming

Some Hints from the Past

16

Slideshow put together by Scott Kindt

Interactive 31 Slideshow on PaleoClimate and Climate Change

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 18: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Earth System Ice and Global Warming

Ice covers 10 percent of Earths land surface One form of ice found as glaciers can form anywhere that snow and ice persist year-round The two primary types of glaciers are valley glaciers which are long wedge-shaped masses that form in mountainous areas and continental ice sheets which are slightly dome-shaped and may cover millions of square kilometers Non-glacial sea ice forms on the surface of seawater where it either persists year-round or melts and reforms seasonally

Ice affects the entire Earth system in a variety of ways In the ocean and at the land-sea boundary ice prevents relatively warm ocean water from evaporating transferring heat to the colder atmos-phere and thereby increasing global air temperature Ice also re-flects sunlight thus preventing additional heat from being ab-sorbed by water or land However the most significant role played by sea ice in the global climate system may be related to its role in ocean circulation When sea ice forms pure water crystallizes and leaves behind salt thus increasing the salinity of the ocean This cold saline-enriched water is dense and it sinks creating a tem-perature and density gradient that moves ocean currents from the equator to the poles

The well-documented retreat of the worlds glaciers and diminu-tion of sea ice is ominous Data generated from satellites that moni-tor the formation of polar sea ice indicate that both coverage and thickness have decreased over the past three decades Recent stud-ies show that the worlds highest glaciers (in the Himalayas) are re-ceding at an average rate of 10 to 15 meters (33 to 49 feet) per year If global warming accelerates melting the predictability of water

supplies for agriculture and other economic activities would be compromised But even small changes in ice volume may have a significant impact on global climate and ocean circulation patterns not to mention polar animal habitats

Lastly the breakup of the extensive ice shelves of the West Antarc-tic Ice Sheet where sea temperature has risen by 45degC (8degF) in the past 50 years could precipitate the collapse of the entire sheet Should the West Sheet slide off the continent the amount of water contained in it could raise global sea level by six meters (20 feet) flooding huge areas of low-lying coastlines

17

Scientific evidence strongly suggests that different regions on Earth do not respond equally to increased temperatures Ice-covered regions appear to be particularly sensitive to even small changes in global temperature

Movie 32 Ice Core

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 19: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Discussion Questions

bull Discuss the factors that influence the balance between inputs and outputs to and from glaciers

bull Why are glaciers indicators of climate change

bull What impact does global warming have on the balance between glacier inputs and outputs

bull Discuss some of the influences ice has on the surrounding areas

bull Imagine that in 2100 the sea level has risen two feet What effects would this have on humans List and explain as many impacts as possible

Citation Earth System Ice and Global Warming Teachers Do-main 17 Dec 2005 Web 25 Jul 2012 lthttpwwwteachersdomainorgresourceess05sciessearthsysesglaciersgt

Dendrochronology

Dendrochronology or tree-ring dating is the study of annual growth rings in trees to determine the age of a tree Annual growth rings appear as alternating bands of lighter and darker rings in the horizontal cross section of a tree trunk Each year a tree grows in diameter as it produces a new layer of wood cells The rings form as a result of the change in speed of growth throughout the year a tree grows relatively rapidly during the early part of its growing season which produces lighter-colored cells (called earlywood) and more slowly during the later part of the growing season which produces darker denser cells (called latewood) One ring be-gins at the inner edge of the earlywood and ends at the outer edge

of the latewood Favorable growing conditions usually result in a wider ring and less favorable conditions produce a narrower ring Trees typically form one ring a year although certain conditions can produce more than one ring in a given year or none at all

Because the rate of tree growth depends on environmental condi-tions (such as sunlight temperature precipitation humidity and wind) growth rings can help researchers determine the age of wood and learn about past climates In some areas a growth ring from certain tree species can be correlated to a particular calendar year The patterns of rings create a chronology or record of time and can be matched with other trees to build a more complete his-tory Most individual trees live less than a few hundred years but a tree-ring chronology built from the analysis of many trees in a re-gion can go back thousands of years

In addition to climate conditions there are many other factors that can affect the rate of tree growth such as soil other trees genetic differences impacts from humans or pests disease fire volcanic eruptions and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere A wider ring could be explained by several factors including ample water and sunlight or more nutrients (more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for example) so scientists must examine many trees from a region in their effort to understand which environmental factors best explain shared characteristic growth patterns Scien-tists attempt to separate out a single factor to study by looking at trees in certain areas where they are most sensitive to a particular factor Because tree growth in dry regions is largely limited by moisture availability dry regions such as the southwestern US in-cluding the lands of the Navajo Nation are well suited for studies of dendroclimatology Steven Chischilly the scientist featured in

18

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 20: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

the video has been studying pinyon pines in the southwestern US to look for correlations between the growth rings and changes in climate

Discussion Questions

bull What are some of the main contributors to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

bull What determines the width of tree rings

bull What factors can you think of that could impact the amount of moisture available to a tree

bull Explain how a scientist can use tree rings to understand past cli-mate What exactly are the scientists measuring and what does it tell them

bull Do you know of other things or processes besides tree growth that can remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it so that the carbon is not available to contribute to Earthrsquos greenhouse effect (For example oceans are a natural carbon sink)

Additional Resources

Test yourself on Tree Rings

The interactive diagram below demonstrates a very simple model of tree ring growth

19

Movie 33 Navajo Dendroclimatology

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 21: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Humans have already begun to impact the planet in ways that are visible today These are just a few of the things that are being noticed with many more on the way

CHAPTER 4

20

What is already changing

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 22: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

21

The worlds glaciers are shrinking at alarming rates and many scientists believe it is due to changes in climate Dr Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University and Dr Douglas Hardy of UMass-Amherst discuss glaciers and how they melt and pay special attention to Africas tallest mountain Mt Kilimanjaro

Movie 42 Changing Planet- Melting Glaciers

Glacier Lab ActiviesGlaciers Then and NowStudents compare photographs of glaciers to observe how Alaskan glaciers have changed over the last centuryModeling a Moving GlacierStudents make a model of glacier motion and then design an experi-ment to figure out what effects the speed of a glacier

Rising Sea Level ActivitiesRising Sea Level VisualizationThe science surrounding global and regional projections of future sea level has grown rapidly in recent years and depicts a worsening pros-pect of substantial amounts of sea level rise over this and following centuries As a result assessing and anticipating potential sea level rise impacts to coastal areas is now of increased importanceThermal Expansion of Water if global atmospheric temperatures rise the oceans will absorb heat and expand

In the past century as the climate has warmed sea level rise has accelerated Scientists predict it will only increase and theyre studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising

Movie 41 Rising Sea Levels

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 23: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

Discussion Questions

1 After viewing the three videos what do these changes have to do with you Will they impact you personally

2 What would be in your video about how a changing climate will affect you Your household Your school or work Your city and state

3 If you are talking to someone (or you) who does not ldquobelieverdquo in climate change what is your argument that it is not human caused What do you need to know in order to refute their claims

4 How do you plan on taking this information and sharing it Who will be your audience

22

As the global population continues to increase scientists and farmers are concerned about the impacts that climate change could have on the worlds crops To better understand the process of photosynthesis and how plants use water and carbon dioxide to thrive scientists are study-ing the stress limits of plants

Movie 43 Withering Crops

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 24: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

CHAPTER 5

23

What can you do about it

The series premiere goes through the major stories from fall 2011 specifically methane bubbling in the Arctic the Durban UNFCC conference and a sobering warning about building more fossil fuel burning power plants

Movie 51 Dont Just Sit There - Do Something is a video series that discusses all things climate and includes actions people can take at both an individual and a larger level

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 25: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 1

1 Travel light Walk or bike instead of driving a car Cars and trucks run on fossil fuels which release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere In the United States automobiles produce over 20 percent of total carbon emissions Walk or bike and youll save one pound of carbon for every mile you travel

2 Teleconference instead of flying For office meetings if you can telephone or videoconference you will save time money and carbon emissions Airplanes pump carbon emissions high into the atmosphere producing 12 percent of transportation sector emissions

Small changes in our daily lives can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and if many of us take action help stop climate change Source wwwclimatechangeeucom

Actions

24

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 26: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

3 See the light Use compact fluorescent light bulbs These energy-efficient bulbs help fight climate change because they reduce the amount of fossil fuels that utilities burn You will save 100 pounds of carbon for each incandescent bulb that you replace with a compact fluorescent over the life of the bulb

4 Recycle and use recycled products Products made from recycled paper glass metal and plastic reduce carbon emissions because they use less energy to manufacture than products made from completely new materials For instance youll save two pounds of carbon for every 20 glass bottles that you recycle Recy-cling paper also saves trees and lets them continue to reduce cli-mate change naturally as they remain in the forest where they re-move carbon from the atmosphere

5 Inflate your tires If you own a car it will get better gas mileage when the tires are fully inflated so it will burn less gas and emit less carbon Check your automobile monthly to ensure that the tires are fully inflated Follow this tip and save 300 pounds of carbon dioxide for every 10000 miles you drive

6 Plant native trees Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the air and use it as their energy source producing oxygen for us to breathe A tree in the temperate zone found between the tropics and the polar circles can remove and store 700 to 7000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime A tree that shades a house can reduce the energy required to run the air conditioner and save an additional 200 to 2000 pounds of carbon over its lifetime

7 Turn down the heat Heating and air conditioning draw more than half of the energy that a home uses in the United States Turn down the heat or air conditioning when you leave the house

or go to bed You can easily install a programmable thermostat that can save up money and carbon

8 Buy renewable energy Electricity generation produces 40 percent of carbon emissions from the United States A growing number of utilities generate electricity from renewable energy sources with solar panels windmills and other technologies If your utility offers renewable energy buy it If not send them a mes-sage asking for clean energy

9 Act globally eat locally If you shop at a supermarket the food you buy may travel in a plane from the other side of the world burning fossil fuels the entire trip Shop at a local farmers markets and you will find fresh and healthy food and help save our climate

Citation wwwnatureorgourinitiativesurgentissuesclimatechangehelptips-from-a-nature-conservancy-scientistxmlResources

What else can you do

A Studentrsquos Guide to Global Climate Change- Be part of the Solu-tion Learn about technologies that reduce the amount of green-house gases being added to the atmosphere Discover Actions you can take to save energy Explore ways people can prepare for cli-mate change

25

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 27: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 2

Interpret and Challenges

26

Discussion Questions1 What does this map say

about what you can do personally As a group

2 What groups need to be responsible when it comes to helping change what we do about climate change What should they be doing

3 The map is titled ldquoBe-haviour changerdquo what behaviors are in need of changing and why

4 Pick one branch from the middle and give ex-amples of they mean or how they could be done

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 28: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

The Carbon Bathtub Map

1What are the different inputs into the tub What are the outlets Do they add up for homeostasis If not why not

2Why is CO2 so important

3 It says that CO2 emissions have not been this high in a very long time what else could have been different that long ago Does it help us to know or is this all new to the earth

Learn more

Stabilization Wedges Game

The Stabilization Wedges Game is a team-based exercise that teaches players about the scale of the greenhouse gas problem plus technologies that already exist to dramati-cally reduce our carbon emis-sions and get us off the path toward dramatic and damag-ing climate change

Game Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Role-Play

In this role-play activity stu-dents take the roles of various

important players in the climate change policy debate including politicians scientists environmentalists and industry representa-tives Working in these roles students must take a position debate with others and then vote on legislation designed to reduce green-house gas emissions in the United States

Fate of the World Strategy Game

Fate of the World is a strategy game that simulates the real social and environmental impact of global climate change over the next 200 years The science the politics the destruction

27

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28

Page 29: UCAR RETI 2012 Weather, Climate, Climate Change …...The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short

SECTION 3

What can I do now

1My background knowledge on climate and climate change is deeper

2I am better able to answer student questions on the science and research being done

3Understand models how they are created and tested

4Resources available are immense - both in people and research curriculum etc

5Help students be able to articulate their understandings by giving them a resource to take with them

6TIME- to develop this ebook and look at the scope and sequence of what I wanted to teach

Experiences with RETI

28