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UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: Towards a New Centre Nick Eyre Consultation Meeting London, 28 th September 2017

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Page 1: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand:

Towards a New Centre

Nick Eyre

Consultation Meeting

London, 28th September 2017

Page 2: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

EUED Champion Grant Objectives:

July 2017 to March 2018

To design and develop a bid a new 5-year Centre on energy demand research. Proposal deadline 31st October 2017

To consult with the energy demand research community and stakeholders on research needs in the context of a changing energy system.

To identify new challenges with the research and stakeholder communities.

To ensure a smooth transition from the existing EUED Centres to the new Centre.

Page 3: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

July - September Consultation on themes – on-line and face to face

August Expressions of interest in theme leadership

September/

October

Centre proposal process: content development and bid

preparation

28th September Research community and stakeholder meeting

31st October Bid submission

November 2017

to March 2018

Stakeholder interaction

Research co-creation

Consultation on challenges

Planning for knowledge exchange continuity

Process and Timetable

Page 4: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

On line Survey Results

Page 5: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Consensus on the aim of research: enabling the demand side to go ‘further,

faster and more flexibly’

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 5

Proposed vision for demand side research to go ‘further,

faster and more flexibly’

0%

Disagree

Strongly disagree

1%

Neutral 4%

Agree 43%

Strongly agree 52%

What is your opinion of the proposed vision?

N=201

…stakeholders express strong support for the

proposed vision

Aspects of vision Explanation

Further Beyond low cost technologies

and minor behavioural changes

Faster Increasing the pace of

innovation, and more ambitious

policy

More

flexibly

Adding fuel switching, demand

response and storage

Page 6: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Wide support for a ‘theme and challenge’ structure

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 6

5%

Neutral 24%

Agree 48%

Strongly agree 22%

Disagree

Strongly disagree 0%

The Centre is proposed to be comprised of various inter-

disciplinary themes and cross-cutting challenges

…stakeholders express support for the proposed

structure

What is your opinion of the thematic structure?

N=186EUED

Centre

Theme 1 Theme 2 Theme n…

Interdisciplinary cross-cutting

research challenges

Page 7: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Preferred approach is for themes to be drawn from ‘categories of energy

use’ and ‘drivers of change’

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 7

A combination of both 56%

25%

20%

Categories of energy use

Drivers of change

Two approaches are proposed to select the themes of

the Centre…stakeholders prefer to see themes based on a

balanced consideration of both approaches

Which approach for organising themes of the

Centre would you prefer?

N=179

Basis for theme

design

Example

Categories of

end-use

Buildings and thermal comfort

Energy intensive processes,

materials and products

Heating and cooling

Transport and mobility

Drivers of

change

Behaviour and social practices

Demographic/economic changes

Digital revolution

Policy design and

implementation

Page 8: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Heating and cooling 2%1% 169 85%

Transport/ mobility 169 84%

Electricity use and its flexibility 167 80%

Buildings/ thermal comfort 167 79%

Information and communication

systems151 56%

Energy intensive processes,

materials and products161 53%

Devolution, decentralisation and

localism152 49%

Others 47 44%

Food systems 153 39%

High priority categories of end-use:

heating and cooling, transport, buildings, flexibility, ICT and materials

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 8

What level of priority should be given to each of these following categories of end-use?

49%

53%

41%

50%

18%

29%

25%

23%

16%

36%

31%

39%

29%

38%

24%

24%

21%

23%

11%

12%

11%

19%

35%

36%

22%

28%

34%

7%

7%

9%

14%

13%

21%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

6%

15%

14%

3%

3%

1%

100%

Very high priority High priority Medium priority No priorityLow priority

Categories of end-use N=% above high

priority (inclusive)

Page 9: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Policy design and implementation 161 85%

Innovation 161 72%

Behavioural change 157 70%

Digital revolution 156 67%

Changing social practices 167 65%

Supply chains and middle actors 157 60%

Economic change 148 60%

Devolution, decentralisation and localism 160 50%

Others 48 50%

Demographic change 150 42%

High priority ‘drivers of change’:

Policy, innovation, behavioural change, digital revolution, social practices

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 9

What level of priority should be given to each of these following drivers of change?

53%

45%

33%

37%

41%

26%

26%

26%

33%

13%

32%

27%

37%

30%

24%

34%

34%

24%

17%

29%

12%

19%

17%

25%

26%

27%

29%

26%

23%

35%

9%

7%

11%

8%

16%

10%

21%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

3%

0%

17%

8%

100%

3%

6%

4%

6%

Low priorityMedium priority No priorityVery high priority High priority

Drivers of changeN=

% above high

priority (inclusive)

Page 10: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Decarbonisation of heat 169 87%

Health and other co-benefits 159 65%

Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64%

Decarbonisation of freight, aviation and

shipping156 61%

Decarbonisation of industrial processes 162 60%

Disruptive business models 164 57%

Others* 48 56%

Energy use in the circular economy 156 54%

Automation (e.g. in transport) 155 52%

Energy use in the sharing economy 152 49%

Brexit impacts 167 42%

Impacts of nano-technology and other new

materials153 30%

Challenges: Decarbonisation of heat most widely agreedHigh support for a large number of others

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 10

What level of priority should be given to each of these following cross-cutting challenges?

59%

25%

37%

27%

27%

31%

44%

25%

23%

19%

15%

29%

40%

34%

32%

26%

13%

30%

29%

30%

27%

20%

7%

25%

24%

29%

32%

31%

17%

32%

33%

32%

33%

33%

8%

9%

9%

13%

11%

13%

16%

17%

32%10%

27%

8%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

8%

15%

6%

100%

5%

4%

Medium priority Low priority No priorityVery high priority High priority

Cross-cutting challenges N=% above high

priority (inclusive)

*Other ideas include customer value of smart technologies/IoT, energy policy compatible with ambitious climate policy, radical policy like banning

diesel engines, and non-energy policies’ impact on energy demand

Page 11: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Knowledge exchange with UK policy makers 172 88%

Knowledge exchange with UK industry 163 85%

Knowledge exchange within the UK research

community164 80%

Knowledge exchange internationally 163 78%

Event planning and organisation 156 67%

Communications (via traditional media) 156 64%

Website 151 61%

Secondments to business and policy 154 59%

Social media 154 55%

Training (in impact activities) 156 47%

Other 26 43%

Knowledge exchange is highlighted as a priority skill for the coordination node

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 11

What level of priority should be given to each of these skills and responsibilities of staff at the Centre HQ?

67%

53%

43%

32%

23%

22%

23%

21%

19%

21%

31%

21%

32%

37%

46%

44%

42%

38%

38%

36%

26%

12%

10%

13%

16%

18%

25%

30%

34%

31%

33%

37%

27%

5%

6%

4%

4%

2%

1%

19%

14%

11%

10%

7%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

12%

100%

3%

Medium priority Low priorityHigh priority No priorityVery high priority

Skills & responsibilitiesN= % above high

priority (inclusive)

Page 12: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Context and Research Priorities

Context for energy demand

Systemic change to low/zero carbon over a few decades

Security and affordability remain political priorities

Changes in energy use will be critical to system change

Context for research priorities

Further – going beyond currently cost effective technologies and minor behavioural changes

Faster – increasing the pace of innovation, and using more ambitious policy intervention

Flexibly – adding fuel switching and demand response to the demand reduction agenda

Page 13: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

The Centre’s Aims

• to develop and deliver internationally leading research, focussing on energy demand;

• to secure impact for UK energy demand research in businesses and policymaking; and

• to champion the importance of energy demand, as part of the strategy for transition to a secure and affordable low carbon energy system.

Page 14: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

The Centre’s Structure

• Themes

• 5-year inter-disciplinary research programmes, each led by a Co-I,

• domains of energy demand knowledge and drivers of change,

• with research questions around going further, faster and flexibly.

• Challenges

• Major cross-thematic problems, each led by a Co-I,

• Fixed term projects.

• Flexible Fund

• Co-ordination node

• Administration

• Knowledge exchange

Page 15: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Proposed Themes and Challenges

Page 16: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Aims for today

• This morning: feedback from you to the

research team on initial plans for

Themes and the first challenge.

• This afternoon: more open discussion

on energy demand research challenges

to help inform future research planning.

Page 17: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

This morning’s session

• Seven break-out groups. Each led by a

theme/challenge leader.

• Within each theme challenge:

• Brief presentation on current draft work plan

• Three questions:

• Does this make sense?

• What critical questions have we missed?

• what collaborations and partners ought we to be

considering?

• Plenary session for theme/challenge leader feedback

Page 18: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Breakout GroupsTheme 1:

Transforming

Building

Energy and

Power Demand

Theme 2:

Transport and

Mobility

Theme 3:

Materials and

Products

Theme 4:

Flexibility

Theme 5:

Digital Society

Theme 6:

Governance

and Policy

Challenge 1:

Decarbonising

Heat

John Batterbee Jillian Anable John Barrett Rupert Gammon Chris Carlton Dustin Benton Robert Critoph

Tina Fawcett Christian Brand James Davey Tim Green Mike Colechin Nick Eyre Matt Leach

Jim Fleming David Cebon Luke Davis Philipp Grunewald David Elmes Richard Hoggett Bob Lowe

Tadj Oreszczyn Sophie Martin Yingqi Liu Jonathan Radcliffe Tim Foxon Jan Rosenow Keith MacLean

Greg Shreeve Tristan Smith Raj Roy Elizabeth Shove Nazmiye Ozkan Dan Van der Horst Graeme Maidment

Joanne Wade Savvas Tassou Jacopo Torriti Steven Sorrell Jim Watson Paul Rowley

Benjamin Sovacool Faye Wade

Page 19: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Afternoon session

Page 20: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

Decarbonisation of heat 169 87%

Health and other co-benefits 159 65%

Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64%

Decarbonisation of freight, aviation and

shipping156 61%

Decarbonisation of industrial processes 162 60%

Disruptive business models 164 57%

Others* 48 56%

Energy use in the circular economy 156 54%

Automation (e.g. in transport) 155 52%

Energy use in the sharing economy 152 49%

Brexit impacts 167 42%

Impacts of nano-technology and other new

materials153 30%

Challenges: Decarbonisation of heat most widely agreedHigh support for a large number of others

SOURCE: Survey ECI | 20

What level of priority should be given to each of these following cross-cutting challenges?

59%

25%

37%

27%

27%

31%

44%

25%

23%

19%

15%

29%

40%

34%

32%

26%

13%

30%

29%

30%

27%

20%

7%

25%

24%

29%

32%

31%

17%

32%

33%

32%

33%

33%

8%

9%

9%

13%

11%

13%

16%

17%

32%10%

27%

8%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

8%

15%

6%

100%

5%

4%

Medium priority Low priority No priorityVery high priority High priority

Cross-cutting challenges N=% above high

priority (inclusive)

*Other ideas include customer value of smart technologies/IoT, energy policy compatible with ambitious climate policy, radical policy like banning

diesel engines, and non-energy policies’ impact on energy demand

Page 21: UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: …...Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% Decarbonisation

This afternoon’s session

• The same seven break-out groups. Each led by

a theme/challenge leader.

• All addressing the same questions?• What are the other areas requiring research?

• Within these areas what are the two highest priorities?

• For these priorities what might be appropriate funding

mechanisms?

• Plenary session in which each group will feedback (in

3 minutes) on

• What are the priority research areas? and

• Why?