uk: energy outlook
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United Kingdom
Closer Look
UK Energy Overview
UK electricity use 2015 by source in TWhsNet imports
21 TWhsOther
4 TWhsBioenergy 25 TWhs
Wind and solar 48 TWhs
Hydro 6 TWhs
Nuclear 64 TWhs
Gas 98 TWhs
Oil 2 TWhs
Coal 72 TWhs
UK electricity use 2015 by source in percentagesNet imports
6,2 %Other 1,0 %
Bioenergy 7,4 %
Wind and solar 14,1 %
Hydro 1,8 %
Nuclear 18,8 %
Gas 28,8 %
Oil 0,5 %
Coal 21,3 %
UK electricity mix* 2015 by source in TWhsOther
4 TWhsBioenergy 25 TWhs
Wind and solar 48 TWhs
Hydro 6 TWhs
Nuclear 64 TWhs Gas
98 TWhs
Oil 2 TWhs
Coal 72 TWhs
*excluding imports
UK electricity mix* 2015 by source in TWhs
Other 1 %Bioenergy
8 %
Wind and solar 15 %
Hydro 2 %
Nuclear 20 % Gas
31 %
Oil 1 %
Coal 23 %
*excluding imports
UK net electricity supplied 2001-2014G
Whs
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
UK net electricity supplied and fuels used in electricity production 2001-2014
GW
hs
0
275000
550000
825000
1100000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Net electricity Fuels used
35 %
37 %
39 %
41 %
43 %
45 %
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
UK average implied electricity production efficiency 2001-2014
Non-fossil 45 %
Fossil 55 %
UK electricity mix 2015 by type in %
Combustion 63 %
Clean 37 %
UK electricity mix 2015 by type in %
Other 1 %Nuclear
20 %
RE Clean 17 %
RE Combustion 8 %
Fossil 54 %
UK electricity mix 2015 by type in %
Bioenergy 32 %
Wind and solar 60 %
Hydro 8 %
UK RE electricity mix 2015 by type in %
RE Combustion 32 %
RE Clean 68 %
UK RE electricity mix 2015 by type in %
Tera
wat
thou
rs
0
50
100
150
200
Fossil RE Combustion Clean
Nat gas
Oil
Coal
Wind+solar
Hydro
Nuclear
Biomass
Wind+solar
Hydro
Biomass
Nat gas
Oil
Coal
UK electricity mix 2015 by type TWhs
UK clean electricity 2001-2014G
Whs
0
25000
50000
75000
100000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Nuclear Clean RE
UK electricity net imports 2001-2014Te
raw
atth
ours
ann
ually
0
5,5
11
16,5
22
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10,4
8,4
2,2
7,58,3
7,5
5,2
11,0
2,9 2,7
6,2
11,9
14,4
20,5
Net imports
UK Emissions Overview
According to IPCC (2014), the median emissions for different energy sources are as follows:
Coal
Natural gas
Biomass
Large-scale solar
Household solar PV
Hydro
Off-shore wind
Nuclear
On-shore wind
0 225 450 675 900
11
12
12
24
41
48
230
490
820
gCO2-eqv/kWh
According to IPCC (2014), the median emissions for different energy sources are as follows:
Coal
Natural gas
UK grid 2015
Biomass
Large-scale solar
Household solar PV
Hydro
Off-shore wind
Nuclear
On-shore wind
0 225 450 675 900
11121224
4148
230430
490820
gCO2-eqv/kWh
UK grid average emissions gCO2-eqv/kWh between 2001-2013
Data: emissions UNFCCC v17, electricity production DUKES
gCO
2-eq
v/kW
h
200
300
400
500
600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Grid average emissions have decreased around 6 % in 12 years, or 0.5 % / year.
UK total energy sector emissions annually between 2001-2013
Energy sector has decreased emissions by 17.6 % in 12 years
Data: UNFCCC v17
Mto
ns C
O2-
eqv
/ yea
r
0
150
300
450
600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
UK electricity & heat sector emissions annually between 2001-2013
Electricity and heat sector has decreased
emissions by 13 % in 12 years
Data: UNFCCC v17
Mto
ns C
O2-
eqv
/ yea
r
0
47,5
95
142,5
190
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
UK Emissions and Nuclear
Note: historical data excludes 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that started between 1956 and 1971 were shut down between 1989 and 2015Note2: Future production data assumes a 0.75 capacity factor for all nuclear reactors
Emissions prevented by UK nuclear compared with coal
Milli
on to
ns C
O2-
eqv
0
750
1500
2250
3000
2 794
2 218
1 384
576809
2001-2015 2016-2035 2001-2035 1956-2015 1956-2035
Emissions prevented by UK nuclear compared with natural gas
Milli
on to
ns C
O2-
eqv
0
450
900
1350
1800
1 653
1 312
819
341478
2001-2015 2016-2035 2001-2035 1956-2015 1956-2035
Mto
n C
O2-
eqv
0
750
1500
2250
3000
Nuclear emissions Natural gas emissions Coal emissions
2001-2015 2016-2035 2001-2035 1956-2015 1956-2035
Emissions comparison if same amount of energy was produced with nuclear, natural gas or coal
Energy production scenario is historical and projected nuclear production
Annual emissions prevented by UK nuclear compared with coal and natural gas 2001-2015
Milli
on to
ns C
O2-
eqv
/ yea
r
0
17,5
35
52,5
70
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Coal Natural gas
Annual emissions prevented by UK nuclear compared with coal 2001-2015
Milli
on to
ns C
O2-
eqv
/ yea
r
0
17,5
35
52,5
70
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Annual emissions prevented by UK nuclear compared with natural gas 2001-2015
Milli
on to
ns C
O2-
eqv
/ yea
r
0
10
20
30
40
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Annual emissions prevented by UK nuclear compared with coal and natural gas 2001-2035
Milli
on to
ns C
O2-
eqv
/ yea
r
0
17,5
35
52,5
70
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031 2034
Coal Natural gas
Annual emissions prevented by UK nuclear compared with coal 2001-2035
Milli
on to
ns C
O2-
eqv
/ yea
r
0
17,5
35
52,5
70
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031 2034
Annual emissions prevented by current UK nuclear compared with natural gas 2001-2035M
illion
tons
CO
2-eq
v / y
ear
0
10
20
30
40
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031 2034
Nuclear power and health consequences in UK
Note: historical data excludes 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that started between 1956 and 1971 were shut down between 1989 and 2015Note2: Future production data assumes a 0.75 capacity factor for all nuclear reactors
Annual mortality prevented by nuclear compared to burning coal 2001 - 2015
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
/ yea
r
0
750
1500
2250
3000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Historical Low High
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 2001 - 2015 compared to burning coal
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
7500
15000
22500
30000
10 934
4 930
28 617
Historical rate Low estimate High estimate
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 2001 - 2015 compared to burning coal -
and Chernobyl all time estimated mortality
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
7500
15000
22500
30000
4 000
10 934
4 930
28 617
Historical rate Low estimateHigh estimate Chernobyl all time
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 1956 - 2015 compared to burning coal
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
29 999
13 525
78 514
Historical rate Low estimate High estimate
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 1956 - 2015 compared to burning coal -
and Chernobyl all time estimated mortality
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
4 000
29 999
13 525
78 514
Historical rate Low estimateHigh estimate Chernobyl all time
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Annual mortality prevented by UK current nuclear fleet compared to burning coal 2016 - 2035
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
/ yea
r
0
450
900
1350
1800
2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034
Historical Low High
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
5500
11000
16500
22000
7 784
3 509
20 372
Historical Low High
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 2016 - 2035 compared to burning coal
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
5500
11000
16500
22000
4 000
7 784
3 509
20 372
Historical Low High Chernobyl all time
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 2016 - 2035 compared to burning coal -
and Chernobyl all time estimated mortality
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
12500
25000
37500
50000
18 718
8 439
48 989
Historical Low High
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 2001 - 2035 compared to burning coal
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
12500
25000
37500
50000
4 000
18 718
8 439
48 989
Historical Low High Chernobyl all time
Total mortality prevented with UK nuclear between 2001 - 2035 compared to burning coal -
and Chernobyl all time estimated mortality
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
25000
50000
75000
100000
37 782
17 034
98 886
Historical Low High
Total mortality prevented with current UK nuclear fleet lifetime compared to burning coal
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015
Mor
talit
y pr
even
ted
0
25000
50000
75000
100000
4 000
37 782
17 034
98 886
Historical Low High Chernobyl all time
Total mortality prevented with current UK nuclear fleet lifetime compared to burning coal -
and Chernobyl all time estimated mortality
* excluding 26 mainly smaller Magnox reactors that were shut down between 1989 and 2015