uk marine industries roadmap · uk marine industries roadmap cross -cutting report ... added value...

UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, [email protected]

UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0

Executive Summary

Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, [email protected]


UK Marine Industry Roadmap


Executive Summary This report results from a series of five one-day workshops to assist the UK Marine Industries Alliance to develop a roadmap to identify future priority, gaps, opportunities and capability needs for the UK Marine Industries. The roadmap funded by the Technology Strategy Board and Transport KTN with support from BIS aims to underpin the national marine growth strategy. These “Deep Dive” workshops covered the following themes (see individual reports for more detail): A: Marine services and ICT B: Marine renewables and resources C: Leisure and equipment D: Shipbuilding and repair E: Ports and infrastructure The workshops took place at venues around the UK between September and November 2011, with input from over 100 experts drawn from across the Marine Industry, academia and other stakeholders. The workshops each took a sub-set of the landscape roadmap, developed in June 2011, which was then developed further to identify priority trends & drivers and then to identify and characterise Market Opportunities – over 200 Opportunities were identified at this initial stage across the 5 themes. Participants contributed before the workshops by providing their perspectives in a roadmap template – identifying priority Drivers, Opportunities, Capabilities and Enablers in the Short, Medium and Long timeframes. These were consolidated ahead of the workshops to provide a start point to which further issues were added and priorities identified. The most important market opportunities were then highlighted, where UK capability could deliver against major global market needs. These assessments were based on defined criteria for Value (global & UK market, competitive strength, added value and impact on societal and environmental challenges) and Capability (in the marine industry, academia, research organisations and from adjacent industries. This report sets out the cross-cutting analysis of outputs from these 5 theme workshops. Appendix C contains background to the programme and the workshop process, with details of the evaluation criteria set out in C4. Guidelines on how to interpret the graphics in this report are set out in Appendix D.


Executive Summary (continued) In prioritising relevant Trends & Drivers (see section 3), there was a strong emphasis on energy & fuel scarcity/cost leading to demands for reduced consumption and new propulsion energy solutions. This is clearly in harmony with other key drivers to mitigate climate change through low carbon solutions; meet new NOX, SOX and particulates regulations and other EU technical, environmental and safety standards / legislation; and achieve more efficient use of resources.

Changing demographics / consumer demand / ageing population will lead to differing end-user needs and new opportunities (in developed and emerging BRIC economies). The economic downturn will squeeze funding availability and accentuate pressure on procurement & through life costs leading to a greater emphasis on through life support & servitisation and end of Life disposal & recycling. The challenging targets for marine renewables energy (R.E.D. of 15% by 2020) and the strength of the UK’s natural resources will lead to a unique opportunity to achieve a leadership position in this strongly growing market. Priority Opportunities (see section 4) were identified across a range of areas, covering all five themes. The Opportunities were characterised by workshop participants and then reviewed by the Steering Group against a broader set of four criteria typically used by the Technology Strategy Board to determine value for investment (see 4.2) with strong agreement between both. The leading Market Opportunities identified (from the detailed characterisation of over 30) are: 1. Assets for wind, wave & tidal power (more affordable & reliable) 2. Logistics & Services for Offshore Renewable Operations 3. Marine Integration to other transport modes (Infrastructure, IT & Data) 4. Deep Water >60m (Extending operations to more challenging geographies 5. Efficient Propulsion & Energy Management (excl prime mover) 6. Offshore Support Vessels for renewables construction & operations 7. Alternative fuels, Electrification & Hybrids including Sail 8. Decision Support Services 9. Marine ICT & Information Infrastructure 10. Environmental/waste services and low carbon, clean shore power in ports


Executive Summary (continued) These fall into a small number of clusters with 9 of the top 10 being in: • Integrated transport & logistics; • Offshore renewables; • Low-carbon propulsion; and • Marine ICT. A further important cluster of opportunities covered autonomy & sensors. Whilst not scoring so strongly as end-market opportunities in their own rights, they were consistently identified as enabling capabilities in the cross-cutting analysis. In reviewing the balance of scoring in the detailed Workshop Criteria Scoring (see 4.2.2) it is clear that the major focus for growth must be in Export markets (especially strongly growing BRIC economies), but that the priority opportunities are generally characterised by strongly entrenched competition. It is also evident that, as well as delivering potential for economic growth in UK, success in these opportunities will also yield significant environmental and societal benefit. The overall picture of where UK capability resides to deliver these opportunities suggests real strength in relevant areas. However, much of this capability currently resides in the university and science sectors or outside of the marine industries, making the transfer of technology up the technology readiness scale and between industries a critical capability for success.

Glob

al Ma

rket

Size

Home

(UK)

ma

rket s

ize

Stre

ngth

of co

mpeti

tion

Adde

d Valu

e /

Marg

in

Cros

s-sec

tor

oppo

rtunit

y

Plane

t / En

viron

menta

l

Peop

le /

Socie

tal

Marin

e Ind

ustry

Unive

rsity

/ Ac

adem

ic

RTO

/ Des

ign

Servi

ces

Othe

r Ind

ustry

Othe

r UK

reso

urce

s

3.4 2.1 1.6 2.4 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.6 3.0 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.0

Fit with UK Capability

Timeli

ness

Market Attractiveness: Triple bottom-line


Executive Summary (continued) In support of these opportunities, a clear pattern emerged in the necessary capabilities required for successful delivery (see section 5), with particular emphasis on Design & Development; Information, Communication & Control and Life-cycle technologies. The ten leading capabilities with the most widely applicable impacts were: In support of these opportunities, a clear pattern emerged in the necessary capabilities required for successful delivery (see section 5), with particular emphasis on Design & Development; Information, Communication & Control and Life-cycle technologies. The ten leading capabilities with the most widely applicable impacts were: 1. Simulation & modelling 2. Systems integration / engineering 3. Naval architecture 4. Sensors, measurement and monitoring technology 5. Control, automation & autonomy 6. Supply chain management 7. Analytical tools & techniques 8. Human factors 9. Service & support 10. Life-cycle analysis The workshops also identified other key enablers for success (see section 6), underpinning these capabilities, with particular emphasis on: 1. Funding & investment 2. Facilities, infrastructure & manufacturing capacity 3. Skills availability, training & education 4. Supply chain / logistics 5. Understanding Customer / Owner / Operator needs 6. Partnerships, networks and international collaboration 7. Technology transfer from other industries 8. Focussed Research programmes


Executive Summary (continued) Validation and next steps: This report represents the summary outputs from more than 200 participant days of workshop time, with representatives from across the industrial and academic communities. More than 97% of responses from workshop attendees strongly agreed or agreed that they had found the workshops stimulating, enjoyable and worthwhile; felt they had contributed and that the outputs delivered useful insights (Appendix B). The authors and the Steering Group are extremely grateful for these inputs and support. Specific workshop attendees are indicated in the detailed reports and any underrepresentation from key stakeholder groups is noted, where relevant. It is recommended that these gaps should be filled as part of the capability study where they impact priority focus opportunities. The workshops benefitted from good participation from stakeholders representing the customer and supply perspectives in marine defence and an early opportunity was taken for further validation through the joint DSTL / Aerospace and Defence KTN “All at Sea” event on 18 January 2012. This identified clear common ground in research priorities (for example in the areas of low-carbon propulsion and energy management, sensors and autonomy) and great potential for technology transfer between the civil and defence supply chains. A deeper analysis of these synergies might prove to be of value to both communities. One output from the UK Marine Industries Roadmap is to focus the scope and direction of the associated Capability Study. The roadmap scope covers the full landscape of Marine Industries from ports to renewables and defence to leisure, and surveying all relevant capability would clearly represent a vast programme. The priority opportunities identified (see 4.2) fall naturally into a small number of groups (Appendix E) enabling a focussed capability study of a manageable scale whilst still addressing the majority of highest priority opportunities. Major opportunity groups are: • Marine integration with other modes (which is to be addressed in a planned future TSB and Transport KTN study) • Marine Renewables (which is now the focus for the recently announced Offshore Renewable Energy Catapult) • Sensors, autonomy and on-vessel data management and communications • Green ship technologies (for both prime-mover and energy management and efficiency) Whilst the first two groups are being addressed elsewhere, the latter two groups underpin many sectors and applications across the Marine Industries as well as impacting (directly or indirectly) around half of the top 30 opportunities identified here, and would seem to form a sound focus for the capability study.


1. Roadmap Landscape


2. Landscape Linkages En

ergy

& F

uel s

carc

ity/c

ost =

> de

man

d fo

r red

uced

con

sum

ptio

n

New

prop

ulsio

n en

ergy

sol

utio

ns

Clim

ate

chan

ge M

itigat

ion

(Low

Car

bon)

Chan

ging

dem

ogra

phics

/ co

nsum

er d

eman

d / a

gein

g po

pula

tion

NOX,

SO

X an

d Pa

rticu

late

s re

gula

tions

EU te

chni

cal,

envir

onm

enta

l and

saf

ety

stan

dard

s / l

egisl

atio

n

Econ

omic

Down

turn

/ Fu

ndin

g av

aila

bility

Thro

ugh

life s

uppo

rt &

Serv

itisat

ion

End

of L

ife d

ispos

al &

recy

cling

Pres

sure

on

Proc

urem

ent &

thro

ugh

life c

osts

Mar

ine

Rene

wabl

es (R

.E.D

. 15%

targ

et b

y 20

20)

Effic

ient

use

of r

esou

rces

Sim

ulat

ion

& m

odel

ling

Syst

ems

inte

grat

ion

/ eng

inee

ring

Nava

l arc

hite

ctur

e

Sens

ors,

mea

sure

men

t and

mon

itorin

g te

chno

logy

Cont

rol,

aut

omat

ion

& au

tono

my

Supp

ly Ch

ain

man

agem

ent

Tool

s &

Tech

niqu

es

Hum

an fa

ctor

s

Serv

ice &

Sup

port

Life

-cyc

le a

nalys

is

Data

man

agem

ent

Deve

lopm

ent t

estin

g &

valid

atio

n

Cond

ition

Mon

itorin

g

Desig

n pr

oces

ses

& M

odul

arisa

tion

Sub-

sea

tech

nolo

gy

Logi

stics

/ tra

ffic

man

agem

ent

Anal

ysis

tool

s

Mat

eria

ls te

chno

logy

Cons

ultin

g

Mai

nten

ance

Fund

ing

& in

vest

men

t

Facil

ities,

infra

stru

ctur

e &

man

ufac

turin

g ca

pacit

y

Skills

ava

ilabi

lity

Supp

ly ch

ain

/ log

istics

Unde

rsta

ndin

g Cu

stom

er /

Own

er /

Ope

rato

r nee

ds

Partn

ersh

ips

& Ne

twor

ks

Tech

nolo

gy tr

ansf

er fr

om o

ther

indu

strie

s

Focu

ssed

Res

earc

h pr

ogra

mm

es

Trai

ning

& E

duca

tion

Inte

rnat

iona

l col

labo

ratio

n

Busin

ess

Mod

el In

nova

tion

Envir

onm

enta

l Reg

ulat

ion

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

3 1 6 4 4 5 0 3 0 1 4 3

A Marine services and ICT

1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 6 5 3 2 1 2 6 4 3 2

12 3 6 0 1 4 8 4 6 7 9 5

B Marine renewables and resources

1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 6 6 4 4 1 3 3 2 3 0 1 1

4 5 1 11 4 5 5 3 4 4 0 1

C Leisure and equipment

1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 4 3 5 4 5 3 4 4 3 2

12 11 6 1 8 4 3 5 4 0 1 3

D Shipbuilding and repair

1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 1 2 1 4

3 1 1 4 3 0 2 1 2 3 1 2

E Ports and infrastructure

1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 2 3 2 3 3 4 0 3 4 2

Trends & Drivers Capabilities Enablers

Market Opportunities


3. Trends & Drivers

Rank Driver A B C D E TOTAL1 Energy & Fuel scarcity/cost => demand for reduced consumption 3 12 4 12 3 342 New propulsion energy solutions 1 3 5 11 1 213 Climate change Mitigation (Low Carbon) 6 6 1 6 1 204 Changing demographics / consumer demand / ageing population 4 0 11 1 4 205 NOX, SOX and Particulates regulations 4 1 4 8 3 206 EU technical, environmental and safety standards / legislation 5 4 5 4 0 187 Economic Downturn / Funding availability 0 8 5 3 2 188 Through life support & Servitisation 3 4 3 5 1 169 End of Life disposal & recycling 0 6 4 4 2 1610 Pressure on Procurement & through life costs 1 7 4 0 3 1511 Marine Renewables (R.E.D. 15% target by 2020) 4 9 0 1 1 1512 Efficient use of resources 3 5 1 3 2 1413 Autonomous systems 1 2 1 8 2 1414 UK & Scottish political agendas 0 6 0 3 5 1415 Safety (People, Ships & Cargo) 3 4 3 1 2 1316 Emerging Markets / BRIC Growth 1 1 8 3 0 1317 Green shipping 1 2 1 6 2 1218 Integrated / Multi-Modal Transport Systems 2 1 0 0 9 1219 Gaps between science, policy & implementation 1 6 1 2 1 1120 Skills shortages 0 0 0 11 0 11


Value Fit TotalO

vera

ll Ra

nk

Wor

ksho

p Ra

nk

SG R

ank

Opp

ortu

nity

(The

me

/ ID

)

Opportunity Wei

ghte

d Va

lue

Wei

ghte

d Ca

pabi

lity

Com

bine

d Va

lue

& Fi

t

1 3 1 BF Assets for wind, wave & tidal power (more affordable & reliable) 3.0 6 3.2 6 3.1 7 7 26

2 1 2 BA Logistics & Services for Offshore Renewable Operations 3.3 6 3.3 5 3.3 6 1 18

3 2 4 EA & DC Marine Integration to other transport modes (Infrastructure, IT & Data) 3.4 4 2.9 4 3.1 2 6 16

4 7 5 BC Deep Water >60m (Extending marine renewables operations to more challenging geographies)

2.8 4 3.1 4 2.9 5 3 16

5 21 3 DB Efficient Propulsion & Energy Management (excl prime mover) 2.1 4 2.5 3 2.3 3 7 17

6 20 6 DD & BE Offshore Support Vessels for renewables construction & operations 2.6 3 2.1 3 2.3 5 5 16

7 5 7 DA & CB Alternative fuels, Electrification & Hybrids including Sail 3.5 4 2.5 1 3.0 3 5 13

8 4 9 AF Decision Support Services 3.3 3 2.8 3 3.1 3 3 12

9 10 10 AE Marine ICT & Information Infrastructure 2.3 3 3.2 3 2.8 2 4 12

10 6 11 EC Environmental/waste services and low carbon, clean shore power in ports 3.2 3 2.7 2 2.9 4 2 11

11 19 8 AA Maritime consulting 2.7 4 2.0 5 2.3 2 2 13

12 22 12 CF Hull Design, Vessel Design & Aesthetics 1.0 1 3.0 5 2.3 2 3 11

13 9 13 CA Easy to use Leisure Navigation System & Integrated Comms/Data 2.3 2 3.2 5 2.8 1 1 9

14 14 14 CC New Leisure Marine Products for Developing Markets 2.1 2 3.0 2 2.6 2 3 9

15 11 15 AD & DG In-service Support of Military & Civilian Assets 3.0 3 2.5 2 2.7 1 1 7

Ranked Opportunities

Tota

l Ste

erin

g G

roup

Sc

ore

UK C

apac

ity to

Del

iver

- Ca

n th

e UK

do

it?

Tim

elin

ess

& Im

pact

- Is

the

idea

‘re

ady’

(in a

3 to

4 y

ear t

imef

ram

e to

ex

ploi

tatio

n)

Adde

d Va

lue

- Can

the

Tech

nolo

gy

Stra

tegy

Boa

rd m

ake

a di

ffere

nce?

Glob

al M

arke

t Opp

ortu

nity

- Is

th

ere

a la

rge

mar

ket

oppo

rtuni

ty?

4. Opportunities


5. Capabilities

Capabilities A B C D E TOTAL

A Total Design & Development 5.43 3.91 3.04 5.25 2.52 20.14

I Total Information, Communication & Control 3.80 3.99 1.49 3.19 3.02 15.48

L Total Life-cycle technologies 3.63 3.59 2.93 2.27 2.20 14.61

M Total Materials & Manufacturing 0.66 1.62 3.08 2.41 1.05 8.82

O Total Other 1.79 2.28 0.87 1.67 1.81 8.41

P Total Propulsion, Energy & Power 0.77 1.78 0.93 1.96 1.85 7.29

C Total Construction, Structural & Mechanical 1.56 1.43 0.32 1.10 1.12 5.53

S Total Safety & security 0.59 1.04 0.64 0.71 1.24 4.21

A1 Simulation & modelling 1.39 0.86 0.52 0.77 0.60 4.14

O7 Systems integration / engineering 0.51 0.65 0.29 0.81 0.40 2.67

A6 Naval architecture 0.82 0.33 0.35 0.96 0.18 2.64

I1 Sensors, measurement and monitoring technology 0.66 0.70 0.17 0.40 0.55 2.48

I2 Control, automation & autonomy 0.48 0.76 0.22 0.56 0.29 2.30

L7 Supply Chain management 0.34 0.42 0.63 0.36 0.48 2.23

A2 Tools & Techniques 0.61 0.31 0.14 0.76 0.39 2.21

A3 Human factors 0.63 0.42 0.31 0.63 0.19 2.19

L1 Service & Support 0.43 0.59 0.55 0.31 0.31 2.19

L3 Life-cycle analysis 1.12 0.32 0.28 0.17 0.28 2.17

I3 Data management 0.71 0.70 0.07 0.39 0.27 2.13

A8 Development testing & validation 0.30 0.52 0.36 0.57 0.32 2.07

L6 Condition Monitoring 0.54 0.66 0.27 0.30 0.28 2.06

A5 Design processes & Modularisation 0.50 0.35 0.51 0.54 0.15 2.05

C4 Sub-sea technology 0.98 0.63 0.05 0.19 0.15 2.00

I5 Logistics/ traffic management 0.12 0.21 0.44 0.51 0.62 1.90

A9 Analysis tools 0.54 0.50 0.21 0.29 0.35 1.90

M1 Materials technology 0.15 0.31 0.51 0.58 0.29 1.84

O3 Consulting 0.40 0.39 0.45 0.11 0.45 1.80

L2 Maintenance 0.47 0.54 0.15 0.36 0.28 1.80

Ranked by top-level capability grouping

Ranked by individual capability


6. Enablers

Rank Enablers A B C D E Total1 Funding & investment 6 6 4 5 4 252 Facilities, infrastructure & manufacturing capacity 5 6 1 4 5 213 Skills availability 6 4 4 4 2 204 Supply chain / logistics 5 4 3 3 3 185 Understanding Customer / Owner / Operator needs 3 1 5 4 2 156 Partnerships & Networks 2 3 4 3 3 157 Technology transfer from other industries 1 3 5 3 3 158 Focussed Research programmes 2 2 3 4 4 159 Training & Education 6 3 4 1 0 1410 International collaboration 4 0 4 2 3 1311 Business Model Innovation 3 1 3 1 4 1212 Environmental Regulation 2 1 2 4 2 1113 Incentives to industry to adopt new technology 1 2 3 3 2 1114 Major pathfinder projects to establish UK position 1 3 1 2 2 915 Marine technology revolution 1 1 2 2 2 816 Open architectures 2 1 1 1 2 717 Safety legislation 4 1 2 0 0 718 Integration with planning & Local Gov't 1 2 0 1 3 719 Standards 1 2 0 1 2 620 Professional Institutions 0 1 1 0 3 521 Technology translators 1 0 3 0 1 522 IP security & Licensing 0 0 2 0 1 323 Oceanographic research centres 1 0 0 0 1 2

uk marine industries roadmap · uk marine industries roadmap cross -cutting report ... added value...

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