unclassified captain tim gallaudet, u.s. navy deputy director, task force climate change remarks for...
TRANSCRIPT
UNCLASSIFIED
Captain Tim Gallaudet, U.S. NavyDeputy Director, Task Force Climate Change
Remarks for the SIO/LANL Workshop on Sea Level RiseMay 2010
Sea Level Rise and the U.S. Navy
UNCLASSIFIED
Sea Level Rise Update
1870-1992 2007 IPCC AR4
21st Century Sea Level Rise
Observation:~2mm/yr
Accelerating Ice Sheet Mass Loss
The Copenhagen Diagnosis, 2009
University of Colorado, Boulder, 2009
1993-2006 2009 2010-2100
Douglas, 1997
Observation:~3.1mm/yr
Tide Stations
Satellite Observations
Projection:~2-6mm/yr
Projection:10-20mm/yr?
Observation:>50 Gt/yr
?
UNCLASSIFIED
Navy Sea Level Rise Concerns
Physical Impacts
Inundation Wetlands Erosion patterns & rates Surface/ground water supplies Water tables Tidal flows & currents Storm & flood damage
Challenges
Infrastructure Mission capabilities Training & testing lands Transportation means/facilities
Opportunities
Adaptation partnerships Recapitalization incentive Impacts on adversaries
Directly impacts readiness, strategic access, & influence
UNCLASSIFIED
Science Needs
Quantify & reduce uncertainties to optimize investment decisions
Thermal expansion Ice sheet mass loss Glacier melt River runoff Subsidence/uplift Local currents Atmospheric pressure
Sea Level Rise Adaptation
In-water structures Infrastructure protection Water supply protection Erosion control Environmental protection
local to global spatial scales,hourly to millennial temporal scales
environmental planning & civil/ocean engineering
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Navy Initiatives
U.S. Navy Photo
FY10
Navy is fully mission-capable through 21st century
FY13-14 FY11-12Arctic CBA
Arctic CBASea level rise adaptationIn Climate Change Roadmap
Navy 2014 Budget Addresses Sea Level RiseAdaptation
POM-14 NSP
POM-14 NSPClimate assessment
Climate assessmentPOM-14 SPP
POM-14 SPP
POM-14
POM-14
Execute Navy Budget
Installations Identify S&T/R&D Needs
Sea Level RiseAddressed in Navy Wargames***
*** Indicates recurring action
Implement new cooperativeadaptation partnerships
White House Interagency AdaptationTask Force***
OSD SERDPSsea Level Rise Impact studies
Implement Sea level riseadaptation studyrecommendations
Naval Studies Boardclimate change study
Formalize /newcooperative adaptation partnerships
InstallationResearch & Development
Initiate cooperative adaptation partnerships
Interagencypartnership forair-ocean-ice observation& prediction
Sea Level RiseAdaptation Study
Science &Security Implications In FormalNavy EductionSea Level Rise
Included in FleetPlanning