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Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States and Colombia October 16, 2015

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Page 1: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

Unconventional Reservoir DevelopmentIn the United States and Colombia October 16, 2015

Page 2: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

Cautionary StatementThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events, such asanticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our operations, operatingresults or the industries or markets in which we operate or participate in general. Actual outcomes and results may differmaterially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees offuture performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may prove to be incorrect and are difficultto predict such as oil and gas prices; operational hazards and drilling risks; potential failure to achieve, and potential delays inachieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gas development projects; unsuccessfulexploratory activities; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing, maintaining or modifying companyfacilities; international monetary conditions and exchange controls; potential liability for remedial actions under existing orfuture environmental regulations or from pending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost ofcapital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic andinternational economic and political conditions, as well as changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable toConocoPhillips’ business and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting ConocoPhillips’business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We caution younot to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which are only as of the date of this presentation or asotherwise indicated, and we expressly disclaim any responsibility for updating such information.

Use of non-GAAP financial information – This presentation may include non-GAAP financial measures, which help facilitatecomparison of company operating performance across periods and with peer companies. Any non-GAAP measures includedherein will be accompanied by a reconciliation to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure on our website atwww.conocophillips.com/nongaap.

Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose onlyproved, probable and possible reserves. We use the term "resource" in this presentation that the SEC’s guidelines prohibit usfrom including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the oil and gas disclosures in our Form 10-Kand other reports and filings with the SEC. Copies are available from the SEC and from the ConocoPhillips website.

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Page 3: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

A Technology Breakthrough "Hidden in Plain Sight"

A Previously Ignored Drilling Target

Cartoon cross-section showing elements of a petroleum system

Mature, organic-rich source rocks

Traditional Target

New

Target

A "New Tool" from Two Old Technologies

Hydraulic Fracturing OperationsFirst Utilized in 1949 in America

Horizontal DrillingLarge-Scale Use by 1980’s

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Page 4: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

A Breakthrough Resulting in a Renaissance of Enormous Scale

Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (EIA)4

2005

U.S. Natural Gas Production(billions of cubic feet per day)

U.S. Oil Production(million barrels per day)

Shale Gas

Non-Shale Gas

25

35

45

55

65

75

20

00

20

03

20

06

20

09

20

12

20

15

Unconventional

Conventional

2

4

6

8

10

19

50

19

60

19

70

19

80

19

90

20

00

20

10

ConventionalDecline Curve

Page 5: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

America’s “Big Four” Unconventional Fields are World-Class Discoveries

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Eagle Ford

25 - 60 BBOE

Bakken10 - 62 BBOE

= Oil Wells = Gas Wells = Cond. Wells = Dry Holes

Marcellus> 200 TCFG

Permian Basin

20 - 90 BBOE

Map shows wells drilled in U.S. Lower 48 states since start of 20th century; well locations from U.S. Geological Survey; resource

estimates based upon publically available sources and ConocoPhillips estimates

Page 6: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

Unconventionals have created an Economic Bonanza for the U.S.

6 Source: AMERICA’S UNCONVENTIONAL ENERGY OPPORTUNITY; 2015; Porter, Gee, Pope; Harvard Business School and Boston Consulting Group

Page 7: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

The Greatest Energy Success Story of the 21st Century (thus far)

7 Schematic representation of global hydrocarbon discovery history derived from numerous sources; shapes simplified to represent general trends

rather than trying to capture annual resource addition detail.

Glo

bal

Re

sou

rce

s D

isco

vere

d

Page 8: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

ConocoPhillips’ Unconventional Reservoir Capabilities

• Large Eagle Ford, Bakken, Permian, western Canada land positions

• Over 6 billion BOE of resources

• Industry leading cost-of-supply

• Rapidly growing production

• Technology expertise

• Outstanding HSE reputation

8

ConocoPhillips Capital Budgeting

Graph from ConocoPhillips’ April 2015 Analyst Day presentation

70%Increase

Page 9: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

Colombia Unconventional Reservoir Production Could be Significant

9

Eagle Ford

Bakken

= Oil Wells = Gas Wells = Cond. Wells = Dry Holes

Marcellus

Permian Basin

Colombia

La Luna Source Rocks

Map shows wells drilled in U.S. Lower 48 states since start of 20th century

Page 10: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

U.S. Oil & Gas Industry Success Story is not about the Quality of the Rocks

• U.S. world’s largest oil producer for all but 25% of industry’s 156 year history

• United States has regained top spot

• U.S. achieved this result despite having only modest quality petroleum systems

• Result not due to U.S. prospectors being smarter or better trained, or the U.S.’s “infrastructure advantage”

• U.S. oil industry key success factors:

• Legal and fiscal systems that encourage investment and risk taking

• Fit for purpose regulations

• Efficient permitting process

10

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Global Conventional Oil Reserves1

MiddleEast

Americas2

EurasiaAfrica

U.S.Asia

Pacific

1 Data in graph from 2015 BP Statistical Review of World Energy, with reported reserves being predominantly “conventional” plus heavy oil; 2 North and South America excluding the USA

Page 11: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

What will it take to Attract Capital Investment Outside of North America?

• Competitive fiscal terms

• Appropriate, consistent legal system

• Avoid “good intentioned” or “complex” regulations that discourage investment

• Dialogue between government, industry and other stakeholders

• Willingness to search for solutions

• South America likely to be where next unconventional success occurs

• ConocoPhillips hopeful Colombia will win “South American unconventional race”

11

Vac

a M

uer

ta

Page 12: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages

• World-class oil and natural gas fields

• Significant economic benefits

• ConocoPhillips is an industry leader

• Colombia has favorable geology

• To attract capital investment requires more than just “good rocks”

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Page 13: Unconventional Reservoir Development In the United States ...congresoacp.com/congreso2015/presentaciones... · Unconventional Reservoir Development Take Away Messages •World-class

Unconventional Reservoir DevelopmentIn the United States and Colombia October 16, 2015