Trends and drivers of malnutrition at subnational level

A cross-country analysis in 15 Sub-Saharan African countries

Brussels, 14 June 2016

Francois KAYITAKIRE, Ana PEREZ HOYOS, Estefania CUSTODIO, Tharcisse NKUNZIMANAEC-JRC, IES, MARS Unit

Going the Last Mile: Accelerating Progress in Food Security and Nutrition

Context

The 2nd SDG:

End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutritionand promote sustainable agriculture

EU Commitments to reducing stunting in children under 5 years:Contribution to WHA target, reduce by 7 millions the

number of stunted children

Countries with high burden of undernutrition

Special attention to regional (sub-national) disparities

Stunting prevalence - Indicator SDG 2.2.1 :

Stunting prevalence in East and West Africain the 2000’s

“According to statistics, if a man has his head in an oven and his feet in a deep-freeze, he feels pretty good on average.”

DHS data; 15 countries; 338 000 households

Stunting prevalence in East and West Africain the 2010’s

“According to statistics, if a man has his head in an oven and his feet in a deep-freeze, he feels pretty good on average.”

5

Changes in stunting prevalence in East and West Africa (2000 - 2010)

Changes in stunting percentage points

Few areas with stunting reductions > 10 % points

Spatial distribution of the main stunting drivers

Poverty

Mother’s educationPercentage of mothers with no education

Spatial distribution of the main stunting drivers

Food consumption

Percentage of children meeting the minimum dietary diversity

Spatial distribution of the main stunting drivers

Percentage of households with 3 or more children

Family size

Spatial distribution of the main stunting drivers

If none is left behind, how long is the last mile?

2025

2030

0 – 1 1 - 20 20 - 50 > 50 years

Number of years to fall below a stunting prevalence of 20% fromthe 2010’s level if the same reduction rate is maintained

Thank you

for your

attention

Geography of the stunting drivers