united states agriculture grain · to egypt, whereas this year u.s. exports are negligibleto date....

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 02-12February 2012

Black Sea countries’ wheat exports are estimated to rebound as production jumped 33 milliontons, nearly 50 percent, from last year and Russia and Ukraine lifted their export restrictions. Themost dramatic recovery is in Russian exports, which are estimated at a record, barringgovernment intervention. Much of these shipments are going to Mediterranean markets whereRussia and Ukraine normally have a comparative freight and logistical advantage vis-à-vis theUnited States.

Last year, U.S. wheat exports to North Africa and the Middle East surged as a result of theaforementioned export restrictions. For example, the United States exported nearly 4 million tonsto Egypt, whereas this year U.S. exports are negligible to date. In contrast, this year Russia hasalready exported 5 million tons to Egypt through December, nearly half of Egypt’s estimatedimport demand. Meanwhile, total U.S. exports are estimated to drop nearly 30 percent, despiteexpanding global trade.

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

United States

Black Sea*

Black Sea Wheat Replaces U.S. Supplies in North Africa and Middle East

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12*

Middle East North Africa*2011/12 is exports through January. There are negligible outstanding sales to these markets.

*Black Sea countries here include Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan

Wheat Exports U.S. Wheat ExportsMMT MMT

Grain: World Markets and Trade, February 2012

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ............................................................................................................. 4 Rice ................................................................................................................ 9 Coarse Grains ............................................................................................... 13 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ........................... 33 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................. 52 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

February 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2011/122010/112009/102011/122010/112009/102011/122010/112009/10

Production

United States (Jun-May) 60.4 60.1 54.4 7.1 7.6 5.9 332.5 316.2 313.9

Other 625.1 591.5 638.5 433.4 443.5 456.9 486.7 511.4 550.2

World Total 685.4 651.6 692.9 440.5 451.1 462.8 819.2 827.5 864.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 616.9 620.8 644.5 430.6 442.1 452.9 533.9 558.8 586.0

World Total 647.9 651.5 676.1 434.6 446.5 456.8 815.5 843.8 865.5

Ending Stocks


Other 175.8 177.2 190.1 93.0 95.7 98.9 100.8 100.2 105.0

World Total 202.3 200.7 213.1 94.2 97.2 100.1 144.2 128.8 125.3

TY Imports


Other 128.6 126.5 132.6 28.3 32.0 29.3 90.1 89.8 93.1

World Total 131.8 129.0 135.8 28.9 32.6 29.9 90.3 90.5 93.6

TY Exports


Other 110.2 96.3 113.3 27.9 31.8 29.8 43.2 46.4 52.1

World Total 134.4 132.3 138.8 31.8 35.1 32.8 93.0 91.7 95.6

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

February 2012


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global trade for 2011/12 is up marginally this month as a result of strong demand for feed-quality wheat. U.S. exports are raised slightly on the continued strong pace of shipments and recent sales. Russian exports are up primarily due to the government announcement of no export restrictions for the remainder of the year. The forecast U.S. season-average farm price is raised reflecting prices received to date and remains a record. PRICES:

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRS SRW SWW HRW

Domestic: Prices for all wheat classes rose in January partly due to unsubstantiated rumors of Russian export curbs and weather concerns over new-crop winter wheat production in Ukraine and the EU. Soft White Wheat (SWW) surged $34 to $268/ton and Soft Red Winter (SRW) was up $19 to $272 per ton on strong demand. Hard Red Winter (HRW) was $12 higher at $304 per ton, and Hard Red Spring (HRS) was up $14 to $367 per ton.

February 2012


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2011/12 Selected Importers • Saudi Arabia is raised 300,000 tons to 2.3 million due to purchases of feed-quality wheat.

• Mexico is up 200,000 tons to 4.2 million reflecting strong demand for feed-quality wheat

from the United States. Selected Exporters • Argentina is boosted 500,000 tons to 9.7 million with additional export licenses issued.

• Brazil is doubled to 1.0 million tons based on January shipments to Africa and reports of

sales to the EU.

• Canada is lowered 500,000 tons to 17.5 million on account of increased competition with the United States and South America.

• India is down 300,000 tons to 700,000 due to the lack of competitiveness with Black Sea

countries.

• Russia is raised 1.0 million tons to a record 20.5 million, on account of the strong export pace and the government announcement of no export curbs for the remainder of the trade year.

• Ukraine is reduced 1.0 million tons to 6.0 million on the slow export pace and missed sales

of feed-quality wheat to the EU.

• United States is raised 500,000 tons to 25.5 million on recent sales of Soft Red and Soft White Winter wheat to Mexico and South Korea which will likely be used in livestock and poultry feeding.

February 2012

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

9,7009,2007,7385,1728,62110,228 Argentina

20,50020,50018,47713,76413,4507,449 Australia

1,0005002,5391,195369767 Brazil

17,50018,00016,76818,99218,67416,561 Canada

17,00017,00022,85022,11525,35112,272 EU-27

8,5008,5005,5197,8715,7018,181 Kazakhstan

20,50019,5003,98318,55618,39312,220 Russia

3,7003,7002,9464,3712,3421,763 Turkey

6,0007,0004,3029,33713,0371,236 Ukraine

1,1001,1001,197994616422 Uruguay

7,7648,06410,0287,8549,31711,052 Others

113,264113,06496,347110,221115,87182,151 Subtotal

25,50025,00035,97724,17227,10134,282 United States

138,764138,064132,324134,393142,972116,433 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,0003,0002,3002,5003,8002,300 Afghanistan

6,1006,1006,4365,1676,3565,904 Algeria

2,8002,8003,9003,3312,8821,500 Bangladesh

7,0007,0006,7106,6676,7627,076 Brazil

10,50010,50010,60010,3009,9007,700 Egypt

7,5007,5004,7125,5197,7376,933 EU-27

6,7006,7006,6115,3645,4195,227 Indonesia

3,7003,7003,6323,9053,8793,429 Iraq

1,7001,7001,3921,8622,0631,189 Israel

6,1006,1005,8695,5025,1565,701 Japan

4,7004,7004,7614,4703,3713,092 Korea, South

1,6001,6001,4192,0911,6891,574 Libya

4,2004,0003,4623,1963,3423,136 Mexico

3,0003,0003,9032,3043,7594,192 Morocco

4,1004,1004,0514,0793,5502,633 Nigeria

1,7001,7001,7571,7031,3851,444 Peru

3,2003,2003,2353,1883,2012,266 Philippines

2,3002,0001,7411,9101,27575 Saudi Arabia

1,8001,8001,6421,9011,7121,060 Sudan

1,7001,7001,9201,6001,1281,072 Thailand

1,8001,8001,7731,5341,7682,372 Tunisia

3,5003,5003,5173,2183,5782,192 Turkey

1,7001,7001,6181,6771,440990 Uzbekistan

2,3002,3002,4601,9271,0161,066 Vietnam

2,7002,7002,7052,6022,7961,900 Yemen

37,24537,04534,32541,04647,82334,453 Others

132,645131,945126,451128,563136,787110,476 Subtotal

2,9192,9193,3022,5952,7863,005 Unaccounted

3,2003,2002,5713,2353,3992,952 United States

138,764138,064132,324134,393142,972116,433 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

February 2012

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Production

14,50014,50016,10012,00011,00018,600 Argentina

28,30028,30027,89121,83421,42013,569 Australia

25,26025,26023,16726,84828,61120,054 Canada

117,920117,920115,180115,120112,464109,298 China

8,7008,7007,2008,5237,9778,275 Egypt

137,486137,486135,674138,816151,122120,133 EU-27

86,87085,93080,80080,68078,57075,810 India

13,75013,75015,50013,4857,95715,887 Iran

22,73222,5009,63817,05112,53816,466 Kazakhstan

6,0005,8004,8876,4003,7301,583 Morocco

24,00024,00023,90024,00020,95923,295 Pakistan

56,23156,23141,50861,77063,76549,368 Russia

18,80018,80017,00018,45016,80015,500 Turkey

22,00022,00016,84420,86625,88513,938 Ukraine

6,3006,3006,5006,2006,0006,200 Uzbekistan

49,61349,61349,75653,01745,97148,194 Others

638,462637,090591,545625,060614,769556,170 Subtotal

54,41354,41360,06260,36668,01655,821 United States

692,875691,503651,607685,426682,785611,991 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,8508,8508,7508,5508,3008,050 Algeria

11,20011,20010,80011,00010,70010,300 Brazil

9,0008,8007,6746,9277,9776,793 Canada

113,500113,500109,500107,000105,500106,000 China

18,80018,80017,70017,90017,20015,800 Egypt

127,000127,000122,000125,000127,000116,536 EU-27

83,05584,70081,76078,15070,92476,423 India

15,00015,00015,70016,10015,80015,500 Iran

9,0009,9006,2007,6007,5007,800 Kazakhstan

8,7508,7508,2508,1007,4507,225 Morocco

23,40023,40023,20023,00022,80022,400 Pakistan

38,60038,60038,60039,60038,90037,650 Russia

18,10018,10017,20017,10016,90016,800 Turkey

13,39013,00011,60012,30011,90012,300 Ukraine

8,0008,0007,9007,5007,1007,000 Uzbekistan

138,882138,057133,955131,111125,823118,614 Others

648,865649,815622,533619,161608,345589,062 Subtotal

31,61331,61330,71030,97834,29328,614 United States

680,478681,428653,243650,139642,638617,676 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8,9989,1238,8235,5933,3893,851 Australia

6,3366,0497,1767,8296,5474,406 Canada

65,01165,01160,09154,42545,80339,081 China

12,67912,67911,69316,15718,93712,429 EU-27

18,50015,61515,36016,12013,4305,800 India

8,1846,4082,9275,0013,3643,908 Kazakhstan

10,86611,86613,53514,52110,7434,068 Russia

59,52859,59157,63156,14046,97145,038 Others

190,102186,342177,236175,786149,184118,581 Subtotal

22,99723,67723,46626,55217,8678,323 United States

213,099210,019200,702202,338167,051126,904 World Total

February 2012

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

6,475 North America 7,128 6,834 6,462 7,600 7,800

1,460 Central America 1,489 1,469 1,678 1,525 1,525

13,092 South America 13,074 13,091 12,935 13,290 13,390

6,933 European Union 7,737 5,519 4,712 7,500 7,500

1,923 Other Europe 1,712 1,696 1,649 1,735 1,735

6,032 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,569 5,415 5,473 6,175 6,175

11,810 Middle East 28,218 22,515 16,830 18,175 18,475

21,742 North Africa 23,472 21,396 24,131 23,000 23,000

10,287 Sub-Saharan Africa 13,707 15,773 14,475 15,485 15,585

11,277 East Asia 11,322 13,745 13,892 14,700 14,700

8,215 South Asia 10,771 7,586 7,662 7,235 7,235

11,405 Southeast Asia 12,324 13,902 16,301 15,850 15,850

2,777 Others 2,663 2,857 2,822 2,875 2,875

113,428 Total 140,186 131,798 129,022 135,145 135,845

Production none

79,468 North America 100,627 91,362 86,908 83,448 83,448

25,435 South America 20,516 22,039 26,451 25,262 25,262

120,133 European Union 151,122 138,816 135,674 137,486 137,486

4,405 Other Europe 4,712 4,609 3,800 4,413 4,413


41,040 Middle East 30,325 38,369 40,175 39,340 39,340

13,948 North Africa 14,352 20,261 16,133 18,725 18,925


110,590 East Asia 113,776 116,281 116,240 119,154 119,154

105,070 South Asia 103,898 111,200 111,020 115,050 115,990

13,846 Oceania 21,697 22,111 28,168 28,577 28,577

143 Others 171 176 181 186 186

611,991 Total 682,785 685,426 651,607 691,503 692,875

Domestic Consumption none

40,907 North America 48,270 44,205 44,784 47,363 47,763

24,346 South America 24,494 25,708 25,523 26,040 26,140

116,536 European Union 127,000 125,000 122,000 127,000 127,000

5,495 Other Europe 5,560 5,469 5,306 5,520 5,520


50,758 Middle East 52,669 53,615 53,860 54,350 54,650

35,825 North Africa 37,475 39,350 39,425 41,250 41,250


117,556 East Asia 117,188 120,020 122,455 127,350 127,350

109,638 South Asia 105,304 113,861 117,351 120,280 118,635

11,009 Southeast Asia 12,054 13,288 14,952 15,360 15,360

7,383 Oceania 8,120 5,835 7,044 8,005 8,130

3,300 Others 3,372 3,309 3,389 3,365 3,365

613,805 Total 636,067 647,916 651,499 677,270 676,140

Ending Stocks none

13,108 North America 24,729 34,901 31,082 30,191 29,798

4,571 South America 4,015 5,481 5,646 6,792 5,936

12,429 European Union 18,937 16,157 11,693 12,679 12,679

1,817 Other Europe 2,176 2,177 1,495 1,558 1,558


11,610 Middle East 11,564 15,050 14,651 13,604 13,604

9,186 North Africa 9,216 11,148 11,633 11,783 11,983


41,899 East Asia 48,637 57,261 63,500 68,514 68,514

10,079 South Asia 17,359 21,430 21,420 21,275 24,160

2,771 Southeast Asia 2,713 2,915 3,795 3,825 3,825

4,117 Oceania 3,606 5,784 9,080 9,382 9,257

352 Others 304 412 339 320 320

126,904 Total 167,051 202,338 200,702 210,019 213,099

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

February 2012


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global trade is up from last month on strong and unexpected demand from Egypt. Larger Indian exports are forecast to more than offset reductions in Thailand and Vietnam. Global stocks remain high as production outpaces consumption. U.S. exports were adjusted slightly lower. FEATURE A confluence of unusual events gives the three major rice exports similar market share. Thailand’s exports are forecast to drop as their paddy pledging scheme is driving up domestic quotes. Conversely, Indian exports surged due to the recent lifting of its export ban on non-basmati rice, huge stocks, and low prices. Vietnam exports remain steady compared to India and Thailand. SELECTED TRADE CHANGES FOR 2012

Selected Exporters

• India is boosted 1.5 million tons to 6.0 million on large exportable supplies.

• Thailand is dropped 500,000 tons to 6.5 million on uncompetitive prices and lower demand for Thai exports.

• Vietnam is down 200,000 tons to 6.5 million on increased competition from India.

Selected Importers

• Egypt is raised 480,000 tons to 500,000 on government purchases of foreign rice in lieu

of higher priced domestic supplies.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f

MMTExport Market Shares Converge

Thailand

Vietnam

India

February 2012

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

630650675468594408 Argentina

450450350541748 Australia

7256501,300430591511 Brazil

7507507504451,052541 Burma

1,0001,0001,0001,000800500 Cambodia

600600500619783969 China

600500120570575750 Egypt

350350300282150157 EU-27

230230250275244185 Guyana

6,0004,5004,2002,2282,1233,383 India

150150200200200200 Japan

3,7503,7503,0004,0003,1873,050 Pakistan

6,5007,00010,5009,0478,57010,011 Thailand

850850840808926742 Uruguay

6,5006,7007,0006,7345,9504,649 Vietnam

700700857753556392 Others

29,78528,83031,84227,91326,31826,496 Subtotal

3,0003,0503,2503,8683,0173,267 United States

32,78531,88035,09231,78129,33529,763 World Total

none

TY Imports

6506501,4006601501,658 Bangladesh

600550620778650417 Brazil

400400600366337295 China

950950900840800800 Cote d'Ivoire

525525600498457558 Cuba

5002040152020 Egypt

1,0701,0701,1501,2161,3831,520 EU-27

400400520320410300 Ghana

415415410390397399 Hong Kong

1,0001,0002,7751,150250350 Indonesia

1,5001,5001,4001,0001,4701,430 Iran

1,2001,2001,1501,1401,089975 Iraq

700700700649750533 Japan

365365480320245282 Korea, South

1,1301,1301,0409071,0861,039 Malaysia

725725791575610578 Mexico

375375400325385300 Mozambique

2,2002,2002,3002,0002,0001,800 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,5002,4002,0002,500 Philippines

1,1501,1501,1001,0691,0721,166 Saudi Arabia

750750800685715860 Senegal

750750760733745650 South Africa

350350350315250230 Syria

430430420400380350 United Arab Emirates

400400500400500300 Vietnam

9,2429,2579,3229,1428,1848,544 Others

29,27728,76232,02828,29326,33527,854 Subtotal

2,8582,4682,4492,9262,3181,258 Unaccounted

650650615562682651 United States

32,78531,88035,09231,78129,33529,763 World Total


Note about dates: 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, 2010/11 is calendar year 2011, and so on.

February 2012

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Milled Production

34,00034,00033,20031,00031,00028,800 Bangladesh

7,8208,1609,3007,9298,5708,199 Brazil

10,50010,50010,75010,55010,15010,730 Burma

5,3005,3005,2004,7804,5204,238 Cambodia

140,500140,500137,000136,570134,330130,224 China

4,3004,7003,1004,3004,4024,385 Egypt

102,000100,00095,98089,09099,18096,690 India

37,30037,30035,50036,37038,31037,000 Indonesia

7,6467,6467,7207,7118,0297,930 Japan

4,2244,2244,2954,9164,8434,408 Korea, South

6,5506,5505,0006,8006,9005,700 Pakistan

10,64010,50010,5399,77210,75510,479 Philippines

2,9002,9002,4002,6502,2272,200 Sri Lanka

20,30020,30020,26220,26019,85019,800 Thailand

26,15026,15026,30024,99324,39324,375 Vietnam

36,74836,77136,96035,69733,49230,821 Others

456,878455,501443,506433,388440,951425,979 Subtotal

5,8745,9377,5937,1336,5466,288 United States

462,752461,438451,099440,521447,497432,267 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,50034,50034,00031,60031,00030,747 Bangladesh

8,1008,4008,4008,4778,4008,350 Brazil

10,00010,0009,9009,8509,64810,249 Burma

4,3204,3204,2203,8103,7703,788 Cambodia

138,500138,500135,000134,320133,000127,450 China

3,8003,8003,4003,6704,0003,340 Egypt

94,00094,00090,68085,50891,09090,466 India

39,55039,55039,00038,00037,10036,350 Indonesia

3,0003,0002,9002,9503,1003,000 Iran

8,2508,2508,1258,2008,3268,162 Japan

4,8004,8004,9474,7654,7884,670 Korea, South

4,8794,8794,8904,4504,1003,910 Nigeria

13,00013,00013,12513,12513,10013,499 Philippines

11,50011,00010,50010,2009,5009,600 Thailand

19,75019,55019,40019,15019,00019,400 Vietnam

54,92754,95553,61852,50150,17848,602 Others

455,947454,612443,677433,875431,848423,357 Subtotal

3,9123,9314,3584,0164,0824,042 United States

459,859458,543448,035437,891435,930427,399 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

44,44744,44742,57240,53438,54637,762 China

24,50024,50023,00020,50019,00013,000 India

4,6024,6025,8526,5777,0575,607 Indonesia

2,7342,7342,7882,6932,7152,556 Japan

1,5741,4342,4343,5204,6734,418 Philippines

7,9627,9625,5626,1004,7872,707 Thailand

2,1702,1701,8701,4701,9612,018 Vietnam

10,87810,99011,63511,58511,81710,963 Others

98,86798,83995,71392,97990,55679,031 Subtotal

1,2531,2351,5141,184977935 United States

100,120100,07497,22794,16391,53379,966 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

February 2012

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

1,594 North America 1,614 1,495 1,736 1,715 1,715

1,028 Caribbean 906 989 1,150 1,015 1,015

1,105 South America 1,116 1,377 1,377 1,322 1,377

98 Other Europe 126 126 135 135 135

361 Former Soviet Union - 12 412 401 327 330 330

5,519 Middle East 5,349 5,239 5,625 5,870 5,850

275 North Africa 155 345 390 375 855


1,639 East Asia 1,877 1,961 2,415 2,105 2,105

2,208 South Asia 528 1,013 1,835 990 990

4,640 Southeast Asia 4,542 5,562 6,413 4,535 4,535

2,469 Others 2,217 2,099 1,980 1,835 1,835

28,505 Total 27,017 28,855 32,643 29,412 29,927

Production none

6,466 North America 6,702 7,309 7,735 6,042 5,979

796 Caribbean 853 975 963 1,017 1,017

15,461 South America 16,217 15,444 17,174 15,489 15,122

1,757 European Union 1,620 1,887 1,867 1,899 1,899

986 Former Soviet Union - 12 906 1,101 1,260 1,219 1,224

2,318 Middle East 2,026 2,002 2,061 2,060 2,060

4,405 North Africa 4,422 4,334 3,139 4,740 4,339


145,044 East Asia 150,087 152,218 151,631 155,066 155,066

136,570 South Asia 142,432 132,775 139,755 146,700 148,700

109,790 Southeast Asia 111,279 110,269 111,962 113,531 113,671

566 Others 685 798 1,233 1,406 1,406

432,267 Total 447,497 440,521 451,099 461,438 462,752


5,130 North America 5,172 5,154 5,540 5,166 5,147

1,104 Central America 1,107 1,125 1,129 1,146 1,146

1,944 Caribbean 1,802 1,905 2,064 2,031 2,031

14,194 South America 14,534 14,697 14,692 14,662 14,350

3,185 European Union 2,925 2,860 2,900 2,830 2,830


7,537 Middle East 7,577 7,515 7,623 7,875 7,855

3,635 North Africa 4,132 4,037 3,789 4,195 4,194


143,281 East Asia 149,584 150,804 151,343 154,885 154,885

129,831 South Asia 131,370 126,166 133,100 137,650 137,650

97,272 Southeast Asia 96,739 98,984 100,989 102,426 103,126

688 Others 564 616 660 705 705

425,625 Total 434,182 434,592 446,463 456,435 456,788

Ending Stocks none

1,128 North America 1,143 1,322 1,727 1,391 1,409

265 Central America 218 244 252 254 254

134 Caribbean 109 129 146 152 152

1,743 South America 2,229 1,856 2,126 1,635 1,538

1,126 European Union 1,020 1,120 987 876 876

2,172 Middle East 1,999 1,654 1,516 1,471 1,476

685 North Africa 557 497 157 577 557

983 Sub-Saharan Africa 974 1,002 1,245 1,167 1,167

41,284 East Asia 42,488 45,038 46,971 48,577 48,577

14,306 South Asia 21,393 22,431 25,071 26,751 26,751

15,950 Southeast Asia 19,249 18,669 16,804 16,993 17,133

52 Oceania 26 46 45 53 53

138 Others 128 155 180 177 177

79,966 Total 91,533 94,163 97,227 100,074 100,120



February 2012


13

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global coarse grains trade for 2011/12 is boosted 1.4 million tons, largely because of higher EU corn imports. World production is lowered on Argentine corn crop prospects. U.S. corn exports are boosted although the U.S. corn season-average farm price is unchanged. PRICES U.S. corn export quotes rose slightly throughout the past month based on growing concerns over the Argentine crop. Prices ended at $283/ton, $20/ton higher than at the time of the January WASDE release. The discount between U.S. and Argentine prices has narrowed by about $10/ton throughout the past two months. TRADE CHANGES IN 2011/12 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is boosted 1.5 million

tons to 43.5 million based on reduced competition from Argentina.

• Argentine corn is slashed by 3.5 million tons to 14.0 million because of sharply lower new crop prospects caused by drought and extreme heat.

• Brazilian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 9.0 million because of reduced Argentine competition and better prospects for second-crop (winter) corn.

• EU corn is raised 500,000 tons to 2.5 million due to stronger licenses.

• Russian corn is raised 200,000 tons to 1.2 million based on strong early-season shipments.

• South African corn is lowered 300,000 tons to 3.0 million as old-crop supplies of yellow corn tighten and the country becomes less competitive. (Imports are boosted 200,000 tons to 300,000.)

• Ukrainian corn is raised 2.0 million tons to 14.0 million as loadings take priority over wheat and barley (both lowered this month).

225

245

265

285

305

325

345

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua U.S. Gulf

February 2012


14

• Argentine barley is boosted 500,000 tons to a record 2.9 million based on record

production and reported large shipments of barley to Saudi Arabia.

• Canadian barley is raised 300,000 tons to 1.0 million due to a strong export pace through January.

• EU barley is up 300,000 tons to 2.8 million on export licenses.

• Kazakh barley is up 300,000 tons to 550,000 on reports of large shipments through December.

• Russian barley is up 300,000 tons to 2.3 million based on exports to date.

• Ukrainian barley is cut 1.0 million tons to 3.4 million on sluggish exports and strong competition from Argentina.

• Argentine sorghum is lowered 300,000 tons to 2.0 million on a smaller crop caused by adverse weather conditions.

Selected Importers

• Brazilian corn is up 300,000 tons to 800,000 because of strong early-season shipments from Paraguay.

• Canadian corn is cut 400,000 tons to 1.0 million based on stocks data that implies weak demand.

• EU corn is raised 1.0 million tons to 4.0 million on larger-than-expected licenses.

• Saudi barley is up 300,000 tons to 7.5 million based on reported large shipments from Argentina.

• EU barley is raised 250,000 tons to 350,000 based on import licenses to date.

• Chilean sorghum is lowered 200,000 tons to 600,000 on less exportable supplies available from Argentina.

February 2012

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

18,90522,20518,56219,02810,24117,786 Argentina

5,0105,0105,0124,4144,8733,895 Australia

9,0058,50511,5928,6277,1878,032 Brazil

3,1252,8004,4273,0683,8526,379 Canada

5,5554,7555,8614,2674,3384,679 EU-27

2,3002,3003,1702,0722,6425,539 India

1,8051,8051,2081,3921,8641,473 Paraguay

3,5553,0151,0282,5284,9451,419 Russia

2,0202,3202,8591,6342,1591,145 South Africa

17,41016,4107,45610,93611,3805,909 Ukraine

5,9755,6255,5367,0595,6344,315 Others

74,66574,75066,71165,02559,11560,571 Subtotal

45,40043,90049,26953,98951,55868,289 United States

120,065118,650115,980119,014110,673128,860 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,1003,1002,9622,5762,0672,433 Algeria

1,1558558421,0491,4971,258 Brazil

1,0651,4651,0452,0111,9003,187 Canada

1,4251,4751,3011,2751,3171,969 Chile

5,9255,9252,7183,7771,6511,157 China

4,4554,4554,0594,1023,4833,603 Colombia

1,0501,0501,0501,0719731,074 Dominican Republic

6,0756,0555,8495,8975,0934,182 Egypt

4,4553,1658,4873,0122,98819,892 EU-27

1,5001,5002,5001,321317294 Indonesia

3,9003,9003,9005,1005,0003,900 Iran

1,4101,4101,4811,5921,2951,776 Israel

19,03519,13518,59919,19819,61119,210 Japan

1,000900911713785889 Jordan

8,0608,0608,1698,5097,2489,358 Korea, South

3,3003,3002,7003,1072,4473,181 Malaysia

11,52511,52510,76710,91310,46511,011 Mexico

2,2502,2002,1222,2021,8332,180 Morocco

1,7001,7001,9851,8861,5201,592 Peru

9,5059,2058,1389,0769,1869,968 Saudi Arabia

2,1002,1001,9522,2742,8342,561 Syria

4,4504,4504,3114,6634,6584,684 Taiwan

1,0001,0001,2001,2028751,182 Tunisia

1,6001,6001,2512,1981,3401,103 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,2001,6001,250700 Vietnam

12,41612,21612,74513,02413,70914,263 Others

114,756113,046112,244113,348105,342126,607 Subtotal

2,9843,3791,2873,3912,524-1,357 Unaccounted

2,3252,2252,4492,2752,8073,610 United States

120,065118,650115,980119,014110,673128,860 World Total


February 2012

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Production

30,81034,41030,55828,53119,63427,118 Argentina

13,10712,90711,76210,92012,28212,895 Australia

63,83363,83360,48058,41253,48660,520 Brazil

21,86621,86622,26322,47727,18427,841 Canada

198,060198,060183,405169,604172,424158,863 China

9,0259,0259,9258,0469,0348,302 Ethiopia

147,237147,027139,460155,038162,102136,580 EU-27

40,37040,37042,00033,89039,55040,630 India

8,1008,1006,8006,9008,7008,500 Indonesia

27,77827,77829,37227,25432,25230,578 Mexico

27,90027,90028,74028,15026,67024,000 Nigeria

32,79632,79616,41631,84340,88129,171 Russia

12,95112,95111,32713,88113,08413,690 South Africa

10,69510,69510,09511,17610,4089,445 Turkey

32,90032,90021,44224,14326,27514,592 Ukraine

141,068141,249143,275136,530131,329128,249 Others

818,496821,867767,320766,795785,295730,974 Subtotal

323,697323,697330,236348,755325,867349,861 United States

1,142,1931,145,5641,097,5561,115,5501,111,1621,080,835 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

11,61511,17511,35810,0548,7689,367 Argentina

55,24855,24852,73349,71448,19144,605 Brazil

20,08620,43620,91822,21622,89224,023 Canada

199,340199,340183,990172,975161,100157,783 China

11,55011,50013,59513,07212,16211,477 Egypt

148,005148,005151,940150,080151,855154,855 EU-27

38,60038,60038,05032,00036,50035,500 India

19,26619,36618,73019,64519,96519,460 Japan

39,84039,84039,33540,86542,06040,235 Mexico

28,05028,05028,55027,95026,55024,000 Nigeria

28,07827,97818,13130,44033,01128,617 Russia

9,5009,7008,7009,7009,4759,480 Saudi Arabia

10,98310,98311,02810,83310,46810,143 South Africa

11,35011,35010,89510,87010,70010,565 Turkey

14,70013,95013,79212,96413,69611,934 Ukraine

210,001210,168206,112197,955195,305190,764 Others

859,081858,833828,825819,148805,061783,380 Subtotal

290,807290,779297,973295,337275,978274,533 United States

1,149,8881,149,6121,126,7981,114,4851,081,0391,057,913 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,56710,76710,13210,28712,45012,703 Brazil

3,1993,5783,5295,6506,3264,010 Canada

58,70258,70254,32252,35952,15839,404 China

13,86013,16015,67825,85420,84412,726 EU-27

2,9632,9633,8134,0633,1243,199 Iran

3,5953,0953,5425,3674,3273,266 South Africa

3,1714,9212,0662,2092,3741,659 Ukraine

39,56740,77840,81741,50745,70142,215 Others

135,624137,964133,899147,296147,304119,182 Subtotal

22,86823,86632,28848,13347,06045,059 United States

158,492161,830166,187195,429194,364164,241 World Total

February 2012

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

17,808 North America 15,172 15,199 14,261 15,215 14,915

2,681 Central America 2,491 2,537 2,755 2,950 2,950

2,239 Caribbean 2,011 2,139 2,200 2,210 2,210

10,328 South America 9,745 11,108 10,470 10,695 10,945

19,892 European Union 2,988 3,012 8,487 3,165 4,455

1,062 Former Soviet Union - 12 664 451 1,166 585 585

21,810 Middle East 21,247 21,318 18,475 19,650 20,050

10,757 North Africa 10,592 13,115 12,958 13,105 13,175


34,662 East Asia 33,349 36,276 33,927 37,700 37,600

4,746 Southeast Asia 5,405 6,725 7,108 7,115 7,115

1,223 Others 750 917 1,012 846 846

130,217 Total 108,149 115,623 114,693 115,271 117,081

Production none

408,280 North America 385,303 398,486 381,871 373,341 373,341

99,917 South America 84,977 98,905 103,145 111,399 107,449

136,580 European Union 162,102 155,038 139,460 147,027 147,237

9,370 Other Europe 12,357 11,800 12,190 11,597 11,597


18,594 Middle East 15,827 18,829 18,499 18,391 18,391

9,894 North Africa 10,219 14,891 12,359 9,722 9,722


161,053 East Asia 174,593 171,474 185,491 200,171 200,171

47,105 South Asia 45,688 40,331 48,358 46,653 46,653

26,882 Southeast Asia 27,710 25,386 27,186 28,870 29,010

13,542 Oceania 12,929 11,567 12,409 13,554 13,754

4,455 Others 4,291 4,152 4,302 4,302 4,302

1,080,835 Total 1,111,162 1,115,550 1,097,556 1,145,564 1,142,193


338,791 North America 340,930 358,418 358,226 351,055 350,733

73,397 South America 76,040 79,382 84,227 87,353 87,693

154,855 European Union 151,855 150,080 151,940 148,005 148,005

10,423 Other Europe 10,895 10,757 10,877 10,811 10,811


38,192 Middle East 37,833 38,469 37,613 38,984 38,984

21,142 North Africa 21,187 24,679 25,781 23,985 24,035


192,632 East Asia 195,849 207,611 217,418 233,250 233,150

42,183 South Asia 42,673 38,599 44,538 45,013 45,013

29,476 Southeast Asia 30,277 31,158 32,765 34,810 34,810

7,666 Oceania 7,897 7,702 7,574 8,452 8,452

9,314 Others 8,953 8,888 9,238 9,438 9,438

1,057,341 Total 1,078,676 1,106,670 1,125,830 1,146,468 1,147,019

Ending Stocks none

53,810 North America 58,626 55,725 38,450 29,469 28,063

19,607 South America 16,652 14,859 15,239 16,289 15,410

12,726 European Union 20,844 25,854 15,678 13,160 13,860

1,340 Other Europe 1,517 1,653 1,668 1,455 1,455


8,663 Middle East 8,496 9,390 7,991 7,255 7,383

2,443 North Africa 2,743 5,401 4,959 3,862 3,896


43,975 East Asia 55,897 55,831 57,661 62,056 62,017

1,821 South Asia 2,086 1,670 2,457 1,922 1,922

3,475 Southeast Asia 4,446 3,329 3,698 3,617 3,768

2,737 Oceania 3,352 2,785 1,748 2,040 2,240

1,068 Others 842 789 778 782 782

164,241 Total 194,364 195,429 166,187 161,830 158,492



February 2012

World Corn Trade


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

14,00017,50015,15916,9718,45815,676 Argentina

9,0008,50011,5838,6237,1787,883 Brazil

5005001,657184366944 Canada

2,5002,0001,0781,5191,743591 EU-27

2,2002,2003,1001,9172,5515,077 India

1,8001,8001,2031,3881,8621,461 Paraguay

1,2001,000374271,33149 Russia

1,6001,6002,0041,3431,467128 Serbia

2,0002,3002,8391,5862,1111,124 South Africa

14,00012,0005,0085,0725,4972,074 Ukraine

3,3003,2502,7394,1993,6412,616 Others

52,10052,65046,40743,22936,20537,623 Subtotal

43,50042,00045,25449,72147,75860,663 United States

95,60094,65091,66192,95083,96398,286 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,6002,6002,7002,5691,9032,166 Algeria

8005004746991,092961 Brazil

1,0001,4009741,9611,8443,117 Canada

8006505266638391,628 Chile

4,0004,0009791,2964741 China

3,9003,9003,5043,6513,0683,267 Colombia

800800800736708811 Cuba

1,0501,0501,0501,0719731,074 Dominican Republic

6,0006,0005,8035,8325,0314,151 Egypt

4,0003,0007,3592,9312,75414,016 EU-27

1,5001,5002,5001,321317294 Indonesia

3,5003,5003,5004,3003,6002,900 Iran

1,1001,1001,0501,0538461,374 Israel

16,10016,10015,65515,97916,53316,614 Japan

8,0008,0008,1078,4617,1889,311 Korea, South

3,3003,3002,7003,1072,4473,181 Malaysia

9,8009,8008,2578,2987,7649,556 Mexico

1,9001,9001,8001,8021,5661,858 Morocco

1,6001,6001,9001,7821,4291,469 Peru

2,0002,0001,9331,8721,4821,961 Saudi Arabia

1,6001,6001,6592,0241,7841,661 Syria

4,3004,3004,1614,5214,5324,527 Taiwan

800800600500900425 Thailand

1,6001,6001,2512,1981,3361,103 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,2001,6001,250700 Vietnam

9,7059,5059,3879,88210,62111,289 Others

93,05591,80589,82990,10981,85499,455 Subtotal

2,0452,4451,1482,6041,772-1,670 Unaccounted

500400684237337501 United States

95,60094,65091,66192,95083,96398,286 World Total


The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's

declared imports.

February 2012

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Production

22,00026,00022,50023,30015,50022,017 Argentina

61,00061,00057,50056,10051,00058,600 Brazil

10,70010,70011,7149,56110,59211,649 Canada

191,750191,750177,245163,974165,914152,300 China

64,52464,31455,79556,94762,32147,555 EU-27

21,00021,00021,28016,72019,73018,960 India

8,1008,1006,8006,9008,7008,500 Indonesia

20,50020,50021,13020,37424,22623,600 Mexico

8,7008,7009,3408,9507,9706,500 Nigeria

7,1407,0007,2716,2316,8537,277 Philippines

6,6806,6803,0753,9636,6823,798 Russia

6,2676,2676,8006,4006,1304,054 Serbia

12,50012,50010,92413,42012,56713,164 South Africa

22,50022,50011,91910,48611,4477,421 Ukraine

5,4005,4005,0004,6074,4324,600 Vietnam

81,42881,73183,07978,75277,94573,526 Others

550,189554,142511,372486,685492,009463,521 Subtotal

313,918313,918316,165332,549307,142331,177 United States

864,107868,060827,537819,234799,151794,698 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,7007,4007,3006,9006,4006,800 Argentina

52,00052,00049,50047,00045,50042,500 Brazil

11,10011,50011,43411,60611,68713,769 Canada

191,000191,000176,000165,000153,000150,000 China

10,40010,40012,50012,00011,10010,400 Egypt

64,90064,90062,50059,30061,60064,000 EU-27

18,90018,90018,00015,10017,00014,200 India

9,5009,5009,2008,8008,9008,500 Indonesia

16,10016,10015,60016,30016,70016,600 Japan

8,1008,1008,2238,3827,8948,638 Korea, South

30,30030,30029,00030,20032,40032,000 Mexico

8,9008,9009,2008,8007,9006,550 Nigeria

7,3007,3007,2006,5007,3007,150 Philippines

10,50010,50010,50010,3009,9009,600 South Africa

8,2508,0006,5505,7005,8505,750 Ukraine

131,009130,834126,061122,050118,992114,817 Others

588,053588,435557,881541,005523,961511,660 Subtotal

279,540279,540285,005281,590259,272261,632 United States

867,593867,975842,886822,595783,233773,292 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,28910,4899,7899,98912,08412,579 Brazil

57,96557,96553,41551,30251,18338,394 China

5,9085,1984,7845,2086,1494,417 EU-27

1,6951,6952,3452,7952,5022,474 Iran

1,5581,5581,5801,6221,4662,079 Korea, South

1,5891,6191,6891,3893,5594,131 Mexico

3,4182,9183,3935,1694,1133,090 South Africa

22,57525,21023,19223,32623,98123,204 Others

104,997106,652100,187100,800105,03790,368 Subtotal

20,34821,49128,64443,38042,50441,255 United States

125,345128,143128,831144,180147,541131,623 World Total

February 2012

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

13,174 North America 9,945 10,496 9,915 11,600 11,300

2,678 Central America 2,491 2,537 2,750 2,950 2,950

9,115 South America 8,238 9,469 8,453 8,680 9,130

14,016 European Union 2,754 2,931 7,359 3,000 4,000


10,116 Middle East 9,462 11,215 9,978 10,075 10,075

9,593 North Africa 9,574 11,725 11,528 11,850 11,850


30,746 East Asia 28,481 30,386 29,032 32,530 32,530

4,715 Southeast Asia 5,391 6,709 7,098 7,105 7,105

2,239 Caribbean 2,011 2,139 2,200 2,210 2,210

739 Others 536 576 627 570 570

99,956 Total 82,191 90,346 90,513 92,205 93,555

Production none

366,426 North America 341,960 362,484 349,009 345,118 345,118

90,887 South America 76,109 89,367 90,093 97,985 93,635

47,555 European Union 62,321 56,947 55,795 64,314 64,524

7,239 Other Europe 9,965 9,685 10,135 9,502 9,502


6,062 Middle East 6,529 6,163 5,806 5,798 5,798

6,376 North Africa 6,847 6,482 6,702 4,002 4,002


154,009 East Asia 167,580 165,379 178,883 193,401 193,401

24,090 South Asia 24,780 21,840 26,350 26,070 26,070

3,285 Central America 3,222 3,041 3,188 3,188 3,188

26,659 Southeast Asia 27,485 25,162 26,966 28,650 28,790

1,205 Others 1,191 1,157 1,180 1,129 1,129

794,698 Total 799,151 819,234 827,537 868,060 864,107


307,401 North America 303,359 323,396 325,439 321,340 320,940

65,837 South America 67,579 70,189 73,490 76,640 77,040

64,000 European Union 61,600 59,300 62,500 64,900 64,900

7,766 Other Europe 8,351 8,354 8,525 8,485 8,485


15,775 Middle East 15,835 16,625 16,661 16,805 16,805

15,750 North Africa 16,125 17,650 18,600 16,600 16,600


181,503 East Asia 184,015 195,811 205,803 221,155 221,155

19,531 South Asia 22,050 20,320 23,170 24,070 24,070

29,249 Southeast Asia 30,043 30,943 32,550 34,600 34,600

5,900 Central America 5,800 5,700 5,925 6,125 6,125

3,406 Others 3,235 3,225 3,375 3,325 3,325

772,906 Total 781,395 815,528 843,773 865,174 865,499

Ending Stocks none

46,843 North America 47,896 46,527 31,611 24,488 23,315

18,141 South America 15,282 13,769 13,414 14,534 13,984

4,417 European Union 6,149 5,208 4,784 5,198 5,908

1,026 Other Europe 1,184 1,369 1,354 1,141 1,141


4,041 Middle East 4,029 4,513 3,688 2,708 2,741

1,583 North Africa 2,202 2,394 2,161 1,403 1,403


42,373 East Asia 54,297 54,100 56,101 60,716 60,677

1,338 South Asia 1,498 992 1,177 1,072 1,072

3,475 Southeast Asia 4,446 3,329 3,698 3,617 3,768

765 Central America 613 498 486 484 484

323 Others 268 326 316 315 315

131,623 Total 147,541 144,180 128,831 128,143 125,345



February 2012

World Barley Trade


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

2,9002,4001,531549871937 Argentina

3,6003,6004,0883,8463,2783,377 Australia

1,0007001,0521,2031,6182,947 Canada

15159131781 China

555743 Croatia

1010514767 Egypt

2,8002,5004,5942,3892,3743,888 EU-27

5050203137371 India

550250224354314806 Kazakhstan

555212 Kenya

25252543319 Moldova

2,3002,0009692,0863,5981,277 Russia

551522114 Serbia

1501505080130 Turkey

3,4004,4002,4465,7525,8713,814 Ukraine

00151310110 Others

16,81516,11515,05317,12518,04517,693 Subtotal

200200181152158901 United States

17,01516,31515,23417,27718,20318,594 World Total

none

TY Imports

5005002626164266 Algeria

350350363346403285 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6562,3411,5511,091 China

250250250237211256 Colombia

35010028666156519 EU-27

4004004008001,4001,000 Iran

250250287491367251 Israel

1,3001,3001,3611,4111,3461,361 Japan

600500550432514528 Jordan

250250200283252254 Kuwait

200200350582296166 Libya

250200222256263313 Morocco

2002004111339179 Russia

7,5007,2006,2007,2007,7008,000 Saudi Arabia

5005002932501,050900 Syria

1,5151,5152,0261,7541,5922,101 Others

16,21515,51515,11716,46817,30417,470 Subtotal

600600-31507327412 Unaccounted

200200148302572712 United States

17,01516,31515,23417,27718,20318,594 World Total


February 2012

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Production

1,3501,3501,5002,400560950 Algeria

4,0003,3002,9501,3562,1101,600 Argentina

8,5008,5008,1457,8657,9977,160 Australia

1,8001,8001,9662,1232,2121,911 Belarus

7,7607,7607,6059,51711,78110,984 Canada

2,6002,6002,5002,3182,8232,785 China

1,4001,4001,4001,5691,4841,355 Ethiopia

52,25452,25453,02862,14965,50957,545 EU-27

1,5701,5701,3501,6901,2001,330 India

3,0003,0003,5003,4461,5473,104 Iran

2,5932,7001,3132,5192,0592,441 Kazakhstan

2,3402,3402,5703,8001,272763 Morocco

16,93516,9358,35017,88123,14815,663 Russia

6,5006,5005,9006,5005,7006,000 Turkey

9,0009,0008,48411,83312,6125,981 Ukraine

9,0489,0488,7619,0027,9889,103 Others

130,650130,057119,322145,968150,002128,675 Subtotal

3,3923,3923,9254,9495,2304,575 United States

134,042133,449123,247150,917155,232133,250 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,7001,7001,5001,3501,1001,100 Algeria

4,7004,7004,3004,5004,0003,100 Australia

2,0002,0002,0002,2002,2002,000 Belarus

7,3007,2257,5848,5049,0657,916 Canada

4,5004,5004,3004,4004,2003,900 China

52,00052,00056,40056,50057,00054,200 EU-27

1,5001,5001,3501,5001,0001,000 India

3,6003,6003,7003,7003,5503,600 Iran

1,5251,5251,5501,5501,5501,600 Japan

1,8252,2251,3252,0001,8501,700 Kazakhstan

3,1503,1503,0502,9001,7001,800 Morocco

14,30014,3009,50016,65017,10015,050 Russia

7,0257,2256,3257,4257,4257,430 Saudi Arabia

6,4506,4506,0005,9005,7006,100 Turkey

5,0004,5006,0005,6005,9005,000 Ukraine

15,07814,73814,95115,30715,17214,699 Others

132,403131,788131,497140,237139,148129,952 Subtotal

4,3544,3544,5374,6045,1274,324 United States

136,757136,142136,034144,841144,275134,276 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,5871,5871,3371,258184333 Algeria

1,2561,2561,0561,8752,4251,662 Australia

5,3145,3647,46015,53210,9165,705 EU-27

1,2681,2681,4681,268622725 Iran

1,3212,0211,3862,3953,8131,153 Russia

1,7281,6281,2532,0782,2032,428 Saudi Arabia

1,6991,1997941,0671,055710 Ukraine

6,7937,2817,9659,4638,2256,217 Others

20,96621,60422,71934,93629,44318,933 Subtotal

9839831,9452,5151,9321,485 United States

21,94922,58724,66437,45131,37520,418 World Total

February 2012

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

933 North America 737 373 227 300 300

751 South America 810 772 911 825 825

519 European Union 156 66 286 100 350

207 Other Europe 82 153 229 135 135


11,506 Middle East 11,681 10,046 8,341 9,500 9,900

1,152 North Africa 973 1,223 1,309 1,150 1,200

154 Sub-Saharan Africa 120 54 81 60 60

2,550 East Asia 3,000 3,861 3,138 3,225 3,225

6 South Asia 48 10 30 30 30

0 Oceania 0 17 15 5 5

18,182 Total 17,876 16,770 15,265 15,715 16,415

Production none

16,212 North America 17,822 14,966 12,311 11,715 11,715

2,697 South America 3,156 2,443 3,869 4,351 5,051

57,545 European Union 65,509 62,149 53,028 52,254 52,254

1,412 Other Europe 1,613 1,440 1,380 1,420 1,420


11,030 Middle East 8,004 11,320 11,370 11,270 11,270

2,493 North Africa 2,347 7,324 4,572 4,635 4,635


3,240 East Asia 3,300 2,757 2,922 3,034 3,034

2,005 South Asia 1,607 2,330 1,957 2,102 2,102

7,560 Oceania 8,397 8,265 8,545 8,900 8,900

133,250 Total 155,232 150,917 123,247 133,449 134,042


13,040 North America 15,042 13,858 12,871 12,279 12,354

2,562 South America 2,703 2,933 2,930 2,905 3,045

54,200 European Union 57,000 56,500 56,400 52,000 52,000

1,640 Other Europe 1,705 1,592 1,565 1,540 1,540


20,777 Middle East 20,556 20,403 19,473 20,781 20,781

4,352 North Africa 3,987 5,847 5,970 6,200 6,200


5,854 East Asia 6,109 6,326 6,230 6,405 6,405

1,680 South Asia 1,438 2,163 1,987 2,062 2,062

3,500 Oceania 4,400 4,900 4,725 5,100 5,100

134,519 Total 143,639 144,590 134,372 135,692 136,007

Ending Stocks none

3,281 North America 5,112 5,231 3,581 2,417 2,042

460 South America 766 601 767 677 598

5,705 European Union 10,916 15,532 7,460 5,364 5,314

279 Other Europe 279 238 268 273 273


4,507 Middle East 4,389 4,837 4,263 4,502 4,602

818 North Africa 511 2,963 2,740 2,415 2,465


775 East Asia 949 1,228 1,049 888 888

50 South Asia 87 224 206 226 226

1,698 Oceania 2,461 1,915 1,089 1,294 1,294

20,418 Total 31,375 37,451 24,664 22,587 21,949



February 2012

World Sorghum Trade


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

2,0002,3001,8661,5079071,172 Argentina

1,2001,2007003501,360340 Australia

5050504132223 China

5050501245491 India

2525253901 Kenya

505050505050 Nigeria

202020484821 South Africa

5555527345277 Others

3,4503,7502,8132,2322,4962,175 Subtotal

1,6501,6503,7944,0743,5986,664 United States

5,1005,4006,6076,3066,0948,839 World Total

none

TY Imports

600800750568404268 Chile

757525831412 China

30030030021220266 Colombia

50505012514030 Ethiopia

50508007665,267 EU-27

1,5001,6001,4181,6491,6291,084 Japan

1,6001,6002,3812,5272,4961,156 Mexico

10010010014449 Morocco

300300300400300300 Sudan

757575717283 Taiwan

345325390526430784 Others

4,9955,2756,5896,3125,7579,059 Subtotal

10512517-6334-221 Unaccounted

001031 United States

5,1005,4006,6076,3066,0948,839 World Total


February 2012

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Production

4,4004,7004,4003,6291,6602,937 Argentina

2,6002,4002,0681,5082,6923,790 Australia

2,2002,2002,3141,8542,0041,441 Brazil

1,8001,8001,9501,5221,8751,507 Burkina

1,8501,8501,8001,6771,8371,920 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,7002,7003,2002,0842,6192,659 Ethiopia

751751621621517525 EU-27

6,8006,8006,7406,7007,2507,930 India

850850925980930901 Mali

6,6006,6007,3506,2507,0676,200 Mexico

9009001,2007391,214930 Niger

11,50011,50011,70011,50011,00010,000 Nigeria

3,8003,8004,6062,6304,1924,500 Sudan

740740850710700900 Tanzania

6,8046,8046,6736,1546,3936,233 Others

55,19555,29557,29749,45852,85053,273 Subtotal

5,4475,4478,7799,72811,99812,636 United States

60,64260,74266,07659,18664,84865,909 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,3002,3002,2001,9001,1001,200 Argentina

1,4051,4051,3051,2051,8052,205 Australia

2,2752,2752,2751,8751,8751,375 Brazil

1,8001,8001,8001,6971,7001,507 Burkina

1,9001,9001,8001,9002,0002,000 China

950900900900950900 Egypt

2,8002,8003,0002,4002,7002,600 Ethiopia

8058051,5406309056,305 EU-27

6,8006,8006,7006,6007,2007,900 India

1,5001,6001,4201,6501,6001,100 Japan

850850925980930901 Mali

8,6508,6509,4009,7008,6007,200 Mexico

1,0001,0001,2009001,2001,000 Niger

11,45011,45011,65011,45010,9509,950 Nigeria

4,1004,1004,5003,4004,5005,000 Sudan

8,9459,1458,8638,2198,2218,248 Others

57,50957,47959,63655,76456,04359,442 Subtotal

3,9373,9375,3125,8598,3195,081 United States

61,44661,41664,94861,62364,36264,523 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

502752602152194746 Argentina

639439444681678791 Australia

225225250275456637 China

24724729747238179 Ethiopia

2942937444131,336373 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

705705710309684697 Sudan

9259411,2809711,3571,084 Others

3,7373,8024,5273,0485,1434,707 Subtotal

6836836971,0481,3901,340 United States

4,4204,4855,2244,0966,5336,047 World Total

February 2012

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

1,157 North America 2,499 2,527 2,382 1,600 1,600

432 South America 665 848 1,085 1,165 965

5,267 European Union 66 7 800 50 50

142 Other Europe 0 17 25 20 20

156 Middle East 81 48 132 55 55

11 North Africa 45 166 121 105 125


1,196 East Asia 1,719 1,806 1,523 1,755 1,655

31 Southeast Asia 14 16 10 10 10

5 Others 4 35 5 0 0

9,060 Total 5,760 6,312 6,590 5,275 4,995

Production none

18,836 North America 19,065 15,978 16,129 12,047 12,047

396 Central America 298 326 329 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,102 South America 4,719 6,153 7,471 7,722 7,422

525 European Union 517 621 621 751 751

859 Middle East 654 602 640 640 640

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


1,940 East Asia 1,857 1,697 1,820 1,870 1,870

8,081 South Asia 7,395 6,845 6,885 6,945 6,945


3,790 Oceania 2,692 1,508 2,068 2,400 2,600

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

65,909 Total 64,848 59,186 66,076 60,742 60,642


12,281 North America 16,919 15,559 14,712 12,587 12,587

375 Central America 315 325 325 325 325

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

3,793 South America 4,766 5,318 6,204 6,552 6,352

6,305 European Union 905 630 1,540 805 805

970 Middle East 749 694 777 700 700

924 North Africa 965 1,012 1,040 1,015 1,065


3,222 East Asia 3,699 3,643 3,320 3,600 3,500

8,053 South Asia 7,349 6,780 6,845 6,945 6,945


2,205 Oceania 1,805 1,205 1,305 1,405 1,405

142 Others 0 17 25 20 20

64,472 Total 64,555 61,265 64,790 61,717 61,467

Ending Stocks none

1,713 North America 2,726 1,461 1,441 976 977

45 Central America 27 28 32 31 31

880 South America 491 394 908 978 728

71 European Union 34 24 22 13 13

76 Middle East 62 18 13 8 8

41 North Africa 29 43 57 43 27

1,514 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,727 896 1,793 1,558 1,558

733 East Asia 578 397 370 345 345

183 South Asia 181 154 144 94 94

791 Oceania 678 681 444 439 639

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

6,047 Total 6,533 4,096 5,224 4,485 4,420



February 2012

World Oats Trade


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

556151 Argentina

200200211211161174 Australia

559494 Brazil

1,5001,5001,4971,5391,7922,321 Canada

7575129373117 Chile

150150113216103133 EU-27

551427 Russia

55420633 Others

1,9451,9451,9702,0322,1092,690 Subtotal


1,9901,9902,0072,0702,1472,743 World Total

none

TY Imports

550221 Argentina

555323 Bosnia and Herzegovina

151518211417 Canada

505058573913 China

5552214 Colombia

101011111415 Ecuador

556242 EU-27

606064564668 Japan

75751034682131 Mexico

15151034847 Norway

252525213318 South Africa

505049495256 Switzerland

5550611 Turkey

5554110 Uruguay

00132312 Others

330330377310318408 Subtotal

1601601621534291 Unaccounted

1,5001,5001,4681,6071,7872,244 United States

1,9901,9902,0072,0702,1472,743 World Total


February 2012

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Production

1401401401408080 Algeria

345345660182291472 Argentina

1,6501,6501,1411,1621,1601,502 Australia

800800442552605580 Belarus

370370379253239238 Brazil

3,0003,0002,4802,9064,2734,696 Canada

500500564381344384 Chile

420420420410300350 China

8,0138,0137,3708,5798,9358,634 EU-27

258160134204138230 Kazakhstan

245245245245328276 Norway

5,3345,3343,2185,4015,8355,384 Russia

120120120120120120 Serbia

210210210218196189 Turkey

550550458731944544 Ukraine

470470466485485462 Others

22,42522,32718,44721,96924,27324,141 Subtotal

7797791,1781,3511,2941,313 United States

23,20423,10619,62523,32025,56725,454 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1401401411408086 Algeria

350350650200300450 Argentina

1,3501,3509009751,0351,335 Australia

775775475575600575 Belarus

360360370250225240 Brazil

1,4001,4001,5291,7531,7661,935 Canada

400400450350325350 Chile

500500450450350375 China

7,8007,8007,8008,1008,5008,650 EU-27

225160130210135215 Kazakhstan

190190185215210235 Mexico

265265257285320340 Norway

4,9004,9003,4505,5005,6005,300 Russia

215215215215210200 Turkey

550550475725925550 Ukraine

639639643622608626 Others

20,03320,14118,12020,63421,21321,785 Subtotal

2,6962,6682,7893,0112,9683,161 United States

22,72922,80920,90923,64524,18124,946 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6969747089100 Argentina

259259159126147183 Australia

434318517469 Belarus

8348387691,1701,527950 Canada

8181111836677 China

7557556871,224972625 EU-27

596596167397499266 Russia

191164217181198168 Others

2,8282,8052,2023,3023,5722,438 Subtotal

8316869821,1661,221969 United States

3,6593,4913,1844,4684,7933,407 World Total

February 2012

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

2,392 North America 1,883 1,674 1,589 1,590 1,590

30 South America 32 19 21 25 25


108 Other Europe 62 87 71 70 70


11 Middle East 6 0 5 5 5

1 North Africa 0 1 0 0 0


81 East Asia 85 113 122 110 110

2 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,652 Total 2,105 1,917 1,845 1,830 1,830

Production none

6,134 North America 5,715 4,387 3,769 3,894 3,894

1,117 South America 897 857 1,644 1,256 1,256

8,634 European Union 8,935 8,579 7,370 8,013 8,013

553 Other Europe 605 522 522 522 522


189 Middle East 196 218 210 210 210

110 North Africa 110 170 170 170 170


352 East Asia 302 412 422 422 422

1,577 Oceania 1,235 1,237 1,216 1,725 1,725

25,454 Total 25,567 23,320 19,625 23,106 23,204


5,331 North America 4,944 4,979 4,503 4,258 4,286

1,091 South America 896 857 1,535 1,171 1,171

8,650 European Union 8,500 8,100 7,800 7,800 7,800

680 Other Europe 647 620 595 597 597


200 Middle East 210 215 215 215 215

116 North Africa 110 170 171 170 170


445 East Asia 400 505 510 566 566

1,410 Oceania 1,110 1,050 975 1,425 1,425

24,623 Total 24,157 23,576 20,909 22,662 22,755

Ending Stocks none

1,928 North America 2,756 2,343 1,756 1,529 1,670

126 South America 113 95 150 100 100

625 European Union 972 1,224 687 755 755

34 Other Europe 53 45 45 40 40


5 Middle East 2 5 5 5 5

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


81 East Asia 68 88 122 88 88

183 Oceania 147 126 159 259 259

3,407 Total 4,793 4,468 3,184 3,491 3,659



February 2012

World Rye Trade


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

TY Exports

7575150255075 Belarus

12510022114276167 Canada

1001007113611459 EU-27

501021111486 Russia

5529360 Ukraine

003003 Others

355290468407260390 Subtotal


360295471411266398 World Total

none

TY Imports

111222 Croatia

5010366888 EU-27

1010199117 Israel

75751011035783 Japan

5511776 Korea, South

101012141111 Norway

552644 Switzerland

5500614 Turkey

00150230 Others

161121332149109215 Subtotal

7449-91334931 Unaccounted

125125148129108152 United States

360295471411266398 World Total


February 2012

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2011/12

Feb

none

Production

505040555577 Argentina

1,5001,5007351,2271,4921,305 Belarus

195195232280316252 Canada

6,8846,8847,7969,9529,2627,679 EU-27

2,9692,9691,6424,3334,5053,909 Russia

270270270343247241 Turkey

5505504649541,051562 Ukraine

154176168202190209 Others

12,57212,59411,34717,34617,11814,234 Subtotal

161161189178203160 United States

12,73312,75511,53617,52417,32114,394 World Total

none

Total Consumption

505040555577 Argentina

1,3001,3006501,3001,4001,200 Belarus

75100139140152143 Canada

7,3007,3008,2009,5508,7507,300 EU-27

7575100906590 Japan

305040754065 Kazakhstan

373738405961 Norway

2,9002,8001,8504,3254,4003,750 Russia

270270265340275250 Turkey

600600650800800550 Ukraine

120120129124127122 Others

12,82912,74912,13616,90916,18113,663 Subtotal

280280330273292335 United States

13,10913,02912,46617,18216,47313,998 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

20420479144242200 Belarus

36364113912335 Canada

7707301,2361,7271,4241,017 EU-27

19191918513 Japan

269309250308312223 Russia

273222171434 Turkey

13413418941131368 Ukraine

779775 Others

1,4661,4711,8452,7712,4401,595 Subtotal


1,4891,4941,8652,7952,4531,605 World Total

February 2012

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jan

2011/12

Feb

2011/12

TY Imports none

152 North America 108 129 148 125 125

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


17 Other Europe 18 22 15 16 16


21 Middle East 17 9 19 15 15


89 East Asia 64 110 112 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

367 Total 217 278 480 246 286

Production none

412 North America 519 458 421 356 356

84 South America 63 61 45 55 55

7,679 European Union 9,262 9,952 7,796 6,884 6,884

111 Other Europe 119 98 98 98 98


241 Middle East 247 343 270 270 270


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

14,394 Total 17,321 17,524 11,536 12,755 12,733


478 North America 444 413 469 380 355

84 South America 63 61 45 55 55

7,300 European Union 8,750 9,550 8,200 7,300 7,300

140 Other Europe 137 119 112 114 114


257 Middle East 286 349 284 280 280


96 East Asia 72 97 111 80 80

20 Oceania 20 20 17 20 20

13,943 Total 16,415 17,112 12,431 12,982 13,037

Ending Stocks none

45 North America 136 163 61 59 59

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,017 European Union 1,424 1,727 1,236 730 770

1 Other Europe 1 1 1 1 1


34 Middle East 14 17 22 32 27


13 East Asia 5 18 19 19 19

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,605 Total 2,453 2,795 1,865 1,494 1,489



February 2012


33

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................. 34 China: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................................. 35 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................. 36 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ...................................... 37 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 41 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................. 43 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 45 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ........................... 46

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ......................................................... 47 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................ 48 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand .............................. 49 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand ............................................ 50 World Rice: Supply and Demand ............................................................... 51

DG F/SA &F

February 2012

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9

138.8 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 16.2

135.7 122.052.522.94.75.226.1 2010/11 11.7

137.5 127.056.517.07.55.325.8 2011/12 12.7

Coarse Grains

140.3 139.7105.59.34.14.233.2 2000/01 18.4

150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4

148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6

131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1

166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3

146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4

137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3

136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7

162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8

155.0 150.1112.63.03.04.832.5 2009/10 25.9

139.5 151.9114.06.28.54.630.2 2010/11 15.7

147.2 148.0109.85.64.54.930.2 2011/12 13.9

Wheat and Coarse Grains

272.0 258.0161.824.97.64.659.7 2000/01 35.9

273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7

281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1

242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7

313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8

279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8

262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5

256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2

313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8

293.9 275.1170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 42.0

275.1 273.9166.529.013.24.956.3 2010/11 27.4

284.7 275.0166.322.612.05.156.0 2011/12 26.5

February 2012

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 109.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 60.1

117.9 113.517.51.01.54.924.2 2011/12 65.0

Coarse Grains

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.2103.43.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5104.65.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

158.9 157.8106.30.91.25.031.8 2007/08 39.4

172.4 161.1108.30.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.6 173.0118.40.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.4

183.4 184.0124.30.22.75.334.8 2010/11 54.3

198.1 199.3134.40.35.95.535.7 2011/12 58.7


213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.7106.95.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.2

267.6 255.5108.68.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.2 263.8114.33.71.24.855.5 2007/08 78.5

284.9 266.6116.30.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.7 280.0128.41.15.24.957.7 2009/10 106.8

298.6 293.5137.31.13.65.159.1 2010/11 114.4

316.0 312.8151.91.37.45.359.9 2011/12 123.7

February 2012

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.9 5.40.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.3

5.4 5.91.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.80.90.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.7

4.4 5.50.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8

4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.2

4.6 5.50.80.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.2

3.8 5.30.70.81.63.61.1 2010/11 1.5

4.4 5.50.80.61.74.01.1 2011/12 1.6

Coarse Grains

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.210.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.010.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.6 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.4 10.49.10.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.3

12.4 10.99.61.90.64.62.7 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.89.31.70.74.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.2 10.99.32.20.94.92.5 2010/11 1.7

11.6 10.89.31.70.74.62.5 2011/12 1.5


12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

13.1 16.210.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.4

18.2 18.111.80.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.9 17.811.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.9 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.8 15.910.00.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.1 16.510.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.7

16.4 16.210.12.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.8

16.0 16.210.03.02.54.53.6 2010/11 3.2

16.0 16.310.12.32.54.43.6 2011/12 3.0

February 2012

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

90.7 75.023.521.15.61.849.2 2005/06 17.0

84.7 72.521.622.66.01.845.8 2006/07 12.6

92.4 75.423.921.96.01.947.4 2007/08 13.8

115.5 76.024.437.86.62.251.7 2008/09 22.1

114.0 77.825.736.75.42.155.0 2009/10 27.1

81.3 75.223.814.15.51.651.8 2010/11 24.5

114.4 80.227.835.26.22.350.6 2011/12 29.6

Coarse Grains

55.7 50.534.58.61.12.028.3 2005/06 5.2

59.1 51.435.88.51.02.030.0 2006/07 5.4

54.2 50.635.05.31.01.829.6 2007/08 4.8

79.0 58.141.517.10.72.630.9 2008/09 9.3

67.6 55.039.115.00.42.329.6 2009/10 7.3

47.4 41.728.68.71.21.826.1 2010/11 5.6

78.4 54.539.022.20.62.828.3 2011/12 7.8

February 2012

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

12.5 7.52.65.70.10.913.5 2008/09 3.4

17.1 7.62.77.90.11.214.8 2009/10 5.0

9.6 6.21.95.50.00.714.3 2010/11 2.9

22.7 9.04.08.50.01.613.8 2011/12 8.2

Russia

63.8 38.916.218.40.22.426.6 2008/09 10.7

61.8 39.616.818.60.22.228.7 2009/10 14.5

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.626.6 2010/11 13.5

56.2 38.616.020.50.22.225.7 2011/12 10.9

Ukraine

25.9 11.92.913.00.13.77.1 2008/09 3.1

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.0 13.44.66.00.13.36.7 2011/12 6.0

Uzbekistan

6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 0.9

6.2 7.51.40.41.74.41.4 2009/10 0.9

6.5 7.91.50.11.64.61.4 2010/11 1.0

6.3 8.01.50.11.74.51.4 2011/12 0.9

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.3 10.61.40.44.72.33.1 2008/09 4.0

8.2 10.81.50.53.52.43.4 2009/10 4.3

6.8 10.91.60.23.72.13.2 2010/11 3.6

7.1 11.31.70.14.22.43.0 2011/12 3.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

115.5 76.024.437.86.62.251.7 2008/09 22.1

114.0 77.825.736.75.42.155.0 2009/10 27.1

81.3 75.223.814.15.51.651.8 2010/11 24.5

114.4 80.227.835.26.22.350.6 2011/12 29.6

February 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.1 1.91.60.30.11.02.1 2008/09 0.3

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2009/10 0.5

1.3 1.31.00.20.10.81.6 2010/11 0.3

2.6 1.81.50.60.01.71.6 2011/12 0.5

Russia

23.1 17.112.33.40.12.49.7 2008/09 3.8

17.9 16.712.22.70.02.09.1 2009/10 2.4

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.27.2 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.82.90.22.18.0 2011/12 1.3

Ukraine

12.6 5.94.36.40.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1

11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.0 5.03.43.10.02.43.7 2011/12 1.7

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2011/12 0.0


3.6 3.62.80.00.12.81.3 2008/09 0.5

3.5 3.62.80.00.12.71.3 2009/10 0.5

3.2 3.32.50.00.22.41.3 2010/11 0.5

3.1 3.32.50.00.12.41.3 2011/12 0.4


41.7 28.721.210.10.32.417.3 2008/09 5.7

36.0 28.120.79.30.22.117.3 2009/10 4.4

21.5 20.413.63.30.71.514.5 2010/11 3.0

31.8 24.717.46.60.42.214.5 2011/12 4.0

February 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.4 0.40.30.00.04.30.1 2008/09 0.0

0.5 0.40.30.00.04.70.1 2009/10 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.10.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.90.1 2011/12 0.1

Russia

6.7 5.24.51.30.13.71.8 2008/09 0.3

4.0 3.73.20.40.02.91.4 2009/10 0.1

3.1 3.22.80.00.12.21.4 2010/11 0.1

6.7 5.14.41.20.13.81.7 2011/12 0.5

Ukraine

11.4 5.95.15.50.04.72.4 2008/09 0.9

10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

11.9 6.65.85.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.0

22.5 8.37.514.00.06.43.5 2011/12 1.3

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0


3.0 2.82.50.10.33.60.8 2008/09 0.9

2.6 3.02.70.10.23.30.8 2009/10 0.6

2.9 2.92.70.20.23.70.8 2010/11 0.6

3.5 3.33.00.30.14.20.8 2011/12 0.6


21.7 14.512.66.90.44.25.2 2008/09 2.1

17.7 13.011.35.60.34.04.4 2009/10 1.5

18.5 13.311.85.20.33.75.0 2010/11 1.8

33.3 17.315.415.50.25.46.2 2011/12 2.5

February 2012

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

15.1 5.40.19.50.02.56.0 2003/04 1.6

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.4

16.1 5.90.09.50.03.54.6 2010/11 3.1

14.5 5.90.09.00.02.95.0 2011/12 2.7

Australia

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.9

21.4 7.34.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.4

21.8 4.91.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.6

27.9 6.13.018.70.12.013.6 2010/11 8.8

28.3 7.24.021.00.12.014.1 2011/12 9.0

Canada

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

26.8 6.92.219.00.42.89.6 2009/10 7.8

23.2 7.72.816.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.2

25.3 9.03.917.50.43.08.5 2011/12 6.3

Total Wheat Competitors

64.3 18.56.443.30.32.229.2 2003/04 13.0

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

February 2012


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


52.2 18.95.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.6

61.0 20.67.440.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.2

60.7 17.74.139.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.8

67.2 19.75.844.70.62.526.5 2010/11 19.1

68.1 22.27.947.50.52.527.6 2011/12 18.0

India

65.8 68.90.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.50.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.40.20.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.90.10.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.20.10.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.80.20.10.32.828.4 2010/11 15.4

86.9 83.10.20.70.03.029.4 2011/12 18.5

Turkey

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.20.73.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.3

18.8 18.11.43.73.52.47.7 2011/12 2.8

February 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.42.3 2003/04 0.4

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

23.3 6.95.016.50.08.52.8 2009/10 0.9

22.5 7.35.315.00.06.33.6 2010/11 1.1

22.0 7.75.614.00.06.13.6 2011/12 1.4

China

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 176.0124.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 53.4

191.8 191.0134.00.24.05.733.4 2011/12 58.0

South Africa

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

10.9 10.54.82.50.33.82.9 2010/11 3.4

12.5 10.54.82.00.04.23.0 2011/12 3.4

Brazil

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

February 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.5 49.542.59.00.84.213.8 2010/11 9.8

61.0 52.045.09.00.54.115.0 2011/12 10.3

Total Corn Competitors

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 56.1

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

256.8 229.2167.630.31.75.150.1 2009/10 67.3

268.2 243.3176.626.62.15.152.8 2010/11 67.7

287.3 261.2189.425.24.55.255.0 2011/12 73.1

February 2012


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Australia

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.1 4.33.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.1

8.5 4.73.43.60.02.14.0 2011/12 1.3

Canada

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.31.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.66.41.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.4

7.8 7.36.21.00.13.32.4 2011/12 1.0

EU-27

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.1 56.541.51.10.14.513.9 2009/10 15.5

53.0 56.441.24.90.24.212.5 2010/11 7.5

52.3 52.037.02.80.44.312.1 2011/12 5.3

February 2012


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 2.22.01.80.04.41.0 2010/11 0.6

4.4 2.32.12.20.04.31.0 2011/12 0.5

Australia

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

2.1 1.31.31.00.03.10.7 2010/11 0.4

2.6 1.41.41.00.03.90.7 2011/12 0.6

February 2012

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

26,55230,9784,07824,17223,9303,2353,22760,366nr320,191 2009/10

23,46630,7103,58935,97735,0762,5712,63860,062nr319,271 2010/11

22,99731,6133,94625,50026,5353,2003,26654,413nr318,496 2011/12

Corn

43,380281,590130,17349,72150,295237212332,549nr1032,169 2009/10

28,644285,005121,73745,25446,599684703316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

20,348279,540116,84543,50043,182500508313,918nr933,986 2011/12

Sorghum

1,0485,8593,5734,0744,211009,728nr42,234 2009/10

6975,3123,1523,7943,819118,779nr51,948 2010/11

6833,9371,6511,6501,524005,447nr31,590 2011/12

Barley

2,5154,6041,0401521233023614,949nr41,260 2009/10

1,9454,5371,0841811651482073,925nr4998 2010/11

9834,3548712002182002183,392nr4906 2011/12

Oats

1,1663,0111,93038311,6071,6361,351nr2558 2009/10

9822,7891,71537411,4681,4681,178nr2511 2010/11

8312,6961,59345441,5001,810779nr2380 2011/12

Rye

242733742129108178nr2102 2009/10

203309334148141189nr2107 2010/11

232804355125127161nr298 2011/12

Rice, Milled

1,1844,016nr3,8683,5145626047,1339,97281,256 2009/10

1,5144,358nr3,2503,4876155827,59311,02781,463 2010/11

1,2533,912nr3,0002,8266506035,8748,39181,059 2011/12

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

February 2012

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8655.1202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0618.2203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2642.9208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5667.3190.12.6549.0 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1661.4205.22.6548.8 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.2654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.5 362.61,396.0666.9200.12.6537.6 1994/95

1,338.5 319.11,381.9638.0187.52.5533.4 1995/96

1,490.5 366.71,442.9670.9198.42.7552.8 1996/97

1,491.6 413.61,444.7681.2190.32.8539.5 1997/98

1,481.9 447.51,448.1680.7198.72.8533.9 1998/99

1,464.9 443.81,468.0685.8214.32.8515.0 1999/00

1,446.7 420.41,470.1693.9205.12.8513.9 2000/01

1,480.2 404.91,495.6708.1208.52.9516.3 2001/02

1,443.2 342.11,506.0705.9209.62.8506.6 2002/03

1,471.6 279.31,534.4712.3206.22.9516.0 2003/04

1,642.4 335.71,585.9751.6215.23.2517.7 2004/05

1,599.2 318.61,616.3751.6222.83.1520.6 2005/06

1,585.0 273.91,629.7741.7230.43.1518.4 2006/07

1,692.8 291.11,675.6754.8245.33.2536.9 2007/08

1,793.9 361.41,723.7765.2253.63.3538.8 2008/09

1,801.0 397.81,764.6769.9253.43.3538.1 2009/10

1,749.2 366.91,780.0759.0248.33.3532.5 2010/11

1,835.1 371.61,830.4793.4258.83.4537.0 2011/12

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

February 2012

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

533.1 137.1531.3103.7103.92.4226.3 1989/90

588.8 171.6554.3130.1101.32.5231.7 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7110.1113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.199.6101.52.4214.5 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.193.399.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.5 163.8573.497.9104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.2 197.2576.7102.0104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.4 209.4578.3105.0102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.8 210.7585.5100.6111.92.7216.0 1999/00

583.1 208.4585.4105.2102.42.7217.6 2000/01

583.6 205.3586.6106.9108.02.7215.4 2001/02

569.6 170.1604.9111.1106.82.6215.0 2002/03

555.4 135.9589.697.2103.62.6210.0 2003/04

626.7 155.5607.1106.6113.92.9217.2 2004/05

618.8 152.4621.9112.8114.12.8219.5 2005/06

596.1 132.6615.9107.9115.62.8212.9 2006/07

612.0 126.9617.799.3116.42.8218.1 2007/08

682.8 167.1642.6118.1143.03.0225.3 2008/09

685.4 202.3650.1115.4134.43.0227.6 2009/10

651.6 200.7653.2112.4132.32.9223.0 2010/11

692.9 213.1680.5130.7138.83.1222.7 2011/12

Coarse Grains

794.3 183.4814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6317.2 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.5314.4 1995/96

909.1 203.0869.5573.094.42.8322.5 1996/97

881.4 216.4867.9579.285.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.5 238.1869.7575.796.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.1 233.1882.6585.2102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.7 212.0884.8588.8102.72.9296.2 2000/01

896.6 199.6909.0601.3100.53.0300.9 2001/02

873.6 172.0901.1594.8102.83.0291.6 2002/03

916.1 143.3944.8615.1102.63.0306.0 2003/04

1,015.6 180.2978.8645.0101.33.4300.5 2004/05

980.4 166.2994.4638.7108.63.3301.1 2005/06

988.9 141.31,013.8633.8114.73.2305.5 2006/07

1,080.8 164.21,057.9655.6128.93.4318.7 2007/08

1,111.2 194.41,081.0647.1110.73.5313.5 2008/09

1,115.6 195.41,114.5654.6119.03.6310.5 2009/10

1,097.6 166.21,126.8646.6116.03.5309.5 2010/11

1,142.2 158.51,149.9662.8120.13.6314.4 2011/12

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

February 2012

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

461.7 132.9474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.7 1996/97

574.4 166.4573.8400.463.14.2136.3 1997/98

606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4139.2 1998/99

608.1 193.8605.3422.472.34.4139.1 1999/00

591.4 175.1610.1427.275.94.3137.3 2000/01

601.0 151.4624.8436.172.84.4137.7 2001/02

603.2 127.0627.5432.977.04.4137.4 2002/03

627.5 105.4649.2445.579.14.4142.0 2003/04

715.8 131.9689.3475.476.04.9145.5 2004/05

699.7 124.9706.7477.682.74.8145.7 2005/06

714.0 110.2728.7477.891.54.8149.9 2006/07

794.7 131.6773.3497.598.34.9161.2 2007/08

799.2 147.5783.2480.384.05.0158.8 2008/09

819.2 144.2822.6488.593.05.2157.7 2009/10

827.5 128.8842.9494.491.75.1163.1 2010/11

864.1 125.3867.6510.895.65.1168.6 2011/12

Barley

166.2 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.573.0 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.276.6 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.365.5 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.616.22.553.9 2000/01

143.5 29.3136.895.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.3 27.5136.195.016.32.455.8 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.814.82.459.4 2003/04

152.3 33.0142.7100.217.02.658.2 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.297.517.52.456.2 2005/06

137.1 21.4143.898.414.62.457.1 2006/07

133.3 20.4134.391.318.62.357.5 2007/08

155.2 31.4144.3100.218.22.855.8 2008/09

150.9 37.5144.8100.817.32.755.8 2009/10

123.2 24.7136.091.115.22.450.4 2010/11

134.0 21.9136.892.117.02.750.1 2011/12

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

February 2012

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

418.2 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.4 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.3 146.7395.824.4399.43.9152.5 2000/01

594.7 132.9413.527.8399.73.9151.4 2001/02

563.5 102.9408.427.5378.43.8146.9 2002/03

585.4 81.5413.927.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04

597.0 74.0408.729.0401.23.9151.8 2004/05

622.9 76.6415.629.1418.24.0153.8 2005/06

626.2 75.1421.531.9420.04.1154.5 2006/07

644.8 80.0427.429.8432.34.2155.2 2007/08

669.1 91.5435.929.3447.54.2157.8 2008/09

659.4 94.2437.931.8440.54.2156.0 2009/10

676.4 97.2448.035.1451.14.3157.0 2010/11

693.2 100.1459.932.8462.84.3160.2 2011/12

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

February 2012


52

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

February 2012


53

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

February 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


54

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 01-12 January 2012. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 02-12 February 2012. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

February 2012

united states agriculture grain · to egypt, whereas this year u.s. exports are negligibleto date....

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