united states grain - cornell university...2007/01/11 · rice) and india (on non-basmati and...

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 11-07November 2007

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

World rice exports are projected at a record level in 2008. Prices have continued to strengthen, especially in the past 2 months, as commodity prices in general have risen and the value of the dollar as dropped. Since September, price quotes for U.S. #2/4 have jumped $66 per ton to $478 per ton, the highest since March 1994. U.S. export commitments are 44 percent higher than a year earlier, mostly due to heavy forward buying by regular customers. In Thailand, the world’s largest exporter, 100 B quotes are up $8 per ton from a month ago to $340. Global prices are also being supported by export bans imposed by Vietnam (on all rice) and India (on non-basmati and high-value rice only). Until these bans are lifted, Thailand, the United States, Pakistan, and China will be the only major suppliers of rice to global markets.

Global prices will likely remain strong throughout 2008, as global ending stocks in 2007/08 are projected to be the smallest in 25 years. Rising production costs will also continue to push rice prices higher.

World Rice Exports At A Record Level,Prices Continue to Increase

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 16 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 39 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 64 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 9:30 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, November 2007

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

November 2007

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2007/082006/072005/062007/082006/072005/062007/082006/072005/06

Production

United States (Jun-May) 57.3 49.3 56.2 7.1 6.2 6.3 282.3 267.6 334.5

Other 564.4 544.3 547.1 410.9 411.8 414.8 414.1 435.8 433.7

World Total 621.7 593.6 603.3 418.1 418.0 421.2 696.4 703.4 768.2

Domestic Consumption


Other 587.1 587.5 583.1 407.7 413.9 418.2 470.5 488.1 501.3

World Total 618.4 618.5 614.4 411.5 418.0 422.2 702.6 718.9 761.4

Ending Stocks


Other 132.1 111.6 101.3 76.0 75.9 73.3 73.1 71.9 62.2

World Total 147.6 124.1 109.8 77.4 77.2 74.1 123.0 105.0 110.4

TY Imports


Other 108.0 108.5 100.1 26.4 26.5 27.1 79.5 88.6 90.6

World Total 110.3 111.9 103.0 27.0 27.2 27.8 79.7 88.9 91.0

TY Exports


Other 85.9 90.0 74.0 25.6 25.4 26.2 26.5 36.5 33.2

World Total 113.3 115.0 105.5 28.9 28.7 29.6 82.6 90.5 93.2

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

November 2007

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS:

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

July August September October

06/07 07/08

Russian Shipments Propelled on Strong Demand: The Russian export pace exploded in the last 3 months due to demand in the Mediterranean and the Middle East. With lower EU-27 exportable supplies and Ukraine’s imposition of a highly restrictive export quota, many buyers in the region have been looking for alternate suppliers. For the last few months, primarily the United States, Canada, and Russia had wheat to offer for sale. However, Russia has a clear logistical and price advantage due to proximity, which translates into lower freight rates, and sells cheaper lower quality wheat. This is relevant since some buyers in the region are price sensitive, such as Egypt, Yemen, and Tunisia. Another reason for part of the escalation in shipments was because Russia announced a 10 percent export tax starting in November. Russian competition has not stopped higher U.S. exports to the region, as buyers have been scrambling for supplies of higher quality wheat such as HRW and durum, as well as lower protein classes such as SRW.

Monthly Russian Exports Surge

PreliminaryMMT

PRICES: Domestic: For October, wheat prices for all classes plunged on slowing export sales and import demand. For the month, Hard Red Winter (HRW) fell $26 per ton, Hard Red Spring (HRS) fell $10, Soft Red Winter (SRW) fell $28, and Soft White (SWW) fell $29.

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

200250300350400

8/3 8/10 8/17 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2

$/M

T

U.S. No.1 HRW 11% (Gulf) U.S. No.2 SRW (Gulf)

U.S. No.1 SWW (PNW) US No.1 DNS 14% (PNW)

Grain: World Markets and Trade, November 2007 4 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

November 2007

TRADE CHANGES IN 2007/2008 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is up 1.0 million tons to 11.0 million on higher production.

• Australia is down 500,000 tons to 8.0 million, the lowest in 13 years, on lower

production due to devastating weather conditions. • EU-27 is down 500,000 tons to 9.5 million because of a sluggish export license pace, a 9-

year low. Selected Importers

• Azerbaijan is up 300,000 tons to 1.0 million on expected strong demand. • China is down 300,000 tons to 200,000 because of higher production that reduces the

need for additional purchases. • India is down 1.0 million tons to 2.0 million due to high international prices and less

reliance on the international market by the Public Distribution System (PDS). • South Korea is down 400,000 tons to 3.0 million on expected smaller imports of feed-

quality wheat.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, November 2007 5 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

November 2007

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

11,00010,00012,2108,30113,5027,346 Argentina

8,0008,50011,24115,21315,82615,096 Australia

14,00014,00019,48115,61615,11715,526 Canada

3,0003,0002,7831,3971,1712,824 China, Peoples Republic of

9,50010,00013,87315,69414,7459,834 EU-27

8,0008,0008,0003,8173,0394,217 Kazakhstan, Republic of

12,00012,00010,79010,6647,9513,114 Russian Federation

8008001,5006006001,200 Syria

1,5001,5002,0002,9002,217854 Turkey

1,5001,5003,3666,4614,35166 Ukraine

4,6554,7004,7655,2205,67711,103 Others

73,95574,00090,00985,88384,19671,180 Subtotal

31,50031,50025,02527,42428,46432,295 United States

105,455105,500115,034113,307112,660103,475 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,4004,4004,8795,4695,3983,933 Algeria

1,6001,8001,8062,0092,0581,945 Bangladesh

7,0006,8007,7506,1945,3095,559 Brazil

1,2501,2501,2411,3141,2481,246 Colombia

6,8006,8007,3007,7718,1507,295 Egypt

6,5006,5005,1376,7587,0617,374 EU-27

2,0003,0006,708118148 India

5,3005,3005,5724,9814,6614,535 Indonesia

3,0003,0003,0004,8783,0101,925 Iraq

5,5005,5005,7475,4695,7445,751 Japan

3,0003,4003,4393,8843,5913,434 Korea, Republic of

1,2001,2001,2021,2161,4121,329 Malaysia

3,6003,6003,6103,5493,7173,644 Mexico

4,0003,2001,8012,4182,2722,414 Morocco

3,0003,0003,3163,6563,0142,383 Nigeria

1,3001,3001,3321,6561,4491,488 Peru

2,5002,5002,7462,9542,5932,975 Philippines

1,2501,2508851,2421,407911 South Africa, Republic of

1,2001,2001,3031,6591,522995 Sudan

1,2001,2001,1311,1741,0811,139 Thailand

1,3001,3001,4331,2631,079781 Tunisia

1,5001,5001,833643721,056 Turkey

1,7001,7001,7651,6911,5041,538 Venezuela

1,2001,2001,2931,1811,226830 Vietnam

2,1002,1002,3502,1431,8531,635 Yemen

26,69526,64529,96833,27837,02632,513 Others

100,095100,645108,547107,989107,77198,636 Subtotal

2,4602,1553,0923,0092,9433,079 Unaccounted

2,9002,7003,3952,3091,9461,760 United States

105,455105,500115,034113,307112,660103,475 World Total


November 2007

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Production

4,4004,4004,4004,2704,0004,360 Afghanistan

15,50014,50015,20014,50016,00014,500 Argentina

13,00013,5009,90025,36721,90526,132 Australia

20,60020,60025,26525,74824,79623,049 Canada


8,3208,3208,2748,1847,1776,443 Egypt

120,857120,757124,797132,356146,878110,578 EU-27

74,89074,89069,35068,64072,15065,100 India

15,00015,00014,80014,50014,50013,500 Iran


23,00023,00021,70021,61219,50019,183 Pakistan


15,50015,50017,50018,50018,50016,800 Turkey

13,80013,80014,00018,70017,5003,600 Ukraine

6,0006,0005,8505,8005,2505,400 Uzbekistan, Republic of

46,19144,95850,39250,05552,67750,368 Others

547,058544,225544,298564,382568,133490,603 Subtotal

56,24756,24749,31657,28058,73863,814 United States

603,305600,472593,614621,662626,871554,417 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,7507,7007,6507,5007,3006,800 Algeria

10,50010,40010,50010,80010,2009,800 Brazil

8,5008,7448,7388,3198,2327,186 Canada


15,90015,90015,45014,80014,20013,300 Egypt

120,700120,796125,500127,525123,220115,095 EU-27

75,85075,85073,35869,97172,83868,258 India

15,60015,60015,30015,00014,70014,300 Iran


7,1507,1507,1506,8006,6006,400 Morocco

22,40022,40021,90021,50020,00019,100 Pakistan


16,45016,45016,65016,10016,80016,800 Turkey

12,20012,20011,70012,50011,7009,025 Ukraine

6,6006,7006,5006,1185,7005,179 Uzbekistan, Republic of

118,304117,040122,175123,349117,357110,227 Others

586,238584,895586,154593,092576,892555,905 Subtotal

31,32431,32431,03531,35731,82332,507 United States

617,562616,219617,189624,449608,715588,412 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,2244,9586,8499,6387,9225,985 Canada


3,3303,3304,1204,0062,8611,744 Egypt

11,10110,94113,94423,38327,48811,514 EU-27

5,4905,4904,5002,0004,1006,900 India

3,1973,1973,6473,0973,2673,267 Iran

3,4193,4192,9193,2642,2481,382 Pakistan

30,89529,79939,70851,81049,01643,307 Others

101,31398,620111,644132,088135,721117,392 Subtotal

8,4888,35212,41415,54514,69914,872 United States

109,801106,972124,058147,633150,420132,264 World Total


November 2007

Thousand Metric Tons

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

5,634 North America 5,915 6,145 7,326 6,575 6,775

1,500 Central America 1,510 1,514 1,446 1,350 1,350

1,839 Caribbean 2,034 1,926 1,825 1,820 1,820

11,207 South America 10,826 12,687 13,925 12,835 13,035

7,374 European Union 7,061 6,758 5,137 6,500 6,500

1,457 Other Europe 1,464 1,457 1,468 1,225 1,225

7,226 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,795 5,147 5,934 4,650 5,100

8,813 Middle East 10,202 13,220 12,041 10,320 10,320

15,480 North Africa 18,407 18,560 16,297 16,550 17,350

9,713 Sub-Saharan Africa 12,091 13,006 11,431 10,745 10,745

15,320 East Asia 18,357 12,830 11,949 11,700 11,000

3,008 South Asia 4,881 4,374 10,005 6,530 5,230

11,177 Southeast Asia 11,429 11,923 12,347 11,825 11,825

648 Oceania 745 751 811 720 720

100,396 Total 109,717 110,298 111,942 103,345 102,995

Production none

89,563 North America 85,954 86,048 77,821 80,107 80,247

1 Central America 1 1 1 1 1

0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0

23,647 South America 25,176 22,411 20,070 21,135 21,935

110,578 European Union 146,878 132,356 124,797 120,757 120,857

3,864 Other Europe 5,438 4,201 4,331 4,185 4,185


39,816 Middle East 41,593 42,968 41,828 39,772 39,772

16,285 North Africa 17,166 15,178 18,526 13,780 13,780


87,730 East Asia 93,179 98,647 105,713 106,278 107,278

90,966 South Asia 97,696 96,412 97,285 104,100 104,160

107 Southeast Asia 130 150 164 164 164

26,453 Oceania 22,161 25,660 10,177 13,777 13,277

554,417 Total 626,871 621,662 593,614 600,472 603,305

Domestic Consumption none

45,593 North America 46,055 45,776 45,973 46,368 46,174

1,354 Central America 1,410 1,462 1,372 1,251 1,251

1,839 Caribbean 2,034 1,926 1,819 1,820 1,820

23,240 South America 23,407 24,633 24,156 23,905 24,005

115,095 European Union 123,220 127,525 125,500 120,796 120,700

5,500 Other Europe 6,078 5,907 5,500 5,360 5,360


47,038 Middle East 49,188 50,262 50,970 49,605 49,871

30,082 North Africa 32,308 33,514 33,895 34,375 34,425


116,429 East Asia 114,077 113,584 113,035 112,385 112,110

96,891 South Asia 102,088 100,891 104,756 107,550 107,300

10,438 Southeast Asia 11,029 11,665 11,713 11,989 11,989

6,831 Oceania 6,822 7,341 8,349 6,620 6,620

580,777 Total 607,470 618,439 618,506 613,454 614,428

Ending Stocks none

21,600 North America 22,997 25,495 19,677 13,732 14,226

185 Central America 185 185 150 150 150

20 Caribbean 20 20 20 20 20

2,982 South America 2,847 3,261 2,117 2,082 1,982

11,514 European Union 27,488 23,383 13,944 10,941 11,101

1,115 Other Europe 1,673 1,251 986 746 751


13,087 Middle East 12,502 13,355 12,604 9,958 9,975

7,467 North Africa 10,520 10,511 11,183 6,885 7,728

1,108 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,234 1,393 1,657 743 743

45,563 East Asia 41,218 37,109 38,351 39,833 40,924

9,200 South Asia 7,350 6,095 8,021 9,216 9,261

2,030 Southeast Asia 2,052 2,001 2,280 1,822 1,780

5,548 Oceania 6,870 9,903 3,523 1,880 1,880

132,264 Total 150,420 147,633 124,058 106,972 109,801


November 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.


November 2007

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES: Nominal Rice Quotes – 2003 to Present $/MT International: Thai quotes are up $8 from last month to $340 per ton, FOB. Vietnam is currently not making new sales due to an export ban.

125

175

225

275

325

375

425

475

525

7/1/03

12/7/04

5/23/06

11/6/07

Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%

Ind 5% Pak 15/20

Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain milled rice quotes are up from last month to $467 per ton, FOB. The spread between comparable qualities of Thai and U.S. rice is $127 per ton compared to $140 per ton this time last year. California medium grain #1/4 prices are up $40 per ton from last month to $600 per ton, FOB. TRADE CHANGES FOR 2008 Selected Exporters

• India is lowered 700,000 to 3.4 million tons as the export ban is expected to continue.

• Vietnam is increased 300,000 to 5.0 million tons in expectation of a bumper crop and high world prices and the expectation of the lifting of the export ban as new supplies become available in early 2008.

• United States is raised 100,000 to 3.4 million tons in anticipation of greater demand

from major trading partners. Selected Importers

• Bangladesh is increased 400,000 to 800,000 tons due to tight supplies • Brazil is lowered 100,000 to 800,000 tons.

• Iraq is lowered 200,000 to 1.1 million tons as high prices and shipping rates are expected

to slow imports.


10


November 2007


11

TRADE CHANGES FOR 2007 Selected Exporters

• China is down 100,000 to 1.3 million tons due to a slow export pace. • India is lowered 200,000 to 4.0 million tons as a result of the October 9, 2007 export ban

on higher priced non-basmati rice.

• Pakistan is down 100,000 tons to 3.0 million tons as a result of slow shipments. Selected Importers

• Afghanistan is lowered 100,000 to a record 150,000 tons due to the slow import pace. • Bangladesh is decreased 100,000 to 650,000 tons reflecting a slower shipment pace.

• Iraq is down 100,000 to 700,000 tons based on pace to date.


November 2007

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

500500500487345249 Argentina

10010015029127237 Brazil

450450450350200300 Cambodia

1,6001,6001,3001,216656880 China, Peoples Republic of

1,1001,1001,0009581,095826 Egypt

150150150144201187 EU-27

180180230170182243 Guyana

3,4004,1004,0004,5374,6873,172 India

200200200200200200 Japan

15015016091400105 Korea, Republic of

3,2003,2003,0003,5793,0321,986 Pakistan

9,0009,0008,5007,3767,27410,137 Thailand

800800625812762804 Uruguay

656060562050 Venezuela

5,0004,7004,6004,7055,1744,295 Vietnam

302352465609647623 Others

26,19726,64225,39025,58125,14724,094 Subtotal

3,4003,3003,3003,3073,8623,090 United States

29,59729,94228,69028,88829,00927,184 World Total

none

TY Imports

800400650531785801 Bangladesh

800900800691547762 Brazil

300300300309350275 Cameroon

365365350333321285 Canada

7009006006546091,122 China, Peoples Republic of

750750750750850867 Cote d'Ivoire

700700600594736639 Cuba

1,1001,1001,1001,0831,0581,184 EU-27

450450450400450425 Ghana

315315315309315309 Hong Kong

1,6001,6001,900539500650 Indonesia

9009001,2001,251983950 Iran

1,1001,3007001,306786889 Iraq

700700650681787706 Japan

40040040041191366 Korea, Democratic

700700800886751700 Malaysia

625625600586553521 Mexico

350350350350350375 Mozambique

1,7001,7001,7001,6001,7771,369 Nigeria

1,9001,9001,8001,7911,8901,100 Philippines

1,0151,0159601,4481,3571,500 Saudi Arabia

8008008001,113518850 Senegal

375375375375375346 Singapore

950950900963850818 South Africa, Republic of

450450450350320300 Vietnam

7,2797,2646,9977,4167,6946,958 Others

27,12427,20926,49726,35025,70325,067 Subtotal

1,7732,0581,5181,9052,8871,640 Unaccounted

700675675633419477 United States

29,59729,94228,69028,88829,00927,184 World Total

Note about dates: 2006/07 is calendar year 2007, 2005/06 is calendar year 2006, and so on.


November 2007

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Milled Production

29,00029,40029,00028,75825,60026,152 Bangladesh

7,9907,9907,7007,8748,9968,709 Brazil

10,66010,66010,60010,4409,57010,730 Burma, Union of

4,0754,0754,0003,7802,6302,960 Cambodia


4,4074,4074,3834,1354,1283,900 Egypt

92,00092,00092,76091,79083,13088,530 India

34,00034,00033,30034,95934,83035,024 Indonesia

7,9437,9437,7868,2577,9447,091 Japan


3,0003,0002,9002,7002,3002,200 Nigeria

5,3005,3005,2005,5475,0254,848 Pakistan

10,01010,01010,0859,8209,4259,200 Philippines

18,40018,40018,25018,20017,36018,011 Thailand

23,26122,99422,89422,77222,71622,082 Vietnam

30,78230,66130,45930,72929,54728,973 Others

414,828412,340411,797410,943393,564385,323 Subtotal

6,3296,3016,2487,1137,4626,420 United States

421,157418,641418,045418,056401,026391,743 World Total

none

Total Consumption

30,00029,90029,76429,00026,90026,700 Bangladesh

8,9008,9008,9508,9748,8608,687 Brazil

10,70010,70010,56010,40010,30010,200 Burma, Union of

3,7753,7753,7003,5802,7802,725 Cambodia


3,4683,4683,3003,2753,2503,225 Egypt

88,80089,12087,65085,08880,86185,630 India

36,15036,15035,55035,73935,85036,000 Indonesia

3,3303,3303,2253,1753,1253,100 Iran

8,1508,1508,2508,2508,3008,357 Japan


4,7004,7004,4504,3504,2504,000 Nigeria

12,06012,06011,55010,72210,40010,250 Philippines

9,6009,6009,8709,5449,4809,470 Thailand

18,71718,75018,66918,39217,59518,230 Vietnam

46,01246,16145,71944,45244,20043,675 Others

420,237420,857414,212411,733404,267409,474 Subtotal

3,9923,9924,0593,8383,9353,656 United States

424,229424,849418,271415,571408,202413,130 World Total

none

Ending Stocks


11,23010,21011,43010,5208,50010,800 India

2,3072,3072,8573,2073,4484,018 Indonesia

1,6981,6981,6781,327941839 Iran

2,6742,6742,3812,3951,9191,700 Japan

5,3775,3775,6275,2924,5724,047 Philippines

3,2863,2863,4793,5942,3121,706 Thailand

11,09511,17012,38512,92613,09514,319 Others

73,25070,10575,92076,04473,71881,344 Subtotal

8668381,2681,3701,211761 United States

74,11670,94377,18877,41474,92982,105 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


November 2007


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

1,283 North America 1,293 1,552 1,625 1,665 1,690

463 Central America 531 530 540 500 515

1,084 Caribbean 1,213 1,197 1,105 1,155 1,155

1,111 South America 966 1,097 1,285 1,350 1,250

1,184 European Union 1,058 1,083 1,100 1,100 1,100

125 Other Europe 130 130 115 130 130

526 Former Soviet Union - 12 526 470 356 436 436

4,510 Middle East 4,492 5,311 4,140 4,480 4,280

225 North Africa 261 265 325 225 225


2,849 East Asia 2,147 1,981 2,331 2,746 2,546

1,220 South Asia 1,038 834 910 765 1,165

3,202 Southeast Asia 4,236 4,147 5,565 5,267 5,267

238 Oceania 256 269 270 425 425

25,544 Total 26,122 26,983 27,172 27,884 27,824

Production none

6,620 North America 7,657 7,294 6,473 6,501 6,529

553 Central America 466 507 511 511 511

928 Caribbean 761 692 693 693 693

14,667 South America 15,346 14,244 13,871 14,560 14,560

1,741 European Union 1,880 1,741 1,688 1,654 1,654

8 Other Europe 10 10 10 10 10


2,510 Middle East 2,711 2,876 3,021 3,050 3,050

3,941 North Africa 4,169 4,176 4,424 4,448 4,448


126,628 East Asia 140,858 142,072 142,916 141,937 144,437

124,689 South Asia 118,886 131,298 132,205 132,000 131,600

100,903 Southeast Asia 99,465 102,952 102,120 103,180 103,447

395 Oceania 285 696 119 36 36

391,743 Total 401,026 418,056 418,045 418,641 421,157


4,666 North America 5,006 4,946 5,209 5,157 5,157

976 Central America 1,025 1,026 1,051 1,034 1,034

1,951 Caribbean 1,990 1,732 1,840 1,881 1,881

13,535 South America 13,837 14,097 14,177 14,223 14,253

2,627 European Union 2,631 2,651 2,700 2,750 2,750

118 Other Europe 125 130 135 135 135


6,724 Middle East 6,725 7,396 7,010 7,590 7,390

3,491 North Africa 3,552 3,553 3,566 3,734 3,734


148,254 East Asia 146,722 143,951 144,432 145,337 145,337

120,458 South Asia 115,811 121,440 125,192 126,790 126,470

90,710 Southeast Asia 90,390 92,493 94,134 95,386 95,353

540 Oceania 545 550 550 550 550

410,517 Total 405,337 411,545 417,950 422,605 422,203

Ending Stocks none

940 North America 1,385 1,529 1,449 1,041 1,069

441 Central America 383 343 375 312 367

141 Caribbean 165 238 256 223 223

3,010 South America 3,668 2,963 2,383 2,435 2,250

974 European Union 1,138 1,193 1,131 985 985

40 Other Europe 50 60 65 55 55


1,170 Middle East 1,719 2,424 3,026 2,891 2,891

719 North Africa 502 432 615 454 454


46,764 East Asia 41,916 40,329 39,464 36,940 39,140

12,189 South Asia 9,038 11,317 12,192 10,862 11,787

12,675 Southeast Asia 12,648 14,468 14,525 13,236 13,386

550 Oceania 466 530 169 60 60

82,105 Total 74,929 77,414 77,188 70,943 74,116


November 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08



November 2007

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES: Domestic: U.S corn export prices averaged $172 per ton in October, up over $5 from September prices. Strong export demand and indications of a smaller crop have kept prices firm. Sorghum prices remain high (although down $12) at $201 per ton because of solid foreign demand.

U.S. Gulf Export Bids

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

Sep

-03

Dec

-03

Mar

-04

Jun-

04S

ep-0

4D

ec-0

4M

ar-0

5Ju

n-05

Sep

-05

Dec

-05

Mar

-06

Jun-

06S

ep-0

6D

ec-0

6M

ar-0

7Ju

n-07

Sep

-07

$/M

TSorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn


• India corn is doubled to 500,000 tons because of improved crop prospects.

• South Africa corn is boosted by 200,000 tons to 1.0 million. New crop supplies will find

strong regional demand.

• Australia barley is slashed 300,000 tons to 2.0 million due to a cut in production. • EU-27 barley is up 200,000 tons to 4.2 million because of steady demand from North

Africa and limited competition.

• United States barley is up 500,000 tons to 1.0 million, the highest in 7 years, because of strong sales to Japan.

• Argentina sorghum is boosted by 200,000 tons to 1.0 million due to strong demand

from EU- 27 as evidenced by new-crop export registrations.

• United States sorghum is raised 400,000 tons to 7.0 million, the highest in 16 years, due to strong demand from EU-27.

Selected Importers

• Canada corn is boosted by 300,000 tons to 2.3 million because of strong purchases.

Corn is very competitive against other grains, which have attractive international prices and are being exported.

• Japan corn is raised 200,000 tons to 16.3 million reflecting a more gradual slowdown in

meat production.



November 2007

• South Korea corn is cut by 300,000 tons to 8.8 million (following a similar cut with final trade data for 2006/07). Although corn is continuing to substitute for scarce feed-quality wheat, other nongrain feed ingredients (e.g., distiller’s grains and tapioca) are reducing the need for corn.

• Venezuela corn is boosted by 200,000 tons to 500,000 in light of strong poultry

production.

• Saudi Arabia barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 6.0 million as imports are not expected to be effected by high prices (2006/07 was increased 300,000 tons based on updated trade data).

• United States barley is raised 150,000 tons to 300,000 because of tight stocks resulting

in an increased need for Canadian malting barley supplies. • EU-27 sorghum soars by 700,000 tons to a record 3.7 million. Import licenses and

outstanding purchases of U.S. sorghum reflect the shortage of feed grains.

• Mexico sorghum is cut by 500,000 tons to 2.0 million, the lowest in over a decade, due to a higher crop estimate, the slow pace of sales, and availability of U.S. corn.


• Argentina corn is up 500,000 tons to 15.5 million as shipments continue at a record pace.

• Paraguay corn is raised nearly 250,000 tons to 2.0 million, a record, with final trade

data. The country has expanded trade with Brazil. (Brazil’s imports are raised 150,000 tons to 1.2 million, the highest in 7 years.)

Selected Importers

• Egypt corn is raised 200,000 tons to 4.8 million based on near-final trade data. • South Africa corn is raised 200,000 tons to 1.0 million, the highest in over a decade,

amid reports of tightening supplies.

• China barley is dropped 173,000 tons to 1.1 million based on final trade data and reflects tightness in the global malting barley trade because of reduced Australian exportable supplies.



November 2007

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

18,50518,30516,80511,24314,37110,834 Argentina

2,1352,4352,1305,6164,9966,752 Australia

8,5258,5258,0962,8261,4576,191 Brazil

4,6004,6003,5504,0103,2173,474 Canada


4,8104,6105,1553,6495,9542,159 EU-27

1,2001,2002,0481,314386548 Paraguay


1,0258254501,4291,553838 South Africa, Republic of

4,0104,0104,5007,4446,4653,811 Ukraine

3,3252,7754,1894,2313,0034,203 Others

51,37050,52054,43646,96850,55348,300 Subtotal

68,03567,13558,93561,44350,69254,078 United States

119,405117,655113,371108,411101,245102,378 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,2552,2552,5552,1382,2731,788 Algeria

1,0051,0051,4961,096745596 Brazil

2,3702,0702,1702,0292,3392,081 Canada

1,9151,9151,8151,6621,1891,148 Chile


3,7253,7253,7253,3802,5162,232 Colombia

1,3001,3001,2001,0681,031824 Dominican Republic

4,5204,5204,8754,4185,4053,747 Egypt

13,46012,7158,5202,8832,9067,699 EU-27

1,0001,0001,2001,4435411,436 Indonesia

3,3003,3003,6002,8873,8492,518 Iran

2,0152,0151,5951,5881,7002,012 Israel

19,13518,88519,58319,76519,70919,982 Japan

1,0009001,0001,234938771 Jordan


750750700713693531 Libya

2,7002,7002,6002,5172,4062,401 Malaysia

12,30012,80011,0009,9308,9758,873 Mexico

2,4052,4052,0051,9711,9891,326 Morocco

1,4001,4001,4001,5481,3661,114 Peru

7,4007,2007,1008,5787,6447,130 Saudi Arabia

9259251,1251,008277612 South Africa, Republic of

2,5002,5002,2001,8682,2811,541 Syria

4,4504,4504,5504,7354,7575,114 Taiwan

1,2001,2001,2001,2301,228883 Tunisia

10,0309,72011,39911,75710,50610,343 Others

113,460112,355108,585102,30298,05197,227 Subtotal

3,2202,7252,2363,8149522,895 Unaccounted

2,7252,5752,5502,2952,2422,256 United States

119,405117,655113,371108,411101,245102,378 World Total


November 2007

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Production

27,47327,47327,53819,22324,90218,596 Argentina

9,0059,5055,75513,66611,40114,861 Australia

52,85952,85953,16944,16737,87444,881 Brazil

27,91027,91023,14524,96825,60225,839 Canada


7,0407,0407,0006,9926,9006,810 Egypt

10,8009,10011,0759,0857,5656,560 Ethiopia

135,164133,886138,143146,740166,531131,658 EU-27

35,71034,91034,16034,04033,56037,420 India

30,18029,58028,73025,83328,94730,277 Mexico

24,00027,20026,00024,70023,20020,300 Nigeria


10,93310,9337,1347,31112,20910,363 South Africa, Republic of

10,84510,84511,14511,94511,04510,040 Turkey

14,55014,05019,17518,14023,00015,600 Ukraine

121,157119,797123,677116,663115,693113,253 Others

700,676696,138700,086678,769696,281640,911 Subtotal

353,692357,176280,113298,763319,417275,098 United States

1,054,3681,053,314980,199977,5321,015,698916,009 World Total

none


10,27310,47310,1239,3739,0587,407 Argentina

45,50945,50943,52942,21741,55838,913 Brazil

25,01525,01524,51222,91722,98123,339 Canada


11,78011,78011,63511,20112,36410,277 Egypt

10,8009,10010,8508,8857,5656,560 Ethiopia

149,970149,430146,508147,541152,589145,237 EU-27

34,80534,40533,72033,84033,24035,650 India

19,53719,23719,73520,09219,87820,737 Japan

42,18042,18039,38037,58738,27637,332 Mexico

24,00026,95025,75024,45022,95020,250 Nigeria



11,75011,75011,65011,45211,50411,186 Turkey

12,65012,65013,37511,99015,20014,000 Ukraine

184,450183,261182,046178,402169,478165,190 Others

780,077777,595766,690746,478737,930719,782 Subtotal

273,522275,105242,809245,075240,216225,958 United States

1,053,5991,052,7001,009,499991,553978,146945,740 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,6674,7174,3373,1674,3808,045 Brazil

4,1634,1113,4986,2816,3194,076 Canada


11,48311,13817,63922,63725,01712,956 EU-27

2,6332,6332,8332,8332,7391,873 Iran

3,9613,8613,6863,3365,3955,767 Mexico


26,33826,53832,09832,50734,70230,093 Others

83,85781,23198,298109,008118,996111,480 Subtotal

51,38754,09636,17754,76758,80028,764 United States

135,244135,327134,475163,775177,796140,244 World Total


November 2007


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

13,210 North America 13,556 14,254 15,720 17,445 17,395

2,178 Central America 2,405 2,803 2,750 2,750 2,750

1,634 Caribbean 1,913 1,969 2,160 2,225 2,225

6,383 South America 6,460 8,749 9,881 8,995 9,195

7,699 European Union 2,906 2,883 8,520 12,715 13,460

817 Other Europe 582 696 755 605 605

1,440 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,080 1,150 910 705 605

16,162 Middle East 17,864 17,586 17,785 17,505 17,805

8,275 North Africa 11,588 10,470 11,335 11,130 11,130


35,927 East Asia 35,666 35,610 34,305 34,285 34,235

32 South Asia 44 33 10 10 10

4,046 Southeast Asia 3,499 4,897 4,740 4,790 4,790

14 Oceania 27 43 1 5 5

99,483 Total 100,293 104,597 111,135 114,930 116,185

Production none

331,214 North America 373,966 349,564 331,988 414,666 411,782

3,206 Central America 2,882 2,889 3,146 3,425 3,425

835 Caribbean 869 784 771 785 785

72,953 South America 72,549 73,291 92,219 92,214 92,214

131,658 European Union 166,531 146,740 138,143 133,886 135,164

9,241 Other Europe 12,757 12,985 12,090 9,502 9,502


17,601 Middle East 18,407 19,031 18,346 18,026 18,026

11,757 North Africa 11,786 9,371 11,047 9,212 9,212


126,238 East Asia 140,578 150,069 156,261 153,544 155,544

42,485 South Asia 39,405 38,427 38,723 39,471 40,271

19,512 Southeast Asia 21,583 21,700 22,707 23,213 23,213

15,472 Oceania 12,026 14,313 6,402 10,152 9,652

916,009 Total 1,015,698 977,532 980,199 1,053,314 1,054,368


286,629 North America 301,473 305,579 306,701 342,300 340,717

5,070 Central America 5,455 5,500 5,875 6,156 6,156

2,412 Caribbean 2,725 2,784 2,933 3,008 3,008

60,405 South America 65,304 67,880 71,530 74,126 74,126

145,237 European Union 152,589 147,541 146,508 149,430 149,970

10,761 Other Europe 12,139 12,264 11,808 10,470 10,470


34,324 Middle East 33,895 36,102 36,585 37,125 37,225

18,746 North Africa 21,891 20,779 21,770 21,515 21,515


175,901 East Asia 177,238 183,334 188,175 193,071 193,071

40,581 South Asia 38,803 38,695 38,483 38,916 39,316

21,787 Southeast Asia 23,946 25,658 26,750 27,985 27,985

7,245 Oceania 7,420 7,820 6,465 7,625 7,425

943,156 Total 977,734 988,943 1,006,190 1,052,993 1,052,389

Ending Stocks none

38,607 North America 70,514 64,384 43,361 62,068 59,511

700 Central America 541 652 673 692 692

120 Caribbean 177 146 144 146 146

11,205 South America 8,639 6,618 7,962 8,270 7,870

12,956 European Union 25,017 22,637 17,639 11,138 11,483

1,070 Other Europe 1,600 1,598 1,574 944 956


6,368 Middle East 7,994 8,188 8,134 6,490 6,490

2,288 North Africa 3,392 2,507 3,119 1,746 1,946


49,789 East Asia 41,178 39,711 36,737 29,765 31,910

1,575 South Asia 1,747 966 791 1,081 1,231

1,988 Southeast Asia 2,062 2,541 2,528 2,190 2,136

2,331 Oceania 2,387 3,315 1,123 1,120 1,120

140,244 Total 177,796 163,775 134,475 135,327 135,244


November 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08



November 2007

World Corn Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

17,00017,00015,50010,70713,75210,439 Argentina

8,5008,5008,0712,8261,4315,818 Brazil

200200300239244367 Canada


300300750449678455 EU-27

5002504504974811,222 India

1,2001,2002,0481,314386548 Paraguay

2002001,000nrnrnr Serbia

1,0008004251,4061,517797 South Africa, Republic of

1,5001,5001,0002,4642,3341,238 Ukraine

1,2959951,6542,8862,2051,815 Others

33,19532,44536,46726,51530,61730,252 Subtotal

60,00060,00054,00056,08445,34748,809 United States

93,19592,44590,46782,59975,96479,061 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,2002,2002,4002,0612,1451,765 Algeria

7507501,200931481459 Brazil

2,3002,0002,1001,9622,2372,033 Canada

1,8001,8001,7001,5871,0811,043 Chile

3,5003,5003,5003,1512,2561,999 Colombia

700700600687569583 Costa Rica

1,3001,3001,2001,0681,031824 Dominican Republic

4,5004,5004,8004,3975,3983,743 Egypt

9,5009,5007,1002,6342,4695,859 EU-27

700700800751641513 Guatemala

1,0001,0001,2001,4435411,436 Indonesia

2,7002,7003,0002,3002,5581,857 Iran

1,5001,5001,2001,1281,2421,377 Israel

16,30016,10016,71316,61716,48516,781 Japan


2,7002,7002,6002,5172,4062,401 Malaysia

10,20010,2008,8006,7875,9455,739 Mexico

1,5001,5001,6001,4911,4231,183 Morocco

1,3001,3001,3001,4671,3011,041 Peru

1,4001,4001,3001,4721,2241,621 Saudi Arabia

8008001,000896131495 South Africa, Republic of

2,0002,0001,7001,2561,781941 Syria

4,3004,3004,4004,5334,5624,951 Taiwan

700700600624714784 Tunisia

70070065047529136 Vietnam

7,4307,2208,4368,7798,0668,014 Others

90,58090,17088,63679,50275,61676,261 Subtotal

2,2401,9001,5312,887672,444 Unaccounted

375375300210281356 United States

93,19592,44590,46782,59975,96479,061 World Total


November 2007

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Production

22,50022,50022,50015,80020,50015,000 Argentina

50,00050,00051,00041,70035,00042,000 Brazil

10,56010,5608,9909,3618,8379,587 Canada


5,9805,9805,9405,9325,8405,740 Egypt

4,8004,0005,0004,0003,4003,000 Ethiopia

46,90746,38754,64761,15366,46847,896 EU-27

16,30015,50014,98014,71014,18014,980 India

7,0007,0006,7006,5007,2006,350 Indonesia

23,20023,20022,00019,50022,05021,800 Mexico

6,5009,0007,8007,0006,5005,500 Nigeria

6,1006,1006,2305,8845,0504,900 Philippines


7,0006,5006,4007,1508,8006,850 Ukraine

4,5604,5604,3123,8183,7572,800 Vietnam

66,84065,88667,16965,24565,25759,025 Others

433,747430,673435,848414,053414,845370,958 Subtotal

334,476338,295267,598282,311299,914256,278 United States

768,223768,968703,446696,364714,759627,236 World Total

none

Total Consumption

6,7006,7006,7006,2005,2004,400 Argentina

42,50042,50041,00039,50038,50036,300 Brazil

12,40012,40011,43610,83710,31111,215 Canada


10,70010,70010,50010,10011,3009,200 Egypt

61,00061,00061,10061,50063,20055,764 EU-27

15,40015,00014,60014,20013,90013,500 India

8,0008,0007,9007,9007,9007,350 Indonesia

16,50016,20016,50016,70016,50017,200 Japan


33,30033,30030,30027,90027,90026,400 Mexico

6,5508,8007,6006,8006,3005,500 Nigeria

6,6006,6006,3005,8005,1504,950 Philippines


5,6005,6005,2505,1006,0005,600 Ukraine

110,256108,373108,509104,189100,83693,169 Others

502,708502,285490,699471,966463,333437,237 Subtotal

260,108261,377230,783232,063224,648211,644 United States

762,816763,662721,482704,029687,981648,881 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,4654,5154,2153,0154,1927,878 Brazil

1,6031,5511,3432,0011,8021,143 Canada


4,9384,9589,8319,9348,0963,037 EU-27

1,6131,6131,7131,3131,4131,055 Iran

3,2823,2823,2072,7074,5294,461 Mexico


16,07616,02717,76716,51817,21014,187 Others

62,21759,63471,86673,05176,98779,569 Subtotal

48,17350,72333,11749,96853,69724,337 United States

110,390110,357104,983123,019130,684103,906 World Total


November 2007


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

8,128 North America 8,463 8,959 11,200 12,575 12,875

2,178 Central America 2,401 2,803 2,750 2,750 2,750

1,634 Caribbean 1,913 1,969 2,160 2,225 2,225

5,805 South America 5,738 8,144 9,090 8,265 8,465

5,859 European Union 2,469 2,634 7,100 9,500 9,500

544 Other Europe 422 410 397 350 350


7,901 Middle East 8,039 7,381 9,325 8,925 9,025

7,673 North Africa 10,112 9,044 9,900 9,450 9,450


30,823 East Asia 30,099 29,954 30,066 29,850 29,750

32 South Asia 40 33 10 10 10

4,021 Southeast Asia 3,492 4,890 4,735 4,785 4,785

8 Oceania 3 23 0 0 0

76,617 Total 75,897 79,712 88,936 90,545 90,955

Production none

287,665 North America 330,801 311,172 298,588 372,055 368,236

2,874 Central America 2,552 2,582 2,820 3,099 3,099

707 Caribbean 741 656 643 657 657

64,550 South America 63,182 65,468 82,924 82,291 82,291

47,896 European Union 66,468 61,153 54,647 46,387 46,907

7,110 Other Europe 10,199 10,583 9,725 7,135 7,135


4,555 Middle East 5,088 5,773 5,022 5,722 5,722

5,942 North Africa 6,042 6,134 6,142 6,182 6,182


117,672 East Asia 132,141 141,276 147,253 144,693 146,693

18,757 South Asia 18,797 17,830 18,100 18,620 19,420

19,240 Southeast Asia 21,330 21,445 22,437 22,943 22,943

550 Oceania 482 552 422 522 522

627,236 Total 714,759 696,364 703,446 768,968 768,223


249,259 North America 262,859 270,800 272,519 307,077 305,808

4,735 Central America 5,100 5,190 5,550 5,825 5,825

2,284 Caribbean 2,597 2,656 2,805 2,880 2,880

52,455 South America 55,883 59,599 63,115 64,890 65,090

55,764 European Union 63,200 61,500 61,100 61,000 61,000

8,320 Other Europe 9,474 9,576 9,077 7,875 7,875


12,381 Middle East 12,677 13,210 13,621 14,821 14,921

13,298 North Africa 15,702 14,871 15,700 16,000 16,000


161,503 East Asia 163,133 168,958 174,678 179,675 179,675

17,143 South Asia 18,234 17,788 17,920 18,070 18,470

21,509 Southeast Asia 23,710 25,422 26,500 27,735 27,735

555 Oceania 510 545 430 515 515

647,991 Total 687,011 702,568 718,911 762,650 761,414

Ending Stocks none

29,941 North America 60,028 54,676 37,667 55,556 53,058

658 Central America 525 635 655 679 679

120 Caribbean 177 146 144 146 146

10,139 South America 7,655 6,041 7,210 7,556 7,256

3,037 European Union 8,096 9,934 9,831 4,958 4,938

775 Other Europe 1,254 1,267 1,233 597 593

1,338 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,138 1,651 1,745 880 1,400

1,985 Middle East 2,300 2,076 2,802 2,628 2,628

805 North Africa 1,061 1,314 1,656 1,088 1,288


48,345 East Asia 39,863 38,352 35,772 28,707 31,040

880 South Asia 1,033 587 377 687 837

1,983 Southeast Asia 2,036 2,515 2,502 2,164 2,110

39 Oceania 31 36 23 20 20

103,906 Total 130,684 123,019 104,983 110,357 110,390


November 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08



November 2007

World Barley Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

500500400309338167 Argentina

2,0002,3002,0005,2314,4816,104 Australia

2,4002,4001,3001,8761,4761,937 Canada

10100302 China, Peoples Republic of

4,2004,0004,0002,5874,240986 EU-27

1,0001,000600100100613 Kazakhstan, Republic of


555nrnrnr Serbia

5050505050320 Syria

2,5002,5003,5004,9263,9922,557 Ukraine

100100100372012 Uruguay

00250555306 Others

14,36514,46514,20517,07116,21514,440 Subtotal

1,000500500357771384 United States

15,36514,96514,70517,42816,98614,824 World Total

none

TY Imports

250250291153182128 Brazil


200200200198234181 Colombia

200200200168212654 EU-27

6006006005871,291661 Iran

350350300314313508 Israel

1,3501,3001,3591,4171,5221,359 Japan

500500600811607400 Jordan

20020020020321462 Kuwait

200200200242261333 Libya

900900400444565143 Morocco

6,0005,8005,8007,1066,4205,508 Saudi Arabia

500500500612500600 Syria

50050060060651499 Tunisia

2502501505269171 Turkey

1,2251,2251,5671,5141,3461,557 Others

14,62514,37514,09416,64416,29913,883 Subtotal

290290186660530444 Unaccounted

450300425124157497 United States

15,36514,96514,70517,42816,98614,824 World Total


November 2007

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Production

1,2001,2001,2658008861,000 Argentina

5,5006,2003,8009,5637,74010,387 Australia

1,6001,6001,3501,8002,0001,800 Belarus

11,80011,8009,57311,67812,55712,164 Canada


2,1001,8002,1251,7851,5751,410 Ethiopia

57,57857,05856,15654,75264,07755,816 EU-27

1,3101,3101,2201,2001,3001,410 India

3,0003,0002,9002,9002,9002,900 Iran

800800920754805861 Iraq


9009009007539321,082 Mexico


6,5006,5007,5007,6007,4006,900 Turkey

6,2006,20011,3509,00011,1006,850 Ukraine

8,6988,69810,4258,73511,71610,997 Others

129,886129,766132,984132,020146,910136,394 Subtotal

4,6124,6123,9234,6136,0916,059 United States

134,498134,378136,907136,633153,001142,453 World Total

none

Total Consumption

3,5503,9503,6503,4503,4503,050 Australia

1,6001,6001,5001,9751,9001,750 Belarus

9,7009,70010,1969,61110,1389,729 Canada


2,1001,8002,1251,7851,5751,410 Ethiopia

54,32054,30055,85054,05054,58058,007 EU-27

1,3101,3101,2201,2001,3001,400 India

3,7003,7003,9003,8003,5003,100 Iran

1,5501,5501,6501,6501,6501,630 Japan


2,1002,1002,5002,4502,7002,300 Morocco


6,6106,6106,8106,5105,4107,010 Saudi Arabia

7,2007,2007,3007,3007,3007,100 Turkey

5,7005,7006,5004,9006,4006,200 Ukraine

14,25114,25114,60914,41214,15312,902 Others

135,285134,778140,390136,480136,646142,192 Subtotal

4,3544,6824,5964,5705,6724,990 United States

139,639139,460144,986141,050142,318147,182 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8628629122,7621,9161,887 Australia

1,2421,2421,4923,2893,4352,102 Canada

4,5884,3895,6308,52511,0534,522 EU-27

1,0201,0201,1201,5201,326818 Iran

7266731,2268732,1102,227 Russian Federation

2,0932,0932,9033,2132,6722,399 Saudi Arabia

4806839601,193991596 Ukraine

3,4103,5584,9235,0206,8635,309 Others

14,42114,52019,16626,39530,36619,860 Subtotal

1,1041,2131,5002,3502,7962,619 United States

15,52515,73320,66628,74533,16222,479 World Total


November 2007


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

567 North America 291 201 525 400 550

440 South America 538 506 696 630 630

654 European Union 212 168 200 200 200

178 Other Europe 102 161 218 130 130


8,112 Middle East 9,619 10,057 8,360 8,410 8,610

601 North Africa 1,473 1,386 1,425 1,670 1,670

69 Sub-Saharan Africa 102 81 100 100 100

3,047 East Asia 3,768 3,808 2,639 2,850 2,900

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

6 Oceania 24 20 1 5 5

14,380 Total 16,456 16,768 14,519 14,675 15,075

Production none

19,305 North America 19,580 17,044 14,396 17,312 17,312

2,039 South America 2,065 1,827 2,272 2,405 2,405

55,816 European Union 64,077 54,752 56,156 57,058 57,578

1,405 Other Europe 1,769 1,604 1,572 1,567 1,567


11,827 Middle East 12,095 12,034 12,100 11,080 11,080

4,795 North Africa 4,719 2,212 3,880 2,005 2,005


3,136 East Asia 3,678 3,848 3,934 3,825 3,825

1,970 South Asia 1,847 1,742 1,938 2,028 2,028

10,765 Oceania 8,120 9,963 4,200 6,600 5,900

142,453 Total 153,001 136,633 136,907 134,378 134,498


15,669 North America 16,760 15,131 15,742 15,332 15,004

2,166 South America 2,317 2,178 2,422 2,535 2,535

58,007 European Union 54,580 54,050 55,850 54,300 54,320

1,600 Other Europe 1,815 1,761 1,773 1,670 1,670


20,550 Middle East 19,782 21,515 21,640 20,910 20,910

4,427 North Africa 5,164 4,843 5,035 4,480 4,480


6,719 East Asia 7,457 7,634 6,863 6,760 6,760

1,960 South Asia 1,847 1,742 1,938 2,028 2,028

3,450 Oceania 3,850 3,850 4,075 4,375 3,975

145,828 Total 143,128 140,113 144,980 140,653 140,245

Ending Stocks none

4,921 North America 6,470 5,712 3,065 2,528 2,419

404 South America 331 163 268 168 168

4,522 European Union 11,053 8,525 5,630 4,389 4,588

242 Other Europe 295 283 293 299 315


4,340 Middle East 5,658 6,076 5,296 3,826 3,826

1,442 North Africa 2,291 1,153 1,423 618 618


850 East Asia 839 858 568 687 523

34 South Asia 34 34 34 34 34

1,939 Oceania 1,981 2,847 973 903 903

22,479 Total 33,162 28,745 20,666 15,733 15,525



November 2007

World Sorghum Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

1,000800900226279228 Argentina

505050190370425 Australia

252525024371 Brazil


25252542442 India

505050505050 Nigeria


404035281436 Others

1,2401,0401,2545478251,361 Subtotal

7,0006,6004,4004,9614,5414,845 United States

8,2407,6405,6545,5085,3666,206 World Total

none

TY Imports

656565427162 Chile

303025258155 Eritrea

3,7003,0001,200772181,139 EU-27

150150454434104 Israel

1,3501,3501,2761,3931,3741,434 Japan


2,0002,5002,1003,0292,9313,002 Mexico

505050505050 Niger

30010030021116015 Sudan

505050696161 Taiwan

303084387239207 Others

7,7407,3405,2005,3415,2256,157 Subtotal

50030045416714049 Unaccounted

000010 United States

8,2407,6405,6545,5085,3666,206 World Total


November 2007

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Production

3,3003,3003,3002,2002,9002,200 Argentina

2,1001,9001,0001,9732,0112,009 Australia

2,0002,0001,5001,5432,0512,103 Brazil

1,8001,7001,8001,8371,4001,520 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

3,3002,8003,3252,8002,1501,700 Ethiopia

554554551489499385 EU-27

7,6007,6007,4007,6307,2406,680 India

6,0005,4005,7505,5005,8907,300 Mexico

800750800750500720 Niger

10,00010,50010,50010,50010,0009,000 Nigeria

4,5004,5005,2004,2752,7005,190 Sudan

900900850890820500 Tanzania, United Republic

490490490450400420 Uganda

4,2874,3314,2794,1764,1514,349 Others

51,13150,22550,34548,45945,94047,841 Subtotal

13,07312,7387,0509,98111,52310,446 United States

64,20462,96357,39558,44057,46358,287 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,3002,5002,2002,2002,6002,000 Argentina

1,9301,7309801,8951,7551,405 Australia

1,9001,9001,5001,5932,1001,650 Brazil

1,8001,7001,8001,8371,4001,520 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

3,3002,8003,1002,6002,1501,700 Ethiopia

4,6704,2701,1206835211,971 EU-27

7,5957,5957,3007,5407,2006,700 India

1,3501,3501,3501,4001,4001,500 Japan

7,8007,8008,0008,6009,3009,800 Mexico

925875825750550750 Niger

9,95010,45010,45010,4509,9508,950 Nigeria

5,3005,1005,0004,2503,5004,500 Sudan

900900850890820500 Tanzania, United Republic

5,1135,1575,0105,1444,9445,024 Others

58,71357,42653,66853,40551,58251,890 Subtotal

5,4615,4623,9124,8236,2555,638 United States

64,17462,88857,58058,22857,83757,528 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

128228228128328379 Argentina

1551557595133124 Brazil

42542542520000 Ethiopia

2002002201458061 India

6035034035536241,103 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

5375371,042547313958 Sudan

6336548859411,141962 Others

2,8812,9023,4782,8092,8193,787 Subtotal

1,4411,4868141,6681,446852 United States

4,3224,3884,2924,4774,2654,639 World Total


November 2007


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

3,002 North America 2,932 3,029 2,100 2,500 2,000



104 South America 158 68 70 70 70

1,139 European Union 218 77 1,200 3,000 3,700

24 Other Europe 7 10 10 10 10

105 Middle East 34 44 45 150 150

0 North Africa 0 35 0 0 0


1,526 East Asia 1,450 1,485 1,335 1,425 1,425

0 South Asia 4 0 0 0 0

25 Southeast Asia 7 7 5 5 5

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

6,157 Total 5,226 5,341 5,200 7,340 7,740

Production none

17,746 North America 17,413 15,481 12,800 18,138 19,073

332 Central America 330 307 326 326 326

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,075 South America 5,777 4,583 5,626 6,146 6,146

385 European Union 499 489 551 554 554

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

485 Middle East 485 485 485 485 485

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,883 East Asia 2,341 2,554 2,708 2,620 2,620

6,918 South Asia 7,426 7,860 7,630 7,830 7,830


2,009 Oceania 2,011 1,973 1,000 1,900 2,100

58,287 Total 57,463 58,440 57,395 62,963 64,204


15,438 North America 15,555 13,423 11,912 13,262 13,261

335 Central America 355 310 325 331 331

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,509 South America 5,594 4,681 4,601 5,329 5,129

1,971 European Union 521 683 1,120 4,270 4,670

24 Other Europe 7 10 10 10 10

590 Middle East 527 529 530 635 635

915 North Africa 915 950 915 915 915


4,603 East Asia 3,886 3,984 4,005 4,070 4,070

6,938 South Asia 7,387 7,770 7,530 7,825 7,825

102 Southeast Asia 76 76 70 70 70

1,405 Oceania 1,755 1,895 980 1,730 1,930

57,508 Total 57,745 58,055 56,887 63,119 63,824

Ending Stocks none

1,955 North America 2,070 2,221 1,217 1,989 2,044



558 South America 535 302 372 434 334

32 European Union 234 90 169 40 43


43 Middle East 36 36 36 36 36

40 North Africa 39 39 39 39 39

1,375 Sub-Saharan Africa 773 1,163 1,893 1,315 1,315

465 East Asia 342 371 265 239 215

61 South Asia 80 145 220 200 200


63 Oceania 114 67 37 57 57

4,639 Total 4,265 4,477 4,292 4,388 4,322


November 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08



November 2007

World Oats Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

555120 Argentina

757575191137210 Australia

1,9001,9001,8001,7541,374984 Canada

252525272944 Chile

200200150231356483 EU-27

555555 Kazakhstan, Republic of

00052112 Others

2,2102,2102,0602,2141,9241,738 Subtotal


2,2402,2402,0902,2541,9551,776 World Total

none

TY Imports

555421 Algeria

555565 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202020211619 Canada


252525262623 Colombia

550500 Ecuador

101010213 EU-27

606060596767 Japan

505050835191 Mexico

555110 Morocco

5050504822 Norway


505050482638 Switzerland

0000727 Others

330330325338260316 Subtotal

110110658566158 Unaccounted

1,8001,8001,7001,8311,6291,302 United States

2,2402,2402,0902,2541,9551,776 World Total


November 2007

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Production

808080808075 Algeria

400400400350508348 Argentina

1,0001,0006501,6951,2832,018 Australia

600600550600770500 Belarus

475475475517433413 Brazil

5,0005,0003,8523,2833,4673,377 Canada

380380380420425425 Chile


8,6888,4787,7357,9689,1539,018 EU-27


360360360360359333 Norway


120120120nrnrnr Serbia

290290290290290285 Turkey

6506507008001,000925 Ukraine

417417443546537545 Others

24,22024,01021,67522,19923,99524,162 Subtotal

1,3301,3301,3591,6671,6792,096 United States

25,55025,34023,03423,86625,67426,258 World Total

none

Total Consumption

400400400350500359 Argentina

8758758501,4001,1751,705 Australia

600600550650700500 Belarus

475475475515425410 Brazil

2,4002,4002,2881,9661,9781,873 Canada

350350350400400380 Chile


8,5808,4807,6477,8688,7198,636 EU-27


130130130137126182 Mexico

410410435410360340 Norway


120120120nrnrnr Serbia

290290290290290288 Turkey

6506507008001,000950 Ukraine

597597616713710702 Others

21,66521,56520,47320,90622,11622,890 Subtotal

3,2753,2753,1813,2873,2973,389 United States

24,94024,84023,65424,19325,41326,279 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

727277828377 Argentina

14014090365261290 Australia

1,2761,276556872974788 Canada


694584776778912834 EU-27

323232323433 Norway

190190190190240184 Russian Federation

133133128121183123 Others

2,6442,5341,9562,5472,7962,435 Subtotal

656656734763841941 United States

3,3003,1902,6903,3103,6373,376 World Total


November 2007


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

1,412 North America 1,696 1,935 1,770 1,870 1,870

34 South America 26 31 25 30 30

3 European Union 1 2 10 10 10

47 Other Europe 34 101 105 105 105


5 Middle East 0 0 0 0 0



76 East Asia 80 77 80 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,618 Total 1,889 2,169 2,025 2,130 2,130

Production none

5,568 North America 5,221 5,030 5,291 6,410 6,410

1,221 South America 1,397 1,316 1,303 1,278 1,278

9,018 European Union 9,153 7,968 7,735 8,478 8,688

586 Other Europe 628 637 637 637 637


285 Middle East 290 290 290 290 290

105 North Africa 110 110 110 110 110


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

2,093 Oceania 1,358 1,770 725 1,075 1,075

26,258 Total 25,674 23,866 23,034 25,340 25,550


5,444 North America 5,401 5,390 5,599 5,805 5,805

1,207 South America 1,382 1,325 1,298 1,278 1,278

8,636 European Union 8,719 7,868 7,647 8,480 8,580

647 Other Europe 664 739 767 742 742


288 Middle East 290 290 290 290 290

106 North Africa 110 115 120 120 120


677 East Asia 677 683 680 682 682

1,780 Oceania 1,250 1,475 925 950 950

26,019 Total 25,325 24,141 23,687 24,827 24,927

Ending Stocks none

1,732 North America 1,818 1,638 1,293 1,935 1,935

104 South America 118 112 112 112 112

834 European Union 912 778 776 584 694

52 Other Europe 50 48 48 48 48





109 East Asia 114 110 112 112 112

290 Oceania 261 365 90 140 140

3,376 Total 3,637 3,310 2,690 3,190 3,300



November 2007

World Rye Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

TY Exports

15015050505050 Belarus

100100150141123186 Canada

100100250381677231 EU-27

10100491226 Ukraine

0000036 Others

360360450621972509 Subtotal


365365455622974511 World Total

none

TY Imports

505102644 EU-27

15155010211123 Israel

7575175279261341 Japan


552041316 Norway


555927 Switzerland

55526116 Turkey

005161243 Others

185140330477651610 Subtotal

80125015149-200 Unaccounted

100100125130174101 United States

365365455622974511 World Total


November 2007

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Oct

2007/08Nov

none

Production


1,3001,3001,2001,1501,4001,200 Belarus

250250383330398327 Canada

7,8707,8606,5377,68810,0316,972 EU-27


240240240240240240 Turkey

6006006001,0501,600625 Ukraine

187187180188184163 Others

14,20214,19212,19514,30116,79213,764 Subtotal

201201183191210219 United States

14,40314,39312,37814,49217,00213,983 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,2001,2001,1501,1001,3251,200 Belarus

215215245187211138 Canada

7,8007,7807,2418,62010,1358,908 EU-27

7575175279261340 Japan


424257415140 Norway


245245245247299283 Turkey

6006008001,0501,300900 Ukraine

125125158238230250 Others

14,18314,21813,34815,45417,32317,701 Subtotal

324309337332344297 United States

14,50714,52713,68515,78617,66717,998 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

114114164164164139 Belarus

424210711910843 Canada

8508158301,8743,1563,834 EU-27

202020202020 Japan


626272267336140 Ukraine

000011 Others

1,1641,1291,2692,5703,8624,532 Subtotal


1,1771,1471,2812,5883,8824,547 World Total


November 2007


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2007/08Nov

2007/08

TY Imports none

101 North America 174 130 125 100 100

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

44 European Union 6 2 10 5 50

24 Other Europe 17 14 25 10 10


39 Middle East 172 104 55 20 20


455 East Asia 269 286 185 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

711 Total 825 607 455 240 285

Production none

546 North America 608 521 566 451 451

42 South America 94 64 61 61 61

6,972 European Union 10,031 7,688 6,537 7,860 7,870

85 Other Europe 106 106 101 108 108


240 Middle East 240 240 240 240 240


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

13,983 Total 17,002 14,492 12,378 14,393 14,403


435 North America 555 519 582 524 539

42 South America 94 64 61 61 61

8,908 European Union 10,135 8,620 7,241 7,780 7,800

115 Other Europe 124 123 126 118 118


306 Middle East 410 349 295 260 260


454 East Asia 269 286 185 80 80

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,938 Total 17,595 15,799 13,613 14,421 14,456

Ending Stocks none

58 North America 128 137 119 60 55

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

3,834 European Union 3,156 1,874 830 815 850





20 East Asia 20 20 20 20 20

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

4,547 Total 3,882 2,588 1,281 1,147 1,177



November 2007

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 40 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 41 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 42 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 43 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 50 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 52 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 54 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 55

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 56 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 58 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 59 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 61 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 63

Grain: World Markets and Trade, October 2007


November 2007

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.624.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.8 125.560.213.95.15.124.5 2006/07 13.9

120.9 120.755.49.56.54.924.8 2007/08 11.1

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.8

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.2

150.4 143.6107.96.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.6 2003/04 13.0

166.5 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.0

146.7 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.6

138.1 146.5108.04.78.14.331.8 2006/07 17.6

135.2 150.0110.75.113.84.430.9 2007/08 11.5

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.3 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.1

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.7

273.8 262.1164.419.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.2 260.3162.114.015.64.356.9 2003/04 24.5

313.4 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.5

279.1 275.1172.420.09.54.858.5 2005/06 46.0

262.9 272.0168.218.613.24.756.3 2006/07 31.6

256.0 270.7166.114.620.34.655.6 2007/08 22.6

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains. Data for years 1994-1999 represents EU-15 countries prior to its expansion in 1999.


November 2007


China: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

110.6 107.63.41.02.73.729.6 1996/97 81.2

123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.1 1997/98 96.2

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.5 101.03.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.9

104.5 101.04.02.80.44.623.0 2006/07 36.0

106.0 100.54.03.00.24.623.1 2007/08 38.7

Coarse Grains

141.3 121.082.64.02.14.929.1 1996/97 119.5

114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.1 1997/98 108.0

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.498.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.4

124.0 138.799.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.5

138.3 141.2100.27.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.0

147.7 147.5103.13.82.35.129.1 2005/06 35.8

154.0 152.8104.65.41.25.229.8 2006/07 32.8

153.4 157.9106.61.51.55.030.9 2007/08 28.4


251.9 228.686.05.04.84.358.7 1996/97 200.7

238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.1 1997/98 204.2

253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.6104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.7

210.4 243.2105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 88.8

230.2 243.2104.28.88.84.649.8 2004/05 75.8

245.1 248.5106.65.23.34.751.9 2005/06 70.7

258.5 253.8108.68.21.54.952.8 2006/07 68.8

259.4 258.4110.64.51.74.854.0 2007/08 67.0

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


November 2007


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

3.9 4.90.50.31.33.21.2 1996/97 0.9

5.6 6.60.50.01.33.71.5 1997/98 1.1

6.0 6.60.60.11.03.91.6 1998/99 1.5

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.60.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.3

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.4

4.9 5.70.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.4

3.9 5.50.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.1

5.4 6.11.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 1.7

4.2 5.90.90.21.53.61.2 2005/06 1.3

4.3 5.50.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.0

4.2 5.40.70.31.23.51.2 2007/08 0.8

Coarse Grains

10.8 11.19.80.20.63.72.9 1996/97 0.9

12.1 12.010.70.30.54.32.8 1997/98 1.2

11.2 11.610.20.30.43.92.8 1998/99 0.9

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.110.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

13.0 12.310.91.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.6

12.1 11.810.51.10.84.82.5 2006/07 1.6

9.5 10.59.10.30.63.62.7 2007/08 1.0


14.7 16.110.40.51.93.64.1 1996/97 1.8

17.6 18.611.20.31.94.14.3 1997/98 2.4

17.2 18.210.80.41.43.94.4 1998/99 2.4

16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.110.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.2

13.1 16.310.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.2

18.2 18.211.80.92.04.54.0 2004/05 3.3

17.2 18.211.81.62.24.53.8 2005/06 2.8

16.4 17.311.21.62.24.43.7 2006/07 2.6

13.7 15.89.90.51.83.63.9 2007/08 1.7

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


November 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

91.3 70.221.113.93.82.045.7 2001/02 16.0

96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5

60.9 65.917.67.97.21.540.3 2003/04 10.8

86.6 73.221.015.54.81.946.5 2004/05 13.5

91.9 75.723.321.15.11.948.5 2005/06 13.7

85.9 73.721.422.45.91.946.0 2006/07 9.5

91.0 74.822.621.65.11.947.5 2007/08 9.3

Coarse Grains

61.8 50.833.36.61.01.932.6 2001/02 11.4

60.8 52.835.08.10.71.931.4 2002/03 11.9

55.4 56.839.46.11.51.831.2 2003/04 5.9

63.0 54.738.18.11.12.031.2 2004/05 7.2

55.3 49.833.88.51.21.928.4 2005/06 5.5

58.7 51.335.78.40.92.029.8 2006/07 5.4

54.0 50.635.45.40.61.829.7 2007/08 4.0

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains.


November 2007

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan, Republic of

11.0 6.82.74.20.01.011.3 2003/04 3.7

10.0 7.42.73.00.00.811.8 2004/05 3.2

11.0 7.42.73.80.00.911.8 2005/06 3.0

13.5 7.52.78.00.01.112.4 2006/07 1.0

16.0 7.52.78.00.01.312.8 2007/08 1.6

Russian Federation

34.1 35.512.53.11.01.522.2 2003/04 2.6

45.4 37.413.68.01.21.924.2 2004/05 3.9

47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.4 2005/06 3.8

44.9 36.414.110.80.91.923.7 2006/07 2.4

48.0 37.214.912.01.02.024.5 2007/08 2.2

Ukraine

3.6 9.00.40.13.41.52.5 2003/04 1.1

17.5 11.72.14.40.03.05.9 2004/05 2.6

18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.6 2005/06 2.4

14.0 11.72.13.40.12.55.5 2006/07 1.4

13.8 12.22.61.50.02.36.0 2007/08 1.5

Uzbekistan, Republic of

5.4 5.20.80.50.23.71.5 2003/04 0.9

5.3 5.71.00.10.43.81.4 2004/05 0.8

5.8 6.11.10.10.64.01.5 2005/06 1.0

5.9 6.51.10.11.14.51.3 2006/07 1.3

6.0 6.61.10.10.74.61.3 2007/08 1.3

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.8 9.41.20.12.62.32.9 2003/04 2.5

8.5 11.01.60.13.12.63.2 2004/05 3.0

8.7 11.31.70.13.12.63.3 2005/06 3.5

7.7 11.61.40.13.92.53.1 2006/07 3.4

7.2 11.31.30.03.42.52.9 2007/08 2.7

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

60.9 65.917.67.97.21.540.3 2003/04 10.8

86.6 73.221.015.54.81.946.5 2004/05 13.5

91.9 75.723.321.15.11.948.5 2005/06 13.7

85.9 73.721.422.45.91.946.0 2006/07 9.5

91.0 74.822.621.65.11.947.5 2007/08 9.3


November 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



November 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




2.1 2.01.90.70.01.21.8 2003/04 0.4

1.5 1.61.50.10.00.91.7 2004/05 0.2

1.5 1.41.30.10.00.91.6 2005/06 0.2

1.9 1.41.30.60.11.11.8 2006/07 0.3

2.3 1.31.21.00.01.31.8 2007/08 0.3

Russian Federation

18.0 18.613.72.30.41.710.5 2003/04 2.2

17.2 16.511.71.10.31.710.0 2004/05 2.1

15.8 15.510.91.70.21.79.2 2005/06 0.9

18.1 16.411.81.50.21.810.0 2006/07 1.2

17.0 16.111.61.60.21.79.8 2007/08 0.7

Ukraine

6.9 6.24.71.50.01.54.6 2003/04 0.6

11.1 6.44.74.30.02.54.5 2004/05 1.0

9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.4 2005/06 1.2

11.4 6.54.85.10.02.25.2 2006/07 1.0

6.2 5.74.01.00.01.44.4 2007/08 0.5


0.2 0.20.10.00.01.40.1 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.90.1 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.03.20.1 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0


2.5 2.61.80.00.22.01.2 2003/04 0.5

3.2 2.92.20.00.12.61.2 2004/05 0.8

2.9 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2005/06 0.7

2.4 2.51.90.00.12.11.1 2006/07 0.6

2.6 2.71.90.00.12.11.2 2007/08 0.6


29.6 29.522.24.50.71.618.3 2003/04 3.7

33.2 27.620.25.50.31.917.5 2004/05 4.2

29.5 25.217.95.80.41.816.3 2005/06 3.0

33.9 27.019.97.30.41.918.2 2006/07 3.1

28.3 26.018.93.60.31.617.3 2007/08 2.1


November 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



November 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2003/04 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2004/05 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2005/06 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

Russian Federation

2.1 2.62.20.00.53.00.7 2003/04 0.2

3.5 3.63.00.00.23.90.9 2004/05 0.2

3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.9 2005/06 0.1

3.6 3.63.10.10.23.61.0 2006/07 0.2

3.5 3.63.10.10.22.71.3 2007/08 0.2

Ukraine

6.9 5.64.91.20.03.42.0 2003/04 0.8

8.8 6.05.32.30.03.82.3 2004/05 1.3

7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.7 2005/06 0.9

6.4 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.1

7.0 5.65.01.50.03.71.9 2007/08 1.0


0.1 0.20.10.00.04.10.0 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.40.0 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0


2.2 2.52.20.10.12.90.7 2003/04 0.3

2.7 2.72.40.00.33.10.9 2004/05 0.5

2.5 2.82.50.00.43.10.8 2005/06 0.6

2.4 2.82.50.00.43.40.7 2006/07 0.5

2.1 2.42.10.00.12.70.8 2007/08 0.2


11.6 11.19.51.30.63.23.6 2003/04 1.3

15.4 12.711.02.40.53.74.2 2004/05 2.1

13.3 11.910.32.60.73.93.4 2005/06 1.7

12.8 12.110.51.10.53.63.5 2006/07 1.7

13.0 12.010.51.60.33.24.1 2007/08 1.4


November 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



November 2007

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.4 4.90.111.60.02.76.2 1999/00 0.6

16.2 5.00.111.30.02.56.4 2000/01 0.6

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.0 5.00.111.80.02.66.1 2004/05 0.6

14.5 5.00.19.60.02.95.0 2005/06 0.5

15.2 4.90.110.50.02.95.3 2006/07 0.3

15.5 4.90.110.50.03.05.2 2007/08 0.4

Australia

24.8 5.22.517.80.12.012.2 1999/00 4.6

22.1 5.32.615.90.11.812.1 2000/01 5.5

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.23.59.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.1

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 5.93.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.4 6.43.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.7

9.9 7.44.79.00.10.911.2 2006/07 3.3

13.0 5.73.09.00.11.112.2 2007/08 1.7

Canada

26.9 8.14.119.20.22.610.4 1999/00 7.3

26.5 7.03.017.30.22.411.0 2000/01 9.7

20.6 7.73.616.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.5

16.2 8.03.89.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.24.114.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.34.216.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.6

25.3 8.74.319.60.32.69.7 2006/07 6.8

20.6 8.53.714.00.32.48.7 2007/08 5.2

Total Wheat Competitors

68.1 18.26.648.60.32.428.7 1999/00 12.5

64.9 17.45.744.50.32.229.5 2000/01 15.8

60.4 18.16.442.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.7

38.6 19.37.325.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4


November 2007


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


63.7 18.46.443.30.32.229.0 2003/04 12.7

62.7 19.17.341.50.32.228.9 2004/05 15.2

65.6 19.78.041.60.42.426.9 2005/06 19.9

50.4 21.09.139.10.41.926.2 2006/07 10.5

49.1 19.16.833.50.41.926.1 2007/08 7.3

India

70.8 68.80.40.21.42.627.4 1999/00 13.1

76.4 66.80.51.60.42.827.5 2000/01 21.5

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.40.30.26.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

74.9 75.90.20.12.02.728.0 2007/08 5.5

Turkey

16.5 16.81.02.21.51.98.7 1999/00 1.6

18.0 16.71.01.60.52.18.7 2000/01 1.7

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.5

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.01.82.08.6 2006/07 1.8

15.5 16.50.61.51.51.88.6 2007/08 0.8

Notes: Wheat trade statistics are on July/June year.


November 2007


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

17.2 5.54.011.90.05.53.1 1999/00 0.5

15.4 5.63.99.70.05.52.8 2000/01 0.6

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.2

22.5 6.74.815.80.08.02.8 2006/07 1.2

22.5 6.74.816.00.07.53.0 2007/08 1.0

China, Peoples Republic of

128.1 117.389.59.90.14.925.9 1999/00 123.8

106.0 120.292.07.30.14.623.1 2000/01 102.4

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

145.5 143.0103.05.30.05.427.0 2006/07 32.5

145.0 148.0105.01.50.15.228.0 2007/08 28.1

South Africa, Republic of

11.5 8.94.11.40.03.03.8 1999/00 2.0

8.0 8.74.11.30.42.53.2 2000/01 0.5

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

6.7 8.64.00.51.42.42.8 2006/07 1.3

10.5 8.94.41.00.33.23.3 2007/08 2.2

Brazil

31.6 33.528.50.21.62.512.6 1999/00 1.7

41.5 34.529.56.30.23.213.0 2000/01 2.7

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2


November 2007


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.59.70.93.614.0 2006/07 4.2

50.0 42.536.08.00.83.614.0 2007/08 4.5

Total Corn Competitors

188.4 165.2126.123.51.74.145.4 1999/00 128.0

171.0 169.0129.524.50.84.142.1 2000/01 106.2

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.7

225.7 199.3146.331.32.34.846.6 2006/07 39.2

228.0 206.1150.226.51.14.748.3 2007/08 35.7

Notes: Corn Trade Statistics are on an Oct/Sept year.


November 2007


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Australia

5.0 2.61.72.60.01.92.6 1999/00 0.4

6.7 2.21.34.00.02.03.5 2000/01 1.0

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.6 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.8

3.8 3.72.82.00.01.04.0 2006/07 0.9

5.5 3.62.62.00.01.44.0 2007/08 0.9

Canada

13.2 11.49.91.70.03.24.1 1999/00 2.8

13.2 11.610.12.00.02.94.6 2000/01 2.5

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.91.20.13.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.8 9.78.32.40.12.94.1 2007/08 1.2

EU-27

59.3 53.238.59.70.24.014.7 1999/00 11.7

59.9 55.841.07.20.44.314.1 2000/01 9.0

58.8 54.939.74.21.44.214.1 2001/02 10.0

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.0 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.940.03.50.34.113.7 2006/07 5.6

57.6 54.338.54.50.24.213.6 2007/08 4.6

Notes: Barley trade statistics are on October/September year.


November 2007


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

3.4 2.52.40.90.04.60.7 1999/00 0.7

2.7 2.52.40.40.04.80.6 2000/01 0.4

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3

2.2 2.22.00.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.1

3.3 2.22.01.00.05.30.6 2006/07 0.2

3.3 2.32.11.10.05.10.7 2007/08 0.1

Australia

2.1 1.31.30.90.03.40.6 1999/00 0.1

1.9 1.31.30.60.02.60.8 2000/01 0.1

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

2.0 1.91.90.10.02.40.8 2005/06 0.1

1.0 1.01.00.10.02.00.5 2006/07 0.0

2.1 1.91.90.20.02.60.8 2007/08 0.1

Notes: Sorghum trade statistics are on October/September year.


November 2007

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Area Harvested

Yield Rough Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

Wheat

13,37430,4483,15022,83423,1391,9582,10643,705nr218,544 2002/03

14,87232,5075,52132,29531,5241,7601,71563,814nr321,474 2003/04

14,69931,8234,95528,46429,0091,9461,92158,738nr320,234 2004/05

15,54531,3574,34727,42427,2912,3092,21457,280nr320,283 2005/06

12,41431,0353,41025,02524,7293,3953,31749,316nr318,943 2006/07

8,48831,3243,40231,50031,2982,9002,44956,247nr320,644 2007/08

Corn

27,603200,748141,30340,92440,334374367227,767nr828,057 2002/03

24,337211,644147,19748,80948,258356358256,278nr928,710 2003/04

53,697224,648156,42845,34746,181281275299,914nr1029,798 2004/05

49,968232,063156,33756,08454,201210224282,311nr930,399 2005/06

33,117230,783142,18954,00053,970300304267,598nr928,590 2006/07

48,173260,108143,51760,00059,693375381334,476nr1034,832 2007/08

Sorghum

1,0934,9394,3284,8774,681119,163nr32,883 2002/03

8525,6384,6244,8455,0490010,446nr33,156 2003/04

1,4466,2554,8604,5414,6751111,523nr42,637 2004/05

1,6684,8233,5534,9614,936009,981nr42,321 2005/06

8143,9122,7694,4003,994027,050nr41,998 2006/07

1,4415,4614,5727,0006,9850013,073nr52,712 2007/08

Barley

1,5105,1791,8195526592824024,940nr31,669 2002/03

2,6194,9901,6173844094974496,059nr31,913 2003/04

2,7965,6722,2387715061572646,091nr41,627 2004/05

2,3504,5701,1323576061241174,613nr31,323 2005/06

1,5004,5961,2095004414252643,923nr31,194 2006/07

1,1044,3541,0891,0001,0894504354,612nr31,420 2007/08

Oats

7233,4802,43539381,7771,6401,684nr2833 2002/03

9413,3892,33038361,3021,5472,096nr2898 2003/04

8413,2972,22331391,6291,5571,679nr2723 2004/05

7633,2872,21740301,8311,5721,667nr2738 2005/06

7343,1812,10430381,7001,8311,359nr2634 2006/07

6563,2752,18630291,8001,8961,330nr2609 2007/08

Rye


November 2007

Area Harvested


Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

113218523109156165nr2106 2002/03

15297622110183219nr2129 2003/04

2034410724174143210nr2121 2004/05

183329610130139191nr2113 2005/06

1233710052125150183nr2111 2006/07

133248953100127201nr2117 2007/08

Rice, Milled

8293,534nr3,8343,8604584716,5369,57071,298 2002/03

7613,656nr3,0903,3104774786,4209,06871,213 2003/04

1,2113,935nr3,8623,4964194197,46210,54081,346 2004/05

1,3703,838nr3,3073,6606335447,11310,12571,361 2005/06

1,2684,059nr3,3002,9456756546,2488,78881,142 2006/07

8663,992nr3,4003,4227006836,3298,97781,105 2007/08

Notes: Wheat trade year statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats trade year statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice trade year statistics are for subsequent calendar year.


November 2007

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks


1,183.1 278.21,138.1556.8161.82.1569.7 1978/79

1,153.1 273.71,157.6573.9182.62.0569.0 1979/80

1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.2588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 339.91,253.6609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.51,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 468.91,299.5644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.0 422.01,329.8655.2202.22.4544.7 1987/88

1,218.0 337.41,302.6618.2203.32.2542.2 1988/89

1,327.7 318.71,346.4643.1208.92.4548.4 1989/90

1,416.7 365.81,369.6667.0190.12.6548.8 1990/91

1,355.4 356.41,364.8649.9207.52.5545.3 1991/92

1,431.0 395.01,389.5662.3205.22.6549.3 1992/93

1,356.2 362.41,388.8654.0188.22.5540.5 1993/94

1,392.4 358.61,396.3666.7200.12.6537.8 1994/95

1,339.1 317.31,380.4636.3187.52.5533.6 1995/96

1,491.9 366.51,442.7669.3198.42.7553.6 1996/97

1,491.6 413.11,445.0680.1190.32.8539.8 1997/98

1,480.9 445.41,448.7678.8198.72.8533.6 1998/99

1,463.6 440.71,467.7684.8214.32.8515.1 1999/00

1,444.0 416.31,468.4693.1205.12.8514.4 2000/01

1,475.2 399.21,492.3708.0208.52.9516.2 2001/02

1,443.8 336.21,506.8706.6209.82.8507.8 2002/03

1,470.4 272.51,534.2710.8205.92.9515.8 2003/04

1,642.6 328.21,586.9747.6213.93.2517.4 2004/05

1,599.2 311.41,616.0746.6221.73.1519.3 2005/06

1,573.8 258.51,626.7734.6228.43.1515.4 2006/07

1,657.7 245.01,671.2741.5224.93.1531.0 2007/08

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November 2007


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

438.9 134.8413.389.871.31.9228.9 1978/79

417.5 120.5431.994.085.51.8227.8 1979/80

435.9 112.7444.191.293.21.8236.9 1980/81

445.0 112.5445.190.6100.51.9238.9 1981/82

472.7 129.9455.692.897.72.0238.4 1982/83

484.3 145.3468.995.6101.22.1229.9 1983/84

508.9 168.0486.299.9104.72.2231.7 1984/85

494.8 178.3484.597.283.62.2229.8 1985/86

524.1 191.1511.3113.289.72.3227.9 1986/87

497.9 158.6530.3113.6114.12.3219.7 1987/88

495.0 134.0519.6104.0104.32.3217.4 1988/89

533.2 136.2531.0103.7103.92.4225.8 1989/90

588.0 170.5553.7130.1101.32.5231.4 1990/91

542.9 162.0551.5113.8111.42.4222.5 1991/92

561.6 175.7547.6110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.0 181.4552.4108.0101.72.5222.1 1993/94

523.2 162.1542.499.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.9 155.3544.891.999.22.5218.8 1995/96

582.6 164.5573.496.7104.02.5230.2 1996/97

610.0 197.0577.5100.9104.52.7228.4 1997/98

590.0 207.9579.1103.6102.02.6225.1 1998/99

585.8 208.5585.198.9112.02.7215.4 1999/00

581.5 205.8584.2104.1102.32.7217.6 2000/01

581.1 201.6585.3107.4108.02.7214.7 2001/02

568.4 166.3603.8111.7107.12.6214.6 2002/03

554.4 132.3588.496.2103.52.6209.5 2003/04

626.9 150.4608.7105.5112.72.9217.7 2004/05

621.7 147.6624.4111.3113.32.8218.4 2005/06

593.6 124.1617.2105.6115.02.8211.9 2006/07

603.3 109.8617.698.3105.52.8216.7 2007/08

Coarse Grains

744.1 143.3724.8467.090.52.2340.8 1978/79

735.5 153.2725.6479.997.12.2341.1 1979/80

723.5 142.6735.1471.4107.42.1340.7 1980/81

759.0 168.4733.2482.996.42.2348.9 1981/82

775.3 202.2741.5500.692.02.3338.6 1982/83

678.2 133.1747.3492.792.02.0333.9 1983/84

806.1 171.9767.4510.098.92.4335.3 1984/85

833.7 242.2763.4515.981.62.4341.1 1985/86

823.9 277.9788.2531.085.02.4337.7 1986/87

787.1 263.3799.5541.688.12.4325.0 1987/88

723.0 203.4782.9514.299.02.2324.9 1988/89

794.5 182.5815.4539.4105.02.5322.6 1989/90

828.6 195.2815.9537.088.92.6317.5 1990/91

812.5 194.4813.3536.196.22.5322.8 1991/92

869.3 219.3841.9551.491.92.7326.4 1992/93

798.1 181.1836.4546.186.52.5318.4 1993/94

869.2 196.5853.8567.298.62.7323.5 1994/95

801.2 162.1835.6544.488.22.5314.8 1995/96

909.3 202.1869.3572.794.42.8323.5 1996/97

881.6 216.2867.5579.185.82.8311.4 1997/98


November 2007

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

891.0 237.5869.6575.296.72.9308.6 1998/99

877.7 232.2882.6585.9102.42.9299.7 1999/00

862.5 210.5884.2588.9102.72.9296.8 2000/01

894.1 197.7906.9600.6100.53.0301.5 2001/02

875.3 170.0903.0594.9102.73.0293.2 2002/03

916.0 140.2945.7614.6102.43.0306.3 2003/04

1,015.7 177.8978.1642.1101.23.4299.7 2004/05

977.5 163.8991.6635.2108.43.2300.8 2005/06

980.2 134.51,009.5629.1113.43.2303.5 2006/07

1,054.4 135.21,053.6643.2119.43.4314.2 2007/08

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. 'Stocks as a Percent of Consumption' represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November 2007


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Corn

392.1 91.4378.0247.067.13.1126.0 1978/79

425.6 111.2405.8277.173.23.3127.3 1979/80

408.7 102.5417.9279.277.83.1131.2 1980/81

441.8 127.2417.1286.166.93.3133.0 1981/82

439.9 149.8417.3293.563.23.5125.2 1982/83

348.3 89.0409.1271.161.12.9119.7 1983/84

458.4 118.2429.2289.566.13.6129.0 1984/85

479.0 177.7419.5284.353.83.7131.0 1985/86

475.4 204.9448.3304.656.93.6131.9 1986/87

451.0 197.5458.3316.558.83.5127.2 1987/88

400.9 145.2453.2306.866.03.2126.3 1988/89

462.0 132.8474.4324.874.53.6127.5 1989/90

482.1 141.2473.7318.558.83.7129.4 1990/91

493.2 140.9493.6334.463.03.7132.7 1991/92

536.1 162.5512.5348.862.64.0133.3 1992/93

476.0 129.3509.3342.157.43.6130.9 1993/94

559.0 152.9535.4371.371.94.1135.3 1994/95

516.1 132.7536.3365.164.83.8134.9 1995/96

592.9 165.6560.0387.666.74.2141.7 1996/97

574.2 166.2573.7401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 190.4581.5404.568.74.3139.3 1998/99

607.6 192.9605.2422.872.34.4139.0 1999/00

590.7 173.7610.0427.975.94.3137.2 2000/01

600.2 150.3623.5436.272.84.4137.9 2001/02

603.3 125.6628.1433.176.94.4137.9 2002/03

627.2 103.9648.9445.179.14.4142.0 2003/04

714.8 130.7688.0473.476.04.9145.0 2004/05

696.4 123.0704.0476.382.64.8145.5 2005/06

703.4 105.0721.5471.390.54.7148.5 2006/07

768.2 110.4762.8481.593.24.9157.1 2007/08

Barley

175.6 24.3171.2123.910.62.280.9 1978/79

153.8 18.9159.2118.510.21.884.0 1979/80

157.4 18.3158.3111.213.52.078.6 1980/81

149.5 16.0151.8109.414.51.881.6 1981/82

161.2 21.5155.8113.416.02.078.8 1982/83

158.5 15.5164.5122.015.82.079.8 1983/84

170.5 23.1162.9122.417.42.279.2 1984/85

173.6 29.6167.2127.817.72.280.0 1985/86

178.1 33.8173.8132.118.32.279.6 1986/87

175.3 33.4173.6129.718.32.278.7 1987/88

164.0 31.1166.2121.919.02.176.4 1988/89

166.1 26.7170.5126.218.52.373.6 1989/90

179.0 29.8175.9130.419.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 33.3166.3120.219.42.276.4 1991/92

166.2 33.3165.6118.916.42.373.4 1992/93

169.2 33.5168.9123.718.82.374.7 1993/94

160.7 28.5165.8121.115.32.273.2 1994/95

141.6 19.5150.6107.713.42.169.0 1995/96

153.6 23.6149.4106.217.92.366.5 1996/97

154.3 32.2145.8103.712.82.464.9 1997/98


November 2007

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

135.7 28.9139.098.617.82.260.7 1998/99

127.5 24.0132.393.917.82.355.3 1999/00

132.8 22.8134.194.316.22.454.6 2000/01

142.3 28.8136.395.017.22.556.8 2001/02

134.8 27.2136.494.116.32.456.4 2002/03

142.5 22.5147.2102.514.82.459.6 2003/04

153.0 33.2142.399.517.02.757.7 2004/05

136.6 28.7141.196.517.42.555.7 2005/06

136.9 20.7145.0101.114.72.457.0 2006/07

134.5 15.5139.696.615.42.456.9 2007/08

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November 2007


World Rice: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Production TY Exports Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Rice, Milled

385.4 54.8252.311.8262.42.7143.6 1978/79

376.6 54.0257.612.0256.82.7141.2 1979/80

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.3 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.2 1984/85

467.3 97.7307.911.8318.03.2144.8 1985/86

481.9 103.3310.412.9316.03.3144.8 1986/87

465.0 105.3313.311.4315.33.3141.7 1987/88

491.0 111.7325.814.0332.23.4146.5 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.411.7345.33.5147.6 1989/90

518.9 126.7345.012.3351.03.5146.7 1990/91

522.9 126.8353.114.4353.33.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.3357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.4 119.1359.116.6354.93.6145.3 1993/94

539.5 117.8365.220.8363.93.7147.4 1994/95

547.2 118.4368.219.7368.83.7148.2 1995/96

564.5 120.6378.718.9380.93.8149.9 1996/97

574.5 127.9379.727.6387.03.8151.2 1997/98

586.5 134.4388.124.8394.63.8152.6 1998/99

608.2 143.5399.722.8408.93.9155.3 1999/00

593.4 147.3395.124.4398.83.9151.7 2000/01

594.2 133.4413.227.9399.33.9150.6 2001/02

562.4 103.5407.727.6377.83.9145.9 2002/03

584.2 82.1413.127.2391.73.9148.2 2003/04

596.6 74.9408.229.0401.04.0150.5 2004/05

622.7 77.4415.628.9418.14.1152.6 2005/06

622.7 77.2418.328.7418.04.1152.9 2006/07

627.4 74.1424.229.6421.24.1153.7 2007/08

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November 2007

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines,

Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea. OTHER NOTESStocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in marketing year imports and marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA



November 2007

database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 10-07 October 2007. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 11-07 November 2007. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



November 2007

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