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Office Snapshot Q4 2016Beijing
MARKETBEAT
Economic Indicators
Grade A CBD Market Indicators
Grade A CBD Rent & Vacancy Rate
Supply Pipeline
www.dtzcushwake.com
Q2 16 Q3 16Past 12-Month
Growth
GDP Growth 6.7% 6.7%
Tertiary Sector Growth 7.6% 7.3%
CPI Growth 1.2% 1.2%
Q3 16 Q4 1612-Month
Forecast
Average Effective
Rent* (RMB/sq m/mo)403.2 409.5
Vacancy Rate 4.5% 5.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
Vacancy
Rate
(%
)
Ren
t (R
MB
/sq
m/m
o)
Overall Rent Vacancy Rate (%)
Source: Beijing Statistics Bureau
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2017 2018 2019 2020
Lettable
Offic
e A
rea (
‘000 s
qm
)
Core Submarkets Emerging Submarkets
10 year (2007–2016) Historical Average= 647,000 sq m
BEIJING OFFICEEconomyBeijing’s GDP increased 6.7% over the first three quarters. The city’s
tertiary industry expanded 7.3% y-o-y for the year at the end of Q3,
up 1.1 percentage points over the same period in 2015.
Market OverviewDemand for office space continued to be strong in Q4, with net
absorption amounting to 785,000 sq m for the year. Wangjing-
Jiuxianqiao was the most active submarket, accounting for 22.9% of
transaction volume, followed by the Lufthansa submarket at a 16.3%
share. Robust demand was the main driving force behind rental
increases in the city.
Grade A offices averaged a gross effective rent of RMB387.2 per sq
m per month at the end of Q4, up 0.9% q-o-q. The five core
submarkets recorded a gross effective rent of RMB409.5 per sq m
per month on average, up 1.6% q-o-q. The Zhongguancun, Financial
Street and Lufthansa submarkets achieved the strongest rental
growth among submarkets.
New office supply in Q4 included Emperor, Lei Shing Hong Plaza
Phase II Tower B, Jinhui Building, Kaisa Plaza and Central Park
Plaza. These added a combined 267,220 sq m of Grade A offices
and helped lift the city’s annual new supply to 1,012,430 sq m, the
highest mark since 2008. Strong pre-leasing activity limited a
significant rise in the vacancy rate, which increased 0.8 percentage
points q-o-q to 6.6% at the end of Q4. Availability in the five core
submarkets remained stable at 5.0%, up 0.5 percentage points q-o-q.
Domestic companies dominated leasing activity, comprising 81.3% of
all transactions. Finance, high-tech and professional services firms
ranked as the top three sectors, accounting for 40.2%, 22.6% and
14.9% of volume, respectively.
OutlookIn 2017, approximately 2.38 million sq m of new office supply is
scheduled to launch. This will create both challenges and
opportunities in Beijing’s office market.
Ahead, Beijing’s July 2016 policy notice regarding real estate taxes
will take effect. The government policy could result in a tax hike on
landlords, resulting in additional costs passed on to tenants down the
road. We will closely monitor implementation and a possible rental
increase spurred by the new policy over the next year.
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Beijing
MARKETBEAT
www.dtzcushwake.com
SUBMARKETINVENTORY
(SQ M)VACANCY RATE
NEW
COMPLETIONS
YEAR-TO-DATE
(SQ M)
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
(SQ M)
GRADE A EFFECTIVE RENT*
RMB/SQ M/MO US$/SF/MO EUR/SF/MO
CBD 3,015,926 7.3% 172,949 2,631,429 380.2 5.1 4.9
Financial Street 1,382,533 0.6% 45,000 658,405 664.5 8.9 8.5
Lufthansa 1,008,293 8.4% 170,000 48,957 351.6 4.7 4.5
East 2nd Ring Road 1,130,655 3.4% 48,000 473,000 344.9 4.6 4.4
Zhongguancun 992,972 2.6% 90,632 654,000 358.9 4.8 4.6
BEIJING CBD Grade A Total 7,530,379 5.0% 526,581 4,465,791 409.5 5.5 5.2
WangJing-Jiuxianqiao 560,660 17.3% 209,000 475,552 280.9 3.8 3.6
Olympic Games Village (OGV) 557,039 14.4% 136,854 341,651 369.8 4.9 4.7
Beijing Development Area (BDA) 474,648 20.3% 30,000 - 159.6 2.1 2.0
Li‘ze Financial Business District - - - 1,439,717 - - -
Others* 179,353 - 109,995 563,042 - - -
BEIJING Overall Grade A Total 9,302,079 6.6% 1,012,430 7,285,753 387.2 5.2 5.0
Key Leasing Transactions Q4 2016
PROPERTY SUBMARKET TENANT SQ M LEASE TYPE
Oriental Plaza East 2nd Ring Road Roche Diagnostics 4,145 Renewal
Tian Run Fortune Center East 2nd Ring Road EDF 3,600 Relocation + Expansion
Beijing IFC CBD AstraZeneca 3,048 Renewal
Winland Int'l Center Financial Street Bloomberg 2,058 Renewal
Oriental Plaza East 2nd Ring Road Zhong Ou Asset Management 1,640 Relocation
Fortune Financial Center CBD China Orient Asset Management 1,401 Relocation
Oriental Plaza East 2nd Ring Road Diaoyutai MGM Hospitality 1,197 Renewal
UBP WangJing-Jiuxianqiao SONY 1,073 Relocation
Winland Int'l Center Financial Street Royal Bank of Canada 925 Renewal
Significant Projects Under Construction
PROPERTY SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT SQ M COMPLETION DATE
Hademen Plaza Other (Caishikou) - 86,000 Q1 2017
China World Trade Centre IIIB CBD - 71,429 Q1 2017
Aojin Building OGV - 71,000 Q1 2017
Metro Park Li‘ze - 250,000 Q2 2017
International Electronic Headquarter WangJing-Jiuxianqiao 160,000 Q2 2017
World Profit Center II Lufthansa - 48,957 Q3 2017
China Overseas Fortune Center OGV - 80,000 Q4 2017
Joy City Property Limited Building East 2nd Ring Road - 100,000 Q4 2017
Samsung Headquarters Building (Z2b) CBD - 120,000 Q1 2018
* Projects of others not belonging to any of the above submarkets.
** Effective Rent is calculated based on gross floor area and assuming a letting mid floors for a typical three-year lease term with rent-free periods factored in.
*** Exchange Rate: 1 USD = 6.950 CNY = 0.958 EUR
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Beijing
MARKETBEAT
www.dtzcushwake.com
James ShepherdManaging Director
Research, Greater China
Tel: +86 21 2208 0769
Sean Wang Vice President, Greater China,
Managing Director, North China
Tel: +86 10 8519 8168
Sabrina WeiSenior Associate Director
Head of North China Research Tel: +86 10 8519 8087
About Cushman & WakefieldCushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients transform the way people work, shop and live. The firm’s 43,000
employees in more than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for occupiers and investors around the world. In
Greater China, the firm has a co-branded presence under the name of DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield and operates 20 offices in the region. Cushman &
Wakefield is among the largest commercial real estate services firms with revenues of $5 billion across core services of agency leasing, asset services,
capital markets, facility services, global occupier services, investment & asset management, project management, tenant representation and valuation &
advisory. To learn more, please visit www.dtzcushwake.com or follow us on Weibo/WeChat (DTZ_China).
DisclaimerThis report has been produced by DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield for use by those with an interest in commercial property solely for information purposes. It is
not intended to be a complete description of the markets or developments to which it refers. The report uses information obtained from public sources which
DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield believe to be reliable, but we have not verified such information and cannot guarantee that it is accurate and complete.
No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained herein and DTZ/Cushman
& Wakefield shall not be liable to any reader of this report or any third party in any way whatsoever. DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield shall not be held responsible
for and shall be released and held harmless from any decision made together with any risks associated with such decision in reliance upon any expression of
opinion in the report. Our prior written consent is required before this report can be reproduced in whole or in part.
© 2017 DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield All rights reserved.
Contact
Jonathan WeiSenior Director
Head of Mainland China Occupier ServicesTel: +86 21 2208 0119
Charles Yan Director
Head of North China Occupier Services
Tel: +86 10 8519 8194
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Guangzhou
MARKETBEAT
Economic Indicators
Guangzhou Grade A Office Market Indicators
Guangzhou Grade A Office Rent & Vacancy Rate
Supply Pipeline
www.dtzcushwake.com
EconomyGuangzhou’s economy expanded 8.1% y-o-y over the first three
quarters compared to 8.0% in the first half. The city’s tertiary
sector increased 8.9% y-o-y, while CPI accelerated 1.9% y-o-y.
Market OverviewThe Guangzhou office market added 310,982 sq m of new Grade
A supply in Q4, raising stock in core submarkets to 4.68 million sq
m. New office buildings included Central Tower and Top Plaza
East Tower in Zhujiang New Town, pushing up the submarket’s
stock to 3.15 million sq m. Elsewhere, Baodi Plaza in the Pazhou
submarket formally launched.
The market’s overall vacancy rate dropped 1.1 percentage points
q-o-q to 14.3% in Q4. Zhujiang New Town continued to attract
companies from other submarkets due to a wide selection of new
premium quality buildings and aggressive leasing campaigns,
driving down the vacancy rate 2.5 percentage points q-o-q to
13.2%. The vacancy rate in Pazhou increased 4.3 percentage
points q-o-q to 45.9%, while levels in other submarkets remained
stable.
Rents for Grade A offices averaged RMB168.8 per sq m per month
in Q4, up 0.6% q-o-q. Among submarkets, average rents in
Zhujiang New Town advanced the most at 1.3% q-o-q due to
steady occupancy at newer buildings. Average rentals were stable
in Yuexiu and Tianhe Sport Center, but declined 1.8% in Pazhou
as a number of properties struggled with high vacancy and leased
out their premises by using a low-rent strategy.
For the full year, Guangzhou received a record 940,000 sq m of
new office supply. Although net absorption also amounted to a
new high of 575,000 sq m in 2016, the vacancy rate increased 6
percentage points y-o-y. Owing to the high quality of new office
supply, average rents grew 0.4% in 2016 compared to the
previous year.
OutlookA total of 279,000 sq m of Grade A office supply is planned for
delivery in 2017, with all new buildings located in Pazhou. A
significant drop in new office supply in the coming year compared
to 2016 should bring down vacancies given a continuation of
strong absorption. We forecast average rents to remain stable, but
Zhujiang New Town should see a gradual rise in rents.
Q2 16 Q3 16Past 12-Month
Growth
GDP Growth 8.0% 8.1%
Tertiary Sector Growth 8.9% 8.9%
CPI Growth 2.6% 1.9%
Q3 16 Q4 1612-Month
Forecast
Average Face Rent
(RMB/sq m/month)167.9 168.8
Vacancy Rate 15.4% 14.3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
160
162
164
166
168
170
172
174
Vacancy R
ate
(%
)
Fa
ce R
ent (R
MB
/sq
m/m
o)
Face Rent Vacancy Rate (%)
Source: Statistics Bureau of Guangzhou Municipality
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GF
A (
‘000 s
qm
)
GUANGZHOU OFFICE MARKET
*Data only covers major business hubs in urban Guangzhou
10 year (2006–2015) Historical Average = 336,621 sq m
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Guangzhou
MARKETBEAT
www.dtzcushwake.comCopyright © 2017 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from mult iple sources considered
to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy.
About Cushman & WakefieldCushman & Wakefield is a global leader in commercial real estate services, helping clients transform the way people work, shop, and live. The firm’s 43,000
employees in more than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for occupiers and investors around the world.
Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest commercial real estate services firms in the world with revenues of $5 billion across core services of agency
leasing, asset services, capital markets, facilities services (branded C&W Services), global occupier services, investment management (branded DTZ
Investors), tenant representation and valuations & advisory. To learn more, visit www.dtzcushwake.com or follow @Cushwake on Twitter.
SUBMARKETINVENTORY
(SQ M)VACANCY RATE
NEW COMPLETIONS
YEAR-TO-DATE
(SQ M)
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
(SQ M)
GRADE A FACE RENT*
RMB/SQ M/MO US$/SF/MO EUR/SF/MO
Tianhe Sports Center 826,963 3.6% 0 0 ¥170.7 $2.3 $2.2
Zhujiang New Town 3,150,141 13.2% 631,152 281,000 ¥179.7 $2.4 $2.3
Yuexiu 269,988 8.4% 57,000 0 ¥126.8 $1.7 $1.6
Pazhou 436,175 45.9% 253,220 1,532,499 ¥115.5 $1.5 $1.4
Others - - - 1,251,129 - -- --
GUANGZHOU Grade A Total 4,683,267 14.3% 941,372 3,064,628 ¥168.8 $2.3 $2.2
Key Leasing Transactions Q4 2016
PROPERTY SUBMARKET TENANT SQ M LEASE TYPE
Guangzhou IFP Zhujiang New Town LUSO International Banking 1,666 New Setup
Central Tower Zhujiang New Town Can-Achieve 1,000 Relocation
Central Tower Zhujiang New Town NITECORE 1,000 Relocation
Leatop Plaza Zhujiang New TownA department of Country
Garden Real Estate580 New Setup
Significant Projects Under Construction
PROPERTY SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT SQ M COMPLETION DATE
Guangzhou Hypermedia Center Pazhou - 67,918 2017
Bravo International Trade Pazhou - 123,136 2017
Poly Tianmu Tower Pazhou - 88,858 2017
GF Securities Building Zhujiang New Town - 100,000 2018
Sancheng IFC Zhujiang New Town - 120,000 2018
Huijin Center Financial Town - 100,000 2018
James ShepherdManaging Director
Research, Greater China
Tel: +86 21 2208 0769
Kelvin LiManaging Director, Central China
General Manager,
Guangzhou & ZhengzhouTel: +86 20 8510 8138
Coco LinAssociate Director
Head of Central China Research
Tel: +86 20 8510 8209
1US$ = 6.950¥= 0.958 € as at 23 December 2016
Contacts
Jonathan WeiManaging Director
Head of Greater China Occupier
Service
Tel: +86 21 2208 0119
Connie QiuSenior Associate Director
Head of Guangzhou Occupier Service
Tel: +86 20 8510 8282
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Shanghai
MARKETBEAT
Economic Indicators
Grade A CBD Market Indicators
Grade A CBD Rent & Vacancy Rate
CBD Supply Pipeline
www.cushmanwakefield.com
EconomyShanghai’s GDP increased 6.7% y-o-y over the first three
quarters of 2016 compared to 6.8% growth in 2015. The city’s
service sector posted 10.6% growth in Q3, while CPI edged up
slightly to 3.2%.
Market OverviewNew Grade A completions for the quarter included HKRI Centre
One and Shanghai Tower. The 545,591 sq m of total new office
supply increased Grade A central CBD stock to more than 6.41
million sq m at the end of Q4. The large volume of new supply,
plus growing competition in suburban office markets, pushed up
the vacancy rate to 10.5% in Shanghai’s central CBD area, up
from 7.3% in Q3. New Huangpu recorded the highest availability
ratio among CBD office submarkets at 16.8%.
The leasing market picked up due in part to landlords’ moving to
fill empty space in newly added buildings. Pre-leasing activity at
several landmark office projects helped net absorption increase
from the previous quarter and amount to 301,751 sq m in Q4.
The market recorded a total of 411,429 sq m of net absorption for
2016, down 25.6% from 2015 as a number of private financial
firms walked away from their leases.
Rents for Grade A offices in Shanghai’s core CBD edged down
0.9% q-o-q to RMB316.5 per sq m per month on average at the
end of Q4. The modest decline was softened because of higher
rents commanded at recently added landmark downtown projects,
as properties like HKRI Centre One and Shanghai Tower drove a
rebound in take-up in the central CBD area.
On the sales side, our estimated capital values for Grade A
central CBD office buildings reached an average of RMB81,835
per sq m in Q4, down slightly from the previous quarter due to
the rental correction. Chinese domestic buyers continued to
dominate the en-bloc office investment market. Market yields slid
back further to 4.6% at the end of Q4.
OutlookAhead, the market will receive approximately 200,000 sq m of
new office supply in the first quarter of 2017 in core CBD, which
will continue to put short-term pressure on vacancies in some
districts. Emerging areas, such as the Hongqiao Hub, will
continue to add new office buildings, providing more options for
occupiers. Thus, into 2017, downward pressure will be placed on
rents, as new office buildings are delivered and slower economic
growth conditions persist.
Looking generally ahead, Shanghai’s office rentals should
continue to adjust between -1.5% and -0.5% in Q1 2017.
Vacancy levels are expected to increase marginally by 1–3
percentage points, as the market digests several new
completions. Investor sentiment is expected to stabilize in the
coming year and yields should remain low.
Q2 16 Q3 16Past 12-Month
Growth
GDP Growth 6.7% 6.7%
Service Sector GDP
Growth11.6% 10.6%
CPI Growth 3.1% 3.2%
Q3 16 Q4 1612-Month
Forecast
Average Face Rent*
(RMB/sq m/mo)319.4 316.5
Vacancy Rate 7.3% 10.5%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
240
260
280
300
320
340
Vacancy R
ate
(%
)
Rent (R
MB
/sq m
/mo
)
Overall Rent Vacancy Rate (%)
Source: Shanghai Statistics Bureau
Note: Growth figure is y-o-y growth
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2017 2018 2019 2020
Gro
ss F
loor
Are
a (
‘000 s
q m
)
10-year Historical Average = 0.41 million sq m
SHANGHAI OFFICE
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Shanghai
MARKETBEAT
SUBMARKETINVENTORY
(SQ M)VACANCY RATE
NEW
COMPLETIONS
YEAR-TO-DATE
(SQ M)
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
(SQ M)
GRADE A FACE RENT
RMB/SQ M/MO US$/SF/MO EUR/SF/MO
Core Jing’an 958,520 8.0% 130,169 419,652 ¥338.1 US$4.52 €4.33
New Huangpu 1,456,434 16.8% 219,775 745,125 ¥305.3 US$4.08 €3.91
Lujiazui 1,758,402 8.6% 248,000 478,527 ¥400.3 US$5.35 €5.13
Zhuyuan 730,847 9.6% 64,836 154,836 ¥294.1 US$3.93 €3.76
Changning 834,435 10.8% 84,291 255,029 ¥233.0 US$3.12 €2.99
Core Xuhui 677,044 6.0% - 377,700 ¥289.5 US$3.87 €3.71
SHANGHAI CBD Grade A Total 6,415,682 10.5% 747,071 2,313,569 ¥316.5 US$4.23 €4.05
Shanghai Suburban Grade A 2,251,909 17.3% 421,954 5,154,416 ¥204.8 US$2.74 €2.62
Key Leasing Transactions Q4 2016
PROPERTY SUBMARKET TENANT SQ M LEASE TYPE
Sinar Mas Centre Hongkou Yinheng Law Firm 3,000 Relocation
Jinmao Tower Lujiazui Euler Hermes 2,600 New Setup
Changning Plaza 88 Changning Lianhezhongchuang 2,600 Relocation
Corporate Avenue T3 New Huangpu SDIC 2,000 New Setup
Significant Projects Under Construction
PROPERTY SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT SQ M COMPLETION DATE
HKRI Centre Two Core Jing’an - 60,000 2017
China Life Financial Centre Lujiazui - 105,000 2017
Qiantan World Trade Centre I Qiantian - 78,007 2017
ITC Phase I Xuhui - 16,634 2017
Sinar Mas Centre Hongkou - 136,798 2017
One Museum Place Core Jing’an - 132,000 2018
CapitaMall Luone New Huangpu - 44,125 2018
Qiantan Crystal Plaza Qiantian - 200,000 2018
ITC Phase II T1 Xuhui - 29,409 2018
Park Avenue Central Core Jing’an - 98,952 2020
* Rental equals “Gross Transacted Face Rental”
1 USD = 6.950 RMB = 0.958 EUR
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Note: All figures are approximate.
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Shanghai
MARKETBEAT
James ShepherdManaging Director, Research, Greater China
Tel: +86 21 2208 0769
Mimie Lau Managing Director, East China
Tel: +86 2208 0100
Shaun BrodieHead of China Strategy ResearchTel: +86 21 2208 0529
About Cushman & WakefieldCushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients transform the way people work, shop and live. The firm’s 43,000
employees in more than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for occupiers and investors around the world. In
Greater China, the firm has a co-branded presence under the name of DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield and operates 20 offices in the region. Cushman &
Wakefield is among the largest commercial real estate services firms with revenues of $5 billion across core services of agency leasing, asset services,
capital markets, facility services, global occupier services, investment & asset management, project management, tenant representation and valuation &
advisory. To learn more, please visit www.cushmanwakefield.com or follow us on Weibo/WeChat (DTZ_China).
DisclaimerThis report has been produced by DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield LLP for use by those with an interest in commercial property solely for information purposes. It
is not intended to be a complete description of the markets or developments to which it refers. The report uses information obtained from public sources
which DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield LLP believe to be reliable, but we have not verified such information and cannot guarantee that it is accurate and complete.
No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained herein and DTZ/Cushman
& Wakefield LLP shall not be liable to any reader of this report or any third party in any way whatsoever. All expressions of opinion are subject to change.
Our prior written consent is required before this report can be reproduced in whole or in part.
© 2017 DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield LLP. All rights reserved.
Contact
Jonathan WeiHead of Mainland China Occupier ServicesTel: +86 21 2208 0119
Vicky Shen Head of Office Services
Tel: +86 21 2208 0189
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Shenzhen
MARKETBEAT
Economic Indicators
City Overall Grade A Market Indicators
Overall Rent & Vacancy Rate
Supply Pipeline
www.dtzcushwake.com
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Lett
able
Off
ice A
rea (
‘000 s
qm
)
Future Supply New Completions Year-to-Date
EconomyShenzhen’s economy expanded 8.7% y-o-y to RMB1,376.8 billion through
the first three quarters of 2016. The tertiary sector grew 10.5% y-o-y to
RMB845.1 billion, accounting for over 60% of GDP.
Market OverviewThe market added 404,760 sq m of new Grade A office supply in Q4. There
were four project launches, including the headquarters of China
Construction Steel and CNOOC in the Houhai area of Nanshan district, as
well as 172,700 sq m of new quality buildings in other areas . New supply for
2016 totaled 650,020 sq m, raising stock to more than 3.4 million sq m.
The vacancy rate jumped 4.9 percentage points q-o-q to 13.3% in Q4
despite a large proportion of space being taken up for owner-occupation. By
submarket, a surge of new supply in Nanshan caused the vacancy rate to
spike 15.7 percentage points q-o-q to 26.9% despite attracting robust net
absorption amounting to 159,194 sq m in Q4. Futian district was a strong
spot, maintaining a vacancy rate below 10% thanks to mature supporting
facilities, a convenient transportation network and industry clustering.
Grade A office rents slid back for the third consecutive quarter in Q4, edging
down 1.9% to average RMB247.7 per sq m per month. Futian and Luohu
districts saw average rents dip 0.4% and 0.3% q-o-q, respectively. However,
average rents in Nanshan grew 0.4% q-o-q on strong demand, property
upgrades and favorable policies.
Net absorption amounted to 202,283 sq m in Q4. Due to the completion of
several headquarter buildings and promulgation of favorable policies,
Nanshan has done well to attract a large number of companies in the
financial and scientific industries. In particular, banks are tending to fill out
their back offices in Nanshan for its lower rental levels and high-tech
industry clustering.
OutlookAhead, the market is set to add a massive 1,387,306 sq m of new Grade A
office supply in 2017, resulting in downward pressure on rents across the
market. At the same time, the launch of new premium quality buildings will
pull up rentals to some extent and help the market maintain stable to
modestly declining rents in 2017.
Despite the supply surge, Shenzhen has good prospects for stable demand
of quality office space thanks to the kicking-off of Shenzhen-Hong Kong
Stock Connect and ongoing development of the city’s financial and high-tech
industries.
Q2 16 Q3 16Past 12-Month
Growth
GDP Growth 8.6% 8.7%
Tertiary Sector Growth 9.5% 10.5%
CPI Growth 2.6% 2.4%
Q3 16 Q4 1612-Month
Forecast
Average Face Rent*
(RMB/sq m/mo)252.4 247.7
Vacancy Rate 8.4% 13.3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Vacancy R
ate
(%
)
Rent (R
MB
/sq
m/m
o)
Overall Rent Vacancy Rate
Source: Shenzhen Statistics Bureau
SHENZHEN OFFICE
10-year Historical Average = 0.19 million sq m
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Shenzhen
MARKETBEAT
www.dtzcushwake.comCopyright © 2017 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from mult iple sources considered
to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy.
About Cushman & WakefieldCushman & Wakefield is a global leader in commercial real estate services, helping clients transform the way people work, shop, and live. The firm’s 43,000
employees in more than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for occupiers and investors around the world.
Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest commercial real estate services firms in the world with revenues of $5 billion across core services of agency
leasing, asset services, capital markets, facilities services (branded C&W Services), global occupier services, investment management (branded DTZ
Investors), tenant representation and valuations & advisory. To learn more, visit www.dtzcushwake.com or follow @Cushwake on Twitter.
SUBMARKETINVENTORY
(SQ M)VACANCY RATE
NEW COMPLETIONS
YEAR-TO-DATE
(SQ M)
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
(SQ M)
GRADE A FACE RENT*
RMB/SQ M/MO US$/SF/MO EUR/SF/MO
Luohu 541,813 5.7% 0 40,170 ¥ 223.42 US$2.99 €2.86
Futian 2,034,677 9.5% 244,700 2,129,214 ¥ 272.63 US$3.64 €3.49
Nanshan 860,923 26.9% 405,320 5,719,126 ¥ 203.98 US$2.73 €2.61
SHENZHEN Grade A Total 3,437,4513 13.3% 650,020 7,888,510 ¥ 247.68 US$3.31 €3.17
Key Leasing Transactions Q4 2016
PROPERTY SUBMARKET TENANT SQ M LEASE TYPE
CNOOC Tower Nanshan Qihan Technology 4,000 New Lease
China Energy Storage Tower Nanshan BOE 2,156 New Lease
NH ECOOL Nanshan Hasbro 6,221 Renew Lease
KK ONE Luohu Dah Sing Bank 2,832 Relocation
Significant Projects Under Construction
PROPERTY SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT SQ M COMPLETION DATE
PAFC (North Tower) Futian - 320,000 2017
China Life Building Futian - 76,000 2017
China Merchants Securities Building Futian - 50,000 2017
WTC Futian - 80,000 2017
Bosera Asset Building Futian - 75,000 2018
Hanking Financial Center Nanshan - 62,719 2018
China Investment Headquarters Building Nanshan - 49,300 2018
Shenzhen Center (350m) Futian - 150,000 2019
China Resources Dachong T7 Nanshan - 101,000 2019
Kerry Qianhai Center Nanshan - 120,000 2019
James ShepherdManaging Director
Research, Greater China
Tel: +86 21 2208 0769
Edward CheungChairman, Asia Pacific Board
Chief Executive, Greater ChinaTel: +86 21 2208 0338
Cheng Jia-longManaging Director,
South & West ChinaTel: +86 755 2151 8188
Zhang Xiao-duanHead of South & West China ResearchTel: +86 755 2151 8116
*Grade A Transacted Face Rent is exclusive of service charges and government rates and based on gross area
1 USD = 6.95 RMB = 0.958 EUR as at 23 December 2016
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Hong Kong
MARKETBEAT
Economic Indicators
Grade A CBD Market Indicators
Overall Grade A Rent & Availability
Supply Pipeline
www.cushmanwakefield.com
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
$70
$72
$74
$76
$78
$80
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
Q214
Q314
Q414
Q115
Q215
Q315
Q415
Q116
Q216
Q316
Q416
Overall Rent Overall Availability Rate
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MSF(Net)
EconomyHong Kong’s economy continued to pick up, posting GDP growth
of 1.9% y-o-y in Q3. CPI increased 1.2% y-o-y, while the
unemployment rate fell for the first time since 2015 to 3.3%.
Market OverviewGrade A office rents were flat in Q4 compared to the previous
quarter. Overall rents increased 1.9% in 2016, fueled by a 9.6%
advance in Prime Central. Other key submarkets had little or no
rental change in Q4, finishing up as high as 3% in 2016 compared
to the previous year.
Net absorption amounted to 25,944 sf in 2016, a plunge compared
to the 1.7 million sf recorded in 2015 as leasing activity slowed in
core submarkets. Greater Central, Wanchai/Causeway Bay and
Tsimshatsui each recorded over 100,000 sf negative absorption
for 2016. On the other hand, decentralized areas such as Hong
Kong South, Kowloon East and Kowloon Others each recorded
positive net absorption of 100,000 sf. This continues a pattern of
occupiers relocating to decentralized areas for cost savings.
Due to one new completion in Kowloon East, availability in the
submarket surged from 7.3% to 11.5% at the end of Q4. The
increase pulled up overall availability in the market 0.8 percentage
points q-o-q to 7.2%. This is believed to be only the beginning of
some landlords in Kowloon East being under pressure to destock.
PRC occupiers did not slow down take-up of core office spaces.
Huarong expanded by a total of 44,800 sf in Two Pacific Place and
AIA Central. Haiyin Wealth Management also leased over 15,000
sf in Three Pacific Place.
OutlookRents across all submarkets are expected to flatten in 2017
although Greater Central may post 3% growth provided that PRC
occupiers remain active. Overall demand is unlikely to be strong,
and a 300,000 sf annual absorption level is forecasted. With
approximately 3 million sf of new supply to be delivered next year,
of which nearly 2 million sf coming from the Kowloon East
submarket, rents in the Kowloon East and Kowloon West
submarket are expected to trend downwards.
Q2 16 Q3 1612-Month
Forecast
GDP Growth 1.7% 1.9%
CPI Growth 2.4% 1.2%
Unemployment Rate 3.4% 3.3%
Q3 16 Q4 1612-Month
Forecast
Overall Rent (HK$/SF/MO) $118.73 $120.09
Availability 4.1% 4.2%
Source: Census and Statistics Department, Oxford Economics
10-year Historical Average = 1.43 million sf
HONG KONG OFFICE
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Hong Kong
MARKETBEAT
www.cushmanwakefield.comCopyright © 2017 DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources
considered to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy.
About Cushman & WakefieldCushman & Wakefield is a global leader in commercial real estate services, helping clients transform the way people work, shop, and live. The firm’s 43,000 employees in more
than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for occupiers and investors around the world. Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest
commercial real estate services firms in the world with revenues of $5 billion across core services of agency leasing, asset services, capital markets, facilities services (branded
C&W Services), global occupier services, investment management (branded DTZ Investors), tenant representation and valuations & advisory. To learn more, visit
www.cushmanwakefield.com or follow @Cushwake on Twitter.
SUBMARKETINVENTORY
(SF NET)AVAILABILITY
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
(SF NET)
GRADE A NET EFFECTIVE RENT
HK$/SF/MO US$/SF/MO EUR/SF/MO
Prime Central 7,540,999 3.1% 0 134.21 US$17.29 € 16.56
Greater Central (CBD) 15,445,040 4.2% 0 120.09 US$15.47 € 14.81
Wan Chai / Causeway Bay 8,816,654 6.3% 498,400 72.98 US$9.40 € 9.00
Hong Kong East 7,354,079 4.2% 1,676,500 47.42 US$6.11 € 5.85
Hong Kong South 1,972,175 14.0% 445,100 29.36 US$3.78 € 3.62
Hong Kong Island Total 33,587,948 5.3% 2,620,000 84.42 US$10.87 € 10.41
Tsimshatsui 8,136,180 4.6% 435,400 67.83 US$8.74 € 8.37
Kowloon East 11,913,393 11.5% 3,156,200 29.80 US$3.84 € 3.68
Kowloon West 3,715,673 6.8% 135,500 40.90 US$5.27 € 5.05
Kowloon Others 2,139,747 22.3% 79,500 33.96 US$4.37 € 4.19
Kowloon Total 25,904,994 9.6% 3,806,600 42.15 US$5.43 € 5.20
Overall Total 59,492,942 7.2% 6,426,600 78.79 US$10.15 € 9.72
Key Leasing Transactions Q4 2016
PROPERTY SUBMARKET TENANT SF LEASE TYPE
Lot NKIL 6512 – Hoi Bun Road Kowloon East JP Morgan 225,000 Relocation
COS Centre Kowloon East Bank of Communications 39,300 Relocation
Two Pacific Place Greater Central Huarong 32,300 Expansion
Manulife Financial Centre Tower B Kowloon East Crown Motors 30,700 Relocation
The Gateway – Tower 1 Tsimshatsui AIA 24,300 Expansion
*Grade A Net Effective Rent is exclusive of service charges and government rates and based on net area. US$/HK$ = 7.763; €/HK$ = 8.106 as at 23 December 2016
Significant Projects Under Construction
PROPERTY SUBMARKET DEVELOPER SF COMPLETION TIME*
18 King Wah Road Hong Kong East Henderson 256,000 Q3 2017
Junction of Hang Yip Street, Wai Yip Street Kowloon East Mapletree 532,000 Q4 2017
Hong Kong K11 Office Tsimshatsui New World 283,000 Q4 2017
Lee Garden Three Wan Chai / Causeway Bay Hysan 349,000 Q4 2017
Junction of Wang Chiu Road and Lam Lee Street Kowloon East Swire 511,000 Q3 2017
Contacts
John Siu James Shepherd Catherine Bai
Managing Director Managing Director Manager, Hong Kong Research
16/F, Jardine House Research, Greater China 16/F, Jardine House
1 Connaught Place, Central, Hong Kong 1366 Nanjing West Road, Shanghai 1 Connaught Place, Central, Hong Kong
Tel: +852 2956 7088 Tel: +86 21 2208 0769 Tel: +852 2956 7077
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
*Preliminary figure
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Taipei
MARKETBEAT
Economic Indicators
Grade A Market Indicators
Grade A Rent & Vacancy Rate
Supply Pipeline
www.dtzcushwake.com
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2017 2018 2019
Lett
ab
le O
ffic
e A
rea (
Pin
g)
EconomyTaiwan's GDP increased 2% y-o-y to NT$4,282,125 billion
(US$135.75 billion) in Q3. The economy remained in positive territory
thanks to strong domestic demand, such as a lively auto market and
stable private investment. The tertiary sector posted 0.9% y-o-y
growth in Q3, while CPI cooled to 0.7% y-o-y.
Market OverviewTaipei’s Grade A office rents dipped 0.5% q-o-q to average
NT$2,480 (US$78.58) per ping per month at the end of Q4.
Leasing activity was robust with takeup of 4,700 ping in Q4, driving
down the citywide vacancy rate 0.7 percentage points q-o-q to 9.7%.
Xinyi District saw the largest vacancy decline among submarkets at
1.1 percentage points q-o-q, followed by Western District at a 0.6
percentage point decline. The refurbishment of a number of outdated
office buildings has been an important driver of leasing demand.
Delivery of new quality office buildings helped push takeup to 19,000
ping for 2016, which is above the 10-year average of 16,000 ping per
year. Relocations were the major source of occupier demand in 2016.
In Q4, relocations from the Dunbei/Minsheng submarket to Xinyi led
the way at about 4,000 ping, whereas relocations within the Xinyi
Area submarket amounted to 2,700 ping.
Xinyi District attracted a number of tenants with an expiring lease
due to its favorable location, convenient transportation network and
resources. Elsewhere, a number of companies upgraded their
premises to Grade A offices in Western District, which boasts strong
connectivity to other areas of Taiwan and cheaper rentals on the
whole. A clustering effect also is driving a number of Japanese
companies to Western District.
OutlookTaipei is set to add approximately 60,000 ping of new office supply in
2017. Two expected deliveries are Taiwan Cooperative Bank
Headquarters Building at about 30,000 ping and the 29,000-ping Nan
Shan Plaza. The new properties should help continue the market’s
relocation trend. Rental levels in Xinyi District are forecasted to
remain stable, while those in other areas will face downward
pressure on rents.
Q2 16 Q3 16Past 12-Month
Growth
GDP Growth 1.1% 2.0%
Tertiary Sector Growth 0.7% 0.9%
CPI Growth 1.3% 0.7%
Q3 16 Q4 1612-Month
Forecast
Rent (NT$/ping/mo) 2,490 2,480
Vacancy Rate 10.4% 9.7%
10-year Historical Average = 11,600 ping
TAIPEI OFFICE
Source: Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2,200
2,250
2,300
2,350
2,400
2,450
2,500
2,550
2,600
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Q4
Rent (NTD/ping/mo) Vacancy Rate (%)
Office Snapshot Q4 2016Taipei
MARKETBEAT
www.dtzcushwake.com
About Cushman & WakefieldCushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients transform the way people work, shop and live. The firm’s 43,000
employees in more than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for occupiers and investors around the world. In
Greater China, the firm has a co-branded presence under the name of DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield and operates 20 offices in the region. Cushman &
Wakefield is among the largest commercial real estate services firms with revenues of $5 billion across core services of agency leasing, asset services,
capital markets, facility services, global occupier services, investment & asset management, project management, tenant representation and valuation &
advisory. To learn more, please visit www.dtzcushwake.com or follow us on Weibo/WeChat (DTZ_China).
DisclaimerThis report has been produced by DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield LLP for use by those with an interest in commercial property solely for information purposes. It
is not intended to be a complete description of the markets or developments to which it refers. The report uses information obtained from public sources
which DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield LLP believe to be reliable, but we have not verified such information and cannot guarantee that it is accurate and complete.
No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained herein and DTZ/Cushman
& Wakefield LLP shall not be liable to any reader of this report or any third party in any way whatsoever. All expressions of opinion are subject to change.
Our prior written consent is required before this report can be reproduced in whole or in part.
© 2017 DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield LLP. All rights reserved.
SUBMARKETINVENTORY
(PING)VACANCY RATE
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
(PING)
GRADE A RENT
NT$/PING/MO US$/SF/MO EUR/SF/MO
Western 46,800 6.2% 0 2,100 US$1.87 €1.76
Nanjing/Songjiang 35,700 24.9% 0 2,050 US$1.83 €1.71
Dunbei/Minsheng 166,000 12.6% 41,500 2,280 US$2.03 €1.91
Dunnan 103,700 5.4% 0 2,400 US$2.14 €2.01
Xinyi 306,800 8.4% 51,800 2,930 US$2.61 €2.45
Taipei City 659,000 9.7% 93,300 2,480 US$2.21 €2.07
Key Leasing Transactions Q4 2016
PROPERTY SUBMARKET TENANT PING LEASE TYPE
Cathay Landmark Xinyi Mizuho Bank 2,100 Relocation
Union Recreation Building Dunbei/Minsheng AIA Group 1,700 Relocation
Hua Nan Financial's Headquarters Xinyi Appier Technology 1,000 Relocation
Hung-Sheng International Finance Center Dunbei/Minsheng Zhang Zhong Qian Kun 700 Relocation
Hung-Sheng International Finance Center Dunbei/Minsheng Fantasy Plus 700 Relocation
Farglory Financial Center Xinyi Takeda Yakuhin 600 Relocation
Cathay Landmark Xinyi LVMH Group (LV, Bvlgari) 600 Relocation
Shin Kong Xinyi Financial Building Xinyi Amazon 500 New Lease
Significant Projects Under Construction
PROPERTY SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT PING COMPLETION DATE
Taiwan Cooperative Bank Headquarters Building Dunbei/Minsheng - 20,500 2017
Nan Shan Plaza Xinyi Regus Business Centre 29,400 2017
Cathy Minsheng Jianguo Building Dunbei/Minsheng - 11,900 2018
UDN Zhongxiao Building Xinyi - 11,000 2018
Taipei Dome Xinyi - 11,400 2018
* NT$/US$ = 31.55; NT$/ € = 33.61 as at 23 December 2016
James ShepherdManaging Director
Research, Greater China
Tel: +86 21 2208 0769
Billy YenManaging Director
Head of Taiwan
Tel: +886 2 8788 3288
Wendy HsuehDirector
Head of Consulting and Research Taiwan
Tel: +886 2 8788 3288
Contacts
Charlie YangDirector
Head of Valuation & Advisory Services Taiwan
Tel: +886 2 8788 3288
Alber LiuAssociate Director
Head of Occupier Services, Taiwan
Tel: +886 2 8788 [email protected]
Mei ChiangAssociate Director
Head of Tenant Representation, Corporate Client, Taiwan
Tel: +886 2 8788 [email protected]