unlocking the solar+storage industry in the carolinas

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1 Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas Carolinas Climate Resilience Conference Tyler Norris, Market Lead October 2018

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Page 1: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

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Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Carolinas Climate Resilience Conference

Tyler Norris, Market Lead

October 2018

Page 2: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

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Who We AreCypress Creek is an integrated solar company with a proven track record of developing, financing, building, & operating solar projects across the country.

We have developed 3.2 GW1 to date and plan to build just under 1 GW in 2018. We have completed 300+ projects & raised $2.6 billion in capital.

1. GW developed figure represents projects owned, operated, and sold.2. A project is in development if it has site control and is dev-active.

Page 3: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

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Develop

Utility Relationships

Development Engineering

Geo-analytics

Policy & Community Engagement

Build

Structural and Electrical Engineering

Procurement

Construction

Safety

Finance

Tax Equity

Construction Financing

Permanent Debt

Transaction Structuring

Corporate Planning

Operate

Network Control Center Operating 24/7

Rapid On-Sight Field Maintenance

Power Plant Performance and Optimization

Power Sales / SREC Management

Who We AreCypress Creek Renewables believes solar energy makes the world cleaner and healthier.

From development to construction to operation, we strive to create projects that will benefit communities for decades. We are dedicated to providing more Americans access to affordable, clean solar power.

• We have a core development and construction team in-house – allowing our development, construction, and financial partners to rely on Cypress’ expertise, standards, reliability and experience.

• In 2017, we built nearly 15% of the nation’s utility-scale solar installations, more than any other utility-scale developer.

Page 4: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

The Carolina Solar Story

NC SC

Solar Installed4,308 MW 510 MW

National Ranking2nd 18th

Total Solar Investment

$6,395 million

$767 million

Solar Jobs 7,621 2,828

Homes Powered by Solar 486,000 55,000

% Solar Electricity4.42% 0.21%

Source: SEIA/GTM 2018

Page 5: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

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Unlocking the Solar-Storage Industry: PURPA

Genesis and Purpose

▪ The Public Utilities Regulatory Policy Act (PURPA) was

passed as part of the National Energy Act in 1978 in response

to the 1973 oil crisis

▪ As such, PURPA is primarily designed to encourage reduced

dependence on fossil fuels through1:

1. Diversification of the electric power industry via

development of alternative generation sources

2. Promotion of efficiency related to electric facilities and

resources

3. Conservation of electric energy

▪ PURPA sought to achieve these goals by requiring utilities to

buy power from independent companies, “qualified facilities”

(QFs), that could produce power for the same price that it

would have cost the utility to generate the power, called the

"avoided cost"

PURPA’s Achievements

▪ Given its mission and structure, PURPA and its

subsequent implementation resulted in2:

1. Market access for independent power producers (IPPs)

2. Additional ways to ensure equitable retail rates for

electric consumers through a more diversified supply

base and avoided cost structures

3. Spurred technological innovation for non-traditional

electric generation corresponding to the rise of

renewable generation

– By 1999, over 12,000 MW of non-hydro renewable

generation capacity was on line due to PURPA,

allowing renewable technologies to develop

commercially and economically3

Since becoming law in 1978, PURPA has served as an effective measure in promoting

independent power producers and renewable energy.

1. “Public Utility Regulatory Policy Act (PURPA)”, Union of Concerned Scientists

2. “Powering The Past: A Look Back”, National Museum of American History, 2002

3. “Increasing Renewables: Costs and Benefits”, Union of Concerned Scientists, October 2002

Page 6: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Utility-Owned Generation and Independent Solar Producers

Unlocking the Solar-Storage Industry: IPPs

Utility-Owned Generation Independent Solar Producers

RiskCost overruns charged to consumer with guaranteed utility profit added on top

Independent power producer bearsall risk of cost overruns and delays

Rate of Returnon Project

Utilities receive 9–11% guaranteed rate of return on assets

Independent power producerreceives no guaranteed return,must hold down costs to earn profit

Incentive to Savefor Ratepayers

Guaranteed return reduces incentiveto optimize costs

Uncertain rate of return makes costsavings a priority

Cost Recovery Term

25 years or more 10-15 years

How Rate Paid toGenerator is Determined

Highest rate achievable throughregulatory oversight and approvalprocess

Must build new generation cheaperthan the utility can build it in orderto receive contract

Page 7: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Risk Allocation: Ratepayers and Independent Power Producers

Unlocking the Solar-Storage Industry: IPPs

Risk Ratepayer Independent Power Producer

Construction Costs •Construction Delays •Financing Costs •Environmental Costs •Fuel Costs •Maintenance Costs •

Page 8: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

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Power Resilience

II. Fewer single points

of failure

III. High accessibility

IV. Load matching

I. Low fuel supply

vulnerability

Page 9: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Project Revenue

Maximizes the Value of Generation• Increases PPA value by shifting production from off-peak to on-peak periods and

optimizing solar yield by capturing otherwise clipped energy• Improves compensation for capacity/resource adequacy by enabling firm

delivery of generation

Enables Dynamic Operational Characteristics• Mitigates curtailment risk by shifting production during curtailment events• Facilitates improved reactive power support

Project Operations

Application• Production shifted to meet ramping of morning

peak (winter) & afternoon peak (summer)• Reduces Cooperative’s Capacity & Transmission

ChargesProject• Status: Placed-in-Service Dec 2017• 6.0 MWac of solar and 12 MWh of storage• Pre-scheduled PPA acts as incentive for storage

PROJECT VALUE

PROJECT EXECUTION: 12 PROJECTS FOR NC COOPERATIVE

Energy Storage IntegrationStorage increases value of established revenue streams and unlocks others—Cypress Creek is integrating storage across several projects.

Page 10: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Cypress Creek offers a variety of applications for energy storage solutions to match a customer’s needs

Demand Matching Peak Reduction Frequency Management

Storage charges from solar during “low-value” hours and

discharges during “high-value” hours. Increases

production factor during pre-set hours to 95%+.

During peak events, the battery storage system can

ramp up in minutes and delivers firm production to

local system.

PV and Storage coupled behind a common point of

delivery. The combined power will be limited by max

injection controls.

Energy Storage Integration: Applications

Page 11: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Energy Storage Integration: Deployment at Scale

Page 12: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Barriers to Storage: Avoided Cost Rate Structure

Duke Energy Carolinas – Avoided Cost Pricing, Sept. 20185 Year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)

Summer months: • 6/1 – 9/30

Non-Summer months: • 10/1 – 5/31

Summer On-Peak hours: • Mon-Fri, 1 – 9 PM

Non-Summer On-Peak hours: • Mon-Fri, 6 AM – 1 PM

Page 13: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Utility Integrated Resource Plans

Duke Proposed 2018 Integrated Resource Plan

• Capacity additions, 2019-2033

• Gas: 9,534 MW additions (3,538 MW DEC; 5,996 MW DEP)

• Solar: 3,681 MW additions (2,240 MW DEC; 1,441 MW DEP)

• Gas over solar:

• Only 839 MW of additional solar installations projected by 2033 beyond the 6,800 MW required by

HB589, for a cumulative installed total of just 7,639 MW – despite HB589’s requirement that 6,800 MW

be procured by 2022.

• Projects solar capacity growing by only 180 MW in DEP and 576 MW in DEC between 2025-2033 – less

than 100 MW per year across both balancing authorities.

• Duke plans to build nearly 10,000 MW of new gas plants, representing 77% of all capacity additions in

DEP and 54% in DEC. Coal would still represent 18% of DEC capacity in 2033.

• Solar capacity value minimized

• New “winter-peaking” paradigm, Duke projecting solar capacity value to fall precipitously

• Storage

• Less than 300 MW projected through 2033, with zero installations after 2026

• High RE/storage scenario assumes that 575 MW of battery storage is “100% controlled by the Company”

Page 14: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

Offtake Options: DEC/DEP Bigs

THIS DOCUMENT IS PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL | 14

QF GSA CPRE

Tenor 5 years 2 – 20 years (negotiated) 20 years

Rate $36 (avoided cost rate) Negotiated TBD

Contract type Negotiated PPA Pro forma PPA Pro forma PPA, BOT, or Asset Transfer + EPC

Procurement N/A (no limit) 250 MW unallocated350 MW UNC+military

T1/T2/T3/T4 (MWac)• DEC: 600/700/700/340• DEP: 80/100/80/60

COD Q4 2020 – Q1/Q2 2021 2021 T1: 2021

RECs Unbundled Bundled Bundled

PPA Security ~$14,000/MWac, due 150 days post-PPA execution

TBD Pre-COD: 4% PPA RevenuePost-COD: 2% PPA Revenue

IX study Sequential queue Sequential queue Sequential for late-stage projects; cluster study otherwise

IX payment 100% due 60 days post-IA (cash or LC)

100% due 60 days post-IA (cash or LC)

Surety bond until CPRE award, then 100% cash/LC

Bid bond/fee N/A N/A Bond: $20,000/MW (surety)Bid Fee: $10,000/projectSuccess Fee: ~$700/MW

Curtailment rights

Emergency only Up to 5% DEC, 10% DEP; Compensated thereafter

Up to 5% DEC, 10% DEP; Compensated thereafter

Page 15: Unlocking the Solar+Storage Industry in the Carolinas

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Thank You!

Tyler NorrisMarket Lead – [email protected]

www.ccrenew.com

[email protected]