bull bull

bull

CONFIDEH IAL

DEPARlMEN OF STATE

INFO I BONN LONDO bull PIS HOSCOV WARSAW BUDAPEST BUCiIAltEST BELGRADE HUHI

DIS USELHLO CINCEUR FOR PGLAD CIHCUSA CINCUSAFE FOR POLAD

II -2 meOB U~BER Berlin DEC 2 41969 P01-2 1l5-3 US Policy Abullbullbullbullbullbull nt lor Eat Geraany ( DR)

COl USIS Ca) 11 rAM 2121-51 (b) CA-S_OO of 7 ~v r 1 6 bull

PSS Berlin f bull (~) A-0002 Jan 2 1amp9 (d) 1 amp11 lSpoundQ C) 1233 (f) 1696 (8) 615 DeSI BiDE NO FOREIGU DISSEMINATION BBG2 URU swama7f The Eat Geraan 1 d rahip bull pre to 48 entr nto high-lev 1 polltloal t It ith th FRO in

re pon e to tb latter bull oge bull but it 1bullbulltill very POUCH una rtain vh ther the CDR plana to nelotiate bullbullrlou81y

Tb Ulbricht regi bull probably anticipat that bullbullv r of24 it demand can bbullbullbull~fid without conebullbullbulllon on it

p rt Differencea on tactic and eve on 8 purpobullbullbull continu to exlat b tven the GDR and the Hoaow-WP

442 alIibullbull but til e are liON than offbullbullt b fUlldntal area of alre ant Througb tbi next period the us uetl to preserv ita right ~o bull dec Iv voie in att r Affectins the German probl 0 In th eire shy

at nc reoo nd that th US b ckatop the FRG clobullbullly refraining froa ateppiftg ut amphead nd 1 portent fro giving ny fal 1 n 8 either ~o Bonn or tb GDR about pobullbulllbl chan8 in US purpoa bull

1 BaGktround At the elobullbull of 1969 the Ea t 0 lad h p ba indiated a die to d18cu_ bull aodua yivendl with the Fde 1 Republl Talk 11k 1 to teriallbullbullbull but proeet for _ rlou D otiation

roup 3 - Dowal~dd at 12- ar interv a t autotleally dealbullbullbulllfid

CONFIDEN tAL -~~UP ~ ~1

EASIWJ~bullbullAX1IDKl ~db 1~23-ampxX1Uucx-eoiatrlbutoN EA VS~jfJPIIbullbull ri~h Cl bullbull POL III Gillian IECON) itO arl amp ~ USI

D

P

y

COM DE IAL 2

ertain lapliaatloa for US terat in oe1~ny ral bull u et q tlon cona m US pollOJ taw

tic publla An Eut- at a PPJlOlIUUIshyt uld un r proprlate eire taDae_ Jaelp -cpll1

Cent ElIO~ Ebullbullbullntia to US int Nt bull that 1ft th 0 of nbullbulloti tioll IHtt eD the tva Ge Nal 01 In are ent Ill abd US tie to tbe FRG Allied riab1e ira 1-1111

and the bili~y ~o fulfill our reponibilltlbullbull with~ t to Germe and Berlin be p1Operly protected The US t to prebullbullrve it 11 ht to bull d aiiv vol 1n the olut1on of the C an plObl bull

For bullbullv ral y r8 tbe US baa encour led ore ctiv F Ebullbulltem policy a a corollary to our own ffort to build bridges to Ebullbullt m Europe The CUlNAt FIG ffort to arrive at odu vivendi with the GDR are con itent with US policytoward Ebullbulltern Europ and could va c plnt that pollay In an area of unique concern to the Federal bull publl0 Tbe bullbullbullbullDtlal qubullbulltlone for US policy are (a) What chanbullbull it 0 aN called for in tbe us poaition on ~h GDR (b) What role houl4 the US play la the current context and (a) What do we wan~ to 0 out of thbullbullbull talk OD tbbullbullbull count_ the effect Oft US relation with the FIG and other Wbullbulltern al11bullbull on th De h nd and with the USSR on the other are fund ental aonideratl e

A principal obtaol to lnter-Geraan pp~ahnt in the ~t bbullbull b tbe unvllllnanbullbullbull of eltbr id to pay the o~b r _ price Th GDR aibullbullbull IIIIOnl othertl aN (a) to pNbullbullrve Sovl t hel8DORY in Eat Europe (b) to unde-ine th Wbullbullt l bull

poaition in Europe enerally and p ciflaa1ly in Berlin (0) to pete with he Federal Republlo for the loyaltibullbull of Germaft Et and Weat

With ~ODt dlonta in aerany the GDR Ie fao d with bull new t c~ical eltuatlon But beaau8 tbeow nt 7 b on1ytaotical it 1 far fro cl r whether _ilftl~lGant ~ nt y alt Th GDR readinbullbullbull to nbullbullotlate will be bull f tor of (l it relative politioal and econoala etNDltb and (b) it relatione with aDd tbe require ent of It allibullbullbull paltlcule ly the viet Union The GD I po8111011 in our juclp At we ld be

lderably trealtbened by further 001 LODe third tatbullbull or it 1bullbull1oa to Intrn~ioDal oraaniampatioDa

A The ti Sou fte GDR p1O N bullbull in 11DiD po ulUt euppoJll iampi upampDalDl It OOD duriftl the l t ar wa unp atGular but t bullbulldy Continued atabillty at bullbull OOUplM

COHFIDENTIAJ (

I

middot

It bull I the I bullbullp CID~~LGttM fM OOfttla to be tN e 1a uppolt the t tanda of liviD In lutem EuNpe

yen r teahnolollca1 pJIGbl and don~ bullbullt d byuGh tON ather dialooatlona Gabullbulld b7 eent la

C choe1ovakla aDd the Goata of the NCOpltlOD 1 y 1Ia~ lION than oflbullbull1 the 1IOft polate 1D til 1amp11 parshy10 C (Nfereace ) Moreover the NBU oontlOl ~ aiD r111d yer A vide lulf till exita betveea the Te81 and vbat i probably a 4jority o~ th or1bullbull But tb nub r of tho bo identify thel~ taadiate Dtereta vith tb08 of the tate ba probably crow Specula11on about UlbriGht pobullbulllble retirement fraa one or both of _1 poltloaaoontlDue The principal conteDdera for the uacbullbullbulllon are till the I Hon aker in the party Stoph in tb overashyt The eY8Dtual ucebullbullbullloD probably will be detendned by the political etNlIgth of the hel Nnt and altJaately ~ Soviet pftfeNftc Hower Nlaldlbullbullbull of the lead Ip tha~ ---rae J jor hitt in policy are DO~ anticipated(ref reDe d

B GDR-USSREE Relation Th Soviet URlon baa bull D boteN_t with tB Cbi In x bullbull piDI Eat GerllUl table and viablbullbull Joint latereat call for the GDR tullbullbull~ apport o~ SOypoundt leadertlhlp within the ocmaunit nt and orthodoxy BOlli Wana acrt lIbeN Aa for the thiN world GDR-Soyenit parshypobullbull9 bull~1 allan-d dbullbullpit variations 1n bullbullphl bullbull

The two Hable dllf1 Oil tacrtia aDd ia 80M emiddot eve purshy lnaofaJ bullbull the Wen and partioularly the FIG middot N aoli bullbullmed TIll clearly avidoed la tbe haadllal oftbe h_t Appeal 1bullbullt Huch the ayko ob iD Julymiddot and tb ftDaGOV bull -it tins in Decellbez- A ~nta1 diy rs in GDR-80riet vi _ x1at N bullbullldlns til fut- f Qe ampbile th SED eldently till hopea for a unified aaUDlat middot tat it i doubtful that the CP8U doe (NfNIlC 0) HOvshy1 -til pracrtioal ffat 1 Nlamptlvly U for in the lut analyl the GDB baa DO abol but to oooHiDat It atlon tdtb Haaow Iade_ neither in ~crtla aor In 1 shy a1M aN GI)Jt-Soviet 4I1ftNa likely to pIOVplo t 1 h t vbullbullt for the aN thu offbullbullt It fuacl8lenta1 aNa

f ape Itt

fte Eat Euo 1M ha ditiDOt btt 1D t bullxle~o of the IDa bullbull bull ala a lflaatl y Ith tide DOl l4eol1aal ecieshy-I- tl wit the UllraquoJIlalat 11M aN taltttnt to offbullbullt

COIrIDEIIIAL I

CONFIDENTIAL

t ir differenobullbull indl idual1y and oollecti lyGoa bull d bull of dltfeftft bull y 17 bu~ In all tlloti a p ~bullbullbull ar ft th root ubullbullbullbull an inlet DO ort xy tor tile bloat th GD bull bull for Jt 1f pri il ed eOODOili poltlon bullbull N ult of -lD ershya bull t bull aad throuah it 0 bullbullbull on a preferential ai to an uportant aN of tb e em Market

he SDK theontlaally Gould be bypbullbullbullec1 in a general 11shytion of latlon betw eD Ent EulOp and the FRG whiah aould lnalud eaonoaic INt by til other Ebullbulltem Europe D rei bullbull1 the GDR eXptlD Hower there bullbullbull to be obi ctiv 11 t to the daaae wblcb could be do ~o the GDR poition Moreoyer there 1 DO pparen1 Na80n to believe tb t Ho cow would be v1111na to p ~ th criflce of An7 fund ant 1 GDR lDtereatbullbull

2 GDRlFRG 1 tione Over t decad th CDR ~ Y~shytlcaIIy duaea It pound1 with the Federal RepUblic And ~h chall n pobullbulld by bullbullt G ~any and wbullbullt Berlin y ven Nat r to ~h GDR DOV a reult of the inv etiturta of -001 list- 1n Bonn and the polleie enunciated by tbe v r ral 10V rnaeDt Hovevel whatvel th aou e of event the GDR will b highly reluctant to -INe to what Bonn want

at froll bull IIOda vivendi hONed CIOfttact lDeluding hro d unofficial tl bullbull betvea th tvo part of Genuany

ID epoM to FRG 80ft the Ebullbullt CeNAn reg1ae baa itNt d it 0 1 for tate tlon 1 lea1 OOIDition b Bonn and t oDtl~ bull p nd d thl requl t to include an in 1et DOC

upon the bullbulltabllbaDt of -dipl tic rel tionomiddot Bowever tis 4 d blob BNDctt in hie polley d claration in Octoraquo 1e d UDcoeptU~ tbu ~ap b not b d GDR preoonshydition for politioal t De Nor haft GDR to 1 tiona to t alarl xalud d bull G~ rel~ionhlp with cert a pecial oil oteritic TIl fact_ taken tobullbullth r tilth the appa nt1y deli rat y aWlnebullbull in the GDR po iCion in varlo apectbullbull bull ppar to 1bullbullbulla the door to BoDD open at l bullbullbullt for t k to belne The GDR 1aderblp flret preferenoe I p bahly to it tlampht on th bullbullbulluptioD that aany f it de will fulfilled without neaotlatlGR ltb Bonn H vert bull GDI 1ad~ ampr app tly beiDl ubed in 0 talk by heir allibullbull

d by at lad ed if the tiP alIi be in dlou la with an the ADI au hardly fford to b 1 ft outo ut en it t Y IlUt talk it 1 far tw olear that the GD lead bull tnt a to -10 late bullbullrioualy Tb~ 11 beli that

shyCOIFIDEIITIAL

CONFIDE IAL-

ID ~ event the CDR l bullbulld rataip bullbullbullbullbull to po 0 pI P ditloa for talk tb t BoDn del with t bull GDIt 0 AD qual footi bull If thi preoondltion doe not _ x 1 a

Ql)R ttl for abll hin wbat it oall wnonaal aDd eve middotSOOd el rlymiddot relatio 8 with th FRO appear to b Ko Fo t aIIODI th tucIaN d d rea1M Ncopiti bJ Ionn of the GDR an indep ndent aoverelp at te and of It exlatin bord rIl Beyond tbibullbull 1b GDR detlland that Bonn abandon ita 01 rep ntation alai ADd it fforteto preshyvent the GDR cognition by third ~t or ita adalbullbulllon ~o intern t10nal 0 anibullbulltiona It 10 inel ~ that Bonn

DOunae middotthe g of foroe and ABC po bullbull Moet Noently t GD ha 80 inlat d _pOD -diploaat ~ re1atlonbullbull- and that the FIG rep 1 lava lecedly dlaar1ainatlna bullbulliDet the GDR or ita oitlbullbullna Furt~r the GDR requlr _ th4t tba FRG ate bullbull~Dl internal fo~ aad withdraw fro NATO Aocordlnl to Ulbrioht_ia tbi way atep-by-tep rapp~ab Dt vo~d be pobullbullOl l bullbulldl to -ua1tloatioa on tb b 18 of bull area Ahd oclamp11 bullbull - of thbullbullbull condition bullbullbullbull re deiIDd for plOp I cia uae over whlehtbu to bullbullrv bullbull i the GDR hope ahortly to bullbullotiate Hawevrbullbullbullin all of th4ai forth nOli ha bull pracrtiCial ya1ue for the GDR I they abullbullt bull tlODl baradDlaa 1tlon lor the conduct of talkbullbull

Under lb 01re tUlcae8 t eN are probably lolaa to be enolWO p~bullbullure rtd Oft tb FRS b the Soviet bloc for 00 abullbullbulllone vbl la the 1at uaal7ala GOUld affat t poaitlon f the Alli la rlift ad QeRlAllYe TIl toN we uk thbullbullbull

1M t 1 at lit beo oleaNr whether tbeN

~ adation bull

3 IECOHHElDA2IOHS

It beN ou14 DO Ghant- 1 U8 pol1oy toward h bt caeD t will be i t Nan asree at at lona it 111 taJr bull aDd Vb t ffct l al t hay OD US l t t o

I The U abo~d 11 Oketop the Fderal R puhllo in it daliB ltb Ea 7 0 iDa tile F 4411amp1 lepubUa M ti tla nllUph wftb tbe Eat Hove the US hCHIld

tiD bull opibullbull til t 1ft deall bullbull with ZUt Gtlnaany the bull bull1 teN8t nt 1 t eMa lD the l11ht

f UI po lIIl1itlbullbull for h_IIII~ whol III itbullbullffoFt to bull rt BoDR taa us middotbould Hither t ahbullbullct or iD the

y ot tile cleNl 11bullbull

COIiFIDEJrlIAL

bull J

co nDEHTIAL

c ftae US bullbull privete ~lican c 1 with DR in h fllda bull 1 duaatlcm 1

110 dla the Eat SlNUmpurpo i tol bull of lonampin to thlna 1U1r th the E t

So t world In dolna 0 lao vrt the US ehould c full N b f any otioll vhlob lp1 d that th USa oonshy~1 tlaf ch in it Geraan polio that Cloud Ii WIOD pol tical lgn 1 to Boa or tb GDR

D In t bull liaht of th d YelopaeDt and tendnol DOV In progre iDd1cat d abov we NacmaAd that the US Nf in at thi ti_ f tolDI tep uch we teet 1ft afennce a II1raquo- It 111 our belif that the bullbull-tollbshy

not of the typa of ~Dt US prebullbullDc In E 8t hrlin ot shy11 d 1h would be talbullbullly interpreted at till ~unctUN 1D Eaat and V bullbullt almiddotlJce

KORRIS (f----

COHFIDEftIAL