update report august 26, 2011 · 2012. 4. 27. · 54/98 takane (mmatsiane, makhantlele, jumbo) 71.2...
TRANSCRIPT
eResearch Corporation www.eresearch.ca Page 1
Update Report August 26, 2011
BOTSWANA METALS LIMITED
(A$0.072, ASX: BML)
Recommendation Speculative Buy
Risk High
Price (August 26, 2010) A$0.072
52-Week Range A$0.19 - A$0.065
Target Price A$0.25 (Lowered)
Shares O/S 143,717,844
Market Cap A$10.4 million
Average Daily Volume 50-day: 371,800
200-day: 657,400
Year-End June 30
Book Value Per Share Jun. 30, 2010 A$0.09
Dec. 31, 2010 A$0.06
Cash Per Share July 28, 2011 A$0.02
Analysts Yuri Belinsky, BA, MA
Bob Weir, B.Comm, CFA
RECOMMENDATION
We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation for the shares of Botswana
Metals Limited (“Botswana Metals” or the “Company”), but lower our 12-month
Target Price from A$0.35 to A$0.25 per share.
HIGHLIGHTS
Since our Initiating Report issued in December 2010, Botswana Metals has raised
A$2.87 million in equity financing. This became the focal point in the Company’s
exploration campaign: the exploration expenditures jumped from A$680,000 in
F2010 to A$3.56 million in F2011.
With this new funding, in fiscal 2011 Botswana Metals has:
Finished a VTEM helicopter survey of the Shashe River East, Shashe River
West, Airstrip, Maibele, and Dibete prospects in February 2011. The survey
identified 27 anomalies, and its results are now being finalized.
Drilled 6,000 metres in 93 holes at the Dibete prospect, and 1,361 metres in 16
holes at the Airstrip prospect. Preliminary results of the drilling show high
potential for copper-silver mineralization.
The Company is currently focusing on the Dibete, Airstrip Copper, and Maibele
North prospects. Maibele North, where drilling is scheduled to start in September
2011, may outpace all other prospects in getting a JORC-compliant resource; this is
expected to happen by June 2012.
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COMPANY PROFILE
Botswana Metals Limited was listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) in October 2007 as a result
of a decision by A-Cap Resources Limited to spin off its non-uranium assets into a separate company.
Botswana Metals is focused on base and precious metal projects (nickel, copper, silver and others). The
Company’s exploration tenements cover about 3,000 km2 in the Limpopo Belt in Botswana, situated between
the major nickel-producing mines of Tati Nickel (originally of LionOre Mining International Ltd., which was
acquired by Norilsk Nickel in August 2007) and Selebi-Phikwe (developed by BCL Ltd. of Botswana).
The Company completed 20,000 metres of drilling over a two-year period over two targets at the Airstrip
Copper and Dibete prospects. The drilling showed potential for primary and supergene Cu-Ag mineralization.
PROJECT LOCATIONS
The map below shows ASX-listed Discovery Metals and MOD Resources and TSV-V-listed Hana Mining which
have metal exploration programs in Botswana, as well as the location of the Company’s tenement package.
Map 1: Botswana Metals’ Prospects
Source: Company
PROPERTY PORTFOLIO
FRANCISTOWN
NATA MAUN
GABORONE
SELEBI PHIKWE Ni MINE
GHANZI ORAPA
BML Cu-Ag + Ni Prospects
Discovery Metals
Hana Mining
MOD
NAMIBIA BOTSWANA
SOUTH AFRICA
ZIMBABWE
200km
TATI Ni MINE
Exploration Focus
Licence Number Tenement Name Area in sq km
110/94 Magogaphate (Airstrip Copper, Maibele North) 27.4
111/94 Mokoswane (Dibete, Crescent) 31.4
54/98 Takane (Mmatsiane, Makhantlele, Jumbo) 71.2
14/2003 Majante 40.38
44/2004 Shashe East 131
47/2004 Gobe Shear 100
48/2004 Shashe West 226
059/2008, 070/2008 Shashe South 1228.4
360/2008 Mmadinare 456.2
158/2009 Lepokole 397.5
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PROGRESS IN 2011
1. New Funding. In February 2011, Botswana Metals raised A$2.87 million (A$2.7 million in net proceeds) as a
result of a rights issue. The issue’s prospectus outlined the following expected use of funds:
Table 1. The Issue's Use of Funds, A$
Drill programs on Dibete, Airstrip Copper and Maibele North $800,000
VTEM air magnetic on Airstrip Copper, Dibete and Maibele North 550,000
IP Surveying 225,000
Assay 500,000
Geological consulting services 100,000
Botswana field crew and general ground operating costs 425,000
Administration and working capital generally 94,855
Costs of the issue 179,485
Total $2,874,340
Source: Company
The Company’s cash position, at A$5.4 million in late February 2011, allowed it to allocate around A$4 million for
exploration on its new targets discovered in 2010 on PL 110/94 Magogaphate (Airstrip Copper and Maibele North
Nickel prospects), 111/94 Mokoswane (Dibete prospect), 54/98 Takane, and at the Shashe PL’s 44/2004 and PL
48/2004.
2. VTEM Helicopter Survey. In February 2011, Botswana Metals completed a helicopter borne VTEM survey of
the Shashe River East and Shashe River West prospects (1,360 line km) and the Airstrip, Maibele, and Dibete
prospects (1,790 line km) for a total of 3,150 line km. Out of 27 anomalies identified by the VTEM survey, four
were previously identified (Airstrip, Maibele North, Dibete, and Mmamanaka) as having significant soil
geochemical anomalies, while 23 anomalies are new targets (see the map below). According to the Company, the
data is currently being finalized to clearly define new targets for follow-up drilling.
Map 2: Botswana Metals’ New Discoveries: Airstrip, Dibete, and Maibele North; VTEM
Anomalies Identified
Source: Company
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3. Drilling Activities. In March-June 2011, Botswana Metals drilled 93 reverse circulation (RC) holes for 6,000
metres at the Dibete prospect. During the same period, the Company also undertook a 16-hole RC drilling program
totaling 1,361 metres at the Airstrip prospect.
COMMENT: The drilling at Dibete and Airstrip showed significant potential for primary copper-silver and
supergene copper-silver deposits (see Properties on pages 8-10 for more details).
CORPORATE PLANS 1. Key Prospects. Botswana Metals is currently focused on developing resources at its principal prospects of
Dibete and Airstrip Copper, which are primary and supergene Cu-Ag mineralizations, and Maibele North, which is
Ni-Cu-PGE primary mineralization.
COMMENT: One of the reasons for the Company’s focus on these prospects is that the respective Prospecting
Licenses were about to expire. The licenses for these prospects were extended earlier this year, and the Company
intends to continue exploration efforts at these prospects.
Further drilling should allow the Company to determine the extent of the mineralization at these prospects. The
Company expects that the exploration expenditure for March-September 2011 will amount to $4 million.
We expect that the Maibele North prospect will be the first to obtain a JORC-compliant resource estimate. Drilling
is scheduled to start in September 2011, and the Company expects that the prospect will get a JORC-compliant
resource by June 2012. Based on the geostatistical study by Hilmac Pty. Ltd., the Company defined the Exploration
Target for the prospect of 1.1-1.7 million tonnes, grading 1% Ni, or 4-7 million tonnes grading 0.6% Ni.
2. Other Targets. Additional potential exists in new targets found by the VTEM Survey. These include targets at
PL 54/98 Takane, which contains major prospects with good base metal-gold-nickel anomalies.
Map 3: Untested VTEM Anomalies at the Takane Prospect
Source: Company
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VALUATION
(1) Property Ratio Valuation Method
We are using the eResearch-designed Property Ratio comparison method to derive an intrinsic value for Botswana
Metals. We are using the same peer companies as in our Initiating Report of December 8, 2010.
The three companies in our valuation comparison include the subject company, Botswana Metals Limited, and
comparatives, Discovery Metals Ltd., and Hana Mining Ltd. All three operate in Botswana, but are at different
stages of the mining cycle.
Botswana Metals is in the exploration stage (no resource estimate), whereas Hana Mining has a NI 43-101 resource
estimate and is at the development stage (about 2 years ahead of Botswana Metals), and Discovery Metals is
planning to start producing in H1/2012, having achieved a bankable feasibility study (about 3-4 years ahead of
Botswana Metals).
Table 2: Corporate Comparison (Property Ratio)
Botswana Discovery Hana
(C$1.000 = A$0.971) Metals Metals Mining
ASX: BML ASX: DML TSX_V: HMG
Financial Statement Date: December-10 December-10 April-11
Corporate: (A$) (A$) (A$)
Share Price (50-day Average) $0.08 $1.27 $1.72
Shares O/S 143,717,844 437,114,481 87,455,615
Market Cap (on 50-da avg) $12,029,184 $555,659,928 $150,566,442
Mineral Properties:
Book Value (Cost) (1) $7,878,294 $106,021,513 $38,128,222
Market Value $11,412,546 $443,509,283 $145,428,380
Difference $3,534,253 $337,487,770 $107,300,158
Property Ratio (x) 1.45 4.18 3.81
Average Peer Ratio 4.00
Adjusted Book Value (Cost)(1) $13,892,127
Adjusted Property Ratio 0.96
Selected Ratio (x) 3.40
Common Equity (Per Statements) $8,320,625
Adjusted Common Equity (Selected Ratio)(2) $46,664,598
Equity Per Share (Per Statements) $0.06
Adjusted Equity Per Share (Selected Ratio)(3) $0.25
Note 1: Adjusted Book Value is the Book Value adjusted for expected exploration expenditures of A$3.6 million in F2012.
Note 2: Adjusted Shareholders' Equity is adjusted for expected A$4 million in new equity in F2012.
Note 3: Adjusted Equity Per Share is calculated on expected 12 months forward shares O/S of 184 million.
Source: e Research
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(2) Analysis
The Property Ratio valuation approach is based upon an analysis of the Property Ratio, which measures the
premium the market currently places on a company’s mineral properties. All else being equal, a higher premium
indicates the market is anticipating greater future value from the assets in the ground, while a lower premium may
represent an undervalued asset.
The Property Ratio for the peers is an average of 4.00x. This is above what we consider appropriate for Botswana
Metals, given that its peers are 2-4 years ahead of Botswana Metals in terms of their development. Taking into
account the recent spike in the Company’s exploration activity, where exploration expenses grew from A$1.9
million in 2010 to A$3.6 million in F2011, we apply a moderate discount to the peer average Property Ratio, 15%,
which yields a target Property Ratio for Botswana Metals of 3.40x.
(3) Target Price
The selected Property Ratio at 3.40x yields Botswana Metals an intrinsic value of A$0.25, which we choose as our
12-months Target Price. This is down from our previous Target Price of A$0.35 per share, and reflects a marked
negative change in investor sentiment towards junior mining exploration stocks.
COMMENT: We expect that, once the Company decides to commence a JORC-compliant resource estimate, the
shares will gain greater prominence with investors.
RISKS
Extension of PLs: The Company’s interests in the tenements it explores are governed by Botswana’s
legislation, which stipulates the guidelines and requirements for the granting of Prospecting Licences (PLs).
Each PL is for a specific term and bears minimum expenditure requirements, periodic relinquishment
requirements, and lease and license conditions. Botswana Metals may decide to surrender or relinquish areas of
tenements as priorities change, or to meet budgetary requirements. The Company applies to the Minister of
Mines for an extension that may, or may not, be granted as determined by the Minister, in his discretion, in
accordance with Section 17 of Botswana’s Mines and Minerals Act. If PLs are not extended by the Botswana
authorities: (a) the Company has no further right to conduct any exploration on these tenements; (b) all funds
previously invested in exploration activities on these tenements are lost; and (c) subsequently, any deferred
exploration expenditure capitalized in the Company’s accounts is written off. Recently, the Company received
an extension for the Airstrip Copper and Maibele North prospects (PL 110/94), while it is awaiting notice from
Botswana’s Department of Mining and Minerals that an extension has been granted for Dibete PL111/94 and
54/98.
Title Risks: There may be areas in the tenements, which Botswana Metals has an interest in, over which
legitimate aboriginal title rights exist. This can affect the ability of the Company to gain access to tenements
(through obtaining consent of landowners), and/or to progress from the exploration phase to the development
and mining phases.
New Resources Tax: On May 2, 2010, the Commonwealth Government of Australia announced a proposal to
establish a resources super-profit tax from July 1, 2012. The tax will be applied to all mining and petroleum
projects. Full details of the new tax have not yet been confirmed, which makes its potential impact on the
Company’s finances unclear.
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FINANCIALS Table 3: Selected Financial Statements
(A$) Year End Year End 12 months Year End
Statement of Income (Loss) Jun. 30/09 Jun. 30/10 Dec. 31/10 Jun. 30/12E
Interest Income 343,839 124,705 202,516 303,774
Other income 11,291 88,406 19,430 40,900
Total Non-Operating Revenue 355,130 213,111 221,946 344,674
Administrative & General (114,498) (180,670) (201,021) (207,052)
Corporate Expenses (80,523) (86,709) (125,202) (128,958)
Employment & Consultancy (718,755) (606,924) (678,975) (688,265)
Other expenses - - (32,026) -
Total Cash Expenses (913,776) (874,303) (1,037,224) (1,024,274)
Depreciation (50,522) (10,161) (11,787) (12,141)
Stock-Based Compensation (100,355) (755) (755) -
Impairment of deferred exploration expenditure (500,110) -
Foreign Exchange 208,194 (222,103) (359,475) -
Net Income/(Loss) (501,329) (894,211) (1,687,405) (691,741)
Total Shares Outstanding 106,087,760 106,087,760 143,717,012 183,717,844
Weighted Average Shares Outstanding 106,087,760 106,087,760 n/a n/a
Earnings (Loss) Per Share ($0.47) ($0.84) ($0.85) ($0.85)
Cash Flow Statement
Receipts from customers 12,420 104,379 (16,107) 33,564
Payments to suppliers and employees (916,713) (839,112) (1,069,678) (2,107,266)
Interest received 343,839 124,705 202,516 303,774
Cash Flow From Operations (560,454) (610,028) (883,269) (1,769,928)
Exploration Expenditures (988,562) (368,113) (1,916,575) (3,556,000)
Purchase of Plant & Equipment (143,592) (43,150) (58,724) (52,465)
Proceeds From Sale of Plant & Equipment - 6,012 6,012 -
Cash Flow From Investment (1,132,154) (405,251) (1,969,287) (3,608,465)
Equity Financing (450) - 31,796 4,000,000
Debt Financing - - -
Change in Cash (1,693,058) (1,015,279) (2,820,760) (1,378,393)
Cash, Beginning of the Period 8,013,577 6,320,519 5,955,638 3,266,000
Effect of ex rates on cash in foreign currencies (27,085)
Cash, End of the Period 6,320,519 5,305,240 3,107,793 1,887,607
Balance Sheet As At: As at As at As at As at
(A$) Jun. 30/09 Jun. 30/10 Dec. 31/10 Jun. 30/12E
Cash 6,320,519 5,305,240 3,107,793 1,887,607
Other Current Assets 64,269 48,296 151,489 53,068
Mining Properties 4,017,637 4,221,291 5,081,280 12,193,280
Plant & Equipment 197,175 166,508 154,369 194,694
Total Assets 10,599,600 9,741,335 8,494,931 14,328,649
Current Liabilities 202,124 237,315 174,306 989,764
Long-Term Debt - -
Shareholders' Equity 10,397,476 9,504,020 8,320,625 13,338,884
Total Liabilities & Equity 10,599,600 9,741,335 8,494,931 14,328,649
Book Value (S.E.) Per Share (cents) $0.098 $0.090 $0.058 $0.073
Source: Company and e Research E = Estimate by e Research
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Financial Commentary
In the 12 months preceding December 31, 2010, Botswana Metals had no operating revenues;
The monthly operating cash burn rate went up from around A$85,000 in F2010 to A$102,000 in F2011 due
to the heightened exploration activities;
In February 2011, the Company raised A$2.7 million in equity financing;
Annual exploration expenditures amounted to A$3.56 million in F2011, more than 600% up from the
average for the last two fiscal years. We expect that the Company will maintain the same amount of
exploration expenditures in F2012. Given the Company’s cash position of A$2.8 million as of late July
2011, to maintain the same high pace of exploration in F2012 and be able to advance exploration in 2013,
Botswana Metals will have to raise about A$4.0 million in F2012;
The Company has almost 72 million options, exercisable at A$0.10, which could bring almost A$7.2
million and solve the F2012 financing problem. At the same time, the options’ expiration date is June 30,
2013 and many option holders may opt to keep the options near to this date, especially if the shares
continue to be “under water”.
PROPERTIES
NOTE: The following information on Botswana Metals’ properties was taken from various sources on the
Company’s website: http://www.botswanametals.com.au.
(1) Airstrip Copper Prospect (Magogaphate Prospect)
By August 2011, more primary copper mineralization was intersected (see the map on the next page).
A 16-hole reverse circulation drill program, recently completed to evaluate the supergene mineralization at
Airstrip Copper, intersected primary Cu-Ag mineralization associated with a second IP conductor. Hole
ACRC 067 intersected: 6m @ 2.7% Cu and 72g/t Ag from 68m, including 1m @ 8.8% Cu and 214g/t Ag
from 70m. This intersection confirms that this second IP conductor, some 250m to the south of the
discovery hole in the first conductor, is also associated with primary Cu-Ag mineralization.
The hole intersected the western end of a 400m long IP anomaly. At least 16 IP conductors have been
identified for a total strike length of 1,900m within the IP grid covering 1.5km x 1km. A further five IP
conductors and one VTEM anomaly are expected to be drill-tested; this commenced in late July 2011.
Part of the IP Survey area at Airstrip Copper showed interpreted conductors. Many conductors (total strike
1,900 m in IP area) are barely drilled, or are not yet drilled. Discovery area conductors may have a strike
length of 900 m.
Initial drilling in December 2009-January 2010 intersected the Airstrip Cu-Ag discovery in holes 3, 6, 7, 10
and 11. Holes 12-52 have now been drilled, to assess the Five Element type veins found to be present.
(2) Maibele North Nickel Prospect (Magogaphate Prospect)
Previous data (included from a regional drainage survey carried out by Clutha/MHB in 1989) indicates a
major extension of the nickel mineralization at Maibele North to the east with a minimum total strike
length of 4.5 km.
Reassessment of the project led the Company to conclude that this project is an attractive exploration target
which has been significantly explored. In the 1990s, Falconbridge completed 16 diamond holes at the
deposit, intersecting significant grades of massive sulfide nickel copper mineralization.
Due to positive results from the current drilling activity at Airstrip Copper (some 400 metres west of
Maibele North), the Company hired Phillip Mackenzie of Hilmac Pty Ltd (“Hilmac”) to perform a review
of the previous results and the possibility of completing a JORC-compliant Inferred Resource. Current
exploration is focused on defining resources to JORC-compliant status.
Geostatistical study has defined the scale of the Exploration Target and identified areas requiring additional
drilling. A recent VTEM survey identified untested potential that was not optimally drilled in the past.
An Exploration Target was defined on the basis of the geostatistical study by Hilmac. The Exploration
Target is in the order of 1.1 to 1.7 million tonnes at a cut-off grade of 0.6% Ni, with an average grade
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around 1% Ni or, alternatively, a target of 4 to 7 million tonnes at a cut-off grade of 0.3% Ni, with an
average grade around 0.6% Ni. The potential quantity and grade at the Maibele North exploration targets
are conceptual in nature; there has been insufficient exploration to define a Mineral Resource, and it is
uncertain if further exploration will result in the discovery of a Mineral Resource. No estimates have been
made for PGE and Cu present in the deposit.
Further potential in newly recognised VTEM conductors at Maibele North is present. Maibele North is
only 50 km from the Selebi Phikwe nickel smelter.
Map 4: Airstrip Cu and Maibele North Geochemistry
Source: Company
(3) Dibete Prospect (Mokoswane Prospect)
A total of 116 reverse circulation drill holes were completed at the prospect by June 2011. The program
was designed to assess the orientation and geometry of the mineralization intersected in 2010, and also
included several holes at Dibete East.
Cu and Ag were intersected in both secondary and primary mineralization. The best results were in Hole
DBRC028: 3 metres at 8.16% Cu and 469 g/t Ag from 41 metres, underlying 8 metres at 3.1% Cu and 140
g/t Ag from 33 metres in the same hole. The best widths were: Hole DBRC081 with 17 metres at 2.73% Cu
and 41 g/t Ag, intersected from 16 metres, and released 38 metres at 1.72% Cu and 119 g/t Ag in
DBRC014.
Dipole – dipole IP surveys were carried out over 1,250 metres of strike at Dibete. The prospect is open in
both SW and NE directions. 3D modelling was carried out to assist in target definition (see the picture
below).
A supergene blanket of copper silver mineralization of up to 38 metres thick is present. Grades are up to
1.72% Cu and 119g Ag/t over a 38-metre intersection.
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COMMENT: The Dibete prospect is only seven kilometres from the Airstrip Copper prospect, which Botswana
Metals believes to be a promising copper and silver mineralization prospect. Dibete has similarities to the Airstrip prospect, and may be part of a larger mineralized system encompassing Airstrip. The progress on the Dibete
prospect is leading to the defining of a body of mineralization on which a resource estimate study is expected to be
carried out after the next phase of drilling.
Map 5: 3D Model of Dibete’s IP Survey
Source: Company
(4) Crescent Prospect (Mokoswane Prospect)
A total of 3 RC holes were completed in December 2009 for 470 metres.
Independent laboratory results showed that several zones of anomalous zinc mineralization, associated with
disseminated sulphides, were intersected.
(5) Majante Prospect
A total of 36 km of ground Time Domain ElectroMagnetic (TDEM) survey was completed during 2009.
The survey covered an area that showed strong nickel and copper soil geochemical anomalies and
significant airborne anomalies.
(6) Takane Prospect
Mmatsiane Prospect: Grid recovery and IP survey have been completed and drilled targets were
identified. GEOTEM anomaly 21B, a significant Cu-Pb-Zn anomaly, was drilled and completed in
October 2010. A Cu-Pb-Zn-Au anomaly in a fold nose is associated with an extensive VTEM anomaly.
Makhantlele Prospect: This project has a strike length of 8km. Multi-element anomalies appear to be
coincident with major structures and potential for mineralization similar to that found at the Magogophate
Gold Prospect (i.e. Maibele North and Airstrip Copper), but on a larger scale. Jumbo Prospect: A review of VMS targets was conducted and exploration work commenced at this
project in October 2010. This prospect is potentially a strike extension of the Mmatsiane prospect.
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(7) Mmadinare
Regional soil lines have identified a series of mafic bodies which have associated geochem anomalies,
indicating Ni-Cu mineralization. Drilling of selected anomalies is in progress.
(8) Other Prospects: No field work was undertaken in 2009-2011 on any of the following properties:
Gobe Shear
Shashe South
Lepokole
MANAGEMENT
Pat Volpe, Executive Chairman
Patrick Volpe, the Executive Chairman, is also Executive Chairman of CardiaBioplastics Limited.
Mr. Volpe has worked extensively in the stock-broking industry, gaining experience in many industries
including mining, manufacturing, banking, and taxation internationally, particularly in Africa and China.
He is a specialist in corporate restructuring, business acquisitions, investment advising and capital raisings, and
effectively spearheaded the ASX listing of both A-Cap Resources Limited and Dia-B Tech Limited.
Dr. Paul Woolrich, Director
Paul Woolrich is a geologist, and has a Ph.D. in Metallurgy and a Master of Science in Geochemistry.
He has over 30 years’ experience in the mineral exploration and mining industry.
Massimo Cellante, Director
Massimo Cellante is also Chairman and a Managing Director at Australian company, Bell IXL Investment
Limited, where his role includes identifying and investing in undervalued publicly-listed companies.
Richard Baker, Company Secretary
Richard Baker has a Masters of Commercial Law, a Bachelor of Economics, and is a Certified Practising
Accountant.
He has over seven years of experience in his role in listed companies.
Peter Temby, Consulting Geologist
Peter Temby is an Economic Geologist at Anpet Exploration Pty Ltd. He has extensive experience in his
previous work with Stockdale and CRA Exploration.
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STOCK CHARTS
A. Three-Year Chart
The following chart shows the daily trading pattern for Botswana Metals for the last three years. The stock hit its
all-time high of A$0.19 in early November 2010 after the Company confirmed that drilling intersected further high-
grade zones of copper and silver mineralization at the Airstrip Copper prospect.
B. Six-Month Chart
The second chart shows the daily trading over the last six months. The stock reacted positively to the news about:
(1) the granting of PL extensions for the Dibete and Majante prospects in late April 2011; and (2) the
significant mineralization found from drilling on several structures at Dibete in mid-July 2011. However, in each
instance, the shares could not hold their gains, bottoming in each instance around A$0.07, which is near current
trading levels.
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ANALYST CERTIFICATION
Each Research Analyst who was involved in the preparation of this Research Report hereby certifies that:
(1) the views, opinions, and recommendations expressed in this Research Report reflect accurately the Research
Analyst’s personal views concerning any and all securities and issuers that are discussed herein and are the
subject matter of this Research Report; and
(2) the fees, earnings, or compensation, in any form, payable to the Research Analyst, is not and will not, directly
or indirectly, be related to the specific views, opinions, and recommendations expressed by the Research
Analyst in this Research Report.
eResearchAnalysts on this Report:
Yuri Belinsky, B.A., M.A: Yuri Belinsky has extensive experience in equity research, with emphasis on mining
and oil & gas companies. He had a successful track record in the capital markets in Ukraine, progressing from an
analyst to the head of research for a team of 12 analysts. He also has experience as a portfolio manager. Mr.
Belinsky has a B.A. in Economics and two M.A. degrees, in Public Administration and in Social Research and
Evaluation.
Bob Weir, B.Sc., B. Comm., CFA: Bob Weir has 44 years of investment research and analytical experience in
both the equity and fixed-income sectors, and in the commercial real estate industry. He joined eResearch in 2004
and has been its President, CEO, and Director of Research since May 2005. Prior to joining eResearch, Mr. Weir
was at Dominion Bond Rating Service (DBRS), latterly as Executive Vice-President responsible for supervising the
firm’s 34 analysts and conducting the day-to-day management affairs of the company.
Analyst Affirmation: I, Yuri Belinsky, and I, Bob Weir, hereby state that, at the time of issuance of this research
report, I do not own, directly or indirectly, any shares of Botswana Metals Limited.
eRESEARCH ANALYST GROUP
Director of Research: Bob Weir, CFA
Financial Services Robin Cornwell
Life Sciences Scott Davidson
Christopher Neuman
Manufacturing and
Industrial Products Bill Campbell
Energy Yuri Belinsky
Eugene Bukoveczky
Achille Desmarais
Special Situations Bill Campbell
Shash Patel
Mining & Metals Yuri Belinsky
Eugene Bukoveczky
Shash Patel
Mining Advisors George Cargill
Graham Wilson
eResearch Disclaimer: In keeping with the policies of eResearch concerning its strict independence, all of the
opinions expressed in this report, including the selection of the 12-month Target Price and the Recommendation (Buy-Hold-Sell) for the Company’s shares, are strictly those of eResearch, and are free from any influence or
interference from any person or persons at the Company. In the preparation of a research report, it is the policy of eResearch to send a draft copy of the report, without divulging the Target Price or Recommendation or any
reference to either in the text of the report, to the Company and to any third party that paid for the report to be
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discretion, judges whether to include in its final report any of the suggestions made on its draft report.
Botswana Metals Limited Update Report
eResearch Corporation www.eresearch.ca Page 14
eRESEARCH RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM
Strong Buy: Expected total return within the next 12 months is at least 40%.
Buy: Expected total return within the next 12 months is between 10% and 40%.
Speculative Buy: Expected total return within the next 12 months is substantial, but Risk is High (see below).
Hold: Expected total return within the next 12 months is between 0% and 10%.
Sell: Expected total return within the next 12 months is negative. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________
eRESEARCH RISK RATING SYSTEM
A company may have some, but not necessarily all, of the following characteristics of a specific risk rating to qualify for that
rating:
High Risk: Financial - Little or no revenue and earnings, limited financial history, weak balance sheet, negative free
cash flows, poor working capital solvency, no dividends.
Operational - Weak competitive market position, early stage of development, unproven operating plan,
high cost structure, industry consolidating, business model/technology unproven or out-of-date.
Medium Risk: Financial - Several years of revenue and positive earnings, balance sheet in line with industry average,
positive free cash flow, adequate working capital solvency, may or may not pay a dividend.
Operational - Competitive market position and cost structure, industry stable, business model/technology is
well established and consistent with current state of industry.
Low Risk: Financial - Strong revenue growth and earnings over several years, stronger than average balance sheet,
strong positive free cash flows, above average working capital solvency, company may pay (and stock may
yield) substantial dividends or company may actively buy back stock.
Operational - Dominant player in its market, below average cost structure, company may be a consolidator,
company may have a leading market/technology position. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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research coverage.
Botswana Metals Limited paid eResearch US$10,000 to have it conduct research on the Company on an Annual Continual Basis.
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