upm the biofore company€¦ · continue in 2016. • upm’s growth projects are expected to...
TRANSCRIPT
UPM – THE BIOFORE COMPANY
Jussi PesonenPresident and CEO
May 2016
| © UPM
Contents
• UPM in transformation
• UPM strategic focus areas
1. Performance
2. Growth
3. Portfolio
4. Innovation
• Q1 2016 results
• Summary
2
| © UPM
UPM in transformation
3
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
Paper ENA
Plywood
Energy
Paper Asia
Raflatac
Biorefining
Otheroperations
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
Sold units
Paper
Plywood
Raflatac
Sawmilling
2003:
integrated
paper company
2008:
towards market-
driven businesses
2015:
six separate
businesses
Sales
EBIT (*
Net debt
Market cap
Personnel
EUR 9.8bn
EUR 429m
EUR 4.9bn
EUR 7.9bn
34,500
EUR 9.5bn
EUR 513m
EUR 4.3bn
EUR 4.7bn
25,000
EUR 10.1bn
EUR 916m
EUR 2.1bn
EUR 9.2bn
19,600
Business
portfolio,
sales
*) comparable EBIT for 2015, operating profit excluding special items for earlier years
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
Sold units
Paper
Plywood
Raflatac
Sawmilling
| © UPM
UPM business portfolio today(*
4
UPM ENERGY
UPM BIOREFINING
UPM RAFLATAC
UPM PAPER ASIA
UPM PAPER ENA
UPM PLYWOOD
Electricity
Pulp
Biofuels
Timber
#2 in Finland
# 6 globally
#2 globally
Label papers: #1 globally
High-end office papers:
#1 in China
Leading in Europe
#1 in Europe
Graphic papers
Plywood, veneer
Labelling materials,
fine papers
Self-adhesive label materials
Growth drivers:
Private consumption
Sustainability
Population growth
Urbanisation
Retail, e-commerce
Construction and
transportation
*) by EBITDA
UPM STRATEGIC
FOCUS AREAS
| © UPM6
Performance1 Growth2 Portfolio3 Innovation4
UPM strategic focus areas
Continuous
improvement in
performance
“Cost efficiency
measures”
Focused growth
projects
“EBITDA target for
growth projects
EUR 200m”
Business portfolio
development and
value creation
“Net debt reduction
EUR 546m”
New business and
product
development
“Biofuels
commercial
ramp-up”
1. PERFORMANCE
Continuous improvement in financial, social and environmental performance
| © UPM
Group profitability and targets
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
15
30
45
60
75
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
Net Debt
Gearing
Min target
EURm %%% of sales EBIT(* ROE(* Gearing
(* comparable figures for 2015 and 2014,
excluding special items for earlier years
| © UPM
Business area returns and long-term targets
9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
222
01
3
201
4
201
5
LT
M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
201
3
201
4
201
5
LT
M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
201
3
201
4
201
5
LT
M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
201
3
201
4
201
5
LT
M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
201
3
201
4
201
5
LT
M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
201
3
201
4
201
5
LT
M
ROCE %ROCE % (* ROCE %ROCE % CF/CE % ROCE %
UPM
Paper Asia
UPM
Paper ENA
UPM
Plywood
UPM
Raflatac
UPM
EnergyUPM
Biorefining
(* shareholdings in UPM Energy
valued at fair value Long-term return target
| © UPM
Growing with Biofore
– engaged high-performing people
0
5
10
15
20
25
EURmillion
10
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
0,55
0,60
ProductivitySafety
Lost-time
accident
frequency
Sales per
employee
Per million hours
5-year CAGR:
+5%5-year change:
-77%
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Employee engagement
Employee
engagement
Manager
effectiveness
5-year change:
+11
Index
More with Biofore– creating more with less
+5%Usage of
Recovered paper
-17%Electricity consumption
per tonne of paper
-16%Process wastewater
per tonne of paper
-65%Solid waste
to landfills
Less wasteWaste and sidestream utilisation
Efficient technologies
Less water usageWater management optimisation
Advanced technologies
Less effluent
Less energySystematic energy management
Energy efficient processes and technologies
Less air emissions
More recyclingEfficient processes
Product lifetime optimisation
End-of-life systems
Achievements in
2005 – 2015
| © UPM11
Focused high-return growth projects
2. GROWTH
| © UPM
Growth projects ramping up and contributing
to earnings in 2016 and beyond
13
Lappeenranta
biorefinery
120m litres of
renewable diesel
UPM Plywood
Otepää mill
expansion
to 90,000m3
Kymi
pulp mill
expansion
170,000t
UPM Raflatac
50% expansion in
APAC, growth in filmic
labelstock in Poland
UPM Paper Asia
Changshu
new speciality
paper machine
360,000t
Pietarsaari
pulp mill
expansion
70,000t
Fray Bentos
pulp mill
expansion
100,000t
Kaukas
pulp mill efficiency
improvement, paper and
pulp decoupling completed
Q2 2014
Q3 2014
Q4 2014
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
Q3 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
Q2 2016
Q3 2016
Q4 2016
Capex so far EUR 680m Remaining EUR 90m
| © UPM
| © UPM
Low investment needs in existing assets allow
growth projects with modest total capex
14
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e
EURm
Operational investments
Capital expenditure
Strategic investments
DepreciationUruguay
acquisition
Myllykoski
acquisition
486
Estimate
350
3. PORTFOLIO
Enhancing value, long-term profitability and growth outlook
| © UPM
Strengths of UPM’s model
16
Top performance
Industry-leading
balance sheet
Attractive dividend
Strong cash flowFocused
investments
Developing new businesses and improving
the competitiveness of current businesses
4. INNOVATION
| © UPM18
Innovations in new and existing businesses
| © UPM| © UPM19
Q1 2016 RESULTS
| © UPM
Q1 2016 – growth projects and cost efficiency
measures deliver improved earnings
EBITDA increased by 24%
+ Cost efficiency measures resulted in
significantly lower variable, fixed costs
+ Growth projects contributed to earnings
+ Realised currency hedges neutral
+ Operational efficiency on a good level
Comparable EBIT increased by 34% to
EUR 281m (210m)
Strong operating cash flow at
EUR 341m (108m)
Net debt decreased to EUR 1,873m
(2,419m)
20
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
Q214
Q314
Q414
Q115
Q215
Q315
Q415
Q116
EURm Comparable EBITDA
403
325
| © UPM
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
EBITDA
Q1/15
EBITDA
Q1/16
Comparable EBITDA in Q1 2016 vs. Q1 2015
Raflatac
Paper
AsiaOther
operations
and
eliminations
Energy
Biorefining
Paper
ENA
Plywood
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
EBITDA
Q1/15
EBITDA
Q1/16
EURm
Prices
Variable
costs
Fixed
costs
Deliveries
UPM benefited from cost efficiency
measures in a deflationary
business environment EURm
Cost efficiency improved in all businesses.
Biorefining, Raflatac and Paper Asia
showed growth in deliveries
21
32513.1%
40316.5%
Currency,
net
impact
32513.1%
40316.5%
| © UPM
Comparable EBIT by business area
22
0,0
2,5
5,0
7,5
10,0
12,5
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q114
Q314
Q115
Q315
Q116
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
30
60
90
120
150
Q114
Q314
Q115
Q315
Q116
0
15
30
45
60
0
20
40
60
80
Q114
Q314
Q115
Q315
Q116
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q114
Q314
Q115
Q315
Q116
-2
0
2
4
6
-25
0
25
50
75
Q114
Q314
Q115
Q315
Q116
0
4
8
12
16
20
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q114
Q314
Q115
Q315
Q116
EURm % of salesUPM Paper Asia EURm % of salesUPM Paper ENA EURm % of salesUPM Plywood
EURm % of salesUPM RaflatacEURm % of salesUPM EnergyEURm % of salesUPM Biorefining
| © UPM
UPM is well positioned for 2016
UPM actions continue:
• Ramp-up at UPM Changshu PM3 and the
Lappeenranta biorefinery
• Full potential of the pulp mills
• UPM Kaukas and UPM Otepää investments
• Cost efficiency measures
• Closure of Madison Paper Industries,
sale of UPM Schwedt paper mill assets
Scheduled maintenance stops:
• Pulp (Q3, Q4) and paper mills (Q2, Q4),
Lappeenranta biorefinery (Q2) and
Olkiluoto nuclear power plant units (Q2)
23
| © UPM| © UPM24
Outlook for 2016 is unchanged
• UPM’s profitability improved in 2015 and the improvement is expected to continue in 2016.
• UPM’s growth projects are expected to contribute positively to the company’s earnings in 2016, compared with 2015.
• UPM continues its measures to reduce variable and fixed costs also in 2016.
• Currencies are expected to contribute positively as hedges roll over, assuming relevant currencies stay at about the same level as at the end of 2015.
| © UPM
SUMMARY
| © UPM
0 %
10 %
20 %
30 %
40 %
50 %
60 %
70 %
80 %
90 %
100 %
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Market capitalisation
UPM’s enterprise value and shareholder
value have increased
26
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Enterprise value Distribution of the enterprise value
Net debt
EUR million
Market capitalisation
Net debt
| © UPM
Strengths of UPM’s model
27
Top performance
Industry-leading
balance sheet
Attractive dividend
Strong cash flowFocused
investments