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Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health Statistics August 8, 2012

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Page 1: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use

Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health Statistics

August 8, 2012

Page 2: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

• Our Mission: To save lives by improving lung health and preventing lung disease.

• Mission Goals: – Eliminate tobacco use and tobacco-related lung disease. – Improve the air we breathe so it will not cause or worsen

lung disease. – Reduce the burden of lung disease on patients and their

families. • Three-prong Approach:

– Education, Advocacy and Research.

American Lung Association

Page 3: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

• Funding from Communities Putting Prevention to Work (CPPW) grant

• Part of 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act

• Designed to address two leading causes of preventable death and disability: obesity and tobacco use

Support

Page 4: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Tobacco

• Leading cause of preventable illness and death in the United States.

• Rural populations are heavily impacted – Socio-economic Factors – Cultural Roots – Legislation – Cash Crop – Lack of Access/Utilization of Health Care

Page 5: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

• Rural residency has long been associated with higher rates of smoking nationwide

• Adolescent age of onset of smoking is earlier in rural regions and use is higher

• Previous studies suggest lower levels of income and education, as well higher amounts of Caucasians, may be attributed to this difference

Background

Page 6: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Rural Population

Page 7: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Adult Smoking Prevalence

Page 8: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Strength of Smokefree Air Laws

Page 9: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

• Confirm pre-established notions regarding rural and urban differences in tobacco use

• Determine significant predictors of tobacco use

among rural and urban areas • Determine areas where programs and advocacy

would be useful

Objectives

Page 10: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Survey

• 2009 National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH; n=55,722)

• Noninstitutionalized U.S. civilian population aged 12 or older

• Nationally representative information on substance use and its correlates

Page 11: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Methods

• Analyzed current (30-day) cigarette and smokeless tobacco use

• Smokeless tobacco use included chew, snuff and dip

• Rural = small MSA (<250k), Urban = medium MSA (250k-1000k) + large MSA (1000k+)

• Logistic regression using SPSS-SUDAAN • Controlled for sex, age, race/ethnicity,

education, and income

Page 12: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Crude Smoking Rates by Geography and Sex • Rural > Urban • Male > Female

Urban

Rural

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Total Male Female

24.2% 26.5%

22.1%

29.6% 32.8%

26.6%

Curr

ent S

mok

ing

Perc

enta

ge

Page 13: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Crude Smokeless Tobacco Rates by Geography and Sex • Rural > Urban • Male > Female

Urban

Rural

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Total Male Female

2.9%

5.8%

0.3%

6.6%

12.8%

0.6%

Curr

ent S

mok

eles

s Tob

acco

Per

cent

age

Page 14: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Current Cigarette Use Variables Odds Ratio Geography Urban vs Rural 0.98

95% confidence interval 0.89-1.07

Sex Male vs Female 1.28 *

Family Income Less than $20,000 2.28 * $20,000 - $49,999 1.81 * $50,000 - $74,999 1.17 * $75,000 or More 1

Variables Odds Ratio Age 18-34 7.70 * 35-49 5.84 * 50-64 4.46 * 65+ 1

Education Some High School 3.54 * High School Grad 2.67 * Some College 1.96 * College Grad 1

Race/Ethnicity White 1 Black 0.63 * Other 0.60 * Hispanic 0.44 * * Significant p<.05

Does not include youth

Page 15: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Current Smokeless Tobacco Use Variables Odds Ratio Geography Urban vs Rural 2.03 *

95% confidence interval 1.68-2.46

Sex Male vs Female 24.25 *

Age 18-34 5.84 * 35-49 4.12 * 50-64 1.47 . 65+ 1

Variables Odds Ratio Education Some High School 1.44 * High School Grad 1.91 * Some College 1.52 * College Grad 1

Race/Ethnicity White 1 Black 0.23 * Other 0.51 * Hispanic 0.17 *

* Significant p<.05 Does not include youth

Page 16: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Odds Ratios and 95% Confidence Intervals for Education and Income in Smokeless Tobacco Model

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

<$20K $20-$50K $50-75K $75K+

Odd

s Rat

io

Income

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

<HS Grad HS Grad SomeCollege

CollegeGrad

Odd

s Rat

io

Education

Relationships were not linear for both variables

Page 17: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

-2 * Log Likelihoods for Cigarette and Smokeless Models

Cigarette Use

Smokeless Tobacco Use

Model without Rural/Urban Variable 38,588.50 9,232.71

Model with Rural/Urban Variable 38,587.95 9,124.69

Difference 0.55 108.02

Adding geography variable improves the log likelihood of both models

Page 18: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Urban

Rural

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Pregnant Not Pregnant

10.7%

27.8%

27.9%

38.0% Cu

rren

t Sm

okin

g Pe

rcen

tage

Crude Smoking Rate Among Women by Geography and Pregnant Status • Rural pregnant not different from urban or rural not-pregnant

Page 19: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Pregnancy and Smoking Variables Odds Ratio Geography Urban vs Rural 2.06*

Family Income Less than $20,000 2.23 * $20,000 - $49,999 1.83 * $50,000 - $74,999 1.23 * $75,000 or More 1

Education Some High School 4.02 * High School Grad 2.82 * Some College 1.23 * College Grad 1

Variables Odds Ratio Race/Ethnicity White 1 Black 0.42 * Other 0.47 * Hispanic 0.32 *

Pregnant Not Pregnant vs Pregnant 3.48*

Geography × Pregnant Rural, Not Pregnant 0.52* Rural, Pregnant 1 Urban, Not Pregnant 1 Urban, Pregnant 1

* Significant p<.05 Only includes females aged 18-44

Page 20: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Pregnancy and Smoking Interaction

OR 95% CI p-value

Urban, Not Pregnant vs Urban, Pregnant 3.49 2.60; 4.68 <0.0001

Rural, Not Pregnant vs Rural, Pregnant 1.80 0.73; 4.44 0.1996

Urban, Not Pregnant vs Rural, Pregnant 1.70 0.59; 4.85 0.0848

Rural, pregnant smokers n=60

Page 21: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

• Arrow indicates group with higher OR

• Dashed lines indicate no significant difference

Significance of Relationships in Geography × Pregnant Interaction

Urban,

Not Pregnant

Rural,

Pregnant

Urban,

Pregnant

Rural,

Not Pregnant

Page 22: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

• For cigarette use, geography is less of a predictor than socioeconomic factors

• Preconceived notions for cigarette use regarding the relationship between different levels of education and income were confirmed

• Smoking among pregnant women in rural areas is disproportionately high

Discussion - Cigarettes

Page 23: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Discussion - Smokeless

• For smokeless tobacco, gender is the dominant factor, matching expectations

• Geography remains a significant predictor even when controlling for demographic factors

• Income was not a significant predictor, surprisingly

Page 24: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Limitations

• Unable to include group dynamics • Cross-sectional design limits inference • Definitions for rural/urban vary widely • Potential for unmeasured confounders

Page 25: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Future Research

• Examine smokeless tobacco use further to determine why nonlinear trends in education and income were seen

• Reanalyze smoking in pregnant women in rural areas with a larger sample size

• Explore environmental and group level factors using community-based longitudinal methods

Page 26: Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use 08, 2012 · Urban and Rural Disparities in Tobacco Use Ming Shan, BS; Zach Jump, MA; Elizabeth Lancet, MPH National Conference on Health

Questions? American Lung Association

Research and Health Information Department www.lung.org/finding-cures

[email protected] 212-315-8788 [email protected] 212-315-8749