urban centers imported water groundwater usage
DESCRIPTION
50 year Minimum Flow Record Significant Trends Mann-Kendall Test. Urban Centers Imported Water Groundwater Usage. Three out of the last seven years have had inflows lower than two standard deviations below the mean. . INTERA. Recent Flows 69% Of Historical. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Trends in inflows to the Highland Lakes and implications for basin management and water planning
July 10, 2013
A Presentation To:
Presented By:
The Lower Colorado Regional
Water Planning Group
Hydrology:
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Urban CentersImported Water
Groundwater Usage
50 year MinimumFlow Record
Significant TrendsMann-Kendall Test
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INTERA
Three out of the last seven years have had inflows lower than two standard deviations below the mean.
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Recent Flows69%
Of Historical
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1. Duration: More than 24 months since lakes were full2. Intensity:
Inflows less than LCRA “Envelope Curve”3. Combined Storage:
Less than 600,000 acre-ft
Is the current drought WORSE than the Drought of Record?
Source: www.lcra.org_library_media_public_docs_water_wmp_TMs_A-1_thru_A-6_2012May
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Current Drought: 63 Months
Criteria 1 - Duration: More than 24 months since lakes were full
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Criteria 2 - Intensity:Inflows less than LCRA “Envelope Curve”
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As of July 9 – Combined Storage = 726,000 acre-ft
Criteria 3 - Combined Storage:Less than 600,000 acre-ft
What if Emergency Orders were not granted in 2012 & 2013?
Is the current drought WORSE than the Drought of Record?
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Criteria 3 - Combined Storage:Less than 600,000 acre-ft
Following Current WMPReleases:180,044 Acre-ft 2012128,944 Acre-ft 2013
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Criteria 3 - Combined Storage:Less than 600,000 acre-ft
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CTWC Conclusions
• Highland Lake Inflows have Decreased• 1999-Present 69% of Historical
• Current Drought Worse than DOR• WMP Does not protect Highland Lakes• Firm Yield needs re-calculation
• Current planning methods should not assume future will mimic observed past
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Thanks for your attention!
Questions?
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Criteria 3 - Combined Storage under 2012 WMP:Less than 600,000 acre-ft
Following Pending WMPReleases:120,000 Acre-ft 2012 1st Crop45,000 Acre-ft 2012 2nd Crop120,000 Acre-ft 2013 1st Crop
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Criteria 3 - Combined Storage Under 2012 WMP:Less than 600,000 acre-ft