urban institute serious and violent offender multi-site evaluation funded by nij grant no....
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UrbanInstitute
Serious and Violent Offender Multi-site Evaluation
Funded by NIJ Grant No. 2004-RE-CX-0002
What Works in Reentry: Findings from the
SVORI Multi-site Evaluation
Christy A. Visher, Ph.D.University of Delaware and The Urban Institute
John Jay College of Criminal JusticePrisoner Reentry Institute
October 23, 2009
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Serious and Violent Offender Multi-site Evaluation
Overview The Serious & Violent Offender Reentry Initiative
The evaluation design and data collection
Findings: Did “it” work?
Challenges finding what works—for programs, for evaluators
Lessons: Takeaways for reentry strategies & evaluations
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So What Was the SVOR Initiative?
In 2002, the US DOJ, DOL, ED, DHUD, and DHHS funded one round of three-year grants for state and local agencies to develop programs to improve criminal justice, employment, education, health, and housing outcomes for released prisoners
69 agencies received Federal funds ($500,000 - $2,000,000) to develop 89 programs that Targeted adult and juvenile populations Incorporated partnerships among state and local
agencies to provide comprehensive services to prisoners returning home
Were locally designed to meet local needs and organizational capabilities
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SVORI Logic Model
INPUTS: SVORI
· Federal Funds & Resources· Federal Grant Requirements· Technical Assistance
THROUGHPUTS
· Local Partnerships· State & Local Resources
OUTPUTS: IMPLEMENTATION
In Prison· Coordination/Supervision· Education/Training· Family Services· Health Services
(AOD Treatment)· Transition Services
Community· Coordination/Supervision· Education/Training· Family Services· Health Services
(AOD Treatment)· Transition Services
Post Supervision· Community Reintegration
Activities
INTERMEDIATE OFFENDER OUTCOMES
· Community Involvement· Employment· Family Contact/Stability· Health/Mental Health· Housing· Substance Use · Supervision Compliance
OFFENDER RECIDIVISM OUTCOMES
· Committed Any Crime (SR)· Committed Violent Crime (SR)· Any Jail/Prison (SR)· New Arrest (OR)· Readmitted to Prison (OR)
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SVORI Funding Came with Few Requirements
Unlike many Federal programs, SVORI grants imposed only a few requirements Focus on “serious and violent offenders” 35 years
of age or younger Address different stages of reentry through
services delivered (1) prior to release, (2) post release during supervision, and (3) post supervision
Base services on needs and risk assessments Include partnerships among state and local
agencies and community and faith-based organizations
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So…What was a “SVORI Program”?
SVORI programs were locally designed to meet local needs & organizational capabilities
Most programs used assessments to tailor services & programs for program participants
SVORI was not a program in the sense of traditional programs (e.g., cognitive behavior therapy or residential drug treatment)
SVORI was a funding stream that agencies used to enhance & expand existing programs or to develop new reentry programs
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Evaluation Challenge
“…determine whether the selected programs have accomplished the overall goal of the Reentry Initiative – increasing public safety by reducing recidivism among the populations served by the program – and determine the relative costs and benefits of the program.”
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Did SVORI Work?
What does that mean? Were agencies able to develop &
implement SVORI programs? What did those programs look like? Did program participants receive more
services than others? Did program participants have better
outcomes?
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SVORI Multi-site Evaluation
Implementation assessment collected multiple waves of survey data from all 89 SVORI program directors, as well as data from program participants & comparison subjects
Impact evaluation focused on SVORI participants and non-SVORI comparison subjects in 12 adult programs (11 for adult females) and 4 programs for juvenile males in 14 states
Interviews with individuals who entered SVORI programs and were released from prison between July 2004 and November 2005 30 days prior to release 3, 9 and 15 months post release
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SVORI Impact Evaluation Subjects12 Adult Programs; 4 Juvenile Programs
Wave Men Women Boys Total
S NS Total S NS Total S NS Total
Pre 863 834 1697 153 204 357 152 185 337 2391
3 M 529 455 984 110 134 244 105 131 236 1464
9 M 565 470 1035 119 134 253 108 131 239 1527
15 M 582 531 1113 124 152 276 107 141 248 1637
Total 2539 2290 4829 506 624 1130 472 588 1060 7019
Wave 1 response rate: 86% Wave 2: 58% (Men), 68% (Women), 71% (Boys)
Wave 3: 61% (Men), 71% (Women), 72% (Boys)
Wave 4: 66% (Men), 77% (Women), 74% (Boys)
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Population Characteristics30 Days Prior to Release
Men Women Boys
Age at release 29 32 17
Black 54% 41% 55%
Hispanic 4% 6% 20%
Currently married/steady relationship 40% 48% 43%
Children 63% 83% 9%
HS/GED 60% 62% 17%
Employed 6 m prior prison 66% 53% 38%
Supported self w/ job 6 m prior prison 61% 48% 29%
Age 1st arrest (years) 16 19 13
Prior arrests (number) 14 12 7
Person/violent crime (current) 41% 29% 46%
Lifetime illicit drug use 95% 94% 88%
AOD/MH treatment prior prison 51% 73% 43%
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Implementation
SVORI funds resulted in the development of local programs that provided an increase in programs and services for participants…
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Characterizing & ComparingSVORI Programs
Coordination & Supervision: risk assessment, needs assessment, treatment/release plan, and (post-release only) supervision
Employment/Education/Skills Building: education/GED/ tutoring/literacy, vocational training, employment referral/job placement, resume/interviewing skills, work release, cognitive skills development, life skills
Health Services: AA/NA, counseling, comprehensive AOD treatment, mental health, medical, dental, anger mgmt/violence counseling
Transition Services: legal, id assistance, benefits assistance, financial support/ emergency assistance, peer support, mentoring, housing, and (post-release only) transportation
Family Services: parenting skills, family counseling, family reunification, domestic violence servicesService Bundles
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Coordination Services Receipt: Men
Received Prerelease 3M Post
SN=863
NSN=834
SN=529
NSN=455
Reentry Plan? 57%* 25% n/a n/a
Met w/anyone re: release/reintegration?
66%* 31% 46%* 22%
Needs assessment for release? 49%* 23% n/a n/a
Met with case manager? 66%* 41% 58%* 34%
Note: Average bundle scores weighted to compensate for differences between groups.
* p < 0.05.
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Service Receipt: Men Coordination Services Bundle
6057
43
3033
40
31
24
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Pre-ReleaseReceipt*
3-M Receipt* 9-M Receipt* 15-M Receipt*
SVORI
Non-SVORI
Needs assessment Case manager Treatment/release plan or help
reintegrating P/P supervision (post-release
only)
Note: Average bundle scores weighted to compensate for differences between groups.
* p < 0.05.
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Selected Transition Services Receipt: Men
Received Prerelease 3M Post
SN=863
NSN=834
SN=529
NSN=455
Programs for release? 75%* 52% n/a n/a
Help obtaining job docs? 41%* 26% 25%* 16%
Help finding place to live? 28%* 13% 12% 11%
Help getting driver’s license? 22%* 8% 12%* 7%
Public health care access? 13%* 9% 11% 8%
Note: Average bundle scores weighted to compensate for differences between groups.
* p < 0.05.
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Service Needs & Receipt: Men Transitional Services Bundle
28
64
139
6
17
62
97 6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Pre-ReleaseReceipt*
Pre-ReleaseNeed
3-M Receipt* 9-M Receipt* 15-M Receipt
SVORI
Non-SVORI
Note: Average bundle scores weighted to compensate for differences between groups.
* p < 0.05.
Legal Financial Health care Mentoring Employment documents Housing Transportation Driver’s license Clothes/food banks Program/class to prepare for
release (prerelease only)
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Employment/Education/SkillsBuilding Services: Men
Received Prerelease* 3M Post*
SN=863
NSN=834
SN=529
NSN=455
Any E/E/SB Service? 79%* 69% 50%* 31%
Any Employment Service? 37%* 20% 34%* 20%
Any Educational Service? 51%* 44% 11% 8%
Asst w/ Personal Relationships? 25%* 17% 7%* 4%
Trng Change Criminal Attitudes? 51%* 36% 18%* 10%
Note: Average bundle scores weighted to compensate for differences between groups.
* p < 0.05.
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Service Needs & Receipt: Men Employment/Education/Skills Bundle
38
74
1411
8
24
74
8 86
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Pre-ReleaseReceipt*
Pre-ReleaseNeed
3-M Receipt* 9-M Receipt* 15-M Receipt*
SVORINon-SVORI
Education/ vocational training Employment services Life skills Personal relationships Change criminal behavior
attitudes Money management
Note: Average bundle scores weighted to compensate for differences between groups.
* p < 0.05.
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Implementation
SVORI funds resulted in the development of local programs that provided an increase in programs and services for participants…according to the SVORI Program Directors.
Our impact site respondents confirmed more services for those participating in programs.
Self-reported need was similar across sites…self-reported service receipt varied.
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Little Site Variation in NeedsEmployment/Education/Skills Bundle
74
6266
73 75 75 75 76 76 78 78 7984
73
67 68
7672 74
76
69
7873
7874
78
0
20
40
60
80
100
All 1 12
SVORI Non-SVORI
Source: Wave 1 interviews with adult males
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Much Variation in Service ReceiptEmployment/Education/Skills Bundle
39
1317 18
27 2733
40 40
59 6062
78
24 22
15
26
37
16
2630 31 30
25
18
35
0
20
40
60
80
100
All 1 12
SVORI Non-SVORI
Source: Wave 1 interviews with adult males
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Serious and Violent Offender Multi-site Evaluation
Impact: Did the SVORI Programs Make A Difference?
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Multi-site Evaluation
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Remember the Logic Model
INPUTS: SVORI
· Federal Funds & Resources· Federal Grant Requirements· Technical Assistance
THROUGHPUTS
· Local Partnerships· State & Local Resources
OUTPUTS: IMPLEMENTATION
In Prison· Coordination/Supervision· Education/Training· Family Services· Health Services
(AOD Treatment)· Transition Services
Community· Coordination/Supervision· Education/Training· Family Services· Health Services
(AOD Treatment)· Transition Services
Post Supervision· Community Reintegration
Activities
INTERMEDIATE OFFENDER OUTCOMES
· Community Involvement· Employment· Family Contact/Stability· Health/Mental Health· Housing· Substance Use · Supervision Compliance
OFFENDER RECIDIVISM OUTCOMES
· Committed Any Crime (SR)· Committed Violent Crime (SR)· Any Jail/Prison (SR)· New Arrest (OR)· Readmitted to Prison (OR)
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Did SVORI Work? Approach
Overall, our SVORI and non-SVORI groups are similar although there are a few differences
Propensity score models were estimated to address observable differences in SVORI & Non-SVORI with respect to assignment to SVORI
Propensity score weighted models were estimated to determine effect of SVORI participation on outcomes
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Housing Independence
72%
82%86%
69%
83%80%
65%
78%82%
69%
77%73%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3-M Post 9-M Post 15-M Post
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
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Currently Support Self with Job
64%68%
71%
59%
68%
60%
53%
61%
68%
49%
56%
45%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3-M Post 9-M Post 15-M Post
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
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Job Has Benefits*
47%
53% 52%
39%42% 44%
41% 41% 42%
26%
33%37%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3-M Post 9-M Post 15-M Post
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
*Benefits = paid leave or health insurance
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Job Has Formal Pay
84%80% 78%
74%77%
74%
89% 90% 90%
74% 73% 74%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
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No Self-reported Drug Use Past 30 Days
79%
69%66%
77%
62% 62%
85%
69%
75%
81%
73%
63%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3-M Post 9-M Post 15-M Post
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
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No Self-reported Drug Use Past 30 Days Except Marijuana
88%
81% 82%
89%
79% 80%
92%
76%
82%87%
82%
74%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
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No Self-reported Drug Use Past 30 Days or Positive Test
54%
46%
52%
43%
67%
46%49%
38%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3-M Post 15-M Post
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
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No Self-reported Criminal Behavior Since Last Interview
79%
64% 66%
73%
59% 61%
78%
69% 70%
82%
75%
64%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3-M Post 9-M Post 15-M Post
M-S M-NS W-S W-NS
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Recidivism: Men
68%
71%
42%39%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3M 6M 9M 12M 15M 21M 24M
Arrest-S
Arrest-NS
Reinc-S
Reinc-NS
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Recidivism: Women
49%
60%
41%
22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3M 6M 9M 12M 15M 21M 24M
Arrest-S
Arrest-NS
Reinc-S
Reinc-NS
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Issues & Challenges: For Reentry Programs
Participant needs are multi-faceted
Implementation means identifying, developing, and providing a range of services often in collaboration and cooperation with multiple agencies and organizations—which is difficult
Services should be customized to individual participants based on needs and risks—there is no one “program” to be implemented
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Issues and Challenges: For Evaluators
Services are customized to individual participants based on needs and risks—there is no one “program” to be evaluated
Programs vary from location to location in response to available resources and service providers
Characteristics of participants across programs may vary, either because of targeting by administrators or underlying demographic differences in populations
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Conclusions SVORI: Ambitious effort to improve integrated,
individually targeted services through coordination of state & community agencies & organizations
SVORI participants were more likely to report receiving services pre and post release—although at levels far below 100%
From release through 15 months post release, SVORI participants are doing better—if only moderately so—across a wide range of outcomes
Official measures of recidivism show little difference in arrest & reincarceration rates, although we see slightly lower rearrest rates slightly higher reincarceration rates
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Lessons for the Field
Modest funding focused on improving coordination and developing reentry strategy can result in substantial increases in services.
Improvement in services leads to modest gains in outcomes.
Incomplete implementation of service components may explain modest outcomes.
Critical component: careful, systematic assessment of needs and matching of services
Continuity of service delivery!
SVORI was first major attempt to develop and deliver systematic reentry strategy.
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A Cautionary Note
“Services can assist the individual in sustaining recovery, but only if the client has the capacity and readiness to constructively utilize those services.”
George De Leon
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Post Script There are no “silver bullets”!
Federal funding has been a series of one-time efforts with different foci and population targets since 2001: SVORI (2002) -- DOJ Prisoner Reentry Initiative (2005) -- DOL Responsible Fatherhood, Marriage and Family
Strengthening (2006) -- HHS Second Chance (2009) -- DOJ
State funding for corrections has always been small & is now buffeted by budget shortfalls that threaten to eliminate gains in those states that have invested in reentry
SVORI was a good start – a place to build
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For Women and Juvenile Males
Levels of self-reported need were similar for the SVORI and non-SVORI groups for both the adult females and the juvenile male subjects
Women participating in SVORI programs were much more likely to report receipt of services and substantial differences persisted for many services through the 15-month follow-up interview
Juvenile males, overall, reported much higher levels of service receipt than the adults—particularly, pre-release—and there were many fewer differences in the likelihood of service receipt between the SVORI and non-SVORI groups