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U.S. Department of JusticeOffice of Justice Programs
BUREAU OF JUSTICE STATISTICS
Joint Statistical Analysis Program
Association of State Uniform Crime Reporting ProgramsSeptember 5-7, 2018Colorado Springs, CO
Presented byShannan Catalano, Ph.D.
Law Enforcement Incident-Based StatisticsBureau of Justice Statistics
Jim McDonough, Ph.D.Director, VA State Analysis Center
Debbie Roberts, BS, CISVA State Analysis Center
2www.bjs.gov
Presentation overview
Background
Goal: Promote the National Crime Statistics Exchange (NCS-X)
Objective: Build support for conducting analyses using the National Incident-based Reporting System (NIBRS)
Outcome: Joint Statistical Analysis Program (JSAP)
Pilot Collaboration: BJS and VA State Analysis Center (SAC)
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Background
Recruitment is endingNCS-X 3: September to December (tentative)Pass-through funding for 3 additional state programsPlanning for pass-through in at least one additional state
All agencies with 750 or more sworn officersEncompasses nearly all major citiesUS cities and metropolitan areas
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Goal: Promote National Crime Statistics Exchange (NCS-X)
Sunrise for NIBRS deployment is January 2021
Increased data availability results in demand for analyses at the—• National level• State level• Jurisdiction level
NCS-X analytical program• Developed by BJS and Research Triangle Institute (RTI)• Upcoming interactive reports include sexual assault,
Bakken region, multiple offense incidents
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Goal: Promote NCS-X by building capacity among states and BJS
Bringing capacity online at the subnational level
Sunrise doesn’t mean 100% reporting• States at varying levels of data collection• States with varying levels of data quality
State NIBRS analysis programs• Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) state programs• State Statistical Analysis Centers (SAC)
Promotion and collaboration must acknowledge the complexities of state NIBRS analysis programs
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Outcome: Joint Statistical Analysis Program (JSAP)
Collaboration can focus on—• State specific issues, e.g., violent crimes by the victim offender relationship to inform
policy on the types of programs best suited to mitigate domestic, intimate, or stranger violence
• Quality and attributes of a state’s available data, e.g., trend analyses for states that transitioned in the 1990’s
The focus is on analytical projects not capacity building which can encompass both analytical and technical improvement capabilities
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Outcome: Joint Statistical Analysis Program (JSAP)
Application process includes—• Project description• Justification of analysis (value to the state)
Administrative and operational support through RTI• Service agreement through RTI
SHOW ME THE MONEY!• $400,000 available• $50 to $60k per project• Available in FY 2019
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Outcome: Joint Statistical Analysis Program (JSAP)
BJS serves as the organizing entity• BJS staff conduct analyses collaboratively with state entities
Research Triangle Institute (RTI) provides support through NCS-X analytical program
Analytical projects will be released as interactive reports because of the—• flexibility to present voluminous amount of data• ability to drill down using U.S., state, and jurisdiction selection maps
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Pilot collaboration: BJS and the Virginia SAC
Beginnings of the JSAP pilot collaboration• BJS contacted SACs in full reporter states in February 2018 for proposed start date of
summer 2018• Timing, resources, and proximity suggested VA SAC was the optimal pilot candidate• Meetings held throughout the summer as Shannan, Jim, and Deborah iterated on
structure and content
Critical elements of statistical collaboration include—• Communication• Structure• Content
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Enabling Operational Advantages
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Pilot collaboration: BJS and the Virginia SAC
Robbery chosen as the inaugural effort
Variable of interest is resident status of victim and offender
Why robbery?• Of importance at the state level• Good candidate for cross-jurisdictional comparison
Structure of interactive report• State level analyses with state by state comparisons• Additional layers of analysis within a selected state • Cross jurisdictional analyses within the selected state
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Pilot collaboration: Robbery Recorded by Law Enforcement, 2016
National: Not critical for JSAP
State: Analyses of full reporter states• Victim profiles including age, race, sex, victim offender relationship• Incident profiles including location, weapon use, injury• Resident status of victim and offender
Subnational: Additional analyses funded through JSAP• Jurisdiction level comparisons Resident and non-resident status variable Indicator for workload in a community “Where they’re from and how they’re related to the community”
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Preliminary thoughts on collaboration from the BJS perspective
Data files- national extract files vs state data
Units of analysis- incidents vs victims
Single versus multiple offense incidents
Casewise or pairwise deletion of missing data
Implementing analyses that maximize the interactive report format
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Preliminary thoughts on collaboration from the VA SAC perspective
Collaboration within Virginia• State UCR Program • Other VA entities
Collaboration with a federal statistical agency
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