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FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR Use of Remote Sensing Technology in Crop Monitoring and Assessment of Impact of Natural Disaster Shibendu S. Ray Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre Department of Agriculture & Cooperation Government of India [email protected] www.ncfc.gov.in FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre was established under Ministry of Agriculture with technical and human resources support from Indian Space Research Organization. Centre was inaugurated on 23 rd April, 2012. Named after great Indian Statistician P. C. Mahalanobis. Located in New Delhi, India. An initiative towards institutionalization of Remote Sensing Applications in Agriculture in the country. A state-of-the art RS&GIS lab The Mandate of the Centre is to use geospatial technology for agricultural assessment. Responsible for all operational crop forecasting and drought assessment in the country using Remote Sensing Data. Jointly works in collaboration with 18 state agriculture departments. Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre Email: [email protected] Web: www.ncfc.gov.in

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  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Use of Remote Sensing Technology in

    Crop Monitoring and Assessment of

    Impact of Natural Disaster

    Shibendu S. Ray

    Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre

    Department of Agriculture & Cooperation

    Government of India

    [email protected]

    www.ncfc.gov.in

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    • Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre was established under Ministry of Agriculture with technical and human resources support from Indian Space Research Organization. Centre was inaugurated on 23rd April, 2012.

    • Named after great Indian Statistician P. C. Mahalanobis. Located in New Delhi, India.

    • An initiative towards institutionalization of Remote Sensing Applications in Agriculture in the country.

    • A state-of-the art RS&GIS lab

    • The Mandate of the Centre is to use geospatial

    technology for agricultural assessment.

    • Responsible for all operational crop forecasting and drought assessment in the country using Remote Sensing Data.

    • Jointly works in collaboration with 18 state agriculture departments.

    Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre

    Email: [email protected] Web: www.ncfc.gov.in

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    FASAL (Forecasting Agriculture using Space, Agrometeorology and Land based observations)

    Aims at providing multiple pre-harvest production forecasts of crops at National/State/ District level

    National/State forecasts: • Kharif Rice (3 Forecasts, 13 states) • Rabi Rice (1, 4) • Wheat (3,6) • Winter potato (2, 4) • Rapeseed & Mustard (3,5) • Jute (1,3)

    State/District forecasts: • Cotton (1,7) • Sugarcane (1,3) • Rabi Sorghum (1,2)

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Salient Features for Crop Assessment using Remote Sensing

    •Multi-date Microwave (SAR) for Rice & Jute and Multi-date/Single-date Optical (AWiFS/ LISS III) for other crops

    Data

    •Stratified Random Sampling

    Approach

    •All those sates, which together contribute >85% of the Crop’s area in the Country

    States Covered

    •Multiple, starting from 1 month of crop to pre-harvest

    Periodicity

    •Hierarchical for Multi-date SAR; Hybrid (combination of supervised & unsup. for multi-date optical); MXL for single date optical

    Classification Approach

    •FASALSoft, developed by ISRO

    Software

    •Agro-meteorological, progressing towards spectral & simulation

    Yield Forecast

    •MNCFC, State Agrl. Dept., IMD, SAC (ISRO)

    Organisations Involved

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Use of Multi-date Optical Data for Crop Classification

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Use of Indian SAR (RISAT) Data for Rice & Jute

    • Indian SAR satellite RISAT-1 was launched in April 26,

    2012 and data was available for user from November,

    2012.

    • Crop (Rice & Jute) assessment is the major use of

    RISAT-1 data (MRS mode).

    • Multi (3) date data is used for crop assessment.

    MRS Data Coverage in Kharif Rice

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Smartphone based Ground truth Collection

    5680 points covering 16 states between August to January

    (2013-14)

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Crop Forecast Schedule and Variation

    Estimates Rice Wheat

    Remote Sensing DES Remote Sensing DES

    1st Aug End Sep End Jan End Feb 1st Wk.

    2nd Sep End Feb 1st Wk. Feb End April Last Wk.

    3rd Jan, 1st Wk. (Final) April Last Wk. Mar End (Final) July Mid

    4th --- July Mid --- ----

    Final --- Sep End --- Sep End

    *Million Bales (180 kg)

    Crop Year Area (Million Hectares) Production (Million Tonnes)

    MNCFC DES % Diff. MNCFC DES % Diff. Jute (F1) 2013-14 0.72 0.76 -5.3 10.06* 10.60* -5.1

    Rice (F2) 2013-14 37.32 38.71 -3.7 82.16 92.32 -11.0 Rapeseed& Mustard

    (F3) 2012-13 5.53 6.34 -12.7 6.95 7.82 -11.1

    Winter Potato (F2) 2012-13 1.51 NA 32.17 NA

    Wheat (F3) 2012-13 29.28 29.65 -1.2 85.61 92.46 -7.4

    Rabi Rice (F1) 2012-13 3.69 3.56 3.8 11.73 11.64 0.8

    FASAL Forecasts

    24 Forecasts in 20 Months

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Remote Sensing driven Crop Cutting Experiments in Bihar

    Rice Crop Map was generated using such as RISAT-1 MRS data

    Resourcesat-2 AWiFS time composite NDVI during Sep 2nd FN to Oct 1st FN was extracted for rice.

    Three classes (A, B, C) were defined based on frequency distribution of NDVI Values.

    37 points were randomly selected in 22 districts of Bihar

    Crop cutting experiment was carried out under the supervision of MNCFC.

    Yield models were developed between NDVI and yield and yield map generated

    Efficiency of stratification was very high.

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Use of Indigenous Software

    Operational use of indigenously developed software for Crop Forecasting

    (FASALSoft, developed by SAC/ISRO) and Drought Assessment (NAS, developed

    by NRSC/ISRO)

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.6 0.7 > 0.7

    November 1-10 November 11-20 November 21-30 December 1-10 December 11-20

    December 21-30 January 01-10 January 11-20 January 21-30 January 31-feb 10

    Map of Rabi Season

    Emergence Area in 6

    States

    Crop Emergence Progression

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Drought Assessment

    'National Agricultural Drought Assessment and Monitoring System (NADAMS)' project, conceptualized and developed by ISRO, Department of Space

    Provides near real-time information on prevalence, severity level and persistence of agricultural drought at state/ district/sub-district level

    Currently, it covers 13 states of India, which are predominantly agriculture based and prone to drought situation.

    Agricultural conditions are monitored at state/district level using daily NOAA AVHRR and MODIS data for 13 states.

    AWiFS (Advanced Wide Field Sensor) of Resourcesat (56 m resolution) is used for detailed assessment of agricultural drought at district and sub district level in four states

    Monthly report of drought condition is provided to the all concerned agencies in Centre and State under NADAMS.

    From the year 2012, the NADAMS project is being implemented by the Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre (MNCFC), Ministry of Agriculture

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Methodology for Agricultural Drought Assessment

    NDVI/NDWI anomaly

    Assessment (1)Relative dev. (2)VCI (3)In season change

    Agricultural Drought Situation

    Change in Crop Calendar

    Lag between VI & Rainfall

    Abnormal Weather Events (e.g. Floods)

    Irrigation Percentage

    Rainfall deviation

    Sown area deviation

    Ground Information

    Additional Information

    Multi-satellite,

    Multi-date Data

    VI Time Composite Drought

    Warning (June, July,

    August)

    Normal

    Watch

    Alert

    Drought Declaration (Sep, Oct)

    Mild

    Moderate

    Severe

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Agricultural Drought Assessment for September 2013

    (No. of Districts)

    State Normal Mild Moderate

    Andhra Pradesh 18 3 1

    Bihar 16 16 5

    Chhattisgarh 13 2 0

    Gujarat 25 0 0

    Haryana 20 0 0

    Jharkhand 12 7 3

    Karnataka 25 3 2

    Maharashtra 34 0 0

    Madhya Pradesh 45 0 0

    Odisha 30 0 0

    Rajasthan 32 0 0

    Tamil Nadu 26 4 0

    Uttar Pradesh 61 8 0

    Total 357 43 11

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    AVHRR based Normalized Difference Vegetation index

    MODIS based Normalized Difference Water

    index

    Agricultural Drought Assessment - Bihar

    September 2013 (upto 21st)

    Seasonal Rainfall upto 30/09/13

    Agricultural drought assessment –September

    2013

    (Source: www.imd.gov.in) September 2013

    NO DATA

    Legend

    NO RAIN (-100%)

    SCANTY ( -60% TO -99%)

    DEFICIENT2 (-40% TO -59%)

    DEFICIENT1 (-20% TO -39%)

    NORMAL ( +19% TO -19%)

    EXCESS (+20% OR MORE)

    September 2011

    September 2011

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Odisha Rice-Flood Assessment

    (Rice Map of Odisha from RISAT Data) (Flood Map of Odisha, upto 17th Oct., ISRO)

    An Estimate of District wise Rice Inundation Area

    (Assessment Upto 17th October, 2013)

    (Rice Flooded Map of Odisha , upto 17th Oct.)

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    VCI (NDVI) VCI (NDWI)

    TCI

    • Vegetation Condition Index(NDVI) = 100*(NDVI-NDVImin)/(NDVImax-NDVImin)

    • Vegetation Condition Index(NDWI) = 100*(NDVI-NDVImin)/(NDVImax-NDVImin)

    • Temperature Condition Index = 100*(LSTmax - LST)/(LSTmax – LSTmin)

    Vegetation & Temperature Condition Index

    Agricultural Condition (January 2014)

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    VCI

    (NDWI)

    VCI > 40

    20 < VCI < 40

    VCI < 20

    VCI > 40

    20 < VCI < 40

    VCI < 20

    TCI

    TCI > 40

    20 < TCI < 40

    TCI < 20

    VCI

    (NDVI)

    Combined

    District-level Crop Alert

  • FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR

    Tasks Ahead

    More Crops and More Area

    Spectral Yield Mapping

    Biotic & Abiotic Disaster impact on Agriculture

    Agricultural Development Monitoring

    Crop Insurance

    Global Agricultural Monitoring

    Automatization, Web-GIS, Portals…..

    FAO/ADB Expert Meeting on Crop Monitoring for Improved Food Security, 17 February, Vientiane, Lao PDR