using gem’s tools and datasets for calculating risk across the globe
DESCRIPTION
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe
Vitor SilvaGlobal Earthquake Model Foundation
@GEMwrld #10NCEE
![Page 2: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
What is new about the OpenQuake-engine?
• Free, opensource and publically available,
• Combines hazard and risk in a single software
• Allows scenario and probabilistic risk analysis
• Considers a wide spectrum of uncertainties
• Allows calculations at different scales
• Can be run on a laptop or cloud of computers
• Methodologies are fully documented
• Compatible with tools for the development of
hazard and vulnerability models
• Various hazard, vulnerability and exposure models
compatible with this tool
![Page 3: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk expertRisk Assessment
![Page 4: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk Assessment
Risk expert
Data
![Page 5: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk Assessment
Risk expert
Data
![Page 6: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk Assessment
Risk expert
Data
Models
![Page 7: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
![Page 8: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk Assessment
Risk expert
Data
ModelsTools
![Page 9: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
![Page 10: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Inventory Data Capture Tools (Android tool)
![Page 11: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Status of the GEM Vulnerability Database
![Page 12: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Tools to develop fragility and vulnerability models
![Page 13: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Tools to develop fragility and vulnerability models
![Page 14: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
![Page 15: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Exposure model for Turkey
![Page 16: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Sets of fragility functions for Turkey
![Page 17: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Model
Seismic hazard map 475 years
![Page 18: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Average annualized economic loss
max 8.3M $
İstanbul
Vanİzmir
Ankara
Probabilistic Seismic Risk Analysis
![Page 19: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Scenario-based loss/damage assessment
Ground motion field Loss map
![Page 20: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk Assessment
Risk expert
Data
ModelsTools
![Page 21: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk Assessment
Risk expert
Data
ModelsTools
Expertise
![Page 22: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
![Page 23: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Technical reports, scientific publications, books.
![Page 24: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
What is GEM doing to facilitate risk assessment at a global scale?
Risk Assessment
Risk expert
Data
ModelsTools
Expertise
![Page 25: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Global Seismic Risk Assessment
![Page 26: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Global Seismic Risk Assessment
Population distribution by LandScan (2012), GRUMP, GPW
![Page 27: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Global Seismic Risk Assessment
PAGER Empirical Vulnerability model(fatalities and economic losses)
![Page 28: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Global Seismic Risk Assessment
![Page 29: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Global Seismic Risk Assessment
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0G
row
th ra
te
Sub-Saharan Africa Urban Sub-Saharan Africa Rural
Northern Europe Rural Northern Europe Urban
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division
![Page 30: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Vitor Silva, Helen Crowley, Damiano Monelli, Marco Pagani, Rui Pinho, GraemeWeatherill, Paolo Bazzurro, Mine Demircioglu, Miriam Colombi, Cuneyt Tuzun,Xiaoxuan Zhang, Andrea Cerisara, Luis Rodrigues, Sevgi Ozcebe, ChiaraCasotto, Mario Ordaz, Lars Butler, Mustafa Erdik, Matteo Nastasi, Keith Porter,David Lourenço, Robin Spence, Joanne White, Paul Henshaw, Ross Stein,Jillian St.Bernard, Ming Lee, Joshua Mckenty, Dirk Hollnack, Mario Marques,Michele Calvi, Martin Kaser, Alexandros Lalas, Andrew King, Nicolas Luco,Anselm Smolka, Fabrice Cotton, Alia Juman, Karin Sesetyan, Alberto Monti,Luis Martins, Yaver Kamer, Stefano Parolai, Catalina Yepes, Nick Horspool,Marco Furinghetti, Ricardo Monteiro, Massimiliano Pittore, Ken Hao, CeciliaNievas, Anirudh Rao, Christopher Burton, Jack Baker, Luis Sousa, DimitriosVamvatsikos, Omar Cardona, Domenico Giardini, John Bevington, MarcWieland, Emily So, Dina D’Ayla, Abdelghani Meslen, Luis Sousa, AnneKiremidjian, James Brown, Bijan Khazai, Chiara Pigoli, Tiziana Rossetto,Damian Grant, Marjorie Greene, Kishor Jaiswal, Svetlana Brzev, DanieleVigano, David Wald, Gloria Maria Estrada, Michele Simionato, David Lallement,Amod Dixit, Mary Lou Zoback, Hugo Yepes, Ioanna Ioannou, Paolo Franchin,Paolo Gamba, Jairo Valcarcel, Ole Hanekop, Ben Wyss, Andy Thompson,Julian Bommer Iunio Iervolino John Scheneider Conrad Lindholm Carlos
![Page 31: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Vitor Silva, Helen Crowley, Damiano Monelli, Marco Pagani, Rui Pinho, GraemeWeatherill, Paolo Bazzurro, Mine Demircioglu, Miriam Colombi, Cuneyt Tuzun,Xiaoxuan Zhang, Andrea Cerisara, Luis Rodrigues, Sevgi Ozcebe, ChiaraCasotto, Mario Ordaz, Lars Butler, Mustafa Erdik, Matteo Nastasi, Keith Porter,David Lourenço, Robin Spence, Joanne White, Paul Henshaw, Ross Stein,Jillian St.Bernard, Ming Lee, Joshua Mckenty, Dirk Hollnack, Mario Marques,Michele Calvi, Martin Kaser, Alexandros Lalas, Andrew King, Nicolas Luco,Anselm Smolka, Fabrice Cotton, Alia Juman, Karin Sesetyan, Alberto Monti,Luis Martins, Yaver Kamer, Stefano Parolai, Catalina Yepes, Nick Horspool,Marco Furinghetti, Ricardo Monteiro, Massimiliano Pittore, Ken Hao, CeciliaNievas, Anirudh Rao, Christopher Burton, Jack Baker, Luis Sousa, DimitriosVamvatsikos, Omar Cardona, Domenico Giardini, John Bevington, MarcWieland, Emily So, Dina D’Ayla, Abdelghani Meslen, Luis Sousa, AnneKiremidjian, James Brown, Bijan Khazai, Chiara Pigoli, Tiziana Rossetto,Damian Grant, Marjorie Greene, Kishor Jaiswal, Svetlana Brzev, DanieleVigano, David Wald, Gloria Maria Estrada, Michele Simionato, David Lallement,Amod Dixit, Mary Lou Zoback, Hugo Yepes, Ioanna Ioannou, Paolo Franchin,Paolo Gamba, Jairo Valcarcel, Ole Hanekop, Ben Wyss, Andy Thompson,Julian Bommer Iunio Iervolino John Scheneider Conrad Lindholm Carlos
![Page 32: Using GEM’S Tools and Datasets for Calculating Risk Across the Globe](https://reader033.vdocuments.net/reader033/viewer/2022052622/5590e3851a28ab09388b46a0/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under: creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Please attribute to the GEM Foundation with a link to -www.globalearthquakemodel.org