Using Postsecondary Graduation rates to Improve Outcomes

for Low Income Students

April 24, 20013

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Nationally, only 11% of low income students graduate college

Family income quartile

% of population that graduate HS

% of population that goes to college

% that complete college if they attend

Overall college attainment (4 year)

Top (over $99k) 93% 82% 97% 79%

2nd ($62k-$99k) 88% 67% 51% 34%

3rd ($33k-$62k) 83% 58% 26% 15%

4th (under $33k) 73% 46% 23% 11%

College graduation rate for CPS 9th graders estimated to be 10% for both African American and Hispanic students (27% and 23%, respectively, of 9th graders enroll in college)

Source: Mortenson, Tom. “Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartiles, 1970 to 2010.” http://www.postsecondary.org. Underlying data sources: Current Population Survey, U.S. data for 2010 compiled with assistance of Kurt Bauman, Chief, Education and Social Stratification Branch, U.S. Census Bureau. ; Roderick, Melissa, et al. “From High School to the Future: A First Look at Chicago Public School Graduate’s College Enrollment, College Graduation, and Graduation from Four-Year Colleges.” 2006

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Number of alumni

80 81 98 91 73 107

6+ years: 37% graduated (33% 4-year degrees, 4% 2-year degrees) , 9% persisting

Our results are 3x those for low income students, but lower than

our aspirations

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Source: National Student Clearinghouse reports and Alumni Coordinator verification

Number of alumni

102 310 502

Classes of 2009-2011 show persistence trends similar to prior

years

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Noble alumni have had 6 year bachelor’s attainment similar to the averages for the institutions they first attended

*Analysis calculated only for those alumni matriculating directly to college in fall after high school from Classes of 2003-2006; graduations from any college count towards total shown here (this is a comparison of bachelors—including associate’s increases Noble’s total by 4%); Institution used is the first school a student matriculated to, even if multiple schools were eventually attended; 2 year colleges have half their transfer rate added to the value

Most Competitive (N=16)

Highly Competitive (N=26)

Very Competitive (N=44)

Competitive (N=93)

Less/Non Competitive (N=9)

2 year (N=47)

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Five interrelated factors have been shown to influence college persistence

A powerful set of character strengths

grit self-control zestoptimism

social intelligence (including self-advocacy)

gratitude

The right match:

student + school

Social and academic

integration

College affordability and financial understanding

Academic readiness

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Noble’s College Team—campus driven with campus choice for structure and program

College Counseling:•2-5 people working with 100-170 seniors•Some campuses working with juniors•Some campuses working with (some) freshmen•Some influence on advisory curriculumAlumni Coordination:•1 (mostly) full time person, if have alumni

9 campuses

with seniors(1 with

juniors, 2 with only freshmen)

Right Angle Exec Dir:Works with campus coordinators to send ~25% of sophomores to summer programs (10-50% by campus)Chief College Officer:•Support all college work•Provide strategic direction•Develop tools

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College Success pipeline—definitions are first step to data clarity & transparency

12th grade profile

•ACT•GPA/Rank•Intangibles

Schools Applied to

•# of applications•Over/undermatch•Application quality

Schools accepted

to

•#/% accepted•Over/ undermatch•Packages

School choice

(spring)

•6 yr grad rates•1st yr retention

College Counseling Alumni Coordination

School matricul-

ation (fall)

•% matriculating•% change schools

1st year persist-

ence

•% retention•% transfer•% leave/ enroll

Cohort persist-

ence

•% retention•% transfer•% re-enroll

Gradua-tion

•% Bachelor’s•% Associate’s•% Trade/job?

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Class of 2012 proj. grad rate pipeline

12th grade profile

Schools Applied to

Schools accepted

to

School choice

(spring)

School matricul-

ation (fall)

•Estimated potential of ~65% (if all students match), ~72% (if all reach)

•Highest admitted: 56% (~half match/half safety, no regard for cost or preference)•Second highest for each student:49% (average student at a safety, no regard for cost or student/family preference)

•42%, average student a bit below safety

•39%, 10% of students not in college

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New tools/data for College Counseling

Introduced in August•Student matching exploration tool (“Robot”)

Introduced in November•Application “portfolio” tracking

Coming this month•Financial aid evaluator

12th grade profile

•ACT•GPA/Rank•Intangibles

Schools Applied to

•# of applications•Over/undermatch•Application quality

Schools accepted

to

•#/% accepted•Over/ undermatch•Packages

School choice

(spring)

•6 yr grad rates•1st yr retention

College Counseling

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New tools for matching—”Robot”

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New tools for matching—”Portfolio tracking”

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New tools/data for Alumni Coordination

Alumni Coordination

School matricul-

ation (fall)

•% matriculating•% change schools

1st year persist-

ence

•% retention•% transfer•% leave/ enroll

Cohort persist-

ence

•% retention•% transfer•% re-enroll

Gradua-tion

•% Bachelor’s•% Associate’s•% Trade/job?

Introduced in August•New Salesforce Alumni Tracking & Support Database•Mentoring pilot (ACI)

Introduced in December•New streamlined check of National Student Clearinghouse data

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What’s next?

• Continued analytic focus on college match and financial aid

• Bring “Hedgehog” to college (standards and assessments for college completion)

• Deepening college partnerships– City Colleges (cohort, collaboration, path plan)– ACI (mentoring ~150 with ~25 upper class alumni)– University of Illinois (all campuses)– Opportunistic (DePaul, IIT, Oberlin, Wooster)

• Driving better career focus in students/alums

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New tools/data for Alumni Coordination—Alumni Database

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New tools/data for Alumni Coordination—Alumni Database