utilising lower interest rates 03 issue ri toowoomba ... · while lower interest rates are great...
TRANSCRIPT
RI Toowoomba & Ipswich ISSUE
03 SEPT 2016
Jeff ’s Jottings
In a continuing trend for
the year, August saw the
Reserve Bank o f
Australia lowering the
interest rate to 1.50%;
the lowest ever recorded.
We often hear about the
positive consequences to
borrowers but what about
investors? Our article on
page 4 is valuable
reading whatever your
stage in life.
RI Toowoomba has
f a r e w e l l e d H u g h
Robinson, one of our
Financial Advisers, as he
b e g i n s h i s n e x t
adventure in retirement.
We thank him for his
commitment to the best
interests of his clients
over the last 6 years and
extend our best wishes
to him and his wife Liz for
the future.
Kind regards,
Managing Director and
Senior Financial Adviser
RI Toowoomba & Ipswich
Economic Overview
Market Highlights
Share markets bounced strongly
despite the rise in geopolitical events.
Bond yields remained well supported
by central bank policies.
Slowdown in US growth disappointed
expectations for a second quarter
rebound.
Edging Higher
In July share markets shrugged off the
volatility which followed geopolitical events
including Brexit and the failed coup in
Turkey. The US share market (S&P 500
index) reached a record high of 2175 as
investor risk appetite returned.
All this occurred in a month where the
economic environment was generally soft,
led by disappointing growth in the US. The
US economy grew at an annualised rate of
1.2%, well below the market consensus of
2.6%.
Despite a strong lift in personal consumption,
which rose at an annualised pace of 4.3%,
private domestic investment and inventories
dragged growth lower. The US Federal
Reserve (Fed) also opted to keep rates on
hold as a slowdown in economic momentum
justified a more cautious stance towards
tightening monetary conditions.
Elsewhere in Europe, growth drivers
continued to show a pace of gradual
expansion with second quarter GDP for the
region at 1.6%. In the UK, confidence
deteriorated as the consequences of Brexit
point to a slowdown in economic momentum.
Across in Japan, economic data remained
soft as indicators of inflation continued to
slide back. This prompted the government to
announce further fiscal stimulus - ¥28 trillion
over the next several years.
In China, credit growth remained strong,
continuing to provide support to the industrial
sector of the economy. Second quarter GDP
growth of 6.7% (year on year) exceeded
market expectations as government policies
took effect. That said, the economy is
continuing to progress towards allowing
consumption and service sectors to hold a
greater share of growth. The government
remains committed to cutting excess
capacity in materials production.
In Australia, the dataflow was generally
softer as measures of consumer sentiment,
building approvals and credit slowed. The
prospects of a hung parliament eased when
it became clear the Turnbull government
could form an absolute majority.
Weaker inflation pressures followed the
release of second quarter core measures of
inflation which showed it to be rising at an
annual pace of 1.5%, well below the RBA’s
target band of 2-3%. This prompted the RBA
to cut interest rates by 0.25% in August in a
bid to restore inflation and support underlying
growth, especially at a time when the
housing market appears to be easing.
Shares
Share markets responded well to the
improved risk environment and continued
central bank support. Continued on page 2
In this Issue
Economic Overview P.1
Hugh Robinson Retires P.2
Insuring Your Biggest Asset P.3
Utilising Lower Interest Rates P.4
This information is of a general nature only and neither represents nor is intended to be personal advice on any particular matter. RI Advice Group Pty Ltd strongly suggests that no person should act specifically on the basis of the information in this dFrom time to time we may send you informative updates and
details of the range of services we can provide. If you no longer wish to receive this information please contact our office to opt out. Please note that there is certain information that we must send to you as part of our contractual arrangements or we are required to send to you by law.
647 Ruthven Street, TOOWOOMBA QLD 4350 | PO Box 1615, TOOWOOMBA QLD 4350 | 07 4639 3733 | [email protected]
Visit us on the web: www.ritoowoomba.com.au | Find us on Facebook: RI Toowoomba and Ipswich This information is of a general nature only and neither represents nor is intended to be personal advice on any particular matter. RI Advice Group Pty Ltd strongly suggests that no person should act specifically on the basis of the
information in this document, but should obtain appropriate professional advice based on their own personal circumstances including a personal financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
RI Advice Group Pty Ltd | ABN 23 001 774 125 | AFSL 238429
Utilising Lower Interest Rates
While lower interest rates are great for those with mortgages, it does not suit everyone and can make
things a lot more difficult for those needing income in retirement.
Here we look at how you can make the most of the current low interest rate environment, whatever your stage in life and
financial goals.
If you are an accumulator focussed on paying down debt and building wealth
With interest rates now at record lows, paying down your mortgage as quickly as possible is an excellent way to pay off your
debt. Keeping your repayments the same when rates go down, or even paying a bit extra each month, means you pay off
more of your principal, which helps you to build up a buffer when interest rates inevitably rise.
Changing your payment frequency to weekly, instead of monthly, will also help you to use the magic of compounding to pay off
your mortgage more quickly.
This is an excellent strategy for all homeowners to consider, but speak to your financial adviser and mortgage broker before
you make any big decisions, just to check your intentions will have the desired result.
If you are a pre-retiree looking forward to a worry-free lifestyle
With interest rates expected to stay low for some time, having an appropriate retirement plan in place as early as possible is a
good idea for all pre-retirees.
This allows you to concentrate on the things you can control – such as increasing your contributions to super, paying off your
mortgage or reducing your spending – all of which can help make a big difference to your income and expenses in retirement.
You may also need to adjust how you view risk, through increasing your allocation to growth assets, in order to give yourself a
chance to generate enough income for a comfortable retirement.
Your financial adviser can talk you through this strategy and other options you have for putting everything in place for your
retirement.
If you are retired and managing a careful budget
Low interest rates mean that cash investments and term deposits are now returning less than what many have received in the
past. Retirees should look at other income options, one of which is high interest cash accounts. These offer up to 1 per cent
more interest than cash investments and term deposits, which can make a difference to your retirement income.
However, it’s important to look at these carefully, as some require a minimum monthly deposit, or have a higher interest rate
initially, that tapers off to a lower interest rate once the new customer ‘honeymoon’ period ends.
Depending on your risk profile, other investments that could help increase retirement income in the current market you could
consider are a diversified bond fund, given bond yields are rising, or perhaps quality, high-dividend paying Australian shares.
Planning is key
With interest rates not expected to rise in the near term, it’s important that you start planning now to help you pay down debt
and grow your wealth.
According to the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia1, you would need $729,000 at a return of 6 per cent over 20
years to generate $60,000 in income each year. Based on a return of 2 per cent, this figure rises to $1 million.
A qualified financial adviser can help you to design an appropriate financial plan to help you make the most of what you have
in this low interest rate environment, whatever your stage in life.
If you have any questions or concerns, please take the opportunity to speak with your Financial Adviser on 07 4639 3733.
Source: 1 http://www.superannuation.asn.au/
Jeff English
Become our
Facebook fan before
31 October 2016 for
your chance to
WIN A $50 COLES/MYER
GIFT CARD
Simply search Facebook
for “RI Toowoomba and
Ipswich” and Like our
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win. Not a client, no
p r o b l e m ! T h e
competition is open to all
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OUR PEOPLE
We recently welcomed
May Keene to the Client
R e l a t i o n s a n d
Administrative Team at
RI Toowoomba. We are
already enjoying her
friendly personality and
we are confident that you
will too.
Are You Insuring Your Biggest Asset?
With the majority of Australians still dangerously underinsured, is it time you
reviewed your cover?
Tim is a clean-living 53-year-old who exercises regularly, doesn’t smoke, enjoys a healthy diet
and only indulges his love of good wine at the weekend.
Yet things changed suddenly for Tim last year when he awoke one night to find he couldn’t
breathe. His wife called for an ambulance and he was rushed to hospital, where he was taken
into life-saving surgery following a heart attack.
After waking from his operation, Tim was in deep shock. While he knew there was a family
history of heart disease, he had gone to great lengths to prevent the onset of the illness and
had not properly thought through how his family would cope without him.
During his recovery, Tim reviewed the life insurance component of his super and discovered
that in the event of his death his family would receive just $300,000, which would barely pay
off their mortgage. He had not taken into account daily living expenses, car loans, his
daughters’ school fees, his wife’s low income or their inadequate savings.
Fortunately for Tim his story is a positive one. Now in better health and back at work, he has
spoken to a financial adviser and taken out additional life insurance, albeit at a significant
premium following his heart attack. He and his adviser are also looking into critical illness
cover, which would pay out a lump sum should he suffer another sudden illness.
In Australia, Tim’s story is not uncommon. In fact, surveys have shown Australia has much
lower levels of insurance than other developed nations including the US and UK1. The
required level of life insurance is now about $680,000, while the typical default cover is about
$258,000 – a significant gap2.
Could your loved ones make ends meet if you were unable to work or died? Here are some of
the things you should consider:
Mortgage or rent costs
Daily living expenses – food, bills, transport
Childcare, school and university fees
Medical expenses
Other expenses – house repair costs
Are you adequately covered? We can assist by discussing your personal circumstances and
assessing your current insurance cover.
Source: 1 Lloyd’s Global Underinsurance Report 2016
2 Rice Warner Underinsurance Research Report 2014
CAMBRIDGE
UNIVERSITY
WORKSHOP
In our June quarter
N e w s l e t t e r , w e
announced that RI
T o o w o o m b a w e r e
recognised with the
highly regarded Platinum
Award for 2015. As a
result Jeff English
qualified to attend a
business workshop at
Cambridge University,
UK, at the end of May.
Workshop sessions
focused on business
development, reaffirming
a high standard of
professionalism in an
o f t e n c h a l l e n g i n g
industry. Sessions
included developing
psychological safety and
trust, building high
pe r f o rm in g t eam s ,
awareness of one’s own
impact on others and
emotional intelligence
and perception. Jeff has
returned with refreshed
insights that he can
model both with clients
and within our team.
These development
opportunities are one of
the keys to ensuring the
RI Toowoomba team
remain leaders amongst
our peers.
Hugh Robinson Announces Retirement
Continued from Page 1
Global developed share markets were up
4.1% in US dollar (USD) terms. European
shares were up 5.1% in local currency terms
as concerns of Brexit contagion were eased
by the prospect of possible intervention by
the European Central Bank. That said,
concerns of an undercapitalised Italian
banking sector still highlight some risk factors
in the region.
The UK market (FTSE index) rose by 3.4%
as a depreciation of the British Pound (GBP)
favoured companies with offshore earnings.
In the US, a solid reporting season resulted
in most companies beating guidance which
took the US market to new highs.
In Japan, the market rose 6.2% on
increasing prospects for the Bank of Japan to
announce further economic support. The
Australian share market outperformed other
developed markets, up 6.4% in the month as
a strengthening in bulk commodity prices
including iron ore and thermal coal drove the
resources sector sharply higher.
Emerging market shares were up 4.7% in
USD terms supported by the Fed remaining
on hold for longer. An improvement in
sentiment also resulted in a return of
investment flows back towards this region.
Commodity producing countries like Brazil
and South Africa continued to benefit from
higher bulk commodity prices.
Bonds
Bond yields generally remained low as
central banks continued to favour monetary
easing over tightening. A lower growth
outlook, and with it inflation, has been priced
into the lower yield dynamic. US 10-year
bonds fell 0.2% to 1.45%. Core European
longer-term bond yields continued to fall as
many markets recorded negative yields.
Global fixed income returned 0.7%.
Australian fixed income performed in line
with global bonds this month as expectations
of further monetary easing resulted in a
strong return of 0.7%.
Currencies
The ‘risk on’ environment generally saw a
softening in the USD against most major
currencies, particularly as the Fed showed
their preference to keep rates on hold for
longer. Emerging market currencies
continued to find support in this environment.
The Australian dollar (AUD) rose by 2.0%
which hurt returns from unhedged
investments. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
was up 0.9% following a bounce in milk
prices.
Source: ANZ Wealth Chief Investment Office, ‘Market Watch
July 2016’ <onepath.com.au> 15 August 2016.
OnePath Funds Management Limited (OFM) ABN 21 003 002
800 AFSL 238342. OFM is a wholly owned subsidiary of
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ANZ)
ABN 11 005 357 522 but is not a bank.
It is with warm wishes that we announce the retirement of Hugh Robinson in August.
Having worked in the financial services industry since 1988, Hugh has been a respected
Financial Adviser in the RI Toowoomba office for the past 6 years. We have all benefited
from his life experiences, astute nature and calming presence. Hugh will be missed by
clients and colleagues alike.
We know that you will join us in expressing our appreciation to Hugh who deserves to
enjoy his retirement years.
Jeff English (left) congratulates Hugh Robinson
(right) on his retirement announcement.
The RI Toowoomba Team honoured Hugh’s contributions by enjoying
lunch together, along with Hugh’s wife Liz.