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Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity João Magueijo 2015 Imperial College, London

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Page 1: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity

João Magueijo2015

Imperial College, London

Page 2: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

THE THEORY OF RELATIVITY

THE SPEED OF LIGHT

C IS CONSTANT

Page 3: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors
Page 4: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

How can the speed of light be the same for everyone?

Space and time cannot be the same for everyoneTime dilates for moving observersMoving objects shrink

Page 5: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The speed of light is a speed limit

Page 6: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

This cartoon turns into the major scaffolding of modern physics

The Principle of (Local) Lorentz InvarianceThe Principle of General Covariance

BREAK IT AT YOUR PERIL

Page 7: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

We face two major outstanding problems in “fundamental” physics:

1. The problem of the origin of the cosmic structure 2. The problem of quantum gravity

Inflation? String theory?Something more radical?

Page 8: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Radical solutions: why not?

Because quite often they are worse than the conventional ones!

Page 9: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The danger is that we are potentially wrecking the whole building

Page 10: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Bandwagon science

Page 11: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The dangers of bandwagon science

Page 12: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors
Page 13: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors
Page 14: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

One field of work in which there has been too much speculation iscosmology. There are very few hard facts to go on, but theoreticalworkers have been busy constructing various models for the universe,based on any assumptions that they fancy. These models are probablyall wrong. It is usually assumed that the laws of nature havealways been the same as they are now. There is no justification forthis. The laws may be changing, and in particular quantities whichare considered to be constants of nature may be varying with cosmological time. Such variations would completely upset the model makers.

Paul Dirac

Page 15: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors
Page 16: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

“Look what happens to people

when they get married”

(Niels Bohr)

Page 17: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Why do constants of nature take their values?

1371

≈=c

e2

Page 18: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Explanations:

We do know what Pi is what it is * Geometry

1371

32 34 ≈≈πα

4/1

4

5

4 !5289

⎥⎦

⎤⎢⎣

⎡≈

ππ

α

THEY’RE NOT CONSTANT!

Page 19: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

“Varying constant” theories

Brans-Dicke (1961)

Bekenstein (1982)

Page 20: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Varying c theories

Covariant and Lorentz invariant [Moffat,Magueijo, etc, etc]

Bimetric theories [Moffat, Clayton, Drummond, etc, etc]

Preferred frame [Albrecht, Magueijo,Barrow,etc,etc]

Deformed dispersion relations [Amelino-Camelia, Mavromatos, Magueijo & Smolin, etc, etc]

Page 21: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Bimetric theories

RgdxSg gravity −=⎯⎯ →⎯ ∫ 4μν

),,(4 etcgLgdxSg mmatter Ψ−=⎯⎯ →⎯

∧∧∧

∫ μνμν

A metric for gravity (Einstein frame):

A metric for matter (matter frame):

Page 22: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

If the two metrics are conformal, we have a varying-G (Brans-Dicke) theory

If they are disformal we have a VSL theory

The speed of light differs from the speed of gravity (larger if B>0, with )

Bimetric VSL: a rather conservative thing to do…

Page 23: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The Universe some 400,000 years after the Big Bang

Page 24: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The Universe is expanding!!!!!!!!

The universe came out of a BIG BANG

Page 25: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The speed of light is the speed limitThe universe has a finite ageAny form of contact has a limited range of action – there is a horizonThe horizon gets smaller and smaller near the Big Bang

The universe is broken into disconnected “horizons”

Page 26: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The horizon problem

The universe displays a unity that it has no right to haveNo physical mechanism can explain why the universe looks the same everywhere

Page 27: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Cosmologists are often wrong but seldom in

doubt

Raise the speed limit

Page 28: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

A non-inflationary solution to the horizon problem

Page 29: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

But who cares about the horizon problem… Here’s the real problem:

Page 30: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Near scale-invariance

Amplitude

The zero-th order “holy grail” of cosmology:

Page 31: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

How to compute fluctuations:

I II

Page 32: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

IfIf (with )

The horizon problem:

Dominates at late times

Page 33: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

With

But why do we get scale invariance?

How inflation solves the problem:

Dominates earlier

Dominates later

Page 34: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

With butwith we still get:

How theories with a varying c solve the structure formation problem:

Dominates earlier

Dominates later

Page 35: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors
Page 36: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

“Evidence” for inflation

Page 37: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works!It favors non-predictive theories, because you get a power-law fine for spreading your bets, but an exponential one for making a prediction and missing the data.

A critique of “evidence for inflation”

Page 38: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

A theory should not only have large evidence, but its evidence should be exceptional, given what it would have been had the data been different. Not easy to quantify (working in progress, G.

Gubitosi, M. Lagos and JM).

Science is about falsifiability

Page 39: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

THE GRAND-UNIFIEDTHEORY

OUR GREATEST FAILURE

Page 40: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Unification requires the quantization of space and time

Gravity is a property of space and timeForces other than gravity are quantized –they come in “atoms” or smallest quantities that cannot be divided any furtherTo quantize space and time means to introduced some type of “atoms” of space and time

Page 41: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

What kind of objects suffer from the effects of “Quantum gravity”?

PLAnything much larger than this is under the rule of classical gravity

Anything smaller than this should knowthat space has become full of pot holes

Page 42: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Need a theory where length contraction switches off at small distances

Page 43: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Newtonian space-time is recovered when c is taken to infinity

It looks like we need c to go to infinity as the wavelength becomes the Planck lengthI.e. a theory in which the speed of light is colour dependent.

Page 44: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Varying c theories

Covariant and Lorentz invariant [Moffat,Magueijo, etc, etc]

Bimetric theories [Moffat, Clayton, Drummond, etc, etc]

Preferred frame [Albrecht, Magueijo,Barrow,etc,etc]

Deformed dispersion relations [Amelino-Camelia, Mavromatos, Magueijo & Smolin, etc, etc]

Page 45: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Scale-invariant fluctuations are associated with the “sweet” DDR:

Page 46: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Emergence of space-time and a 2D fixed point in the UV

There is mounting evidence for a 2D fixed point in the UV in several quantum gravity approaches. This may be encapsulated into deformed dispersion relations (DDRs) in a 4D ordered space-time.DDRs may be used to explain primordial fluctuations directly (with no inflation).

Page 47: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Will fundamental physics ever meet cosmology?

The quantum gravity community is either:obsessed with its mathematical navel and treats data and the real world as a venereal disease.or, shows a distinct lack of sociological balls and tries to force contact with mainstream cosmology: i.e. inflation.

Page 48: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

A possibility not to be discarded:

ALL cosmological models available are not needed.Quantum gravity explains what they explain DIRECTLY.E.g.: Whatever caused geometrogenesis (a transition to semi-classical space-time) explains the initial value problem of cosmology

Page 49: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors
Page 50: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

My personal view: too many “conjectures” in this type of work

Page 51: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

A perspective error… just like Galileo?

Page 52: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Brunelleschi and medieval painting

Page 53: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

Brunelleschi

Page 54: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

How about gravitational waves?

In general they could have different DDRs to scalar modes. For example:

(and even if gamma is the same, b could be different from 1). The UV ratio of the speed of light and the speed of gravity

Page 55: Varying c, cosmic structure and the quest for quantum gravity · Bayesian evidence is a tool for playing the lottery or investing in the stock market: hedging the bets works! It favors

The amplitude of the spectrum depends on this:

If you work out all the factors the result is: