vce presentation for march 16 2010

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VCE data MESC 2010

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Data on VCE results

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Page 1: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

VCE data MESC 2010

Page 2: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 1 All VCE Studies (VCAA Study Score) 2010  MOUNT ELIZA compared to ALL schools

Page 3: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 7 Selected VCE Studies (VCAA Study Score) 2010  MOUNT ELIZA

LOOK AT TOP AND BOTTOM OF WHISKERS AS WELL AS 50 % MARK IN BOX

Page 4: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

STUDY SCORES 40+

Page 5: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Study Scores of 40 and above All VCE Studies MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE 

Page 6: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Study Scores of 40 and above All VCE StudiesMOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE  Home School Data

  This School  Total Study Scores %40 or above

1998 691 6.11999 780 7.62000 689 6.42001 866 4.82002 843 3.12003 879 6.52004 720 5.72005 893 4.92006 613 4.42007 801 4.92008 723 4.82009 580 5.32010 611 4.6

SAME DATA – JUST CAN SEE NUMBERS

Page 7: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 5 Study Scores of 40 and above All VCE Studies MOUNT ELIZA compared to ALL schools

Page 8: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Study Scores of 40 and above All VCE StudiesMOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE  Home School Data

  All Schools This School

  %40 or aboveTotal Study

Scores%40 or above

1998 8.8 691 6.11999 8.8 780 7.62000 8.8 689 6.42001 8.7 866 4.82002 8.7 843 3.12003 8.8 879 6.52004 8.8 720 5.72005 8.8 893 4.92006 8.8 613 4.42007 8.9 801 4.92008 8.9 723 4.82009 8.9 580 5.3

2010 8.9 611 4.6

All VCE Studies

Page 9: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

ASSESSMENT GRADE REPORTS

Page 10: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 2

Assessment Grades Report: All VCE Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA

SECONDARY

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Assessment Grades Report: All VCE Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA

Comparison between us and State

need to shift skyscrapers to left – how

Page 12: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Coming up

Your area and assessment grades

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Have a look at your area of study Why would there be,could there be, are there differences between subject areas?

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Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: The Arts Studies 2010  

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Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: English Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE 

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Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: Health and Physical Education Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE 

Page 17: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: Languages Other Than English Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE 

Page 18: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: Mathematics Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE 

Page 19: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: Science Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE  

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Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: Studies of Society and Environment Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE 

Page 21: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: Technology Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE

Page 22: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 2 Assessment Grades Report: VET in Schools Studies 2010  MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE  

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STUDY SCORES OF 40+ ACROSS TIME

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Report 5 Study Scores of 40 and above The Arts Studies MOUNT ELIZA

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Report 5 Study Scores of 40 and above English Studies MOUNT ELIZA

Page 26: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Report 5 Study Scores of 40 and above Health and Physical Education Studies MOUNT ELIZA

Page 27: Vce presentation for march 16 2010
Page 28: Vce presentation for march 16 2010
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Report 5 Study Scores of 40 and above Studies of Society and Environment Studies MOUNT ELIZA SECONDARY COLLEGE 

Page 31: Vce presentation for march 16 2010
Page 32: Vce presentation for march 16 2010
Page 33: Vce presentation for march 16 2010
Page 34: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Adjusted scores - study scores not ATAR scores

• An adjusted score is the difference between the score actually achieved by a student and the score predicted on the basis of gender and GAT performance. These are aggregated into adjusted estimates that describe the performance of a group of students in a school compared to expectations.

• Students do not see/get these

Page 35: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Positive and negative scores

• A positive adjusted estimate means that the students have performed better than predicted given their ability and gender profile, while a negative adjusted estimate means that the students have performed less well than predicted.

Page 36: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

• the estimate here is a mean positive score of 4.5 , this means that on average students performed 4.5 Study Score points above what was predicted- some scored 6.1 points higher and some 2.8 points higher

Page 37: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Reading and using these adjusted results

• A number of factors may explain higher or lower than predicted performance and it is important to take time to understand properly the pattern of results. For example, some schools have found that in some studies student performance is consistently lower than predicted despite good teaching. On further investigation they have concluded that this is because their students have not taken these studies as seriously as they have their other studies, which they perceive as more critical to meeting tertiary entrance criteria.

Page 38: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

An example

Page 39: Vce presentation for march 16 2010
Page 40: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

VCE Grades 2010

• 2010 MESC: E+ + E + UG + NA = 9% = on average 2 students per class

• Assume a potentially similar % in 2011.

• Who are they?

• What are their weaknesses?

• What strategies have already been put in place to raise these grades to at least a D?

• This alone would add 0.9 to the school study score (from 28.7 to 29.6)

Page 41: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

VCE Grades 2010

• State grades graph peaks at B+.

• MESC grades graph peaks at C+

• Why?

Page 42: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

VCE Grades 2010

STATESTATE MESCMESC % SHIFT OF ONE % SHIFT OF ONE GRADE NEEDED TO GRADE NEEDED TO

MATCH STATEMATCH STATE

A+ 12 7

A 14 11 5

B+ 15.5 12.5 8

B 15 16 11

C+ 15 18 10

C 12 15 7

D+ 13 15 4

D 4 6 2

47%

Page 43: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

VCE Grades 2010

• If 47% of our grades went up by one grade, effect on overall study score = +1.5 (in 2010 this would have meant an increase from 28.7 to 30.2). All we have to do to achieve this is equal the state average for A+ to D grades.

Page 44: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

VCE Grades 2010

• Combined effect of these two events = +2.4

• (increase from 28.7 to 31.1).

• Why CAN’T we achieve this?

• Why WOULD we accept that our students are below state average?

Page 45: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Enrolment Shifts 11/10 to 2/11

5/11/2010 5/11/2010 (projected)(projected)

28/02/2011 28/02/2011 (actual)(actual)

CHANGECHANGE (years 7 to 10)(years 7 to 10)

Year 7 147 134 -13

Year 8 168 160 -8

Year 9 159 157 -2

Year 10 197 184 -13

Year 11 177 176

Year 12 158 152.3

7 to 10 change

-36

7 to 12 change

-42.7

Page 46: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

Enrolment Shifts 11/10 to 2/11

• How many of the 36 students we lost in Years 7 to 10 from Nov 2010 to Feb 2011 were influenced by our VCE all-studies score of 28.7?

Page 47: Vce presentation for march 16 2010

What does it all mean for us as a team of teachers ?

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WHAT CAN WE DO IN THE SHORT TERM ?

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WHAT LONG TERM PLANS DO WE NEED TO MAKE ?

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What do we as a team want / have to do next ?