virginia beach transit extension study · presentation 1. project background 2. town center...
TRANSCRIPT
Virginia Beach Transit Extension Study Draft Environmental Impact Statement
Town Center Alignment Alternative Briefing
Virginia Beach City Council September 9, 2014
Presentation
1. Project Background
2. Town Center Alternative
3. Town Center Capital Costs, O&M Costs, and Ridership Forecasts
4. Study Schedule
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PROJECT BACKGROUND VIRGINIA BEACH TRANSIT EXTENSION STUDY
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Project Goals • Provide additional mobility opportunities in the east-west corridor
• Expand multi-modal transportation system that supports local land use plans and initiatives (Strategic Growth Areas)
• Develop transportation infrastructure that supports the regional tourism industry
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Virginia Beach Transit Extension Study The Virginia Beach Transit Extension Study (VBTES) is examining the best transit options for a former freight rail right of way that runs from Newtown Road to Birdneck Road in Virginia Beach. The study area extends from Newtown Road to the Oceanfront area on 19th Street.
• Four Fixed Guideway Alignment Alternatives from Newtown Road
– Alternative 1a: ~3 miles to the Town Center Area
– Alternative 1b: 4.8 miles to the Rosemont Area
– Alternative 2: 12.2 miles to the Oceanfront along the NSRR corridor (with Maintenance Facility)
– Alternative 3: 13.5 miles to the Oceanfront through the Hilltop Area (with Maintenance Facility)
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Alternative 1b: Newtown to Rosemont (Rosemont Alternative)
Alternative 2: Newtown to Oceanfront via NSRR ROW (NSRR Alternative)
Alternative 1a: Newtown to Town Center (Town Center Alternative)
Alternative 3: Newtown to Oceanfront via Laskin Road (Hilltop Alternative)
DEIS Technology Alternatives
• Light Rail Transit (LRT)
• Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)
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Feeder Bus Routes
TOWN CENTER ALTERNATIVE VIRGINIA BEACH TRANSIT EXTENSION STUDY
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Alternatives 1b, 2, and 3: Newtown to Rosemont and the Oceanfront
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Alternative 1a: Newtown to Town Center (Town Center Alternative)
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Alternative 1a: Newtown to Town Center (Town Center Alternative)
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Alternative 1a: Newtown to Town Center (Town Center Alternative)
CAPITAL COSTS, O&M COSTS, AND RIDERSHIP FORECASTS
TOWN CENTER ALIGNMENT ALTERNATIVE
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Capital Cost Estimating
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Costs Contingency Escalation
Capital Cost Assumptions
Assumptions for the Town Center Light Rail Alternative
• Escalation
• Contingencies
• Real Estate
• Vehicle Costs
• Soft Costs
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Capital Cost Assumptions
• Escalation
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Year
IHS Global Insight
Highway and Street Index ENR Construction
Cost Index VBTES Rate
VBTES Cost
Index
2013 BASE Base Cost Plus
2014 1.4% 4.7% 4.70% 4.7%
2015 2.5% 3.4% 3.40% 8.3%
2016 2.9% 2.2% 2.90% 11.4%
2017 2.5% 2.4% 2.50% 14.2%
2018 2.2% 2.4% 2.40% 16.9%
2019 2% 2.7% 2.70% 20.1%
2020 2% 2.6% 2.60% 23.2%
Capital Cost Assumptions
• Contingencies by major project element
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Major Project Element Contingency
Track 35%
Stations 30%
Modifications to Maintenance Facility 30%
Site Work 35%
Utilities 40%
Rail Systems (Traction Power, Signals) 35%
Real Estate (excluding NSRR ROW) 50%
Vehicles 20%
Unallocated 2% of total
• Real Estate Costs
– Based on City assessed values for 2013
– Includes • Partial property takes
• Whole property takes
• Costs to relocate businesses, where required
• Legal fees and transfer costs
– Does not include • Costs of Kempsville Lumber, NSRR ROW (prorated), and Circuit
City (all properties already owned by the City)
• Temporary construction easements
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Capital Cost Assumptions
• Vehicles
– Four Light Rail Vehicles required for service to Town Center
– Twelve additional transit buses are required to support LRT Service to support
• Three additional bus routes
• Extended AM and PM hours
• Additional service days (weekends)
• Increased frequency of service
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Capital Cost Assumptions
Capital Cost Assumptions
• Soft Costs (% of construction)
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Soft Costs % of
Construction
Project Development (DEIS/Concept Design) 2.5%
Engineering 12%
Project Management 5%
Construction Management 8%
Insurance 2%
Legal/Permit Fees 2%
Survey/Testing/Inspection 2%
System Startup 1.5%
Capital Costs
Opinion of Probable Capital Cost Current Year*
(2013)
YOE*
(2018)
Construction Cost $ 161 $ 188
Other Project Costs
Existing Tide System Improvements $ 5 $ 6
Light Rail Vehicles (4) $ 21 $ 25
Bus Vehicles (12) $ 9 $ 11
“New” Real Estate Required** $ 19 $ 24
Project Development and Engineering $ 24 $ 27
Other Soft Costs (PM/CM/Legal/Startup) $ 34 $ 39
Unallocated Contingencies $ 6 $ 7
Total Probable Capital Cost $ 279 $ 327
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Reflects Constitution Station End of Line Option – 3.1 Miles
* In Millions of Dollars
** Does not include real estate purchased to date of $28M
OCC Modifications
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Capital Cost Comparison
Project Length Capital Cost Cost per Mile
VBTES LRT to Constitution Drive
Virginia Beach, VA
3.1 $279 million* $90 million*
Central Corridor LRT
Minneapolis, MN
9.8 $956 million $97 million
North Corridor LRT
Houston, TX
5.28 $756 million $143 million
Southeast Corridor LRT
Houston, TX
6.56 $822 million $125 million
Dulles Metrorail Extension
Northern Virginia**
11.7 $3.1 billion $269 million
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VBTES compared to significant LRT projects under construction in FY13
* FY 13 Dollars
** Heavy Rail Project in VA
Local Share of O&M Costs*
Comparison of Bus and LRT Service Costs
O&M Costs
in 2012 Service
Levels and Dollars
Virginia Beach Projected Bus and LRT Service $ 11.0 M
Virginia Beach Bus Service Costs in 2012** $ 3.0 M
Expanded Bus Service for LRT $ 6.0 M
Light Rail Service in Virginia Beach to Town Center $ 2.0 M
Norfolk Bus and LRT Service $ 14.2 M
Norfolk Bus Service Costs in 2012 $ 8.5 M
Light Rail Service in Norfolk in 2012 $ 5.7 M
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* Not Including Paratransit Costs
** FY14 Virginia Beach local share for bus service costs is $4.4 M
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Ridership Forecast
Tide Forecast (FY 2011)
Actual Tide (FY 2014)
Projected Norfolk (2034)
Projected Virginia Beach
(2034)
Total Projected Tide LRT (2034)
Average Weekday
2,900 5,300 7,050 2, 250 9,300
Annual Trips
870,000 1.4 million 2.8 million
Ridership Forecasting for Light Rail to Town Center
• Results of FTA approved ridership model
• Home-Based Work Model produces conservative ridership numbers
• Does not include Tourism or Special Events
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Tide Ridership
Tide Average Monthly Ridership Since Opening
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
STUDY SCHEDULE VIRGINIA BEACH TRANSIT EXTENSION STUDY
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September Public Meetings - Town Center Alternative
• September 22, 2014 Renaissance Academy Witchduck Road 6:00 to 7:30 PM
• September 24, 2014 Westin Hotel Town Center 6:00 to 7:30 PM
Public Comment
• Comments are welcome at any time during the VBTES process.
• You are encouraged to participate throughout the entire study process.
• Formal Comments on the DEIS will be accepted after the release of the document (the beginning of 2015) during the Formal Public Comment Period at the Formal DEIS Public Hearings.
• HRT will address all “substantive” written comments.
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VBTES DEIS Remaining Milestones
• Early Submittal of DEIS Chapters to FTA (September 2014)
• Full Submittal of DEIS to FTA (October 2014)
• Formal DEIS Public Comment Period and Formal DEIS Public Hearings (Early 2015)
• Locally Preferred Alternative Selected by City Council (Early 2015)
2014 2015 2016 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
DEIS Completion
Update DEIS - New Alternative
FTA Review/Approval of DEIS
DEIS Circulation and Public Hearings
Locally Preferred Alternative (LPA)
LPA to HRTPO Fiscally Constrained LRTP
HRT Request to Enter FTA "Project Development"
Preparation of Final EIS/ROD
HRT Request to Enter FTA “Engineering"
Design Build
FFGA/ Final Engineering /Construction
Operations
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Town Center Schedule under State – City Funding
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Thank You