volatile years, steady calls no.2
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*Iraq * Thailand * United Kingdom* In Iraq: The re-emergence of sectarian tensions has heightened the risk that local tribal leaders, whose cooperation with the US forces was instrumental in preventing radical Islamists from establishing aTRANSCRIPT
Volatile Years, Steady CallsIraqThe re-emergence of sectarian tensions has heightened the risk that local tribal leaders, whose cooperation with the US forces was instrumental in preventing radical Islamists from establishing a stronghold in the Sunni Triangle, might align themselves with the Al Qaeda-affiliated Islamic State of Iraq (ISI)…. Iraq will face a heightened risk of attacks launched by the ISI from inside Syria, a very worrisome prospect given the obvious disenchantment of Iraqi’s Sunni population with the Shiite-dominated government in Baghdad.
– December 2013
ThailandThailand remains embroiled in a political crisis that is unlikely to be resolved anytime soon, and holds the potential to produce a degree of disorder that provokes direct military intervention for the second time in less than a decade.
– February 2014
United KingdomThus, while foreign investors would do well to watch for developments that suggest a swing in favor of independence, we believe that the complications that secession implies on such matters as EU membership and defense interests…will convince a majority of voters that Scotland is better off remaining part of the UK, especially if the devolved legislature is granted greater authority.
– December 2013
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