vulnerability mapping be-aware ii final project conference ronneby, sweden: 18-19 november 2015...
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Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
BE-AWARE II Final Project ConferenceRonneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015
• Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis
Documentation: Technical sub report 2: Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability mapping
Vulnerability mapping
Objective: •Describe vulnerability on a regional scale. •map features in a consistent, comparable way to compare across country borders. •Add up effects of different relevant environmental and socio-economic features
Vulnerability mapping
• Large area• Challenge for homogenous mapping• Dependent on available data• Different levels of: – details– coverage– features
Vulnerability mapping
Vulnerability mapping
Vulnerability mapping Step 1: ID of features
• Identified in BE AWARE I • Final list revised during BE AWARE II• Determined from data availability
• Data collected from: • Central sources such as EU institutions, NGO's and
international conventions and organisations• Contracting parties
• Organised by Data request note:
Vulnerability mappingSensitive Ecological features in the BA area
Shoreline and Coastal Habitats Open Sea Habitats Exposed rocky shores and reefs on less
than 20m depth; Exposed rocky shores and reefs on
more than 20m depth: Sheltered rocky shores and reefs on
less than 20m depth: Sheltered rocky shores and reefs on
more than 20m depth; Littoral chalk communities; Sandy beaches; Shingle beaches; Tidal sand and mud flats; Salt marshes; Underwater sandbanks on less than
20m depth Underwater sandbanks on more than
20m depth; Biogenic reefs on less than 20m depth Biogenic reefs on more than 20m
depth Maerl beds Seagrass beds (Zostera sp. > 5%) Estuaries Coastal lagoons (open to the sea); Large shallow inlets and bays;
Open water column on less than 20 m depth
Deep sea water column (>20 m depth) Deep sea floor (>20m depth) Seamounts Coral gardens and sponge aggregations Carbonate mounds Lophelia pertusa reefs Sea-pen and burrowing megafauna
Species Features Coastal and marine protected areas Spawning areas for fish Wintering areas for birds Staging areas for birds Breeding areas for birds (incl. foraging
areas)
Natura 2000 areas (EC Habitat and Birds Directive (SACs and SPAs))
RAMSAR Convention areas OSPAR Convention areas Norwegian national plan for protection
of marine areas
34 Ecological features:
26 Habitats18 coastal8 open sea
4 Species1 fish area
3 bird areas
4 Protected areas
Step 1: ID of features
Vulnerability mappingSTEP 1 – Sensitive socioeconomic features
Sensitive Industries and Socioeconomic features in the BA area
Fisheries Aquaculture
Offshore and coastal fisheries Fish farms Shellfish cultures Algae cultures
Tourism and recreation Other Marinas Overnight stays coastal tourist
hotels Densely populated towns and
communities Main recreational fishing
locations Cruise liner stops
Heritage sites Ports Mineral extraction site Offshore windfarms Water intakes
14 Socioeconomic features:
14 Socioeconomic features:
1 Fisheriesoffshore &
coastal fisheries
3 Aquaculturefish farms
Shellfish culturesAlgae cultures
5 Tourism & recreation
5 Other
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Habitat classesA combination of :•EUNIS habitat classif. system•EU Habitats Directive Ann. 1
EUNIS classification
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Habitat classes – Harmonisation
Vulnerability mapping
• Examples of mapping• Scaling issues: – Regional maps hide local details– present in data sets and used in analysis
• Great variability• Some features left out but still in– marine mammals (MPAs)
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
HabitatsShoreline classes
- Exposed rocky< 20 m> 20 m
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mappingSensitivity
HabitatsShoreline classes
- UW sandbanks< 20 m> 20 m
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mappingSensitivity
HabitatsShoreline classes
- Shingle beaches
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
HabitatsShoreline classes
- Estuaries
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Bird species in original Data request:- Wintering areas- Breeding areas- Staging areas
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping Aggregated into:
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Fish spawners
Demersal(herring)
Pelagic
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Winter
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Winter
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Fish Pelagic spawnersHaddockBlue whitingNorway poutSaitheCodWhitingWestern mackerelHorse mackerelSprat
Demersal spawnersHerring
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Fish pelagic spawnersHaddockBlue whitingNorway poutSaitheCodWhitingWestern mackerelHorse mackerelSprat
Demersal spawnersHerring
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Fish
Demersal spawnersHerring
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Protected areas- Nature 2000- Norwegian nat. plan- OSPAR MPAs- World Her. site- Ramsar sites
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Socio economic tourismMarinasOvernight stays coastal tourist hotelsDensely populated towns and communitiesMain recreational fishing locationsCruise liner stops
Vulnerability mapping
Overnight staysEstimate of coastlines w.>20,000 stays/km/year
Possible underestimate insome areas
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Socio economy Heritage sitesPortsMineral extraction siteOffshore windfarmsWater intakes
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping
Socio economy Fishing effort2 sources:- ICES data (VMS) ondredges, beam trawl, otter trawl, demersal seiners- Norwegian data (AIS)
Vulnerability mapping
Vulnerability mapping
Proposed ranking of all features by COWI based on litterature review
Ranking workshop determined a final score list:
4 seasons+/- dispersants
Vulnerability mapping
Fate of oil related to feature
Ranking Criteria based on BE AWARE I
Potential impact of oil:SensitivityRecovery
Additional criteria for Soc.Econ
Length of interruptionCompensation
Vulnerability mapping
Vulnerability mapping
single-feature maps Total (seasonal) Vulnerability Maps
Vulnerability mapping
Vulnerability maps
x 4 seasons
x dispersed oil spillsx non-dispersed spills
habitats
species
protected areas
soc. economic features
Total: 8 Vulnerability maps4 seasons x 2 oil spill types
Summing individual vulnerability scores
Re-classifying total vulnerability scores:
Very highHigh
Medium low Very low
Weighting btw. features:
25 %
Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping Impact x Vulnerability => Damage
Base case: Surface
Base case: Water column
Damage
Next step (next talk)
Vulnerability mappingQuestions?
Thank you
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