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Vulnerability mapping Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 • Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis ntation: cal sub report 2: Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability mapp

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Page 1: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

BE-AWARE II Final Project ConferenceRonneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015

• Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Documentation: Technical sub report 2: Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability mapping

Page 2: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Objective: •Describe vulnerability on a regional scale. •map features in a consistent, comparable way to compare across country borders. •Add up effects of different relevant environmental and socio-economic features

Page 3: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

• Large area• Challenge for homogenous mapping• Dependent on available data• Different levels of: – details– coverage– features

Page 4: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Page 5: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Page 6: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping Step 1: ID of features

• Identified in BE AWARE I • Final list revised during BE AWARE II• Determined from data availability

• Data collected from: • Central sources such as EU institutions, NGO's and

international conventions and organisations• Contracting parties

• Organised by Data request note:

Page 7: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingSensitive Ecological features in the BA area

Shoreline and Coastal Habitats Open Sea Habitats Exposed rocky shores and reefs on less

than 20m depth; Exposed rocky shores and reefs on

more than 20m depth: Sheltered rocky shores and reefs on

less than 20m depth: Sheltered rocky shores and reefs on

more than 20m depth; Littoral chalk communities; Sandy beaches; Shingle beaches; Tidal sand and mud flats; Salt marshes; Underwater sandbanks on less than

20m depth Underwater sandbanks on more than

20m depth; Biogenic reefs on less than 20m depth Biogenic reefs on more than 20m

depth Maerl beds Seagrass beds (Zostera sp. > 5%) Estuaries Coastal lagoons (open to the sea); Large shallow inlets and bays;

Open water column on less than 20 m depth

Deep sea water column (>20 m depth) Deep sea floor (>20m depth) Seamounts Coral gardens and sponge aggregations Carbonate mounds Lophelia pertusa reefs Sea-pen and burrowing megafauna

Species Features Coastal and marine protected areas Spawning areas for fish Wintering areas for birds Staging areas for birds Breeding areas for birds (incl. foraging

areas)

Natura 2000 areas (EC Habitat and Birds Directive (SACs and SPAs))

RAMSAR Convention areas OSPAR Convention areas Norwegian national plan for protection

of marine areas

34 Ecological features:

26 Habitats18 coastal8 open sea

4 Species1 fish area

3 bird areas

4 Protected areas

Step 1: ID of features

Page 8: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingSTEP 1 – Sensitive socioeconomic features

Sensitive Industries and Socioeconomic features in the BA area

Fisheries Aquaculture

Offshore and coastal fisheries Fish farms Shellfish cultures Algae cultures

Tourism and recreation Other Marinas Overnight stays coastal tourist

hotels Densely populated towns and

communities Main recreational fishing

locations Cruise liner stops

Heritage sites Ports Mineral extraction site Offshore windfarms Water intakes

14 Socioeconomic features:

14 Socioeconomic features:

1 Fisheriesoffshore &

coastal fisheries

3 Aquaculturefish farms

Shellfish culturesAlgae cultures

5 Tourism & recreation

5 Other

Page 9: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Habitat classesA combination of :•EUNIS habitat classif. system•EU Habitats Directive Ann. 1

EUNIS classification

Page 10: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Habitat classes – Harmonisation

Page 11: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

• Examples of mapping• Scaling issues: – Regional maps hide local details– present in data sets and used in analysis

• Great variability• Some features left out but still in– marine mammals (MPAs)

Page 12: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

HabitatsShoreline classes

- Exposed rocky< 20 m> 20 m

Page 13: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mappingSensitivity

HabitatsShoreline classes

- UW sandbanks< 20 m> 20 m

Page 14: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mappingSensitivity

HabitatsShoreline classes

- Shingle beaches

Page 15: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

HabitatsShoreline classes

- Estuaries

Page 16: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Bird species in original Data request:- Wintering areas- Breeding areas- Staging areas

Page 17: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping Aggregated into:

Page 18: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Fish spawners

Demersal(herring)

Pelagic

Spring

Summer

Autumn

Winter

Spring

Summer

Autumn

Winter

Page 19: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Fish Pelagic spawnersHaddockBlue whitingNorway poutSaitheCodWhitingWestern mackerelHorse mackerelSprat

Demersal spawnersHerring

Page 20: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Fish pelagic spawnersHaddockBlue whitingNorway poutSaitheCodWhitingWestern mackerelHorse mackerelSprat

Demersal spawnersHerring

Page 21: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Fish

Demersal spawnersHerring

Page 22: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Protected areas- Nature 2000- Norwegian nat. plan- OSPAR MPAs- World Her. site- Ramsar sites

Page 23: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Socio economic tourismMarinasOvernight stays coastal tourist hotelsDensely populated towns and communitiesMain recreational fishing locationsCruise liner stops

Page 24: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Overnight staysEstimate of coastlines w.>20,000 stays/km/year

Possible underestimate insome areas

Page 25: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Socio economy Heritage sitesPortsMineral extraction siteOffshore windfarmsWater intakes

Page 26: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping

Socio economy Fishing effort2 sources:- ICES data (VMS) ondredges, beam trawl, otter trawl, demersal seiners- Norwegian data (AIS)

Page 27: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Page 28: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Proposed ranking of all features by COWI based on litterature review

Ranking workshop determined a final score list:

4 seasons+/- dispersants

Page 29: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Fate of oil related to feature

Ranking Criteria based on BE AWARE I

Potential impact of oil:SensitivityRecovery

Additional criteria for Soc.Econ

Length of interruptionCompensation

Page 30: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Page 31: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

single-feature maps Total (seasonal) Vulnerability Maps

Page 32: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mapping

Vulnerability maps

x 4 seasons

x dispersed oil spillsx non-dispersed spills

habitats

species

protected areas

soc. economic features

Total: 8 Vulnerability maps4 seasons x 2 oil spill types

Summing individual vulnerability scores

Re-classifying total vulnerability scores:

Very highHigh

Medium low Very low

Weighting btw. features:

25 %

Page 33: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingVulnerability mapping Impact x Vulnerability => Damage

Base case: Surface

Base case: Water column

Damage

Next step (next talk)

Page 34: Vulnerability mapping BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis

Vulnerability mappingQuestions?

Thank you

beaware.bonnagreement.org