w orld e nergy c hallenges
DESCRIPTION
W orld E nergy C hallenges. by 2050 : double energy demand half the emissions (-80% in OECD) electricity access for 1.3 billion energy poor globally governed risks management. Christoph Frei, PhD Secretary General World Energy Council. critical uncertainties. uncertainty. need for - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
World Energy Challenges
by 2050:
•double energy demand•half the emissions (-80% in OECD)•electricity access for 1.3 billion energy poor•globally governed risks management
Christoph Frei, PhDSecretary GeneralWorld Energy Council
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
need foraction
criticaluncertainties
impact
un
cert
ain
ty
weak signals
World Energy Council (WEC)Critical Energy Issues Monitor: Global, 2012
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climate framework
large scale accidents
global recession
capital markets
commodity prices
energy prices
currency uncertainty
energy water nexus
talentenergy poverty
energy affordability
corruption
China India
BrazilRussia
EU Cohesion
Middle East dynamics
US policy
terrorism
trade barriersregional interconnection
business cycle
innovative regulation energy subsidies
sustainable citiesenergy efficiency
ccs
renewable energiesbiofuels smart grids
electric vehicles
electric storage
nuclear
large scale hydro
unconventionals
hydrogen economy
trackedissues
macroeconomic
geopol. ®ional
businessenvironment
vision &technology
maximum change
nuclear
unconventionalscurrency uncertainty
large scale hydro
ccs
minimum change
Brazilinnovative regulation
business cycleMiddle East dynamics
large scale accidents
issues tracking color:
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
need foraction
criticaluncertainties
impact
un
cert
ain
ty
weak signals
World Energy Council (WEC)Critical Energy Issues Monitor: Global, 2012
(time tracking)
<< low - IMPACT - high >>2012Global-TT-1, Mon Oct 01 15:02:32 2012
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low
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climate framework
large scale accidents
global recession
capital markets
commodity prices
energy prices
currency uncertainty
energy water nexus
talentenergy poverty
energy affordability
corruption
China India
BrazilRussia
EU Cohesion
Middle East dynamics
US policy
terrorism
trade barriersregional interconnection
business cycle
innovative regulation energy subsidies
sustainable citiesenergy efficiency
ccs
renewable energiesbiofuels smart grids
electric vehicles
electric storage
nuclear
large scale hydro
unconventionals
hydrogen economy
trackedissues
macroeconomic
geopol. ®ional
businessenvironment
vision &technology
maximum change
nuclear
unconventionalscurrency uncertainty
large scale hydro
ccs
minimum change
Brazilinnovative regulation
business cycleMiddle East dynamics
large scale accidents
issues tracking color:
ccs
energy efficiency
nuclearrenewable energies
unconventionals
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
need foraction
criticaluncertainties
impact
un
cert
ain
ty
weak signals
World Energy Council (WEC)Critical Energy Issues Monitor: Global, 2012
(geographical tracking)
<< low - IMPACT - high >>2012Global.GT-wat-clm, Tue Oct 02 02:17:29 2012
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low
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climate framework
large scale accidents
global recession
capital markets
commodity prices
energy prices
currency uncertainty
energy water nexus
talentenergy poverty
energy affordability
corruption
China India
BrazilRussia
EU Cohesion
Middle East dynamics
US policy
terrorism
trade barriersregional interconnection
business cycle
innovative regulation energy subsidies
sustainable citiesenergy efficiency
ccs
renewable energiesbiofuels smart grids
electric vehicles
electric storage
nuclear
large scale hydro
unconventionals
hydrogen economy
trackedissues
macroeconomic
geopol. ®ional
businessenvironment
vision &technology
maximum change over 10 observations:
hydrogen economy
terrorism
unconventionalscorruption
ccs
minimum change over 10 observations:
large scale accidents
energy affordability
energy subsidiesMiddle East dynamics
currency uncertainty
issues tracking color:
Asia
Africa
Europe
LatAm
MENANAm
OECD
NonOECD
G20
climate framework
Asia
Africa
Europe
LatAm
MENA
NAm
OECD
NonOECDG20
energy water nexus
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
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20.0
40.0
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140.0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
OECD FW Non-OECD FW OECD TW Non-OECD TW
Non-OECD countries demand for transport fuels is expected to exceed that of the OECD countries by
2025
Non-OECD
OECD
+82%+30%
increase in fuel demand for all transport
Freeway/Tollway fuel demand (EJ)Source: WEC Global Transport Scenarios 2050
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
+36%- 46%
increase in CO2 emissions from cars
Non-OECD
OECD
+79%+16%
increase in CO2 emissions from all transports
Freeway/Tollway CO2 emissionsSource: WEC Global Transport Scenarios 2050
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
… a balancing act
Overcoming the Energy Trilemma…Source: 2011 Assesment of country energy and climate policies
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
Kazakhstan : 2012 Energy Sustainability IndexSource: 2012 Assessment of country energy and climate policies (forthcoming)
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
Kazakhstan : 2012 Energy Sustainability IndexSource: 2012 Assessment of country energy and climate policies (forthcoming)
For sustainable energy.© World Energy Council
World Energy Council
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