COMPILED SPECIFICALLY FOR

War Front

STALLION SALES REPORTAn analysis of a breeding stock sale

for a stallion with all broodmares

Copyright © 2018 The Jockey Club Information Systems, Inc.

TrueNicks: An ExplanationNicks in History

Compatibilities between stallions from one sire line with mares of another sire line has helped shape thebreed since the Eclipse/Herod cross of the late 18th century. These successful crosses, called nicks, haveimpacted Thoroughbred development through such examples as Hermit/Stockwell, Lexington/Glencoe,Bend Or/Macaroni, and Phalaris/Chaucer. In the modern era, the prolific Mr. Prospector/Northern Dancercross has produced outstanding racehorses and sires such as Kingmambo, Distorted Humor, and ElusiveQuality.

Fast-Forward to the 21st Century

Computer databases have made it possible to measure and rate nicks, giving rise to a commercial marketfor such statistics. The first nick ratings offered to the public, though popular, were compromised byincomplete data and yielded results based on hypothetical rather than actual opportunity. This statisticalgap was the impetus behind the development of TrueNicks.

A Statistically Valid Approach

Unlike other ratings that are calculated based on hypothetical opportunity within a limited group of horses,TrueNicks references the international database of The Jockey Club—the world’s most complete record ofThoroughbreds and their performance—to produce a sophisticated rating based on all starters and stakeswinners on a given cross.

The Statistics

The TrueNicks rating is derived from two statistical elements: the Sire Improvement Index (SII) and theBroodmare Sire Improvement Index (BSII). Each figure compares the percentage of progeny stakeswinners to starters. An SII of 2.00 indicates that the sire line has twice the percentage of stakes winnerswith mares of the given broodmare sire line as it does with all other mares. A BSII of 3.00 indicates thatmares from the broodmare sire line have 3.00 times the percentage of stakes winners with a given sire linethan when bred to all other stallions.

The TrueNicks Calculation

The TrueNicks rating is then calculated by multiplying the SII and BSII, effectively recognizing theopportunity and performance of the cross. In the example above, an SII of 2.00 and a BSII of 3.00 wouldresult in a TrueNicks variant score of 6.00, expressing a nick that performs six times better than averageopportunity, and translating to an A+ TrueNicks rating. Theoretically, any cross can produce a superiorracehorse, but TrueNicks is concerned with its frequency of doing so.

Meaningful Ratings

Referencing the entire database of The Jockey Club during development, the TrueNicks rating wascalibrated on a test group of 100,000 international starters. Converting the TrueNicks variant to a lettergrade rating—A to F, as in the academic system—reveals some intriguing results that verify the existenceof nicks across the Thoroughbred population. For example:

1. While only 13% of Thoroughbreds earn A ratings (A to A++), 37% of stakes winners rate A or better.2. Thoroughbreds rated B or better (B to A++) represent just 30% of the population, yet three out of four

(77%) stakes winners rate B or better.3. Almost half of Thoroughbreds in general (44%) are on the low end of the scale (rated C through F),

yet only two in 25 stakes winners (8%) have these lower ratings.

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Interpreting the Ratings

TrueNicks is a powerful mating tool, but like all pedigree analysis programs it is one part of the picture andshould be weighted accordingly. TrueNicks is best used to differentiate between matings or individualswithin a similar commercial range, and the rating becomes more powerful when used in proper context.TrueNicks development studies clearly indicate a strong correlation between sire line affinities and successin stakes events; however, we strongly recommend that you consider all factors, such as physicalattributes, conformation, aptitude, and class of the pedigree. After all, the goal should be to breedracehorses, not ratings.

Using Your Report

The Truenicks Stallion Sales Report gives you a ready guide towards selecting the mares that are in abreeding stock sale that best suit your stallion based on the rating at hand. The report is sorted in Hip/Lotorder with the TrueNicks rating displayed for the hypothetical mating between your stallion and the mare,as well as the number of foals and percentage of stakes winners supplied on the cross at hand. There isalso a hyperlink to the full TrueNicks report if need be (this is free but only for subscribed stallions).

TrueNicks population studies indicate that, all other factors being equal, strongest consideration should begiven to matings rated B+ or better. Of course, matings that result in lower ratings may well still be viable,especially if compensating factors such as class of the sire and dam, or successful patterns of inbreedingand line breeding, are taken into account

If you have questions about your report, please visit TrueNicks.com or contact us at info@truenicks.com.

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Stallion Name: War FrontSale Name: Fasig-Tipton Kentucky Fall Mixed Sale 2018Number of Broodmares: 126

Hip/Lot Broodmare Name TrueNicks Starters on Cross SW on Cross (%) Report00117 Nicksappealinglady A+ 18 11.11 TrueNicks00118 Off Limits (IRE) F 45 0.0 TrueNicks00119 O' Maggi A+ 57 17.54 TrueNicks00120 One Wise Cowgirl D 69 2.9 TrueNicks00121 Paved D 48 2.08 TrueNicks00122 Pretty City Dancer A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks00123 Pricedtoperfection A++ 10 30.0 TrueNicks00124 Princess La Quinta D 48 2.08 TrueNicks00125 Puca A+ 20 10.0 TrueNicks00126 Quargent no rating 0 0.0 TrueNicks00127 Quezon A++ 2 100.0 TrueNicks00128 Reve Enchante A+ 57 17.54 TrueNicks00129 Salty D 48 2.08 TrueNicks00130 Savings Account A+ 57 17.54 TrueNicks00131 Selcourt A++ 2 100.0 TrueNicks00132 Shelbysmile A 16 18.75 TrueNicks00133 Silky Serenade A+ 17 23.53 TrueNicks00134 Skye Diamonds A+ 23 8.7 TrueNicks00135 Smashing Serena D 54 3.7 TrueNicks00136 Vegastruck A 16 18.75 TrueNicks00137 Sophie P (GB) D 331 0.91 TrueNicks00138 Starstream C 36 5.56 TrueNicks00139 Sundown A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks00140 Sweet Tapper A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks00141 Take Charge Paula A+ 62 17.74 TrueNicks00142 Thedevil Wearsnada A 18 11.11 TrueNicks00143 There'syourtrouble no rating 22 4.55 TrueNicks00144 Thundering Sky A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks00145 Tizcool A++ 2 100.0 TrueNicks00146 Tiz News A++ 2 100.0 TrueNicks00147 Venus Valentine A+ 62 17.74 TrueNicks00148 Walk Close A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks00149 War Heroine A++ 10 20.0 TrueNicks00150 Whisper Wisdom A+ 18 22.22 TrueNicks00151 Yankee Victoria C 89 4.49 TrueNicks00152 Yorkiepoo Princess D 54 3.7 TrueNicks00153 Drumette D 69 2.9 TrueNicks00155 Altea (FR) C 45 4.44 TrueNicks00156 Amazing Belle B 46 4.35 TrueNicks00157 American Gal A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks00158 America's Starlet A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks

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00159 Appealing Zophie A+ 18 11.11 TrueNicks

00160 A Raving Beauty(GER) F 45 0.0 TrueNicks

00161 Belle Gallantey B 18 11.11 TrueNicks00162 Belvoir Bay (GB) D 41 4.88 TrueNicks00163 Berned A+ 62 17.74 TrueNicks00164 Best Performance A+ 29 20.69 TrueNicks00165 Bletchley (GB) D 94 2.13 TrueNicks00166 Bonita Bianca A 16 18.75 TrueNicks00167 Broken Bridle A+ 29 20.69 TrueNicks00168 Caledonia Road D 48 2.08 TrueNicks

00169 Capla Temptress(IRE) A 60 10.0 TrueNicks

00171 Celestial Woods B 18 11.11 TrueNicks00172 Champagne Problems D 45 4.44 TrueNicks00173 Classy Act no rating 22 4.55 TrueNicks00174 Classy City Lady A 129 13.18 TrueNicks00175 Colonia (FR) D 331 0.91 TrueNicks00176 Con Te Partiro D 80 3.75 TrueNicks00177 Courtly Choice A++ 10 20.0 TrueNicks00178 Cover Song D 331 0.91 TrueNicks00179 Daddy Issues D 80 3.75 TrueNicks00180 Daddys Lil Darling D 80 3.75 TrueNicks00181 Daisy A++ 16 25.0 TrueNicks00182 Daring Duchess A++ 16 25.0 TrueNicks00183 Diva Delite F 37 0.0 TrueNicks00184 Divine Elegance A 18 11.11 TrueNicks00185 Dixie Serenade D 64 1.56 TrueNicks00186 Doinghardtimeagain D 350 4.29 TrueNicks00187 Dreams Are Free D 148 2.7 TrueNicks00188 Song of Bernadette A+ 62 17.74 TrueNicks00189 Carina Mia A+ 18 11.11 TrueNicks00190 Got Stormy A++ 8 25.0 TrueNicks00191 Efforting no rating 22 4.55 TrueNicks00192 Emerald Pond B 169 7.1 TrueNicks00193 Fault A++ 16 25.0 TrueNicks00194 Finley'sluckycharm no rating 36 2.78 TrueNicks00195 Fourstar Crook B 18 11.11 TrueNicks00196 Four Sugars A 16 18.75 TrueNicks00197 Fuhriously Kissed D 68 2.94 TrueNicks00198 Galileo Gal (IRE) A+ 23 21.74 TrueNicks00199 Gas Station Sushi no rating 22 4.55 TrueNicks00200 Lady Aurelia D 80 3.75 TrueNicks00201 Happy Like a Fool A++ 18 22.22 TrueNicks00202 Hopeoverexperience A+ 18 22.22 TrueNicks00203 Inchargeofme (GB) A+ 57 17.54 TrueNicks00204 Isabelle A+ 18 11.11 TrueNicks00205 Ivy Bell A++ 16 25.0 TrueNicks00206 Jennifer Lynnette A 219 8.68 TrueNicks00207 Joint Return D 61 3.28 TrueNicks00208 Akron Moon A+ 18 11.11 TrueNicks00209 Just Be Kind A+ 33 18.18 TrueNicks00210 Kathy's Song D 79 2.53 TrueNicks

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00211 Kenda A+ 29 20.69 TrueNicks00212 Kitten's Roar A+ 57 17.54 TrueNicks00213 La Coronel A++ 2 100.0 TrueNicks00214 Delicate Lady A 129 13.18 TrueNicks00215 Lady Godiva A+ 17 23.53 TrueNicks00216 Last Kitten B 18 11.11 TrueNicks00217 Linda Linda (CHI) B 18 11.11 TrueNicks00218 Love the Chase A 129 13.18 TrueNicks00219 Loving Vindication A+ 17 11.76 TrueNicks

00220 Madam Dancealot(IRE) C+ 52 3.85 TrueNicks

00221 Maggie McGowan D 99 3.03 TrueNicks00222 Majestic Heat A+ 80 17.5 TrueNicks00223 Mended A+ 29 20.69 TrueNicks00224 Metmeyer A++ 18 22.22 TrueNicks00225 Miracle Heat A+ 80 17.5 TrueNicks00226 Miss Sunset no rating 22 4.55 TrueNicks00227 Moana A 18 11.11 TrueNicks00228 Moonshine Memories A+ 18 11.11 TrueNicks00229 Mo Shopping A 18 11.11 TrueNicks00230 Thirteen Squared A 18 11.11 TrueNicks00232 Open Water D 61 3.28 TrueNicks00234 Stopchargingmaria B 18 11.11 TrueNicks00235 Shehadmefromhello A+ 29 20.69 TrueNicks00238 Separationofpowers D 79 2.53 TrueNicks00239 Constellation D 148 2.7 TrueNicks00240 Faypien D 45 4.44 TrueNicks00000 Martini Glass A 129 13.18 TrueNicks00000 Conquest Bandido no rating 22 4.55 TrueNicks00000 Paulita D 80 3.75 TrueNicks00000 Whispered Secrets A+ 62 17.74 TrueNicks00000 La Belle Marquet D 50 2.0 TrueNicks00246 Flame Mingo A++ 16 25.0 TrueNicks00247 Kosmo's Buddy D 982 1.32 TrueNicks

Win the War no rating 0 0.0 TrueNicks

STALLION SALES REPORT

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