we create chemistry for a sustainable future · 2018-11-17 · we create chemistry for a...

We create chemistry for a sustainable future

Tobias HöldSenior Investor

Relations Manager

Stefan KochInvestor Relations

Manager

Bankhaus Lampe

Deutschland

Konferenzen

Baden Baden

March 28, 2017

BASF Capital Market Story, March 2017 2

Cautionary note regarding

forward-looking statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current

estimates and projections of BASF management and currently available information. Future

statements are not guarantees of the future developments and results outlined therein. These are

dependent on a number of factors; they involve various risks and uncertainties; and they are based

on assumptions that may not prove to be accurate. Such factors include those discussed in the

Opportunities and Risks Report from pages 111 to 118 of the BASF Report 2016. We do not assume

any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.


Agenda

At a glance1

Strategic levers2

Segments3


Growth above chemical industry average – driven by innovative and sustainable products

and solutions

Unique Verbund concept – competitive advantage based on integrated sites, operational

excellence and best-in-class technologies

Broad and resilient portfolio – with global market access and strong customer relationships

Earnings growth and strong cash flow generation – based on operational and financial

strength

Long-term value creation with progressive dividend policy – grow or at least maintain

dividend at the previous year’s level

BASF shares – an attractive investment


Chemicals – a growth industryGlobal annual growth rate of ~3.6%*

…more food needed

by 2050

…more primary energy

consumption by 2050

…of the world population

will live in cities by 2050

Agriculture Health & Nutrition

Energy & Resources

Automotive &Transport

Construction &Housing

Consumer products

…people by 2050

Electric & Electronics

Chemistry as enabler to meet current and future needs

70% 50%~10 bn 30%

* Forecast average annual real change 2017-2019; BASF Report 2016, p.121


Broad and resilient portfolio2016: Sales of €57.6 billion; EBITDA of €10.5 billion

Percentage of sales 2016*

* Not depicted here: ‘Other’ 3% of Group sales and EBITDA €(1.0) billion


Global market access through regional presence

Kuantan

Hong Kong

Nanjing

Freeport

Florham Park

Geismar

Ludwigshafen

Antwerp

São Paulo

Regional centersSelected sites

Verbund sites

Selected research

and development sites

Asia Pacific

Europe

South America

North America

Sales €14,042 million

EBIT €1,113 million

Employees 17,583



Employees 70,784



Employees 18,156


EBIT €432 million

Employees 7,307

Sales by location of customer; EBIT by location of company


Verbund – unique competitive advantageActively managed in line with market requirements

Annual cost savings of more than €1 billion through integrated production

Verbund concept supports sustainability, reduces waste and avoids CO2 emissions of 6 million tons p.a.

Energy savings

>€300 million p.a.

People, Customers, Technology, Production


Fourth quarter sales and earnings significantly above

prior-year quarter

Financial figures Q4 2016 Change Q4 2015 FY 2016 Change FY 2015

Sales €14.8 billion 7% €57.6 billion (18)%

EBITDA €2.5 billion 31% €10.5 billion (1)%

EBIT before special items €1.2 billion 15% €6.3 billion (6)%

EBIT €1.2 billion 278% €6.3 billion 0%

Net income €0.7 billion 103% €4.1 billion 2%

Reported EPS €0.75 103% €4.42 2%

Adjusted EPS €0.79 (22)% €4.83 (3)%

Operating cash flow €1.9 billion 97% €7.7 billion (18)%

Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies

Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015 6% 1% 0% 0%

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015 2% (4)% (15)% (1)%


Stepwise increase of earnings level

EBIT and EBITDA*

billion €, 2001 - 2016

3.7

4.7 4.6

7.0 7.28.4

8.9

7.7

6.5

9.9

11.2

10.010.4

11.010.6 10.5

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

EBIT EBITDA

0.7

2.2 2.2

4.5 4.85.5

6.0

4.6

2.8

6.7

8.0

6.7 7.27.6

6.2 6.3

CAGREBITDA

7%CAGREBIT

16%

* 2010, 2011 indicative, adjusted for IFRS 10 & 11; 2001 – 2009 as reported, without non-compensable foreign income taxes on oil production

Avg. EBITDA level in depicted years


billion €, 2001 - 2016

2.3 2.3

4.94.6

5.3

5.9 5.8

5.0

5.7

6.5

7.16.6

8.1

7.0

9.4

7.7

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Free cash flowOperating cash flow

-0.5 -0.1

2.8 2.6

3.3 3.53.2

2.53.2

3.9 3.7

2.6

3.2

1.7

3.6 3.6

6.3%

Strong cash flow development


Attractive dividendWe want to grow or at least maintain dividend at the previous year’s level

* Dividend yield based on share price at year-end

Dividend per share

€

0.65 0.70 0.700.85

1.00

1.50

1.95 1.95

1.70

2.20

2.502.60

2.702.80

2.903.00

0

1

2

3

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Yield* 3.1% 3.9% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.8% 7.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 4.1% 3.4%

Proposal:


Delivering consistent, long-term valueCurrent market capitalization: €81 billion*

Average annual performance

(with dividends reinvested)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Euro Stoxx 50

DAX 30

MSCI World

Chemicals

+5.8%

BASF

+7.2%

+1.0%

+12.9%

Last 10 years

March 2007 – February 2017

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Last 5 years

March 2012 – February 2017

+9.7%

+8.9%

+11.5%

+10.1%

* As of February 28, 2017


Sales growth – slightly faster than global chemical production

Deliver attractive returns – earn a significant premium on cost of capital

EBITDA growth – well above global chemical production

Remain a strong cash provider – continuously generate high levels of free cash flow

Progressive dividend policy – grow or at least maintain dividend at previous year’s level

Financial targets for the coming years


Innovations for a sustainable future

Investments in organic growth

M&A opportunities and portfolio pruning measures

Our priorities

Cost discipline and operational excellence

We aim to grow sales and earnings faster than global chemical production

in the coming years, driven by


Outlook 2017 for BASF Group

We want to slightly raise EBIT before special items compared with 2016

We expect BASF Group sales to grow considerably in the 2017 business year

BASF Group EBIT is also expected to grow slightly in 2017

We are likely to once again earn a significant premium on our cost of capital in 2017


Agenda

At a glance1

Strategic levers2

Segments3

► Portfolio development

► Investments

► Innovation

► Sustainability

► Operational excellence


Continuous global portfolio development

target(in % of sales*)~50% ~50%

Maintaining a balanced portfolio

Divestment of

businesses,

e.g., due to loss

of differentiation

Divestment of

businesses,

e.g., due to lower

market attractiveness

Commoditization leads to

restructuring

Growth fields

Innovation

pipeline

Acquisitions

Specialties and solutions Differentiated commodities

Attractive markets

Differentiation by process

technologies and integration

Attractive markets

Differentiation by customer

proximity and innovations

* Excluding Oil & Gas sales


Portfolio development towards more market-driven and

innovative businesses

Strong Partnerships

Gazprom

PETRONAS

Sinopec

Total

Selected transactions

2010 − today

BASF

core business

~€5.4 billion sales

in emerging and

innovation-driven businesses

Acquisitions

Functional crop care

Personal care & food

Omega-3 fatty acids

Enzymes

Battery materials

Specialty plastics

Selected assets in Oil & Gas

Refinish coatings

Surface treatment

Divestitures

~€20.7 billion sales

in businesses with limited fit

and differentiation potential

Styrenics

Fertilizers

Selected assets in Oil & Gas

Natural gas trading & storage

Custom synthesis business

Textile chemicals

Polyolefin catalysts

Industrial coatings


Clear acquisition criteria

We want to acquire businesses which …

provide a return on investment above

the WACC

are EPS accretive by year three at the

latest

We want to acquire businesses which …

generate profitable growth above the industry

average

are innovation-driven

offer a special value proposition to customers

reduce earnings cyclicality

Acquisition

criteria

Strategic acquisition criteria Financial acquisition criteria


Chemetall – a global leader in surface treatment

products and services

Key facts

One of the strongest globally managed

brands in the sector

Proprietary manufacturing technologies,

rigorous product quality and

performance standards

Leading market positions in the

automotive, aerospace and cold

forming segments

Long-standing, service-intensive

customer relationships

Track record of strong growth and high

profitability

An excellent strategic fit for BASF Coatings

Significant global presence and record of accelerated expansion in emerging markets

BASF Coatings site Chemetall site


Investments in organic growthInvestments of ~€3.9 billion planned for 2017

Performance

Products

21%

Oil & Gas

23% €19.0 billion

Capex budget 2017-2021

(by segment)

Other

13%

Chemicals

24%

Capex budget 2017-2021

(by region)

Asia Pacific

16%

North America

22%

Agricultural

Solutions

4%

Other**

3%

Functional Materials

& Solutions

15%

€19.0 billion

South America*

10%

* Including Africa and Middle East, ** Alternative sites currently being investigated

Europe

49%

Oil & Gas Europe


Investment projects with startup in 2017

Aroma ingredients complex

Kuantan, Malaysia

BASF and PETRONAS further

expand joint activities in Malaysia

Investment: around €500 million

Ammonia plant

Freeport, Texas

BASF and Yara are building world-

scale ammonia plant in the U.S.

750,000 tons per year;

hydrogen-based process

Engineering plastics

Schwarzheide, Germany

Expansion of annual capacity

by 70,000 tons

Increasing BASFʼs global compounding

capacity to more than 700,000 tons


Oil & Gas

2%

Innovation will drive future growth

Agricultural

Solutions

26%

Chemicals

10%

Performance Products

20%

Corporate Research

21%

Key facts

€1.86 billion R&D expenditures in 2016

R&D expense to sales ratio ~3%

~10,000 employees in R&D

~3,000 projects

~850 new patents in 2016

Research Verbund:

Cooperations with more than 600

excellent partners from universities,

startups and industry

In 2016, sales of >€10 billion with

products launched during last 5 years

R&D expenditures 2016

€1.86 billion

Functional Materials

& Solutions

21%


Innovations for a sustainable futureExamples with significant contributions to sustainability

FWC™ Four-Way Conversion

catalyst removes particulates

Acronal® MB – from biomass to

dispersions

Trilon M® phosphate alternative

for dishwashing detergentsSLENTITE® high-performance

insulation material

Green Sense® resource-efficient

concrete production

ecovio® biodegradable polymer

solution


Sustainable Solution Steering®

Novel methodology to screen and steer our portfolio

4.2% 0.3%

>60,000 product applications analyzed

(€53.2 billion sales, 95.9% of BASF’s

portfolio)

27.2% Accelerators

– outgrow their markets

– deliver margins above the average

– represent majority of BASF’s R&D

pipeline

68.3% Performers

<1% Challenged products

Increase the share of Accelerators from 23% in 2014 to 28% by 2020

27.2%

68.3%

Substantial sustainability

contribution in the value chain

Meets basic sustainability

standards on the market

Specific sustainability issues

which are being actively addressed

Significant sustainability concern,

action plan developed

Sustainable

Solution

Steering

Percentage of

sales 2016


Carbon efficiencyResponsible use of raw materials by the chemical industry

BASF uses raw materials responsibly: ~80% of carbon

converted to products, ~20% needed for processes*

Continuous efficiency improvements

22 million tons CO2 emissions by BASF in 2016 compared to

10-30 million tons p.a. for one coal-fired power plant

Chemical industry: only ~10% of global consumption of fossil resources**

Growing world population needs access to energy, housing,

healthcare and food

Consumption of resources has to be reduced in order to limit global

warming to <2°C

Chemistry as enabler for low-carbon technologies

(e.g., lightweight parts, battery materials, insulation, etc.)20%

CO280%

products

*BASF carbon mass balance calculation (2016, non-audited) **IEA 2015


0

1.000

Earnings contribution 2016 2017-2018 Total

Operational excellenceDrivE with ~€1 billion targeted earnings contribution

DrivE program

Targeted annual earnings contribution of

€1 billion from end of 2018 on

Optimization of processes and structures

in all regions, including

– manufacturing

– incremental capacities

– productivity increase

Project timeline: 2016–2018

€350 million

€650 million

Goal €1 billion

Annual earnings contribution DrivE

million €

1,000


Strong track record in operational excellence

* Excl. companies with major IFRS 10/11 restatements, i.e. BASF YPC Nanjing, Libya onshore, other Oil & Gas and Catalysts companies

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

EBITDA

Sales

Fixed Costs

CAGREBITDA

8%

CAGRSales

4%

3%

CAGRFixed Costs

BASF Group* 2001–2016

indexed; CAGR 2001–2016


Digitalization will support BASF’s growth and efficiency

Digital Business Models

Smart Innovation

Smart Supply Chain

Smart Manu-facturing

Growth

Digital business models

Customer connectivity

Digitalization of R&D

New revenue streams

Increased supply share

Higher innovation output

Predictive maintenance

Augmented reality in production

Smart supply chain

Increased capacity

Increased work efficiency

Reduced working capital

Efficiency


Agenda

At a glance1

Strategic levers2

Segments3► Chemicals

► Performance Products

► Functional Materials & Solutions

► Agricultural Solutions

► Oil & Gas


ChemicalsSignificantly higher earnings driven by strong volume growth and increased prices

Intermediates

693

+3%

Monomers

1,662

+19%

Petrochemicals

1,207

+8%

€3,562

+12%

Sales Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015

million €


Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015 6% 6% 0% 0%

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015 3% (11)% 0% 0%

EBIT before special items

million €

249

635

0

250

500

750

Q4 2015 Q4 2016

+155%

2,156 2,064

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

FY 2015 FY 2016

(4%)


Performance ProductsEarnings slightly up due to improved margins

Performance Chemicals

947

(4)%

Nutrition & Health

443

+3%

Dispersions & Pigments

1,034

(1)%

€3,602

(1)%


Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015 0% 0% (2)% 1%

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015 1% (2)% (2)% (1)%

Care Chemicals

1,178

+1%

228 231

0

100

200

300

Q4 2015 Q4 2016

+1%

Sales Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015

million €


million €

1,366

1,745

0

1,000

2,000

FY 2015 FY 2016

+28%


1,649

1,946

0

1,000

2,000

FY 2015 FY 2016

Functional Materials & Solutions Profitable growth based on continued strong demand from the automotive industry

Coatings

921

+14%

Catalysts

1,736

+12%


Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015 11% (1)% 0% 0%

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015 7% (5)% 0% (1)%

389

458

0

250

500

Q4 2015 Q4 2016

+18%

Construction

Chemicals

564

0%

Performance Materials

1,740

+9%

€4,961

+10%

Sales Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015

million €


million €

+18%


1,090 1,087

0

1,000

2,000

FY 2015 FY 2016

Agricultural SolutionsSales grew considerably due to higher volumes; earnings burdened by higher fixed costs


Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015 9% (2)% 0% 3%

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015 (2)% 0% 0% (2)%

144

79

0

100

200

Q4 2015 Q4 2016

(45)%

+10%

Sales Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015

million €


million €

0%

1,1671,281

0

1,000

2,000

Q4 2015 Q4 2016


Oil & GasSales and earnings increased significantly, mainly due to higher volumes

Sales development Volumes Prices / Currencies Portfolio

Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015 23% 3% 0%

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015 3% (3)% (79)%

EBIT before special items / Net income

million €

731*

922*

0

500

1,000

Q4 2015 Q4 2016

+26%

127* 163*

-184

182

-250

0

250

500

Q4 2015 Q4 2016

Natural Gas TradingExploration & Production Net income

* Including transportation business ** Natural Gas Trading divested to Gazprom end of September 2015 as part of the asset swap

Sales Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015

million €

1,000

426**

940

517

1,050

362

0

1,000

2,000

FY 2015 FY2016

1,366

*

BASF Capital Market Story, March 2017 37BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote speech 37

we create chemistry for a sustainable future · 2018-11-17 · we create chemistry for a...

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