weather-based disease risk assessment in turf review unique aspects of turf environment discuss...
TRANSCRIPT
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Weather-based Disease Risk Assessment in TurfWeather-based Disease Risk Assessment in Turf
Review unique aspects of turf environment
Discuss attempts to develop WB systems for turf
Describe system used in Indiana / Midwest
R. LatinPurdue University
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Interesting aspects of the turf “environment”...
1. Agronomics...
No measureable yield
Genetics
Cultural options
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Interesting aspects of the turf “environment”...
2. Economics...
Fungicides are expensive
Supers spend other peoples’ money
Turf grows back!
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Connecting the dots between environmental variables and turf disease...
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Connecting the dots between environmental variables and turf disease...
Gray leaf spotGray leaf spot
Pink snow moldPink snow mold
Dollar spotDollar spot
Brown patchBrown patch
Summer patchSummer patchPythium blightPythium blight
AnthracnoseAnthracnose
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Published works describing the use of temperature and moisture variables to predict disease outbreaks*
Dollar spot
Pythium blight
Rhizoctonia blight
Anthracnose
Gray leaf spot
Pink snow mold
Summer patch
Hall, 1984 (Temp / RH)
Smith, 2009 (Temp / moisture)
Nutter, 1983 (Temp / LW)
Fidanza, 1995 (Temp / RH)
Gross, 1998 (Temp / LW)
Schumann, 1994 (Temp / RH / Precip)
Danneberger, 1984 (Temp / LW)
Uddin, 2004 (Temp / LW)
Dwyer, 2003 (Temp / M)
Anonymous, 1995 (Temp)
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Data ProcessorEnvironmental
Data
Precip.
Hourswetness RH
Temp
Y = a + b1T +b2W …
Daily Disease Risk
Components of Disease Forecasters
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Examples of on-site data acquisition instruments
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Environmental data resources…
Precip
HoursDew
RH
Air Temp
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Data Processor
Environmental Data
Precip.
Hourswetness RH
TempY = a + b1T +b2W …
Daily Disease Risk
Components of Disease Forecasters
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Weather-based models may be rushed to publication without adequate testing!
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Environmental risk is based on daily relative humidity and minimum temperatures. To calculate the E-value for a 24 hour period, substitute values for average relative humidity (RH) and daily minimum temperature in degrees Celsius (T) in the equation below:
E = -21.5 + 0.15(RH) + 1.4(T) - 0.033(T2)
Risk is high if E ≥ 6.0
Brown patch decision rule:
E-value
Advantages:•Convenience•3-5 day forecast
Disadvatage:•Underestimates risk
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Data source: SkyBit
Algorithms:
brown patch / Fidanza (T/RH) Gross (T/LW)
Pythium blight / Nutter (T/LW)
dollar spot / Purdue (T/LW)
Delivery:
application server / website